Core Insights - The report emphasizes the historical positioning of silver indicators, noting that 93% of historical dates are below 200%, while the current level exceeds 1800%, indicating potential price adjustments during the decline phase of silver [11] - It highlights the macroeconomic narratives, including geopolitical tensions and the impact of the new Federal Reserve chair, suggesting that the current market is less influenced by overseas factors [3][12] - The investment strategy focuses on three main areas: core growth assets, global competitive advantages, and emerging growth sectors, with specific recommendations for companies in these categories [14] Company Summaries TCL Electronics (01070) - TCL Electronics is forming a joint venture with Sony, where TCL will hold 51% and Sony 49%, aiming to leverage cost and technology advantages in the large-size and mini LED sectors [15] - The joint venture is expected to enhance TCL's high-end product series capabilities [15] Mao Geping (01318) - The brand is expanding its global presence with a new store in Hong Kong and a focus on integrating Eastern aesthetics with modern art, enhancing its international brand narrative [16] Anjuke Food (603345) - The company is shifting from a reliance on large B2B clients to a selective supermarket customization strategy, collaborating with major retailers to launch tailored products, resulting in a 28.1% year-on-year revenue increase in the supermarket channel [17] Chengda Pharmaceutical (301201) - Chengda is transitioning towards biocell therapy, developing innovative drug pipelines and forming strategic partnerships, including a significant collaboration with Chiron Pharma, which has led to clinical advancements [19] Xinquan Co., Ltd. (603179) - The company has established strong partnerships with major domestic truck manufacturers and is focused on expanding its automotive component offerings, leveraging over 20 years of industry experience [20] Jianghuai Automobile (600418) - Jianghuai is developing a new generation of high-end intelligent electric vehicles, integrating advanced technologies from partnerships with high-tech companies like Huawei [21] Chip Origin (688521) - The company reported significant growth in its chip design and mass production businesses, with a 290.82% quarter-on-quarter increase in design revenue and a 132.77% increase in mass production revenue [22] Tencent Holdings (00700) - Tencent's performance exceeded expectations with a 15.4% year-on-year revenue growth, driven by strong sales and R&D efficiency, leading to a notable increase in net profit [23] China Resources Land (01109) - The company is transitioning its real estate service platform to offer comprehensive lifecycle services, enhancing customer engagement through a new digital platform [24] China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872) - The company is benefiting from rising oil shipping rates, with Q4 2025 VLCC average rates reaching $94,000 per day, marking a significant increase in operational profits [26]

Group 1 - Trump announced that Mexico will stop supplying oil to Cuba as part of increased pressure on the country, although he did not provide specific details on this decision [1] - As of January, WTI crude oil prices increased by 14% month-on-month but decreased by 11% year-on-year. OPEC+ is adjusting its production strategy between market share and price stability, with an increase in production expected starting in 2025, but facing challenges from weak demand and oversupply [1] - By early 2026, geopolitical risks affecting oil prices are expected to rise, leading to potential supply constraints [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index (399439) had its top ten weighted stocks, including China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec, which collectively account for 66.76% of the index [2] - The Petroleum ETF Penghua closely tracks the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index, reflecting the price changes of listed companies in the oil and gas sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2]

2月2日，招商轮船跌5.02%，截至发稿，报10.79元/股，成交10.82亿元，换手率1.20%，总市值871.24亿 元。 资料显示，招商局能源运输股份有限公司位于上海市中山东一路9号轮船招商总局大楼;香港干诺道中 168-200号信德中心招商局大厦32楼;广东省深圳市南山区招商街道五湾社区邮轮大道5号太子湾海纳仓 (招商积余大厦)，成立日期2004年12月31日，上市日期2006年12月1日，公司主营业务涉及国际原油、 国际与国内干散货、国内滚装、国际与国内件杂货等海运业务。主营业务收入构成为：运输服务业务 86.38%，其他收入6.75%，商品销售业务4.77%，航运配套业务2.10%。 从招商轮船十大流通股东角度 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金重仓招商轮船。油气基金（561570）四季度增持8300股，持有股 数14.46万股，占基金净值比例为5.32%，位居第五大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约8.24万元。 油气基金（561570）成立日期2024年10月9日，最新规模2443万。