证券代码：601872 证券简称：招商轮船 公告编号：2026[004] 择机增持安通控股股份，其中可能存在资本市场情况发生变化或目前 尚无法预判的其他风险因素，存在一定的不确定性，敬请广大投资者 注意投资风险。 特此公告。 招商局能源运输股份有限公司（以下简称"招商轮船"或"公司"） 于 2025 年 7 月 11 日召开第七届董事会第二十二次会议，审议通过了 《关于子公司对外投资暨关联交易的议案》，同意由公司全资子公司 中外运集装箱运输有限公司（以下简称"中外运集运"）通过包括但 不限于大宗交易、集中竞价或协议转让等方式，以不超过 18 亿元人 民币为上限收购安通控股股份有限公司（以下简称"安通控股"）的 股份，并授权公司董事长及其书面授权人开展具体交易。具体情况详 见公司于 2025 年 7 月 12 日发布的《第七届董事会第二十二次会议决 议公告》（公告编号：2025[033]）、《关于子公司对外投资暨关联 交易的公告》（公告编号：2025[035]），于 2025 年 8 月 25 日发布 的《关于子公司对外投资暨关联交易进展的公告》（公告编号： 2025[037]）以及于 2025 年 9 月 1 ...

招商轮船公告称，2025年公司同意全资子公司中外运集运以不超一定金额收购安通控股股份。截至公告 发布日，中外运集运已通过大宗交易及协议转让受让安通控股333,742,322股股份，占其总股本7.89%， 还通过集中竞价增持93,844,500股，占比2.22%。其中，与中化资管的协议转让已获批并完成过户。此 外，中外运集运拟继续择机增持安通控股股份，但存在不确定性。 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - According to Raytad Energy, global upstream exploration and development spending is expected to be around $600 billion in 2025, a decrease of 4% year-on-year, with deepwater investments projected to decline by 6% [1] - China's crude oil production has rebounded since 2019 due to a long-term strategy for increasing reserves and production, with a CAGR of 2.2% from 2019 to 2024, while natural gas production has a CAGR of 7.3% during the same period [1] - The "Big Three" oil companies in China have significantly increased capital expenditures from 2020 to 2023 and are expected to maintain high levels in 2024 and 2025, which will support upstream reserve growth and benefit their oil service subsidiaries [1] Group 2: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies benefited from the ongoing domestic "increase reserves and production" initiative and the gradual release of overseas business performance, leading to improved operational quality despite falling oil prices [2] - CNOOC's oil service subsidiary reported a 23.3% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, while other companies like Haiyou Development and Haiyou Engineering saw net profit changes of +13.1% and -8.2% respectively, with the latter experiencing a 27% increase in gross profit [2] - The annualized ROE for CNOOC's oil service companies in the first half of 2025 showed resilience, with CNOOC at +1.5 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024, indicating a potential improvement in international competitiveness [2] Group 3: Market Performance - As of January 13, 2026, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index (399439) rose by 0.81%, with significant increases in stocks such as CNOOC's oil service (+6.03%) and China National Petroleum (+3.57%) [3] - The oil and gas ETF (159697) increased by 1.15%, reflecting a four-day consecutive rise, with the latest price reported at 1.23 yuan and a net subscription of 15 million units [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index account for 67.11% of the index, including major players like China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the overall market [12]. Core Insights - The shipping market is expected to see significant growth in Q4 2025, driven by strong VLCC freight rates and structural changes in trade dynamics, including new refinery capacities and geopolitical shifts [4]. - The aviation sector is projected to enter a golden era, with passenger transport expected to reach 770 million in 2025, marking a 5.5% increase from 2024 and a 16.7% increase from 2019 [4]. - The report highlights a shift in the shipping industry from supply-driven to demand-driven dynamics, particularly in shipbuilding, as older vessels are replaced [4]. - The logistics and freight forwarding sectors are facing challenges due to trade tensions, impacting profit margins and demand [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping - Q4 2025 VLCC freight rates are expected to average around $95,500 per day, with a projected demand increase of 1.7% from new refinery capacities and a 2.1% increase from compliance changes in Venezuelan oil [4]. - The dry bulk market is also showing strong performance, with Cape-sized vessel rates expected to rise by 20% to $27,600 per day [4]. - The report estimates that COSCO Shipping Energy's Q4 earnings will be approximately 1.9 billion RMB, while China Merchants Energy's will be around 2.9 billion RMB [4]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with second-hand ship prices rising for 11 consecutive months, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]. Freight Forwarding - The freight forwarding sector is facing profit margin compression due to trade frictions, with the CCFI index expected to decline by 26% in Q4 2025 [4]. Aviation - The Chinese aviation market is expected to achieve a profit of 6.5 billion RMB in 2025, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines anticipated to see significant performance improvements [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of international routes as passenger volumes are expected to grow, driven by a recovery in outbound travel [4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is projected to see a 5% year-on-year growth in Q4, driven by price increases and seasonal demand, despite challenges from trade policies [4]. Road and Rail - The report notes a slowdown in highway traffic growth, while rail passenger and freight volumes continue to increase, with recommendations for specific companies in the sector [4].

