炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 2025年上半年券商业绩预告密集出炉，呈现"高增长"与"强分化"并存的鲜明格局。华西证券、国联民生 证券凭借低基数效应与整合红利，净利润同比增幅均超10倍，成为最大亮点。13家券商预计归母净利润 突破10亿元大关，国泰海通证券以近160亿元上限领跑，国信证券等6家头部机构稳居"20亿+"阵营。 从业绩增长幅度来看，14家券商预计今年上半年净利相比去年同期实现了100%以上增长，华西证券与 国联民生证券成为最大亮点，两家公司的净利润同比最大增幅均超过10倍。具体来看，华西证券预计当 期净利润同比增幅高达1025.19%至1353.9%。国联民生证券预计净利润同比增长1183%。对于上半年业 绩预增，国联民生称，报告期内，公司有序推进与民生证券的整合工作，并将其纳入财务报表合并范 围，证券投资、财富管理、投资银行等业务条线实现显著增长，同时由于上年同期比较基数较小，今年 上半年经营业绩同比大幅提升。 相比一季度，锦龙股份、华创云信等券商（含母公司）二季度业绩改善，扭转了一季度业绩下滑或亏损 状况。具体来看，华创云信一季度归母净利润亏损0.4 ...

智通财经APP获悉，开源证券发布研报称，OCI和股票自营、海外业务高增或带来券商中报超预期，预 计2025H1上市券商业绩同比增速有望超50%(扣非口径)，环比增速可期。2024年新国九条、央行等金融 部委组合拳稳股市的长效影响延续，个人投资者和中长资金持续流入，交易活跃度中枢抬升逻辑验证， 券商港股业务和投行业务逐步改善，当下估值仍在低位，机构欠配显著，继续推荐券商板块机会。关注 业绩预告、稳定币主题以及基准回补等催化。 经纪+权益自营+海外驱动中报同比高增，债券自营+投行支撑Q2环比 (1)预计经纪业务、权益自营和海外业务同比高增是券商中报净利润增长核心驱动因素。2025H1市场日 均股基交易额1.6万亿，同比+66%，驱动证券行业经纪业务同比高增。市场震荡上涨+交易量活跃利好 券商权益自营投资以及相关衍生品业务(2024年初市场波动导致部分券商衍生品业务亏损)，2025H1沪深 300/万得全A上涨0.3%/5.8%(2024H1为+0.9%/-8.0%)。上半年港股市场景气度较高，2025上半年香港市 场现货ADT 2402亿港元，同比+118%，北向ADT 1713亿人民币，同比+32%，南向ADT ...

Core Viewpoint - Central Huijin Investment Co., Ltd. plays a crucial role in promoting the reform of major financial institutions and maintaining financial stability in China through capital injection and equity management [1] Group 1: A-share Banking Listed Companies - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) is the largest commercial bank globally, with a registered capital of 356.406 billion yuan and a market-leading position in corporate banking [3] - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) has a strong presence in rural finance, with a registered capital of 349.983 billion yuan, and plays a vital role in the rural revitalization strategy [6] - Bank of China (BOC) is the oldest bank in China with a focus on foreign exchange and cross-border financial services, having a registered capital of 294.388 billion yuan [9] - China Construction Bank (CCB) excels in infrastructure financing and housing finance, with a registered capital of 250.011 billion yuan [12] - China Everbright Bank focuses on traditional banking services and has expanded into wealth management and consumer finance, with a registered capital of 59.086 billion yuan [14] Group 2: A-share Insurance Listed Companies - Ping An Insurance is the largest comprehensive financial services group in China, with a registered capital of 18.21 billion yuan, offering a wide range of financial products [27] - China Life Insurance is a leading state-owned life insurance company with a registered capital of 28.265 billion yuan, focusing on traditional life and health insurance products [29] - New China Life Insurance is recognized for its high-value business transformation, with a registered capital of 3.12 billion yuan, emphasizing health insurance growth [31] Group 3: A-share Securities Listed Companies - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) is the first Sino-foreign joint investment bank in China, with a registered capital of 4.827 billion yuan, focusing on high-net-worth clients [33] - Shenwan Hongyuan is a comprehensive securities company formed by the merger of two historical firms, with a registered capital of 25.04 billion yuan [35] - China Galaxy Securities has a strong presence in brokerage and asset management, with a registered capital of 10.934 billion yuan [41] Group 4: A-share Internet Financial Listed Companies - Eastmoney Information is a leading internet financial service platform in China, with a registered capital of 15.786 billion yuan, excelling in securities and fund sales [61] Group 5: A-share Diversified Financial Listed Companies - Zhejiang Dongfang has licenses in trust, futures, and insurance, with a registered capital of 3.415 billion yuan, focusing on digital transformation [63] - Shaanxi Guotou A is the first company in Northwest China to conduct comprehensive trust business, with a registered capital of 5.114 billion yuan [65] Group 6: Strategic Positioning - Central Huijin holds or heavily invests in 26 major financial listed companies, enhancing industry resource allocation and concentration, which is expected to boost stock prices and valuations [67]

