Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 7.025 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19.12%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 303 million yuan, a decrease of 20.14% [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.999 billion yuan, up 14.71% year-on-year, with a net profit of 54 million yuan, an increase of 34.71% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.905 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.46%, and a net profit of 95 million yuan, up 39.99% [2] - The company's performance in 2024 was temporarily under pressure due to significant stock incentive expenses and rising shipping costs, but profitability is expected to recover in 2025 as these costs stabilize [2] Business Segments - Traditional business segments showed steady growth, while emerging businesses are rapidly expanding. In 2024, revenue from various segments included: - TPMS: 2.146 billion yuan, up 12.3% - Automotive metal pipes: 1.448 billion yuan, up 1.89% - Intelligent suspension: 999 million yuan, up 41.8% - Valves: 780 million yuan, down 0.55% - Automotive sensors: 665 million yuan, up 25.37% [2] - The company’s traditional business is expected to provide stable cash flow, while new businesses are anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Thyssenkrupp Bilstein in April 2025, aiming to target the global automotive intelligent suspension market, particularly in China and Europe [3] - This partnership is expected to enhance the competitiveness of both companies' products in the global market for dampers and air springs [3] Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.024 billion yuan, 11.105 billion yuan, and 13.286 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 534 million yuan, 683 million yuan, and 810 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 76.4%, 27.9%, and 18.6% respectively [3]

Summary of Baolong Technology Conference Call Company Overview - Baolong Technology's revenue from the China region exceeded overseas for the first time in 2024, reaching 53.8%, with North America and Europe accounting for 25.4% and 17.9% respectively [2][3] - The company serves over 2,300 clients globally, including domestic brands, multinational brands, and new car manufacturers, with less than 20% of revenue coming from the aftermarket [2][6] Financial Performance - In 2024, Baolong Technology achieved consolidated revenue of 7.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, with a five-year compound growth rate of 20.5% [3] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.5% [3] Product Segmentation - The primary revenue source remains Tire Pressure Monitoring Systems (TPMS), contributing 31.3% to total revenue, followed by vehicle sensors at 9.7% and intelligent suspension systems at 14.5% [2][3] Global Operations - Baolong Technology has nine production parks and 11 R&D centers across seven countries, with headquarters in Shanghai [2][4] - The company plans to increase TPMS production capacity in the U.S. to mitigate the impact of a 10% additional tariff on European exports to the U.S. [4] R&D Investment - In 2024, R&D investment reached 570 million yuan, accounting for 8.1% of revenue, with 1,333 R&D engineers making up 17% of total employees [2][7] Tariff Impact and Response - The company faces significant cost pressures due to U.S. tariffs, with additional tariffs reaching 145% in 2025 [9][10] - Baolong Technology has negotiated with clients to absorb these costs, particularly with front-end clients contributing 80% of budgeted revenue [11] - Long-term strategies include relocating some production to Thailand and Mexico to maintain competitiveness [12][9] Strategic Partnerships - Baolong Technology has signed strategic cooperation agreements with Thyssenkrupp, BWI Group, and Junlian Zhixing to provide comprehensive automotive suspension solutions and explore collaborations in intelligent cockpit and autonomous driving sectors [15][16] Financial Management - The company issued convertible bonds worth 1.39 billion yuan, significantly enhancing cash flow and capital strength [17] - A stock repurchase plan is in place to manage stock price volatility due to tariff impacts and to enhance shareholder value [18] Market Opportunities and Challenges - The global automotive market's growth, alongside the shift towards electrification and smart technology, presents opportunities for Baolong Technology [19] - Challenges include intense competition, rapid technological changes, and complex economic conditions [19] Long-term Strategy - Baolong Technology emphasizes long-term strategies, focusing on maintaining technological advantages and cost competitiveness through continuous investment [20] - The company is exploring new technologies in intelligent suspension and smart driving, with plans to achieve profitability in the ADAS segment by 2027 [26][21] Conclusion - Baolong Technology is strategically positioned to navigate the challenges posed by tariffs and competition while capitalizing on growth opportunities in the global automotive market through innovation and strategic partnerships [28][29]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported lower-than-expected performance for 2024, while the Q1 2025 results met expectations, indicating a potential recovery trend in profitability [2][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 20.1% to 300 million yuan. The adjusted net profit was 250 million yuan, down 14.0% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.90 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.5% and a year-on-year increase of 76.5% in net profit [2][4]. Business Segment Analysis - The company's core business remains stable, with strong growth in new business segments. In 2024, revenue from the sensor and air suspension businesses reached 670 million yuan and 990 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.4% and 41.8%. The growth in the sensor business is driven by product expansion and new customer acquisition, while the air suspension business benefits from the rapid production and sales of key models [3][4]. Margin and Expense Analysis - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 25.1%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower margins in new businesses. The gross margins for the sensor and air suspension businesses were 17.1% and 22.6%, respectively. The company maintained a stable expense ratio of 18.8% despite increased stock incentive costs, leading to a net profit margin of 4.3% for 2024 [4][7]. Q1 2025 Performance Recovery - In Q1 2025, the company saw a significant improvement in profitability metrics, with a gross margin of 23.3%, a year-on-year decrease of 6.0 percentage points but an increase of 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin improved to 5.0%, indicating a recovery in performance [5][7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 9.1 billion yuan and 11.1 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates. The projected revenue for 2027 is 13.5 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 30%, 22%, and 21% for the respective years. The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have also been lowered to 510 million yuan and 720 million yuan [8].

