本公司董事会及董事保证本公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性负个别及连带责任。 证券代码：601872 证券简称：招商轮船 公告编号：2025[022] 招商局能源运输股份有限公司 关于参加 2025 年上海辖区上市公司 年报集体业绩说明会的公告 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 5 月 13 日至 5 月 14 日 16:00 前登录上证路演中 心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司投资者关系邮箱 ir@cmhk.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题 进行回答。 招商局能源运输股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 3 月 28 日发布公司 2024 年年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公 司 2024 年度经营成果及财务状况，公司将参加 2025 年 5 月 15 日（星期 四）15:00-16:30 召开的"2025 年上海辖区上市公司年报集体业绩说明会"， 重要内容提示： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 1 会议召开时间：2025 年 5 月 15 日（ ...

Core Viewpoint - The ship repair industry is crucial for supporting the global shipping sector, with its development closely linked to the global economy. The market has shown stable growth due to increasing international trade and shipping activities, although growth rates have fluctuated due to macroeconomic conditions [1][10]. Industry Overview - Ship repair involves maintaining and restoring the condition of vessels, including hulls, machinery, and equipment, to ensure safe operation. The industry is categorized into planned maintenance, accident repair, and basic restoration [3][4]. - The global ship repair volume is projected to increase from 13,127 vessels in 2017 to 39,002 vessels by 2024, although growth rates are expected to decline due to economic uncertainties [1][10]. Market Dynamics - The demand for ship repair services is closely tied to the shipping market, with increased shipping frequency and distance leading to higher maintenance needs. In 2024, China's waterway freight volume is expected to reach 9.811 billion tons, a 4.7% increase year-on-year [8][10]. - The proportion of repairs for older vessels is decreasing, while the share of repairs for vessels under 10 years old is rising, indicating a trend towards younger fleets [12][21]. Competitive Landscape - The ship repair industry in China is characterized by a diverse competitive landscape, dominated by three major state-owned enterprises, which collectively hold a 55.2% market share. Other private and joint-venture companies account for 44.8% [16][19]. - Major players include China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, China State Shipbuilding Corporation, and China Merchants Industry Holdings, which leverage their technological and financial strengths to maintain competitive advantages [17][19]. Future Trends - The ship repair industry is expected to see increased demand for vessel upgrades and replacements, supported by government policies aimed at promoting the scrapping of older vessels [21]. - There is a clear trend towards digitalization and automation in the industry, with the adoption of AI, big data, and blockchain technologies to enhance maintenance efficiency and transparency [22]. - Market concentration is anticipated to rise, with larger firms likely to dominate the landscape, potentially leading to the elimination or consolidation of smaller players [24]. - Chinese ship repair companies are actively seeking to expand into international markets, particularly in line with the Belt and Road Initiative, necessitating compliance with international maritime regulations [25].

Core Viewpoint - The China Oil and Gas Industry Index has shown mixed performance, with a recent decline despite a monthly increase, reflecting the overall volatility in the oil and gas sector [2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Oil and Gas Industry Index decreased by 0.45% to 1729.45 points, with a trading volume of 12.33 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has risen by 6.44%, but it has declined by 3.48% over the last three months and 6.14% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index includes companies involved in oil and gas exploration, equipment manufacturing, transportation, sales, refining, and primary petrochemical production [2]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: China National Petroleum (10.36%), China National Offshore Oil (9.87%), Sinopec (9.52%), Guanghui Energy (5.05%), China Merchants Energy (3.8%), Jereh Group (3.71%), Hengli Petrochemical (3.25%), Satellite Chemical (3.13%), Dongfang Shenghong (2.8%), and COSCO Shipping Energy (2.8%) [2]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 70.98% of the index's holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 29.02% [2]. - The sector breakdown of the index holdings is as follows: Energy (61.45%), Materials (20.71%), Industrials (15.00%), Financials (1.78%), and Utilities (1.06%) [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Management - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3]. - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as removing samples that are delisted or handling mergers and acquisitions according to maintenance guidelines [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The report indicates that pessimistic expectations have been fully released, and the oil and bulk shipping sectors are experiencing a recovery trend [10] - In Q1 2025, the company's operating revenue was 5.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 870 million yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [5][10] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The container shipping segment benefited from increased freight rates on Southeast Asia routes following the Red Sea incident, leading to a good performance [10] - The oil tanker segment faced pressure due to high base effects from the previous year and lower freight rates at the end of last year, resulting in a decline in performance [10] - The bulk shipping segment saw a decline in freight rates due to disruptions in iron ore and bauxite shipments, with the VLOC fleet maintaining resilience through COA contracts, while Panamax vessels struggled due to low South American grain shipments [10] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q1, the oil shipping business generated revenue of 2.14 billion yuan, down 16.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 490 million yuan, down 44.0% year-on-year [6] - The dry bulk shipping business achieved revenue of 1.68 billion yuan, down 11.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 55.5% year-on-year [10] - The container shipping business reported revenue of 1.14 billion yuan, up 9.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 340 million yuan, up 222.1% year-on-year [10] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the pessimistic expectations have been fully released, and the industry is on an upward trend, with potential for a synchronized recovery in oil and bulk shipping [10] - Future performance is expected to improve, with projected revenues of 6.3 billion, 6.6 billion, and 7.0 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 7.9, 7.5, and 7.1 times [10]