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Haikou expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [1] - The main reason for the profit increase is the merger with Haitong Securities, which has led to significant growth in wealth management and trading revenues [1] - Shenyuan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit increase of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Southern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.338 billion to 1.756 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to changes in passenger structure and international uncertainties [2] - China Eastern Airlines projects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by intense domestic market competition [3] - Air China anticipates a net loss of 1.7 billion to 2.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, affected by market supply imbalances and international uncertainties [4] Group 3 - HNA Group expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan, attributed to improved market conditions and operational adjustments [5] - CICC forecasts a net profit increase of 55%-78% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 3.453 billion to 3.966 billion yuan [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 55%-60% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.43 billion to 4.573 billion yuan [9] Group 4 - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 84.3%-120.5% [10] - Poly Developments anticipates a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.735 billion yuan [11] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 51%-68% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, but with a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [14] - Tongwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by ongoing industry challenges [15] - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [16] Group 6 - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net loss of approximately 680 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition in the international market [21] - Yonghui Supermarket anticipates a net loss of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to ongoing transformation challenges [22] - ST Huatuo expects a net profit increase of 107.2%-159% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan [23] Group 7 - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [25] - Linyi Intelligent Manufacturing expects a net profit increase of 32%-67% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan [27] - Pengding Holdings expects a net profit increase of 52.79%-60.62% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.198 billion to 1.26 billion yuan [29] Group 8 - Hengtong Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of approximately 251 million yuan [30] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50%-56% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.4 billion to 1.45 billion yuan [31] - Founder Securities expects a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.299 billion to 2.43 billion yuan [33]

