Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Attractive [7][9]. Core Insights - The insurance sector has shown strong performance over the past two years, driven by anti-involution, improved business quality, and market beta [9]. - Anti-involution measures are expected to continue benefiting both life and property & casualty (P&C) insurers, enhancing long-term profitability and balance sheet strength [3][9]. - Life insurers face risks related to interest rate spread loss, which has pressured valuations down to approximately 0.5x price-to-book (P/B) by early 2024 [4]. - P&C insurers are expected to benefit from eased competition in both auto and non-auto lines, potentially expanding underwriting margins [9]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The anti-involution measures for life insurers include cutting commissions and expenses across all channels, reducing pricing interest rates from 3.5% to an estimated 2-2.25%, and introducing a floating pricing interest rate mechanism [4]. - The introduction of a long-term evaluation mechanism on insurers' investment and efficiency is also part of the regulatory changes [4]. Property & Casualty Insurance - A restricted expense policy for P&C insurers has been in place since 2018 and was further strengthened in 2023 and 2024, with regulations expanding to non-auto lines in July 2025 [5]. Company Ratings - AIA Group Ltd: Overweight [61] - Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd: Overweight [61] - China Life Insurance Co Ltd: Equal-weight [61] - China Pacific Insurance Group Co Ltd: Overweight [61] - PICC Group: Overweight [61] - ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance Co Ltd: Overweight [61]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Reform and Development Theme Index closed at 2523.18 points, with a trading volume of 29.016 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.51% increase [1] - Over the past month, the index has risen by 3.32%, and by 8.67% over the last three months, while it has decreased by 0.07% year-to-date [1] - The index primarily selects stocks from companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, focusing on themes such as the "Belt and Road" initiative, "Four Centers," and Free Trade Zone development [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include SAIC Motor (8.68%), Shanghai Port Group (7.73%), and Pudong Development Bank (7.62%) [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with the industrial sector representing 29.98%, financial sector 22.30%, and consumer discretionary 18.22% [2] - The index samples are adjusted quarterly, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of March, June, September, and December [2]

Core Insights - The non-bank sector is experiencing a transformation driven by policy initiatives, which are expected to enhance revenue growth in the securities and insurance industries [2]. Group 1: Securities Industry - The implementation of the "Implementation Opinions on Strengthening Self-Regulation to Promote High-Quality Development of the Securities Industry" is likely to expand wealth management, investment banking, and asset management businesses, benefiting overall industry revenue growth [2]. - As of July 14, the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index component stocks showed mixed performance, with Guolian Minsheng leading with a 6.70% increase [1]. Group 2: Insurance Industry - The notification on guiding insurance funds for long-term stable investments is expected to increase the allocation of high-dividend stocks and long-term government bonds, enhancing the investment returns of insurance companies and improving industry valuations [2]. - The CSI 800 Securities and Insurance ETF has seen a significant increase in net value, rising by 49.53% over the past year, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 3: Market Performance - As of June 30, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index accounted for 63.35% of the index, highlighting the concentration of investment in these key players [3]. - The CSI 800 Securities and Insurance ETF has experienced a growth of 81 million shares over the past year, reflecting robust demand in the non-bank sector [1].