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - COSCO Shipping Specialised Carriers reported a revenue of 5.196 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.47%, with a net profit of 345 million yuan, up 1.56% [2][12] - HNA Holding achieved a revenue of 65.236 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 11.25% increase, while Guangzhou Baiyun Airport's net profit doubled [2][14] - YTO Express reported a business volume growth of 25.32% in 2024, with a total logistics value of 91 trillion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a 5.7% year-on-year increase [2][18] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - COSCO Shipping Specialised Carriers maintained steady growth despite global shipping market volatility, with a Q1 revenue of 5.196 billion yuan, a 51.47% increase year-on-year [12] - HNA Holding's 2024 revenue reached 65.236 billion yuan, an 11.25% increase, while Guangzhou Baiyun Airport's net profit surged by 109.51% [14][16] - YTO Express's business volume grew by 25.32% in 2024, with a logistics total of 91 trillion yuan in Q1 2025, up 5.7% year-on-year [18][19] 2. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - In April 2025, domestic air cargo flights decreased by 1.67% year-on-year, while international flights increased by 25.08% [33] - The SCFI index for container shipping reported a decrease of 1.66% week-on-week, while the PDCI index for domestic shipping increased by 0.67% [40] - In March 2025, express delivery volume rose by 20.30% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 124.6 billion yuan [51] 3. Company Performance - COSCO Shipping Specialised Carriers added 13 new vessels in Q1 2025, increasing total capacity to 691.5 thousand deadweight tons, a 12.53% increase from the end of 2024 [13] - HNA Holding's passenger transport volume exceeded 68 million in 2024, a 14.36% increase, with international passenger transport volume growing by 132.68% [15] - YTO Express's capital expenditure exceeded 6.7 billion yuan in 2024, focusing on automation upgrades and expanding its logistics network [19]

招商局能源运输股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 10 月 17 日召开第七届董事会第十四次临时会议，并于 2024 年 11 月 1 日召开 2024 年第二次临时股东大会，会议分别审议通过了《关于 1 证券代码：601872 证券简称：招商轮船 公告编号：2025[021] 招商局能源运输股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价方式回购公司股份的进展公告 本公司董事会及董事保证本公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性负个别及连 带责任。 一、回购股份的基本情况 重要内容提示： 回购方案首次披露日 2024/10/18 回购方案实施期限 自公司股东大会审议通过回购方案之日起 12 个月 内 预计回购金额 2.22 亿元（含）—4.43 亿元（含） 回购用途 √减少注册资本 □用于员工持股计划或股权激励 □用于转换公司可转债 □为维护公司价值及股东权益 累计已回购股数 6,804.25 万股 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 0.84% 累计已回购金额 43,532.53 万元 实际回购价格区间 5.74 元/股—7.05 元/股 公司以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Views - The report highlights a continuous recovery in domestic demand, with a focus on increased dividends [1] - The shipping sector shows strong performance in container shipping, while oil and dry bulk shipping face pressure [3][4] - The highway sector experienced a rebound in traffic in Q1 2025, while port container business remains robust [4] - The railway passenger transport is stable, but freight transport is under pressure [4] - The airline industry sees steady growth in passenger traffic, although ticket prices are under slight pressure [6] - The express delivery sector exceeded expectations in 2024, maintaining double-digit growth into Q1 2025, despite intense price competition [7] - Cross-border logistics face challenges due to coal market pressures and tariff policies affecting air freight demand [8] Summary by Sections Shipping - Container shipping shows impressive performance, with significant profit growth and stable dividends [15] - Oil shipping and dry bulk shipping face challenges, with fluctuating rates and cautious dividend policies [18][21] - The report notes a strong increase in container shipping rates due to geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics [14][15] Highways - In 2024, highway traffic saw a slight decline, but Q1 2025 traffic improved, leading to increased profits for highway companies [35][38] - The report indicates that highway companies are maintaining high dividend payouts despite previous revenue declines [41][43] Ports - Port container throughput growth outpaced other sectors, benefiting from a favorable international trade environment [44][46] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of container port companies, with significant profit increases [47][48] Railways - Railway passenger volumes remained stable, while freight volumes faced challenges, impacting overall profitability [49] Airlines - The airline sector is experiencing steady passenger growth, but ticket prices are slightly under pressure, affecting profitability [6] Express Delivery - The express delivery industry saw a significant increase in volume in 2024, continuing strong growth into Q1 2025, although competition remains fierce [7] Cross-Border Logistics - Cross-border logistics companies are facing challenges due to market pressures and tariff impacts on air freight demand [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly with the recommendation of companies such as China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, and