Group 1 - New Yi Sheng expects a net profit increase of 327.68%-385.47% for the first half of 2025, reaching between 37 billion to 42 billion yuan, driven by growth in AI-related computing power demand and product structure optimization [2][4] - Xinghui Entertainment plans to sell 99.66% of its stake in the Spanish club Espanyol for 1.3 billion euros, with half of the payment in cash and the other half in shares [3] - *ST Yushun intends to acquire 100% of three companies for a total of 33.5 billion yuan, aiming to diversify its business into data center infrastructure services and related products [4] Group 2 - Salted Fish plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 2.04%, with a major shareholder intending to sell 5,455,572 shares [5] - Lian Microelectronics expects a net loss of approximately 1.21 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [6] - Meinian Health anticipates a net loss of 1.92 billion to 2.36 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue expected to decline by 0.12%-5.83% [7] Group 3 - Chengdi Xiangjiang forecasts a net profit of 28 million to 42 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss of 69.29 million yuan in the previous year [8] - Jinpu Titanium plans to acquire 100% of Nanjing Lide Oriental Rubber and Plastic Technology Co., Ltd., with stock resuming trading after the announcement [9] - Bohai Leasing expects a net loss of 1.8 billion to 2.4 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 due to goodwill impairment from a subsidiary's asset sale [10] Group 4 - Foton Motor anticipates a net profit increase of approximately 87.5% for the first half of 2025, reaching about 777 million yuan [11] - Shenwan Hongyuan expects a net profit growth of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [12] - Ganfeng Lithium predicts a net loss of 5.5 billion to 3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from a loss of 7.6 billion yuan in the previous year [13] Group 5 - Suzhou Planning intends to acquire 100% of Beijing Dongjin Aviation Technology Co., Ltd., with stock resuming trading after the announcement [14] - Xiangyang Bearing expects a net loss of approximately 13 million yuan for the first half of 2025, slightly worse than the previous year's loss [15] - Tianqi Lithium forecasts a net profit of 0 to 1.55 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of 5.2 billion yuan in the previous year [16] Group 6 - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit increase of 84.3%-120.5% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan [17] - Yunnan Geology expects a net profit of 16 million to 23 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year [18] - Four-dimensional Map expects a net loss of 319 million to 268 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth of 3.07%-14.30% [19] Group 7 - Tangrenshen anticipates a net loss of 54 million to 69 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant decline from the previous year's profit [20] - Changbai Mountain expects a net loss of 2.58 million to 1.58 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue decreasing by approximately 7.48% [21] - Jiu Gui Jiu predicts a net profit of 8 million to 12 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decline of 90.08%-93.39% compared to the previous year [22] Group 8 - Hengsheng Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits around 251 million yuan [23] - Qixia Construction anticipates a net profit of 5.5 million to 8 million yuan for the first half of 2025, driven by increased project completions [24] - Poly Development expects a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits around 27.35 billion yuan [25] Group 9 - Anyuan Coal anticipates a net loss of 259 million to 310 million yuan for the first half of 2025, worsening from the previous year's loss [26] - Zhonghua Equipment plans to acquire 100% of Yiyang Rubber Machine and Beihua Machine, with stock suspension expected for no more than 10 trading days [27] - Bayi Steel expects a net loss of 650 million to 700 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to weak market conditions [28] Group 10 - Yuegui Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 58.67%-77.12% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 215 million to 240 million yuan [29] - Dalian Friendship expects a net loss of 38 million to 30 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue impacted by tax-related issues [30] - Hangfa Power expects a net profit decrease of 84.53%-86.55% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits around 80 million to 92 million yuan [31] Group 11 - Dongfang Zirconium anticipates a net profit increase of 141.77%-156.80% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 25 million to 34 million yuan [32] - Hangzhou Steel expects a net profit decrease of 2% from a major shareholder's planned reduction [33] - Jingao Technology predicts a net loss of 2.5 billion to 3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, worsening from the previous year's loss [34] Group 12 - Shanshan Co. expects a net profit increase of 810.41%-1265.61% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 160 million to 240 million yuan [35] - Guocheng Mining anticipates a net profit increase of 1046.75%-1174.69% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 493 million to 548 million yuan [36] - Jindi Group expects a net loss of 3.4 billion to 4.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with significant declines in revenue [37] Group 13 - Founder Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 22.96 billion to 24.32 billion yuan [38] - Hasi Lian expects a net loss of 98 million to 80 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant decline from the previous year [39] - Lanhua Ketech expects a net profit decrease of 89.12%-92.75% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 40 million to 60 million yuan [40] Group 14 - Shanxi Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 58.17%-70.72% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 5.04 billion to 5.44 billion yuan [41] - Xinda Real Estate expects a net loss of 3.5 billion to 3.9 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with significant declines in revenue [42] - Xiangcai Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 63.64%-118.19% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 12 million to 16 million yuan [43] Group 15 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, despite an increase in sales volume [44] - Wentai Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 178%-317% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 390 million to 585 million yuan [45] - Ruida Futures expects a net profit increase of 50.56%-83.15% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 206 million to 251 million yuan [46] Group 16 - Debang Co. anticipates a net profit decrease of 84.26%-87.86% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 40 million to 52 million yuan [47] - Jin Yi Culture expects a net loss of 20 million to 32 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant decline from the previous year [48] - Hongdian Film expects a net profit increase of 103.55%-160.09% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 180 million to 230 million yuan [49] Group 17 - Qiaqia Food anticipates a net profit decrease of 71.05%-76.25% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 80 million to 97.5 million yuan [50] - Guotai Haitong expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, estimating profits between 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [51] - Xining Special Steel expects a net loss of approximately 234 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with revenue impacted by low steel prices [52]

[Performance Forecast Overview](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) Founder Securities anticipates substantial performance growth in H1 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to increase by 70% to 80% Key Financial Indicators Forecast | Indicator | H1 2025 Forecast (Billion Yuan) | H1 2024 (Billion Yuan) | Year-over-Year Growth | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Profit Attributable to Parent** | 2.296 to 2.432 | 1.351 | 70% to 80% | | **Net Profit Attributable to Parent (Excl. Non-recurring Items)** | 2.299 to 2.430 | 1.314 | 75% to 85% | - This performance forecast applies to situations where profitability is achieved, and net profit increases by over 50% compared to the same period last year[3](index=3&type=chunk) - These performance forecast figures are preliminary calculations by the finance department and have not been audited by an accounting firm[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Review of Prior Period Performance](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8A%E5%B9%B4%E5%90%8C%E6%9C%9F%E7%BB%8F%E8%90%A5%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%92%8C%E8%B4%A2%E5%8A%A1%E7%8A%B6%E5%86%B5) The report reviews the financial performance of H1 2024, providing a comparative baseline for the current period's forecast H1 2024 Financial Performance | Indicator | H1 2024 Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Total Profit** | 1.335 Billion Yuan | | **Net Profit Attributable to Parent** | 1.351 Billion Yuan | | **Net Profit Attributable to Parent (Excl. Non-recurring Items)** | 1.314 Billion Yuan | | **Earnings Per Share** | 0.16 Yuan | [Drivers of Performance Growth](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%A2%9E%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%BB%E8%A6%81%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0) The company attributes H1 2025 performance growth primarily to strong core business segments, especially wealth management and investment and trading - During the reporting period, the primary drivers of the company's performance growth were increased revenues from wealth management and investment and trading businesses compared to the prior year[8](index=8&type=chunk) - The company consistently implements its "rapid development, efficient operation, leverage strengths, address weaknesses" strategy, focusing on improving operational quality in response to national policies like building a strong financial nation and supporting new productive forces[8](index=8&type=chunk) [Risk Warning and Other Disclosures](index=2&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company confirms no material uncertainties affect the accuracy of this performance forecast, advising investors to refer to the official H1 2025 report for final data - The company confirms no material uncertainties exist that would affect the accuracy of this performance forecast[9](index=9&type=chunk) - The company reminds investors that the forecast data are preliminary, and the final accurate financial figures will be based on the officially disclosed H1 2025 report[10](index=10&type=chunk)

