Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [1][32]. Core Insights - Domestic technology giants are actively investing in supernode technology, presenting investment opportunities in domestic AI computing power [1][28]. - The SW computer sector has seen a cumulative decline of 2.64% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.48 percentage points, ranking 28th among 31 first-level industries [10][13]. - The sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 55.36 times, placing it in the 88.40th percentile over the past five years and the 77.89th percentile over the past ten years [20][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW computer sector has experienced a cumulative decline of 2.64% from October 31 to November 13, 2025, and a decline of 3.73% in November, while it has increased by 20.45% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.95 percentage points [10][13][14]. 2. Valuation Situation - As of November 13, 2025, the SW computer sector's PE TTM (excluding negative values) stands at 55.36 times, which is in the 88.40th percentile for the last five years and the 77.89th percentile for the last ten years [20][22]. 3. Industry News - Major developments include the launch of the Kimi K2 Thinking model by Moon's Dark Side, the introduction of the world's first single-cabinet 640-card supernode scaleX640 by Inspur, and Tencent's announcement of lower-than-expected capital expenditures for the year [21][23][28]. - Anthropic plans to invest $50 billion in a data center in the U.S., while Baidu has released new Kunlun chips M100 and M300 for AI applications [21][23]. 4. Company Announcements - Recent announcements include a share transfer agreement by Jin Chengzi and a joint venture by Jin Yi Technology to establish a company focused on energy technology [24][25][27]. 5. Weekly Perspective - The report highlights the significance of the scaleX640 supernode, which enhances computing power and efficiency, and emphasizes the importance of domestic AI computing power investment opportunities [28][29].

Core Insights - As of November 14, a total of 632 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced a net outflow of main funds for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest continuous net outflow is Jianyan Institute, with 19 days, followed by Baoding Technology with 18 days [1] - The largest total net outflow amount is from Zhinan Zhen, totaling 5.913 billion yuan over 12 days, followed by Sanhua Intelligent Control with 4.755 billion yuan over 6 days [1] Summary by Categories Continuous Net Outflow Stocks - Jianyan Institute has the longest net outflow at 19 days [1] - Baoding Technology follows with 18 days of net outflow [1] Total Net Outflow Amount - Zhinan Zhen leads with a net outflow of 5.913 billion yuan over 12 days [1] - Sanhua Intelligent Control has a net outflow of 4.755 billion yuan over 6 days [1] - Shenghong Technology and Zhongke Shuguang have net outflows of 3.628 billion yuan and 2.374 billion yuan respectively over 6 days [1] Proportion of Net Outflow to Trading Volume - ST Jinhong has the highest proportion of net outflow to trading volume, with a 6-day decline of 8.77% [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net outflows include Guodun Quantum and China Shipbuilding, with respective net outflows of 2.249 billion yuan and 2.019 billion yuan [1]

Market Overview - The computer equipment sector experienced a decline of 1.83% on November 14, with Tongyou Technology leading the drop [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Anjubao (300155) with a closing price of 5.82, up 9.40% on a trading volume of 643,000 shares and a turnover of 372 million yuan [1] - Zhongrun Optical (688307) closed at 40.20, up 3.53% with a trading volume of 45,000 shares and a turnover of 181 million yuan [1] - Significant losers included: - Tongyou Technology (300302) closed at 22.20, down 12.08% with a trading volume of 732,800 shares and a turnover of 168.6 million yuan [2] - Kalait (301391) closed at 91.20, down 9.04% with a trading volume of 41,300 shares and a turnover of 387 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The computer equipment sector saw a net outflow of 1.841 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.59 billion yuan [2][3] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Hengyin Technology (603106) with a net inflow of 10.4 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Anjubao (300155) with a net inflow of 40.18 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes that the era of supernodes will redefine the landscape of computing power, moving away from GPUs as the central focus to supernodes as the primary unit of computation [1][16][34] - Supernodes, which consist of multiple devices working as a single logical unit, will significantly increase the demand for advanced process technology, with the need for Scale-up switch chips expected to grow exponentially compared to traditional AI computing clusters [1][2][59] - The report highlights that the Chinese supernode market has unique opportunities, leveraging scale and energy efficiency to compensate for the performance gap with foreign counterparts, with projections indicating that by 2027, the number of domestic supernode cards will be 8.5 times that of foreign ones [3][4][30] Group 2 - The report identifies that the demand for Scale-up switches will increase nearly 40 times compared to Scale-out architectures, with specific examples such as Huawei's Atlas 950 supernode utilizing over 9,000 low-dimensional and 500 high-dimensional switch chips [2][59] - The supernode architecture is expected to revolutionize the AI computing landscape, with major players like NVIDIA, Huawei, and Alibaba already launching their supernode products, indicating