随着行业严监管常态化，又有头部险企因合规问题遭重罚。 7月11日，国家金融监管总局发布行政处罚信息。因存在未按照规定使用经批准或备案的保险条款、费率，投保信 息管理不规范，报送的报告、数据不准确等违法违规行为，中国太保（601601.SH、02601.HK）旗下核心子公司 太保产险、太保寿险及相关责任人合计被罚1074万元。 长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 徐佳 罚单公布当日，太保产险、太保寿险在其官网发布公告作出回应，称相关问题发生在2022年6月和2023年3月之 前，已全部整改完毕。 有业内人士向长江商报记者分析，尽管太保产险和太保寿险本次受罚涉及的是历史违规问题，但依旧折射出部分 保险公司在过往粗放扩张时代为争夺市场份额不惜突破合规底线，在产品定价、费用管理和数据报送等方面存在 诸多乱象。 值得关注的是，在当前保险行业严监管态势延续的背景下，作为头部险企的中国太保正面临增长动能不足与合规 治理的双重挑战。 数据显示，2025年前五月，太保产险累计原保险保费收入为923.82亿元，同比仅增长0.5%。 太保产险及寿险一同被罚 7月11日，国家金融监管总局发布行政处罚信息。因存在未按照规定使用经批准或备案的 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the insurance industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The recent policy adjustment aims to enhance the long-term investment capabilities of insurance funds by increasing the weight of long-cycle assessments to 70%, addressing the mismatch between the nature of insurance funds and performance evaluations [2][3] - The policy is expected to release the potential for incremental capital from insurance funds, with a focus on long-term investments in dividend assets, benefiting companies like China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, China Property & Casualty, and New China Life [2][10] Summary by Sections Policy Overview - On July 11, 2025, the Ministry of Finance issued a notification to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, introducing a five-year assessment cycle to enhance the performance evaluation of state-owned commercial insurance companies [2][3] - The new assessment framework includes a 30% weight for annual indicators, 50% for three-year indicators, and 20% for five-year indicators, marking a significant shift towards long-term performance evaluation [3][5] Impact on Insurance Funds - The adjustment is designed to resolve the structural contradiction of "long money short investment" by providing a system that allows insurance funds to better tolerate short-term market fluctuations [6][10] - The policy encourages insurance companies to refine their asset-liability matching strategies, emphasizing the need for detailed management of asset and liability characteristics [10] Investment Strategy - The notification promotes a shift in investment strategies from short-term gains to long-term value creation, requiring insurance companies to enhance their investment decision-making processes and risk assessment frameworks [10] - The expected increase in capital inflow from insurance funds is anticipated to inject liquidity into the market in the short term while fostering a sustained demand for dividend assets in the long term [2][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-banking sector, highlighting the potential for both beta and alpha resonance in the market due to upcoming mid-year performance catalysts [5]. Core Insights - The introduction of new regulations for insurance capital, promoting long-term investments, is expected to enhance the matching of assets and liabilities for insurance companies, thereby increasing their equity investment ratios and stabilizing profit margins [1]. - The performance of listed securities firms is anticipated to show robust growth in the first half of 2025, with several firms projecting significant year-on-year profit increases, driven by active market conditions and improved business operations [2]. - The China Securities Association's new self-regulatory management guidelines aim to enhance the quality of the securities industry, focusing on compliance and risk management, which is expected to support sustainable growth in the sector [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.78% during the week of July 7-11, 2025 [8]. Securities Sector - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 8.80 trillion yuan, with a daily average trading amount of 1.47 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.25% increase week-on-week and a 118.28% increase year-on-year [17]. - The IPO underwriting scale for the year reached 391.22 billion yuan, while refinancing underwriting amounted to 795.95 billion yuan as of July 11, 2025 [17]. Insurance Sector - The new regulations for insurance capital are expected to improve the long-term investment capabilities of insurance companies, enhancing their ability to provide stable returns and support economic growth [1]. Liquidity Tracking - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 425.7 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 226.5 billion yuan from the market, indicating tightening liquidity conditions [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, Sunshine Insurance, and China Life, as well as top securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities, due to their strong market positions and growth potential [39][40].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index increased by 3.96%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.14 percentage points, ranking third among all primary industries [2][15] - The implementation of the "28 Measures for High-Quality Development of the Securities Industry" aims to enhance self-regulation and promote high-quality development within the securities sector [3][16] - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of long-term stable investments by state-owned insurance companies, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include longer time frames [7][17] Market and Sector Performance - The average daily trading volume of A-shares reached 14,961 million yuan, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year increase of 138.2% [20] - In the second quarter of 2025, the average daily trading volume was 12,886 million yuan, up 55.7% from the same period in 2024 [20] - As of July 10, 2025, the margin trading balance was 18,737.06 billion yuan, a 0.78% increase from the previous period and a 19.57% increase compared to the average level in 2024 [20] Regulatory Developments - The "Implementation Opinions" released by the China Securities Association outlines 28 measures to strengthen self-regulation and enhance the service capabilities of securities firms [3][16] - The new performance evaluation system for state-owned insurance companies will now consider annual, three-year, and five-year indicators for net asset return and capital preservation rates, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [7][17][19] Investment Opportunities - The adjustment in performance evaluation metrics for insurance companies is expected to reduce sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market, potentially stabilizing market operations [8][19] - The securities sector is anticipated to achieve high-quality development as the new measures are gradually implemented, fostering a more robust industry ecosystem [6][16]