今年以来收益18.06%，同类排名 150/5580；近一年收益40.48%，同类排名18 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing volatility and decline, particularly in the oil and gas sector, with significant net inflows into the oil and gas ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159309) despite the downturn [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 13:22, the oil and gas ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159309) has dropped over 4%, with a net inflow of more than 106 million yuan during the day, marking a total of over 500 million yuan in inflows over the past 15 days [1]. - Major component stocks of the oil and gas ETF have mostly retreated, with Intercontinental Oil and Gas down over 9%, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation and China Petroleum down over 4% [3]. Group 2: Component Stocks - The top ten component stocks of the oil and gas ETF include: - Jerry Holdings (002353) up 1.71% - CNOOC (601857) down 3.54% - China Petroleum (600028) down 1.54% - Intercontinental Oil and Gas (600759) down 9.91% [4]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Supply Factors - Geopolitical risks have eased, with the U.S. indicating a positive relationship with Venezuela, potentially sharing oil revenues, and ongoing negotiations with Iran [5]. - OPEC+ members have agreed to maintain their production cut policies, with a commitment to market stability and low inventory levels [5]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The medium to long-term outlook for the oil and gas industry remains positive, with expected exploration and development spending to maintain historical median levels from 2024 to 2030 [7]. - Key variables affecting the market include North American data center construction progress, OPEC+ production policies, and domestic policies on refining capacity [7]. Group 5: ETF Characteristics - The oil and gas ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159309) focuses on the oil and gas industry chain, including exploration, equipment, refining, and sales, emphasizing companies with quality reserves and low-cost advantages [8]. - The ETF has a streamlined sample size of 44 stocks, ensuring high purity with all top ten component stocks being leading oil and gas companies [8].

油气ETF汇添富（159309）业绩比较基准为中证油气资源指数收益率，管理人为汇添富基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为晏阳，成立（2024-05-31）以来回报为38.77%，近一个月回报为20.14%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月2日，油气ETF汇添富（159309）开盘跌3.54%，报1.336元。油气ETF汇添富（159309）重仓股方 面，中国石油开盘跌2.90%，中国海油跌4.70%，中国石化跌1.69%，杰瑞股份涨6.74%，招商轮船跌 0.53%，广汇能源跌2.32%，中远海能跌0.95%，洲际油气跌9.91%，海油工程跌3.60%，招商南油跌 2.44%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 ...

Group 1 - Oil and gas assets have performed well due to geopolitical tensions and extreme weather, with international oil prices significantly rising; WTI crude futures increased by 6.78% and Brent crude futures by 7.30% [1] - A rare winter storm in the U.S. Gulf Coast temporarily reduced crude oil production by approximately 2 million barrels per day, reinforcing expectations of short-term supply tightening and driving oil prices higher [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that as of January 20, 2026, the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in circulation rose by 1.18% month-on-month, reaching 4482.2 yuan/ton, the highest since late September 2025 [1] Group 2 - The Huatai-PineBridge Oil and Gas ETF (561570) tracks the CSI Oil and Gas Industry Index, which includes 60 fundamentally strong A-share companies across various segments of the oil and gas industry, providing a convenient tool for investors to access the overall opportunities in the sector [2] - The ETF has attracted significant attention with continuous net inflows for six consecutive trading days, accumulating over 86 million yuan, and the average daily trading volume exceeding 33 million yuan, significantly higher than the levels seen in 2025 [2] - The fund manager, Huatai-PineBridge, is one of the first ETF managers in China, with a strong track record, and offers competitive fee structures to help investors minimize costs [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the shipping industry, highlighting the upward potential in both oil and dry bulk markets [7]. Core Insights - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000, a week-on-week increase of 17% [10][11]. - The BDI index has shown resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, up 21.9% week-on-week, with significant increases in various vessel types [23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Shipping - The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a significant rise in VLCC freight rates, particularly on the Middle East to China route, which saw a 27% increase to $127,000 per day [10][11]. - The market fundamentals are weakening, with a slowdown in cargo availability and a lack of new cargo in the US Gulf market, leading to a decline in overall market activity [10][11]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index has shown a remarkable performance during the off-season, with a year-on-year increase of 89% in January, averaging 1759 points [24]. - The strong performance of the BCI index, which increased by 121% year-on-year, is attributed to supply constraints and steady demand from Brazil and West Africa [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for upward trends in both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping Energy [27]. - For dry bulk, the report suggests companies like Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping, citing favorable supply and demand dynamics [28]. Industry Data Tracking - Recent data shows a year-on-year increase of 8.3% in domestic air passenger volume, with average ticket prices rising by 4.3% [29]. - The SCFI index has decreased by 10% week-on-week, indicating a decline in container shipping rates [50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors are driving up VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000 per day, a week-on-week increase of 17%. The Middle East to China route is reported at $127,000 per day, up 27% week-on-week [1][10]. - The BDI index is showing resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, a week-on-week increase of 21.9%. The average BDI for January is reported at 1759 points, a year-on-year increase of 89% [2][23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Transportation - The ongoing tensions between the US and Iran have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the market showing signs of weakness as the supply of cargo from the Middle East is tapering off [1][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price has risen to $69.83 per barrel, a 9.6% increase since January 22, driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply [2][11]. Dry Bulk Transportation - The BDI index has shown strong performance despite seasonal trends, with significant increases in various sub-indices: BCI up 35.8%, BPI up 8.1%, BSI up 4.0%, and BHSI up 3.0% week-on-week [2][23]. - The report highlights that the supply side is constrained due to recent storms affecting shipping schedules, while demand remains robust due to favorable weather conditions for iron ore exports from Brazil [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for oil transportation, and Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping for dry bulk [7][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of performance elasticity and dividend value in the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [7][62].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the transportation sector [5] Core Insights - The dry bulk freight rates have unexpectedly rebounded during the off-season, with significant increases noted in large vessels. The VLCC market saw a rise in freight rates due to geopolitical risks and strong demand for commodities like iron ore and grain [1][2] - The report highlights key companies to watch, including China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, Haitong Development, COSCO Shipping International, and CIMC Enric [1][2] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights and Market Review - The VLCC freight rates surged again, while dry bulk freight rates showed an unexpected off-season recovery, particularly for larger vessels. The BDI index reached 2148 points on January 30, with the BCI at 3507 points [1][2] - The transportation sector index fell by 1.40%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.96 percentage points. The top-performing segments were shipping, ports, and highways, with gains of 2.19%, 1.42%, and 0.10% respectively [21][22] Travel - Domestic flight ticket bookings for the upcoming Spring Festival exceeded 7.16 million, reflecting a 16% increase compared to the previous year. The report remains optimistic about the long-term outlook for the aviation sector due to recovering demand and supportive policies [3][13] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market is experiencing a resurgence in freight rates, with the index for oil transport from the Persian Gulf to China rising to WS137.2 points, an increase of 42.6 points from the previous day. The dry bulk freight rates are also on the rise, supported by strong demand for iron ore and grain [14][15] - Key companies in the shipping sector include China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping International, which are expected to benefit from the current market dynamics [17] Logistics - The report identifies two main investment themes in the express delivery sector: the overseas expansion driven by the rapid growth of e-commerce and the internal competition dynamics that favor leading companies. Recommended stocks include ZTO Express, YTO Express, and Shunfeng Express [19][20]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 01 年 月 日 交通运输 干散货运价淡季回升，继续重视油运 周观点：VLCC 运价周五再度冲高；干散货运价淡季超预期回升，大船更为明 显。VLCC 市场，本周 VLCC 市场中东航线 2 月上旬货盘基本收尾，租家出货 节奏放缓，运价在周四之前高位回落；随着运价下跌，船东对进一步下跌表现 出较强抵抗意愿，潜在地缘政治风险再度升温，1 月 30 日，波斯湾至中国 27 万吨原油运价指数升至 WS137.2 点，较 1 月 29 日上涨 42.6 点。受矿石、粮 食等品种发货需求较好支撑，本周干散货运价持续回升，BDI 于 1 月 30 日收 于 2148 点，大船涨势更为明显，BCI 于 1 月 30 日收于 3507 点。重点关注招 商轮船、中远海能、海通发展、中远海运国际和中集安瑞科等。 行情回顾：本周（2026.1.26-2026.1.30）交通运输板块行业指数下跌 1.40%， 跑输上证指数 0.96 个百分点（上证指数下跌 0.44%）。从申万交通运输行业 三级分类看，涨幅前三名的板块分别为航运、港口、高速公路，涨幅分别为 2.19 ...