a clear trend towards high-density and high-interconnectivity AI infrastructure [34][35][36] - The report outlines the advantages of supernodes in overcoming communication, power, and software bottlenecks, thus enhancing overall system efficiency and performance [26][29][59]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][53]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in IT infrastructure, focusing on high-performance servers and actively promoting a domestic ecosystem [5][54]. - The merger with Hygon is expected to provide significant growth opportunities, with projected EPS of RMB 1.71, 2.16, and 2.62 for 2025-2027 [5][12]. - The global server market is anticipated to reach USD 366 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.6%, indicating strong demand for servers [55][26]. Financial Summary - The total revenue is projected to be RMB 14,353 million in 2023, with a forecasted growth to RMB 20,522 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.8% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from RMB 1,836 million in 2023 to RMB 3,830 million in 2027, with a CAGR of 21.3% [4]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 1.25 in 2023 to RMB 2.62 in 2027 [4]. Market Position and Growth - The company has a strong presence in high-end computing, storage, liquid cooling, security, and data centers, with significant market share [54][16]. - The Chinese semiconductor memory market is expected to grow from RMB 394.3 billion in 2023 to RMB 458 billion in 2025, indicating a stable growth trajectory [56][37]. - The company is actively developing independent software and hardware to reduce reliance on external supply chains, enhancing product performance and stability [55][34]. Product and Service Development - The company offers a comprehensive range of storage products, including ParaStor distributed storage and FlashNexus centralized flash storage, which are expected to benefit from the growing market [56][44]. - Recent innovations include AI workstations and liquid cooling storage solutions, which enhance performance and energy efficiency [22][44].

Macro and Strategy Research - The A-share market is expected to continue a volatile trend, with measures in place to prevent sharp rises and falls, indicating a preference for a "slow bull" market approach [2][3][4] - Recent market performance shows mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.54% and the ChiNext Index down by 0.71% over the past five trading days [2] - The trading volume has slightly decreased, with a total of 10.15 trillion yuan traded, averaging 2.03 trillion yuan per day, which is a reduction of 22.836 billion yuan compared to the previous five-day average [2] Industry Research - The computer industry is experiencing a new catalyst with the introduction of supernode technology, particularly focusing on domestic AI computing power and applications [5][7] - The recent World Internet Conference highlighted the "Zero Carbon Space Computing Center," showcasing advancements in technology [5] - The performance of the computer industry shows a significant profit increase year-on-year, driven by the ongoing effects of the AI industry and the steady progress of domestic substitution [7] - The release of the world's first single-cabinet 640-card supernode by Inspur is a notable development, indicating a trend towards enhanced AI computing infrastructure [7] - The demand for AI computing power is expected to grow, supported by high capital expenditure from cloud vendors and the gradual formation of a domestically controlled computing power industry chain [7]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in IT infrastructure, actively promoting a domestic ecosystem in the server and storage sectors, which are expected to maintain high growth [2][11]. - The merger with Haiguang Information is anticipated to provide significant growth opportunities, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 being 1.71, 2.16, and 2.62 yuan respectively [11][18]. - The target price for the company is set at 133.91 yuan based on valuation methods including PE and PS [21]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 14,353 million yuan in 2023 to 20,522 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 15.8% [5]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1,836 million yuan in 2023 to 3,830 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 21.3% [5]. - The company’s net asset return rate is forecasted to rise from 9.8% in 2023 to 13.5% in 2027 [5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The IT equipment business is expected to see revenue growth of 15%, 18%, and 16% for 2025-2027, with gross margins of 28.34%, 29.34%, and 30.34% respectively [15][16]. - The software system integration and technical services related to high-end computers are projected to grow at rates of 12%, 15%, and 14% for the same period, with stable gross margins [15][16]. Industry Overview - The server market in China is projected to reach 249.21 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 41.3%, and is expected to grow to 282.35 billion yuan in 2025 [15]. - The global server market is anticipated to reach 366 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [32]. - The storage market in China is also expected to grow steadily, with the semiconductor storage market projected to reach 458 billion yuan by 2025 [41]. Competitive Landscape - The domestic server market is dominated by local manufacturers, with Inspur holding a 30.8% market share in the x86 server segment in 2024 [45][49]. - The company’s storage products include a comprehensive range, such as ParaStor distributed storage series and FlashNexus centralized all-flash storage series, which are well-positioned to benefit from market growth [47].