【宏观扰动：地缘扰动较多，或推动油价短期走高】 中信期货表示，地缘短期扰动仍然较多。后期地缘前景仍是主导原油供应预期的核心因素，油价在供应过剩及地缘扰动频发的相互制衡下延续震 荡，短期重点关注地缘相关的冲高风险。（来源于中信期货20260113《地缘⽀撑油价，化⼯⾼估值追⾼需谨慎》） 中信证券认为，地缘政治风险或推动油价短期走高，但考虑到当前全球原油市场仍处于供给宽松格局，预计油价仍将在60~70美元/桶扰动。考虑 到委内瑞拉石油短期供给缺口或在100万桶/天左右，预计短期油价将上行。 1月13日，A股市场走势分化，沪指震荡回调，油气板块冲高！截至13:38，油气ETF汇添富(159309)上涨1.98%，盘中价格创上市以来新高，冲击4 连涨。资金涌入油气板块，油气ETF汇添富(159309)盘中吸金超360万元！ 【油气ETF汇添富(159309)标的指数前十大成分股】 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 002353 | 本瑞股份 | 机械设备 | -2.21% | 9.85% ...

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (招商轮船) has seen a significant stock price increase of 18.76% over the past three days, with a current price of 11.27 CNY per share and a market capitalization of 91 billion CNY [1] Group 1: Company Overview - China Merchants Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. was established on December 31, 2004, and listed on December 1, 2006 [1] - The company is primarily engaged in maritime transportation services, with revenue breakdown as follows: 86.38% from transportation services, 6.75% from other income, 4.77% from merchandise sales, and 2.10% from shipping support services [1] Group 2: Shareholder Insights - Huatai-PineBridge Fund holds a significant position in China Merchants Energy Transportation, with its Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF (510300) reducing its holdings by 2.88 million shares in Q3, now holding 54.8 million shares, representing 0.68% of the circulating shares [2] - The ETF has generated a floating profit of approximately 31.23 million CNY today and 92.60 million CNY during the three-day price increase [2] Group 3: Fund Performance - The Huatai-PineBridge Oil and Gas Fund (561570) has also invested in China Merchants Energy Transportation, holding 136,300 shares, which is 5.85% of the fund's net value [3] - The Oil and Gas Fund has achieved a floating profit of about 0.0777 million CNY today and 0.2303 million CNY during the three-day price increase [3]

证券之星消息，1月12日航运港口板块较上一交易日上涨1.65%，招商轮船领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4165.29，上涨1.09%。深证成指报收于14366.91，上涨1.75%。航运港口板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601872 | 招商轮船 | 10.70 | 8.85% | 193.41万 | | 20.28亿 | | 601228 | 广州港 | 3.56 | 8.21% | 164.08万 | | 5.71亿 | | 600026 | 中远海能 | 13.63 | 7.24% | 95.32万 | | 12.78亿 | | 600428 | 中远海特 | 7.40 | 3.79% | 67.55万 | | 4.92亿 | | 600751 | 海航科技 | 4.18 | 1.95% | 81.76万 | | 3.40亿 | | 600179 | 安通控股 | 5.25 | 1.94% | 159.08万 | | 8.27亿 | | ...

