华泰证券研报称，国家统计局公布10月份规上工业发电量8002亿千瓦时，同比增长7.9%，较9月增长6.4 个百分点；其中火电同比增长7.3%，较9月增长12.7个百分点；水电同比增长28.2%，较9月放缓3.7个百 分点。预测10月全社会用电量增速或达10.2%，虽然10月是传统用电淡季（主要系秋冬之交低温未至、 十一假期停工停产），但是10月发电量"淡季不淡"或为今年四季度电力消费需求同比高增的缩影。火电 发电量同比增幅扩大12.7个百分点是另一亮点，考虑到水电在来水转弱下增幅收窄，对火电挤出效应减 弱，叠加2024年四季度低基数，看好强火电需求+低库存+供给受压制支撑四季度动力煤价。 ...

近期，中信证券、中金公司、国泰海通证券、中信建投证券、华泰证券、东吴证券等多家头部券商陆续 发布2026年A股投资策略报告，"慢牛行情"成为市场一致预期。 2026年，盈利驱动将成为新主角，投资机会也将从2025年的科技"一骑绝尘"转向2026年的多主线。 当中信证券提出"角逐全球定价权"，东吴证券给出"2026年6月风格切换窗口"，中信建投预警"科技板块 结构性回调"，各家券商在慢牛共识之时，正为投资者描绘一条与今年截然不同的投资路径。 慢牛格局延续 自2024年9月24日政策组合拳出台后，A股市场进入新一轮牛市行情。2025年中国股票在全球市场中表 现优异，上证指数创出十年新高。 多家券商指出，2026年市场有望在慢牛格局中进一步演绎，但驱动力的切换将成为核心特征。 中信证券鲜明提出，A股将迈向"低波动慢牛"，"全球敞口"成为其研判2026年A股的核心变量。其报告 指出："A股不仅是中国的A股，也是全球的A股。"数据显示，当前高境外敞口企业贡献了全A非金融板 块39%的利润和35%的市值，足以撬动整体行情。中信证券认为，未来A股基本面需置于全球需求视角 下审视，中企在全球价值链中的份额优势正转化为定价权， ...

Group 1 - Cathay Securities has been expanding in Southeast Asia since 2015, establishing a branch in Singapore and acquiring a 50.97% stake in Vietnam Investment Securities (IVS) by the end of 2019 [1][3] - China Galaxy Securities has also made significant strides in Southeast Asia, acquiring the securities business of CIMB Group in Malaysia in 2018, and has become one of the most widely covered Chinese securities firms in Asia [1] - In its 2025 semi-annual report, China Galaxy reported leading market shares in brokerage business across Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, and Thailand, and completed 34 equity and bond financing transactions totaling SGD 1.8 billion [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities' Singapore subsidiary received a capital markets services license in 2023, allowing it to conduct securities trading and corporate financing legally [2] - In 2025, Huatai's subsidiary obtained the mainboard sponsor qualification from the Singapore Exchange, enabling it to undertake and manage mainboard IPO projects [2] - Huatai Securities emphasized its commitment to internationalization as a key strategic focus, enhancing its integration of domestic and international operations [2] Group 3 - Cathay Securities announced on November 17 that its board approved the acquisition of an Indonesian securities company, marking another step in its Southeast Asian expansion [3] Group 4 - The performance growth of Chinese securities firms is increasingly driven by overseas markets, with 15 A-share listed securities firms reporting international business revenues of CNY 20.12 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.35% [4] - Among these firms, 12 reported positive growth in overseas business, with 12 firms experiencing growth rates exceeding 10% [4] - Major firms like CITIC Securities, CICC, Cathay Securities, and Huatai Securities are leading in international business, while smaller firms are also experiencing rapid growth [4]

