事件：中国中免发布公司公告，其全资孙公司中免国际拟以最高不超过3.95 亿美元现金方式收购DFS 大中华区旅游零售业务相关股权及资产。 风险提示：政策推进不及预期、居民消费意愿恢复不及预期等。 H 股定增引入LVMH 集团，深化战略合作：公司拟向Delphine SAS 及Shoppers Holdings HK 增发H 股， 认购价每股77.21 港元，增发完成后LVMH 集团/Miller 家族分别持股0.35%和0.22%，公司大股东中国旅 游集团持股比例50.01%。公司与LVMH 签署战略合作谅解备忘录，深化大中华区合作，LVMH 作为股 东和战略合作方，有利于推进旗下品牌与中免在各个渠道的进一步合作。 海南离岛免税持续高景气，关注相关政策催化：根据海口海关，2025 年12 月海南离岛免税销售额34.2 亿元，同比+17%，购物人次45 万人次，同比-3%，客单价7623 元，同比+21%。封关首月（25.12.18- 26.1.17）离岛免税销售额48.6 亿元，同比+47%，购物人次74.5 万人次，同比+30%，客单价6523 元， 同比+13%。 盈利预测与投资评级：中免集团作为旅游零售龙 ...

东吴证券研报指出，中国中免收购DFS大中华区，引入LVMH深化战略合作。中免集团作为旅游零售龙 头市场地位稳固，海南自贸港封关后离岛免税销售高景气，相关政策陆续出台，市内免税店落地有望带 来长期销售增量。考虑到离岛免税25年前三季度承压，Q4迎来景气拐点，调整公司盈利预期，预计25- 27年归母净利润分别为38.7/52.2/58.1亿元（前值为43.3/50.0/55.2亿元），对应PE50/37/33倍，维持"买 入"评级。 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·旅游零售Ⅱ 中国中免（601888） 收购 DFS 大中华区，引入 LVMH 深化战略 合作 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 67,540 | 56,474 | 55,174 | 61,618 | 66,074 | | 同比（%） | 24.08 | (16.38) | (2.30) | 11.68 | 7.23 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,714 | 4,267 | 3,865 | 5,222 | 5,813 | | 同比（%） | 33.46 | (36.44) | (9.42) | 35.11 | 11.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.25 | 2.06 | 1.87 | 2.52 | 2.81 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 28.76 | 45.25 | 49.95 | 36.97 | 33.21 | [Table_Tag] ...

2026 年 01 月 26 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 67,540 | 56,474 | 55,174 | 61,618 | 66,074 | | 同比（%） | 24.08 | (16.38) | (2.30) | 11.68 | 7.23 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,714 | 4,267 | 3,865 | 5,222 | 5,813 | | 同比（%） | 33.46 | (36.44) | (9.42) | 35.11 | 11.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.25 | 2.06 | 1.87 | 2.52 | 2.81 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 28.76 | 45.25 | 49.95 | 36.97 | 33.21 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·旅游零售Ⅱ 中国中 ...

中国中免 20260123 摘要 中国中免收购 DFS 澳门公司百分百股权和香港门店，以及大中华区无形 资产，包括品牌、会员体系、IT 系统和知识产权，优化业务布局，提升 国际化能力，巩固在全球免税行业地位。 中国中免与 LVMH 集团建立战略合作伙伴关系，将在产品销售、门店开 设、品牌推广、文化交流、旅游服务及客户体验等领域扩大合作，实现 互利共赢，并可能在重点项目上引入合适品牌。 中国中免将继续加强海外拓展力度，提高海外营收占比，关注高度成熟 市场（招标）、增长市场（并购，如港澳）和高潜力市场（自主试点， 如柬埔寨、斯里兰卡和越南）。 香港市场零售表现超出预期，特别是化妆品、珠宝、腕表和礼品等品类， 中免对 DFS 香港业务未来盈利充满信心，将通过调整品类、增加高毛利 产品及引入新锐品牌提升盈利水平。 中免将借助收购 DFS 增强后台实力，提高能力，以便在未来拓展更广泛 的市场，重点关注东南亚及"一带一路"沿线国家等旅游零售市场。 Q&A 中国中免近期收购 DFS 港澳地区零售门店及大中华区无形资产的具体情况是 什么？ 中国中免全资子公司中免国际以不超过 3.95 亿美元收购 DFS 港澳地区的零售 门店 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the social services sector, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [3][28]. Core Insights - The silver economy is gaining traction with active policy support from multiple government departments aimed at fostering the development of elderly care services and enhancing consumption potential [2][17]. - The Spring Festival travel rush is anticipated to significantly boost travel demand, with projections of approximately 95 million air passengers during the period [2][20]. - The consumer services sector outperformed the market, with a reported increase of 1.52%, surpassing the market by 2.71 percentage points during the review period [1][12]. Industry Dynamics - Recent policies have been introduced to cultivate elderly care service providers, with companies like New Oriental and China Travel Group launching initiatives targeting the silver economy [2][17][18]. - The Spring Festival travel period is expected to see a substantial increase in passenger numbers, with a forecast of 22.4 million travelers in Hainan, marking a 5.3% increase year-on-year [2][19]. - The IPO activity in the chain industry remains robust, with companies like Yuanji Food and Guming Tea achieving significant milestones in store openings and financial performance [2][21]. Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the social services sector include increases of 26.86% for Tongdao Liepin and 17.50% for Keri International during the review period [1][15]. - Conversely, Ctrip Group saw a decline of 18.63%, indicating volatility within the sector [1][15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as China Duty Free, Guming, Huazhu Group, and Ctrip Group, among others, as potential investment opportunities [3][28]. - Long-term recommendations include companies like Meituan, Mijia Group, and various educational and travel service providers, reflecting a diversified approach to investment in the sector [3][28].