Core Insights - The aviation sector is expected to see profit recovery driven by favorable exchange rates and declining international oil prices, which will alleviate fuel cost pressures for airlines. Structural growth in air travel demand is anticipated due to economic growth, with key recommendations including Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Huaxia Airlines [4][19][22]. - The highway industry in China has entered a mature phase, with future trends expected to include renovation and expansion, mergers and acquisitions, and business diversification. A key recommendation is Zhongyuan Expressway [4][58]. - The shipping industry is transitioning towards green methanol as a mainstream choice for zero-emission energy, with significant growth in renewable methanol projects expected by 2030. Recommended companies include CIMC Enric and COSCO Shipping International [4][89]. - The dry bulk shipping sector is witnessing structural growth due to increased transportation distances for iron ore imports and strong demand for alumina imports. Recommended companies include China Merchants Energy Shipping and Haitong Development [4]. Aviation Sector - The recovery in airline profits is supported by a favorable exchange rate and lower oil prices, with the potential for ticket prices to rise as demand increases [4][22]. - Domestic airlines are facing limited capacity expansion due to engine supply issues, while the demand for air travel is expected to grow structurally [25][31]. - The average fuel price decline is projected to reduce operational costs significantly for airlines, enhancing profitability [24][22]. - The domestic air travel market is expected to grow as the per capita flight frequency in China remains lower than the global average, indicating room for growth [34][35]. Highway Sector - The highway industry is projected to see a slowdown in construction investment, with new regulations potentially extending toll periods for aging highways [4][64]. - The total length of highways in China has surpassed that of the United States, with ongoing investments expected to enhance the network further [63][58]. - The introduction of new toll regulations may provide a framework for sustainable development in the highway sector [67][68]. Shipping Sector - The global shipping industry is increasingly adopting green methanol technology, with a significant number of renewable methanol projects expected to come online by 2030 [4][89]. - The demand for dry bulk shipping is expected to grow due to changes in iron ore import sources and increased distances, presenting opportunities for shipping companies [4].

消息面上，全球区域局势持续推升油价，油运市场景气上行。国内方面，2025年，华北油田原油年产量 突破500万吨。这是自2024年以来，该油田原油年产量连续两年突破500万吨。 油气ETF紧密跟踪国证石油天然气指数，国证石油天然气指数反映沪深北交易所石油天然气产业相关上 市公司的证券价格变化情况。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证石油天然气指数(399439)前十大权重股分别为中国石油、中国石 化、中国海油、杰瑞股份、广汇能源、招商轮船、新奥股份、九丰能源、中远海能、大众公用，前十大 权重股合计占比67.11%。 油气ETF(159697)，场外联接(A：019827；C：019828；I：022861)。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 东方证券指出， 委内瑞拉短期原油出口或仍受限，长期出口或合法化提振合规市场油运需求。2025年 委内瑞拉原油产量约占全球1%，原油海运出口量约占全球2%。其中原油海运出口中约17%出口至美 国，五成以上通过影子船队出口至亚洲。短期看，2025年12月委内瑞拉原油海运量环比下降7%，影响 相对有限。长期看，若美国增加对委内瑞拉石 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Oil Shipping Industry Industry Overview - The oil shipping market is expected to face pressure in the second half of 2024 but is projected to recover significantly in the first half of 2025 due to a drop in oil prices, increased refinery operating rates, and enhanced sanctions by the U.S. against Iran, improving supply-demand dynamics in the compliant market [1][8] - Starting from August 2025, the oil shipping market is anticipated to experience rapid growth, with VLCC TCE rates doubling to over $100,000, driven by OPEC+ increasing production, significant output from Venezuela, and U.S. sanctions on Russia and India [1][9] Key Points and Arguments - **Market Recovery**: The oil shipping market is expected to see a significant recovery in 2025, particularly in Q4, with rates reaching over $100,000, despite a challenging period in late 2024 [2][19] - **Investment Opportunities**: The oil shipping sector is projected to have good investment opportunities in 2026, with a steady increase in oil production benefiting shipping demand, while compliant market supply growth remains limited [3][15] - **Super Bull Market Logic**: The anticipated "super bull market" is based on two phases: the first driven by geopolitical conflicts leading to longer shipping distances and increased demand, and the second starting in 2025, driven by global oil production increases [4][18] - **Impact of Gray Market**: Changes in the gray market, characterized by non-compliant trade channels, are expected to positively influence the compliant market by reducing operational efficiency of shadow fleets, thus enhancing demand for compliant shipping [5][10][12] Additional Important Insights - **Geopolitical Influence**: Future changes in U.S. sanctions on countries like Venezuela, Russia, and Iran could significantly impact the oil shipping industry by potentially converting gray market exports to compliant market shipments, increasing overall shipping volumes [14][19] - **Market Sensitivity**: The compliant market's sensitivity to supply-demand changes is expected to increase, with capacity utilization rates remaining high, which could drive prices above $60,000 per day in 2026 [3][16] - **Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to focus on companies like COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and China Shipbuilding Leasing, which are expected to benefit from the upcoming super bull market [7][17] Conclusion - The outlook for the oil shipping industry remains optimistic, with significant recovery expected in 2025 and continued growth into 2026, driven by geopolitical factors and oil production increases. Investors are encouraged to take advantage of current market conditions and consider strategic investments in key shipping companies [19]