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among major securities firms is that the A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull market" in 2026, with a shift in investment opportunities from technology dominance in 2025 to multiple main lines in 2026 [1][3][4] Market Outlook - Following the policy measures introduced on September 24, 2024, the A-share market has entered a new bull market, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in 2025 [2] - Securities firms predict that the market will continue to evolve within a slow bull framework, with a key feature being the shift in driving forces [3][4] Driving Forces - The driving force is expected to shift from "valuation repair" to "profit-driven" or "fundamental verification" in 2026 [4] - Estimates suggest that the overall profit growth for A-shares in 2026 could be around 4.7%, with many industries nearing performance improvement turning points [4] Investment Strategies - Major securities firms highlight three main investment lines: technology growth, Chinese enterprises going global, and cyclical resource products [9][11][13] - The technology growth sector remains a favored direction, with a focus on performance rather than concepts, particularly in application breakthroughs [10] - The trend of Chinese enterprises expanding internationally is seen as a significant configuration clue, with a focus on sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, and electric grid equipment [12] Market Style Rotation - The potential for a style switch from "growth" to "value" around June 2026 is a focal point of discussion among securities firms [7][8] - The market is expected to trend towards a more balanced style, with cyclical industries approaching supply-demand equilibrium [8][6] Resource Products - Resource products are anticipated to become a new main line following technology, driven by global monetary easing and supply-demand gaps [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among major securities firms is that the A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull market" in 2026, with a shift in investment opportunities from technology dominance in 2025 to multiple main lines in 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market has entered a new bull market since the policy measures introduced on September 24, 2024, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in 2025 [2]. - Major securities firms predict that the market will continue to evolve within a slow bull framework, with a key characteristic being the shift in driving forces [3][4]. - CITIC Securities emphasizes that A-shares should be viewed from a global demand perspective, as Chinese companies' advantages in the global value chain are transforming into pricing power, forming the basis for a low-volatility slow bull market [3]. Group 2: Driving Forces - There is a general expectation among securities firms that the driving force for the market will shift from "valuation recovery" to "profit-driven" or "fundamental verification" in 2026 [4]. - CICC estimates that the overall profit growth for A-shares in 2026 could be around 4.7%, with many industries nearing performance improvement [4]. - Dongwu Securities notes that the overall revenue and profit growth for A-shares has ended a four-year downward cycle and is beginning to rebound, supported by economic reforms and improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. Group 3: Investment Styles - The debate among securities firms centers on whether the market style will shift from "growth" to "value" in 2026, with Dongwu Securities identifying June 2026 as a potential key time for this transition [6][7]. - CICC suggests that the market style may become more balanced, as many cyclical industries approach supply-demand equilibrium [8]. - Guotai Junan recommends maintaining a focus on technology while also considering previously underperforming sectors such as real estate and consumer goods during the bull market [8]. Group 4: Investment Themes - Securities firms highlight three main investment themes: technology growth, Chinese companies going global, and cyclical resource products [9][10]. - The technology growth sector remains a favored direction, with a shift in focus from concepts to performance, particularly in application breakthroughs [9]. - The trend of Chinese companies expanding internationally is seen as a significant opportunity, with recommendations to focus on sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, and global pricing resources [10][11].

沪指11月17日下跌0.46%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有17个，涨幅居前的行业为计算机、国防军 工，涨幅分别为1.67%、1.59%。跌幅居前的行业为医药生物、银行，跌幅分别为1.73%、1.31%。非银 金融行业位居今日跌幅榜第三。 | 000750 | 国海证券 | -0.89 | 0.99 | -5149.32 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002670 | 国盛证券 | -3.16 | 2.42 | -4943.23 | | 600390 | 五矿资本 | -0.84 | 0.70 | -4475.33 | | 600155 | 华创云信 | 0.52 | 2.55 | -4393.14 | | 601995 | 中金公司 | -0.88 | 0.54 | -4357.71 | | 002939 | 长城证券 | -0.38 | 0.66 | -4335.29 | | 601878 | 浙商证券 | -0.44 | 0.55 | -3897.56 | | 601059 | 信达证券 | -0.96 | 2.14 | -3824.15 | | 601099 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is entering an upward trajectory after hitting a low in Q4 2023, with significant growth observed in Q2 and Q3 of 2025 [5][18]. - The brokerage sector has seen a shift from "customer acquisition" to "existing customer management and institutional deepening," focusing on creating a comprehensive product matrix across various investment types [5][29]. - The report identifies three categories of brokers that have outperformed: those with low valuations and improving fundamentals, those involved in mergers and acquisitions, and those driven by innovative business models [5][12]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the performance of H-shares has outpaced A-shares due to a stronger Hong Kong market, lower valuations, and accelerated interconnectivity between capital markets [11][12]. - As of November 14, 2025, the brokerage index has increased by 4.29%, while the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.06%, indicating a significant underperformance of the brokerage sector compared to the broader market [11][12]. - The report notes that the brokerage sector's price-to-book ratio is currently at 1.41 times, which is at the 47th percentile since 2018, suggesting that the sector is undervalued [5]. Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of wealth management as a core support for brokerage businesses, driven by increased asset allocation from residents into the equity market [5][34]. - The brokerage industry is expected to benefit directly from the increasing attractiveness of the equity market, with specific recommendations for companies like GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy Securities [5]. - The report outlines that the brokerage sector's net profit for the first nine months of 2025 has increased by 66% year-on-year, with significant contributions from brokerage and interest income [18][34]. Group 4 - The report discusses the internationalization of brokerage services, driven by client demand, with major firms establishing overseas subsidiaries and focusing on cross-border services [5][18]. - The brokerage sector is experiencing a "counter-cyclical" asset allocation strategy, with a continued increase in equity asset allocation expected in 2025 [5][18]. - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is positioned for a recovery in public fund profitability, with the potential for increased allocations from public funds to the non-bank financial sector [5][18].