"1+3+5"长周期考核背后的深意 2025 年 07 月 13 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：张凯烽 研究助理：李劲锋 执业证号：S0100524070006 执业证号：S0100124080012 邮箱：zhangkaifeng@mszq.com 邮箱：lijinfeng_2@mszq.com ➢ 事件：2025 年 7 月 11 日，财政部下发《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资 进一步加强国有商业保险公司长周期考核的通知》（财金〔2025〕62 号）（以下 简称《通知》），调整了相关经营指标的考核方式，国有商业保险公司自开展 2025 年度绩效评价工作开始执行。 ➢ 增设长周期考核指标，引导长期稳健投资。根据财政部《商业保险公司绩效 评价办法》，商业保险公司绩效评价指标体系中经营效益的考核占比为 25%，主 要分为 3 大指标：（国有）资本保值增值率、净资产收益率、分红上缴比例，分 别占比 10%、8%、7%。本次《通知》对其中（国有）资本保值增值率、净资产 收益率两大指标进行了调整，形成"1+3+5"（当年、3 年周期、五年周期）的考 核模式，引导险企更加着眼长期投资和稳健投资。 ➢ 净资产收 ...

Group 1: Key Meetings and Collaborations - Shanghai Mayor Gong Zheng met with Prudential Group CEO Huakang Yao, emphasizing the importance of financial openness and collaboration in asset management and green finance [2] - The Shanghai Financial Industry Association held a successful re-election meeting, with a focus on enhancing the role of the association in supporting economic development and financial innovation [3] Group 2: Policy and Regulatory Developments - The Shanghai Municipal Financial Office convened a meeting to convey the spirit of the 12th Municipal Committee's seventh plenary session, outlining future work deployment [4] - A notice was issued regarding the 2025 Shanghai Oriental Talent Plan, inviting applications for outstanding youth projects in the financial sector [5] Group 3: Financial Support Initiatives - Shanghai encourages financial institutions to provide seamless and non-repayment loans to small and medium-sized enterprises in the software and information services sector [6][7] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange released an international version of its business rules to facilitate high-level openness in the futures market [10] Group 4: Market Developments - The first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs was established, with net subscription amounts exceeding 2.9 billion yuan [8] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange announced the upcoming launch of several specialized indices focusing on niche markets [9] Group 5: Financial Technology and Innovation - The Shanghai Financial Technology Innovation Regulatory Tool Workgroup announced the testing phase for six new innovative applications aimed at enhancing digital finance [11] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank issued a $30 million non-resident acquisition loan to support a domestic pharmaceutical company's cross-border acquisition [12] Group 6: Long-term Investment Regulations - The Ministry of Finance introduced new regulations for insurance companies to enhance long-term investment stability and sustainability [14] - The National Financial Supervision Administration released guidelines for the appropriate management of financial products to protect consumer rights [15]

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 2025 年 07 月 13 日 险资入市再迎政策支持，稳定币概 念叠加中报向好驱动非银板块估值 提升 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 冉兆邦 A0230524090003 ranzb@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 (8621)23297818× luozh@swsresearch.com 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/7/7-2025/7/11） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 非银金融 - ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 4.46%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 3.64pct。1）上海国资委围绕稳定 币&加密货币召开学习会。多家券商已经对虚拟资产领域进行布局：国泰君安国际升级其在港股一 号牌 ...