方正证券：上半年净利同比预增70%-80% 智通财经7月14日电，方正证券(601901.SH)发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计归属于母公司所有者的净 利润为22.96亿元到24.32亿元，同比增长70%到80%。报告期内，公司业绩增长的主要原因系财富管理 业务、投资与交易业务收入与上年同期相比增加所致。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that Rongtong Fund has signed a sales agreement with Founder Securities to add Founder Securities as a sales agency for its Rongtong Tongxin Flexible Allocation Mixed Securities Investment Fund starting from July 14, 2025 [1] - The announcement includes details about the applicable fund and business scope, indicating that the fund will offer regular investment and conversion services through the new sales channel [1] - A fee discount will be available for investors who subscribe to the fund through Founder Securities, with specific discount rates to be announced by the sales agency [1][2] Group 2 - The fee discount applies only to the front-end charging model during the normal subscription period and does not include back-end fees or fees during the fund's fundraising period [1] - Investors can only convert fund shares within the same charging model, meaning front-end shares can only be converted to other front-end shares, and back-end shares to other back-end shares [4] - For detailed information about the fund, investors are encouraged to read the fund's legal documents such as the Fund Contract and Prospectus [5]

Core Viewpoint - The role of securities brokers is gradually fading in the securities industry, with a significant reduction in their numbers over the years, reflecting a shift towards wealth management and a changing market demand [1][3][12]. Group 1: Decline in Securities Brokers - The number of securities brokers has decreased from 90,500 in early 2018 to 28,800 by the end of 2024, with projections indicating a further decline to 25,000 by 2025 [1][6]. - As of now, only two firms, Guotai Junan Securities and Founder Securities, have over 1,000 brokers, highlighting the shrinking pool of brokers in the industry [1][5]. Group 2: Reasons for the Decline - The decline is attributed to four main factors: the transition of brokers to client manager roles, the aging workforce leading to retirements, the shift towards investment advisory roles, and the departure of brokers seeking alternative career paths due to declining commission rates [3][4][8]. - The average commission rate in the industry has dropped from 0.038% in early 2018 to approximately 0.018% by 2024, significantly impacting brokers' income [6][10]. Group 3: Transition to Wealth Management - The industry is moving towards a wealth management model, emphasizing professional investment advice and asset allocation services, which has increased the demand for investment advisors [6][10]. - The number of investment advisors has grown from 47,200 in early 2018 to 80,300 by the end of 2024, indicating a shift in focus from traditional brokerage services to advisory roles [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Many firms are planning to eliminate the broker role entirely, transitioning to client manager or investment advisor teams to better meet market demands [4][12]. - The exit of brokers is seen as a necessary evolution in the industry, aligning with the need for higher-quality, professional financial services to cater to diverse client needs [4][12].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the resignation of Xu Zibing, Vice President of Founder Securities, due to retirement, which is part of a series of recent executive changes within the company [1][5]. - Xu Zibing's resignation is effective immediately upon submission to the board, and the company expressed gratitude for his contributions during his tenure [1]. - This resignation marks the third executive departure in two months, following the resignations of Yuan Yuping and He Yagang due to personal reasons and retirement, respectively [5]. Group 2 - In 2024, Founder Securities reported an operating income of 7.718 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.207 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.55% [5]. - As of the end of 2024, the total assets of the group reached 255.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.92%, while net assets grew by 6.26% to 48.978 billion yuan [5]. - The Q1 2025 report indicated an operating income of 2.964 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.35%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.195 billion yuan, up 52.37% year-on-year [5].