Xingtong Co. [3][20] Core Viewpoints - OPEC has agreed to increase oil production by 411,000 barrels per day, which is expected to enhance the certainty of improvement in the shipping market in Q2 [3][20] - The report highlights the resilience of major ports and anticipates improvements in Southeast Asia's shipping and oil tanker sectors [3][20] - The report suggests that the "off-season" for shipping may not be as weak as expected, with a higher probability of strong performance from May to August [3][20] Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - OPEC's production increase will lead to a cumulative increase of 960,000 barrels per day over April, May, and June, which is 44% of the total expected increase of 2.2 million barrels per day [3][20] - The report notes that April shipping rates have risen against seasonal trends, indicating a potential for stronger performance in the second half of the year [3][20] - VLCC rates have decreased by 9% to $46,903 per day, but the overall market remains relatively strong with expectations for a rebound post-holiday [3][20][21] Air Transportation - The report indicates that oil prices, influenced by tariffs and OPEC's production increase, are relieving cost pressures on airlines [40] - The domestic air travel market is expected to recover, with passenger volumes projected to reach 10.75 million during the May Day holiday, a year-on-year increase of 8% [41][40] - Recommended stocks in the aviation sector include China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [42] Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is experiencing high growth, with March volumes reaching 16.66 billion packages, a year-on-year increase of 20.3% [44] - The report emphasizes the potential for market share concentration among leading companies due to favorable policy changes [44] - Recommended companies include SF Holding, JD Logistics, and YTO Express [46] Railway and Highway - The report highlights the resilience of railway freight and highway truck traffic, with railway cargo volume increasing by 3% and highway truck traffic by 2.25% [48] - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines for the highway sector throughout 2025 [48]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, indicating challenges in the oil transportation and shipping sectors, while also highlighting potential recovery in the VLCC market due to supply constraints and regulatory impacts on non-compliant trade [1][2][3][4] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 5.6 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year and 14% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 870 million yuan, a decrease of 37.1% year-on-year and 50.2% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Q1 2025 non-recurring net profit was 850 million yuan, down 37.2% year-on-year and 50.6% quarter-on-quarter [2] Oil Transportation Sector - Q1 oil transportation revenue was 2.14 billion yuan, down 16.3% year-on-year, with net profit at 490 million yuan, a decline of 44% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter [2] - VLCC fleet performance outperformed indices, with 50% of operational days locked in for Q2, providing a solid foundation for future earnings [2] - The second quarter is expected to see strong fluctuations in VLCC rates due to OPEC+ production increases and tightening sanctions on Iranian oil [2][3] Market Dynamics - The impact of tariffs and the "301 port tax" on oil transportation fundamentals is limited, with U.S. crude exports to China representing only 0.4% of global oil shipping volume [3] - The ongoing tightening of sanctions on non-compliant trade is expected to benefit the formal market supply-demand dynamics [3] Shipping Segments Performance - Container shipping revenue for Q1 was 1.14 billion yuan, up 9.6% year-on-year, with net profit at 340 million yuan, a significant increase of 222% year-on-year [4] - Bulk shipping revenue for Q1 was 1.68 billion yuan, down 11.4% year-on-year, with net profit at 160 million yuan, a decrease of 55% year-on-year [4] - Roll-on/roll-off shipping revenue for Q1 was 400 million yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, with net profit at 50 million yuan, a decline of 34% year-on-year [4] Investment Outlook - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 6.48 billion, 7.66 billion, and 8.18 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 8, 6, and 6 times [4] - The current valuation is considered attractive, with a projected dividend yield of approximately 5.3% based on a 40% payout ratio [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's container shipping profits have significantly increased, demonstrating strong performance resilience, while the oil shipping business shows potential for flexibility [4][7] - The company is expected to benefit from a dual business resonance due to the upward fundamentals in oil and bulk shipping [5] Financial Summary - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 6.437 billion, 7.450 billion, and 7.993 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.03%, 15.75%, and 7.28% respectively [5] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 7.40, 6.39, and 5.96 respectively [5] - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 5.595 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.53%, while the net profit was 0.865 billion RMB, down 37.07% year-on-year [7] - The container shipping segment saw a net profit increase of 222.12% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the oil tanker segment experienced a net profit decline of 44.02% [7] Market Performance - The oil and bulk shipping markets are gradually recovering, with container shipping profits showing significant growth [7] - The company has expanded its container shipping capacity by 35% year-on-year in Q1 2025 and is developing high-value-added services [7] - The OPEC+ production increase is expected to positively impact oil shipping rates, while the dry bulk market is anticipated to see demand growth due to new mining projects [7]