西贝获新荣记创始人等多方投资 -融资动态- 1月21日，企查查信息显示，内蒙古西贝餐饮集团有限公司获A轮融资。投资方包括台州新荣泰投资有限公司、呼和浩特市集体共创企业管理中心（有限 合伙）、成都迅达光电有限公司、杭州舟轩股权投资管理合伙企业（有限合伙）等，融资金额未对外披露。 同步工商信息显示，西贝餐饮的注册资本从8990.2896万元增至10168.0175万元，增幅约13.1%；股东名单新增上述投资方，创始人贾国龙及部分原有股东 的持股比例出现相应下降。（新京报贝壳财经） 小编评： 可以看到，此次资金虽不算大，但却带来高端餐饮精细化运营与互联网流量两大稀缺资源，有望帮西贝重塑品控、加速数字化，缓解现金流压力。 值得注意的是，此次"纯投资"性质的入股有望为三得利带来国际资本背书，提升其在全球市场的估值透明度；同时，Pzena的长期价值投资风格可能推动 三得利进一步优化资本配置。 -收购动态- LVMH集团旗下私募机构收购Ex Nihilo少数股权 1月19日，美国投资基金Pzena Investment Management已持有三得利饮料食品国际5.09%的股份。Pzena于同日向日本关东财务局提交了大宗 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [6]. Core Insights - The civil aviation sector is expected to see record-high passenger transport volume during the Spring Festival, with an anticipated 95 million passengers, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 5.3% [2][5]. - The retail sector showed a slight increase in consumer spending, with a total retail sales of 45,136 billion yuan in December 2025, marking a 0.9% year-on-year growth [5]. - The report highlights the continuous rise in gold prices, with spot gold surpassing 4,800 USD per ounce, leading to increased prices for domestic gold jewelry [5]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of travel policies on tourism and hotel sectors, suggesting a focus on companies like Atour, Huazhu Group, and Jinjiang Hotels [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Civil Aviation - The report indicates that the domestic flight ticket prices have slightly increased compared to the previous year during the Spring Festival [5]. - The Civil Aviation Administration forecasts a daily average of 2.38 million passengers during the Spring Festival period [5]. Retail Sector - The total retail sales for the year 2025 reached 501,202 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year increase [5]. - The report notes that the opening of the child-rearing subsidy program on January 5, 2026, will provide 3,600 yuan per child annually for children under three years old [5]. Company Announcements - China Duty Free Group announced the acquisition of DFS's travel retail business in Greater China for up to 395 million USD [5]. - Jiajiayue expects a net profit of 198 million to 228 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50.06% to 72.79% [5]. - Meikailong anticipates a net loss of 22.5 billion to 15 billion yuan for 2025, a significant decline compared to the previous year [5]. - Jinling Hotel expects a net profit of 55 million to 63.5 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 65.37% to 90.93% year-on-year [5].