Core Viewpoint - The global AI industry is experiencing a bearish impact due to recent negative comments, while the domestic AI sector shows resilience, particularly in application stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The AI ETF (515070) saw a slight decline of 0.8%, but stocks like Beijing Junzheng rose over 4%, with other companies such as Stone Technology, Deepin Technology, Qihoo 360, and Dahua Technology performing well [1] - In the third quarter, public funds and northbound capital reached a historical high in their holdings of the communication sector, with AI computing power being a significant contributor to this increase [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - On November 10, Intel's AI infrastructure head Sachin Katti moved to OpenAI, indicating an intensifying competition for AI talent globally [1] - Meituan launched its first AI programming assistant, CatPaw, which focuses on agent collaboration and large-scale code generation, marking a significant step in the domestic "AI + software engineering" sector [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - With the decline in inference costs driven by open-source models like DeepSeek, there is a simultaneous release in demand for domestic 1.6T optical modules, liquid-cooled servers, and AI power supplies [1] - It is recommended to pay attention to leading companies in the infrastructure segments such as IDC, servers, and domestic computing chips [1] Group 4: ETF Composition - The AI ETF (515070) tracks the CS AI theme index (930713), selecting component stocks that provide technology, basic resources, and application end stocks, focusing on the midstream and upstream of the AI industry chain [2] - The top ten weighted stocks include leading domestic technology companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Cambrian, Zhongke Shuguang, iFlytek, OmniVision, Hikvision, Lanke Technology, Kingsoft, and Unisplendour [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07% on November 12, with 11 sectors experiencing gains, led by household appliances and comprehensive sectors, which rose by 1.22% and 1.05% respectively [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were power equipment and machinery, which fell by 2.10% and 1.23% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 58.897 billion yuan, with 5 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The pharmaceutical and biological sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 2.402 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 0.61% [1] - The banking sector also saw a net inflow of 1.810 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 0.50% [1] - A total of 26 sectors experienced net capital outflows, with the power equipment sector leading with an outflow of 17.743 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with an outflow of 6.711 billion yuan [1] Computer Industry Performance - The computer industry declined by 1.04%, with a total net outflow of 6.711 billion yuan [2] - Out of 335 stocks in the computer sector, 82 stocks rose, including 1 stock that hit the daily limit, while 247 stocks fell [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the computer sector were Zhong An Ke (2.26 billion yuan), Aerospace Zhizhuang (2.09 billion yuan), and Gao Weida (1.06 billion yuan) [2] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Zhinanzhen (6.591 billion yuan), Tonghuashun (5.907 billion yuan), and Zhongke Shuguang (4.32 billion yuan) [2][3] Capital Inflow and Outflow Rankings - The top stocks in terms of capital inflow included Zhong An Ke (10.00% increase), Aerospace Zhizhuang (16.57% increase), and Gao Weida (6.49% increase) [2] - The stocks with the largest capital outflows included Zhinanzhen (-2.63% decrease), Tonghuashun (-4.11% decrease), and Zhongke Shuguang (-1.39% decrease) [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [39]. Core Insights - North American optical communication manufacturers have released positive earnings guidance for the upcoming quarter, with Coherent reporting Q1 2026 revenue of $1.58 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by data center optical communication [14][17]. - Lumentum's Q1 2026 revenue reached $530 million, up 58% year-over-year, with strong demand for 800G and 1.6T high-speed optical modules, leading to anticipated price increases starting in 2026 [15][17]. - Fabrinet reported Q1 2026 revenue of $980 million, a 22% year-over-year increase, with significant growth in the telecom optical communication sector, particularly driven by DCI [16][17]. - The North American AI market demand is expected to grow, with NVIDIA's GB300 shipments boosting demand for 1.6T optical modules, suggesting a strong revenue increase for leading optical module manufacturers in Q4 [17]. - The launch of the ScaleX640 by Zhongke Shuguang at the Wuzhen Internet Conference showcases advancements in domestic ultra-node technology, with a design that significantly enhances cabinet density and cooling efficiency [18]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - North American optical communication companies are experiencing robust order growth, particularly in the data center segment, with a focus on 800G and 1.6T technologies [14][17]. - The supply of optical chips remains a bottleneck, prompting companies to expand production capacity to meet future demand [14][17]. Company Performance - Coherent's data center business is expected to accelerate growth, with a projected 10% quarter-over-quarter increase in the next quarter [14]. - Lumentum anticipates a 20% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in the upcoming quarter, excluding certain orders [15]. - Fabrinet expects Q2 revenue to reach approximately $1.1 billion, driven by growth across various segments including traditional telecom and DCI [16]. Market Overview - The overall market saw an increase during the week of November 3-7, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.08% and the communication index increasing by 0.92% [19]. - The optical module sector led the weekly gains with a 4.37% increase, indicating strong investor interest [19]. Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include those in the optical module sector such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication, as well as domestic ultra-node manufacturers like ZTE and Unisoc [19].