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 11月14日，华泰证券跌2.93%，成交额17.98亿元。两融数据显示，当日华泰证券获融资买入额3.23亿 元，融资偿还3.69亿元，融资净买入-4646.97万元。截至11月14日，华泰证券融资融券余额合计69.09亿 元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，华泰证券十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股4.42亿股，相比上期减少1.08亿股。中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第七大流通股东，持 股1.53亿股，持股数量较上期不变。国泰中证全指证券公司ETF（512880）位居第九大流通股东，持股 1.31亿股，为新进股东。 融资方面，华泰证券当日融资买入3.23亿元。当前融资余额69.00亿元，占流通市值的4.26%，融资余额 超过近一年70%分位水平，处于较高位。 融券方面，华泰证券11月14日融券偿还4.00万股，融券卖出3600.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 7.98万元；融券余量41.57万股，融券余额921.61万元，超过近一年80%分位水平，处于高位。 截至9月30日，华泰证券股东户数19.55万，较上期减少6.96%；人均流通股385 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced fluctuations last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index down nearly 1% and the ChiNext Index down nearly 3% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.96 trillion, a decrease of 83.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Sectors such as Hainan, gas, pharmaceuticals, and Fujian saw gains, while storage chips and CPO sectors faced declines [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities believes that the demand for computing power driven by AI remains very strong, viewing the current adjustment as an opportunity [2] - The AI industry revolution is compared to the industrial revolution, suggesting a need for a long-term perspective on AI-related investments [2] - Quantum technology is highlighted as a key future industry, with recent advancements in quantum computing, including collaborations between China Telecom Quantum Group and GuoDun Quantum [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities reports that the pet food market during Double Eleven in 2025 shows two main characteristics: a hot trading environment and a stable landscape among leading brands [3] - The industry is entering a phase of high-quality development, leading to increased competition, with a shift towards quality products over marketing gimmicks [3] - Companies with strong R&D and supply chain advantages are expected to lead in the long term [3] Group 4 - Galaxy Securities anticipates that the year-end market will continue to exhibit a volatile structure, with rapid rotation among sectors [4] - Funds are shifting towards themes like lithium batteries and electrolyte solutions, benefiting from policy support, although the sustainability of these themes remains uncertain [4] - As the year-end approaches, institutional allocations may become more balanced, preparing for next year's economic outlook [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping nearly 1% and the ChiNext Index falling close to 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.96 trillion, a decrease of 83.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - By the end of last Friday, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.93%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 2.82% [1] Group 2: AI and Computing Power Demand - CITIC Securities believes that the demand for computing power driven by AI remains very strong, viewing the current market adjustment as an opportunity [1] - The firm emphasizes that the world is undergoing an AI industrial revolution, which should be observed from a long-term perspective, distinguishing it from recent trends in cloud computing and renewable energy [1] - CITIC Securities is optimistic about the demand and applications related to AI-driven computing power, highlighting the importance of quantum technology as a future economic growth point [1] Group 3: Pet Food Market Insights - Huatai Securities reports that the pet food market during the Double Eleven shopping festival in 2025 exhibited two main characteristics: a hot trading environment and a stabilizing landscape among leading brands [2] - As the industry enters a phase of high-quality development, increased investment from both industry and capital is expected to intensify short-term competition [2] - The competition among pet brands is anticipated to focus more on high-quality products rather than marketing gimmicks, with leading companies possessing strong R&D and supply chain advantages likely to emerge as winners in the long term [2] Group 4: Year-End Market Expectations - Galaxy Securities forecasts that the A-share market will continue to exhibit a consolidation pattern, with rapid rotation among sectors [3] - The technology sector, which previously saw significant gains, is currently in a consolidation phase, while funds are beginning to rotate towards themes like lithium batteries and electrolyte solutions [3] - As the year-end approaches, institutional allocations may become more balanced, preparing for next year's economic outlook, with a focus on themes such as "anti-involution" and dividends [3]