Group 1 - Huaxing Capital has established an M&A team since 2009 to provide comprehensive advisory services for innovative economy enterprises in China and globally, amidst a growing demand for M&A in the current uncertain market [1] - China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) plans to acquire DFS's retail business in Greater China for up to $395 million, enhancing its presence in the Hong Kong and Macau tourism retail market and deepening strategic cooperation with LVMH [3] - Jianghuai Microelectronics (603078.SH) announced that its controlling shareholder will transfer 23.96% of shares to Fuxun Technology for a total consideration of 1.848 billion yuan, changing the controlling shareholder to Shanghai Fuxun Technology [4] - Rongsheng Xintai intends to acquire control of Tian Sheng New Materials (300169.SZ) by purchasing 6.29% of shares for approximately 131 million yuan, aiming for a total holding of 18.75% [5] - Honglida (688330.SH) plans to use 341 million yuan of raised funds to acquire 50.93% of Zhongteng Microgrid, enhancing its capabilities in the power sector [6] - WuXi AppTec (2268.HK) has launched a voluntary conditional cash offer for all issued shares of Dongyao Pharmaceutical (1875.HK) at HKD 4.00 per share, with a total consideration of approximately HKD 2.79 billion, aimed at expanding its manufacturing capacity in China [7] - Lianjian Technology (301115.SZ) intends to acquire 55% of Zhongding Testing for 101 million yuan, enhancing its business layout in consumer goods and food testing [8] - JD Logistics (2618.HK) plans to acquire the remaining shares of Debon Holdings (603056.SH) for approximately 3.797 billion yuan and promote its voluntary delisting, aiming to strengthen network integration and operational efficiency [9] - China National Pharmaceutical Group (1177.HK) intends to acquire 100% of Hejiya for 1.2 billion yuan, focusing on innovative drug development in chronic disease areas [10] Group 2 - Baichuan Intelligent has launched the Baichuan-M3 Plus model, achieving a hallucination rate of 2.6%, the lowest globally, enhancing accuracy and reliability in medical scenarios [11] - Lenovo and NVIDIA have announced a collaboration to launch the "Lenovo AI Cloud Super Factory," aiming to transform traditional data centers into efficient AI factories [12] - Meituan has released the open-source "Reconsider" model, which significantly reduces training costs for new tools in complex tasks [13] - Qianwen App has integrated with Alibaba's ecosystem to test AI shopping functionalities, allowing users to order food and purchase items through AI [14] - Google and Apple have reached a multi-year AI collaboration agreement to support Siri with Google's Gemini model and cloud technology [15] - iQIYI announced the resignation of CFO Wang Jun, with Senior Vice President Zeng Ying appointed as interim CFO [16]

Group 1: Nike's Management Change and Performance - Nike has announced a management change in its Greater China region, with current head Dong Wei stepping down and Cathy Sparks appointed as the new Vice President and General Manager [3][4] - Dong Wei has been with Nike for 20 years and was recently promoted to Chairman and CEO of Nike Greater China, but the company is facing declining performance in the region, with Q2 FY2026 revenue at 14.23 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year [4] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a drop in direct sales and digital business, with EBIT halving, down 49% year-on-year, indicating a need for strategic reform under the new leadership [4][5] Group 2: China Duty Free Group and LVMH Partnership - China Duty Free Group has reached a strategic cooperation agreement with LVMH to acquire DFS for up to $395 million, which includes retail stores in Hong Kong and Macau and exclusive rights to several brands in the Greater China region [6][7] - DFS has shown stable financial performance, with revenues of 4.1 billion yuan and 2.7 billion yuan for 2024 and 2025 respectively, making it a valuable asset for China Duty Free Group [7] - The acquisition will enhance China Duty Free Group's high-end brand supply chain, as DFS has partnerships with over 750 global brands [8] Group 3: IKEA's New Retail Strategy - IKEA has launched an instant retail service on JD.com, marking its first foray into this business model, covering 13 stores in major cities [9] - This new service aims to improve delivery efficiency and reduce consumer barriers, with a minimum purchase of 99 yuan for free delivery within a 4 km radius [9] - IKEA's sales in China have declined, with a reported revenue of approximately 11.15 billion yuan for FY2024, down 7.6% year-on-year, indicating a need for adaptation to changing consumer preferences [10] Group 4: Haidilao's New Concept Store - Haidilao has opened its first "sugar water shop" as a thematic store, integrating hot pot and dessert offerings to cater to diverse consumer needs [12] - The shop operates independently and has already achieved over 100 orders daily, indicating a successful trial of the "store within a store" model [13] Group 5: Walmart's Collaboration with Xiaohongshu - Walmart has partnered with Xiaohongshu to open a co-branded retail experience space called "Mashi Store," focusing on customer-centric shopping experiences [14] - The store features eight "interest islands," each showcasing specific lifestyle products, reflecting Walmart's ongoing transformation to attract younger consumers [14] Group 6: Financial Updates from Various Companies - Yonghui Supermarket expects a net loss of 2.14 billion yuan for 2025, marking its fifth consecutive year of losses due to store adjustments and supply chain reforms [18] - Kraft Heinz China is restructuring its sales regions to accelerate national expansion and seek new growth opportunities [19] - Nestlé is moving forward with the sale of its water business, valued at 5 billion euros, indicating a strategic shift in its portfolio [20]