| 证券代码：603197 | 证券简称：保隆科技 | 公告编号：2025-035 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113692 | 债券简称：保隆转债 | | 上海保隆汽车科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 28 日 召开了第七届董事会第二十四次会议，审议通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回 购公司股份方案的议案》，具体内容请详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 30 日在上海证券 交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《上海保隆汽车科技股份有限公司关于以 集中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的公告》（公告编号：2025-031）。 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关规定，现将公司第七届董事会第二十四次会议决议公 告前一个交易日（即 2025 年 4 月 29 日）登记在册的前十大股东和前十大无限售 条件股东的名称、持股数量和持股比例情况公告如下： 一、董事会会议决议公告前一个交易日（2025 年 4 月 29 日）前十大股东持 股情况 | 序号 | 股东名称 | 持股数量 | 占总股本比 | | -- ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A-shares turned positive from negative, and the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly turned negative. After excluding finance and petroleum & petrochemicals, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A non-financial and non-petroleum & petrochemicals also turned positive from negative, while the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly declined. In terms of size style, the year-on-year growth rates of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 in the single quarter of 2025Q1 turned significantly positive from negative. In terms of major sectors, the growth rates of net profit attributable to the parent of the consumer and growth sectors led in 2025Q1, those of the cyclical and financial sectors slightly turned positive, and the negative growth rate of the stable sector significantly narrowed. In terms of industries, the performance growth rates of the midstream cyclical, some consumer, and growth industries generally improved, with agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, household appliances, automobiles, electronics, and non-banking maintaining high-speed growth [3][19][21]. - The average negative growth of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed, and the revenue growth rate declined. After excluding some extreme values, the average growth rate of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed from -42.76% in 2024Q4 to -2.23%, and the average growth rate of single-quarter revenue in 2025Q1 decreased from 8.51% in 2024Q4 to 5.36% [3][33]. - Some convertible bonds are recommended for investment. In the cyclical sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds such as Guocheng, Huayou, and Guangda. In the consumer sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, as well as Zhongchongzhuan 2, Xinruzhuan, and Baolong. In the growth sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds such as Weice, Haopeng, Guoli, and Weil [3][7][13]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. 2025Q1 Performance Growth Convertible Bond Recommendations - Among the existing 472 convertible bonds, 372 achieved profitability in the single quarter of 2025Q1. After excluding those with a balance of less than 300 million yuan and a remaining term of less than 1 year, 109 convertible bonds remain. Some convertible bonds are recommended for investment based on factors such as the sustainability of the company's high performance growth and the current price and conversion premium rate of the convertible bonds [6]. - **Cyclical Sector**: It is recommended to overweight convertible bonds with mineral resource advantages such as Guocheng and Huayou, Guangda with a positive business trend, Dongcai, Dinglong, Anji, and Zhengfan that benefit from the domestic substitution of semiconductor materials, Keli and Bo 23 that benefit from the accelerated development of the robot and AI industries, and Polai that benefits from the recovery of consumer demand and domestic substitution [7]. - **Consumer Sector**: It is recommended to overweight convertible bonds in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, including Muyuan, Juxing, Wenshi, Xiwangzhuan 2, and Hefeng. Also recommended are Zhongchongzhuan 2, the leading pet food company, Xinruzhuan, the leading regional dairy company, and Baolong, an automobile parts manufacturer [13]. - **Growth Sector**: It is recommended to overweight Weice, the leading domestic third-party integrated circuit testing service provider, Haopeng, a consumer battery manufacturer, Guoli, an electronic vacuum device manufacturer, and Weil, the global CIS leader [15]. 2. All A: Technology and Domestic Demand Lead, Midstream Cycle Warms Up - **Overall A-share Performance**: In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A-shares turned positive from negative, and the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly turned negative. After excluding finance and petroleum & petrochemicals, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A non-financial and non-petroleum & petrochemicals also turned positive from negative, while the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly declined [19]. - **Size Style Performance**: In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rates of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 in the single quarter turned significantly positive from negative, while the year-on-year growth rate of net profit attributable to the parent of SSE 50 slightly turned negative from positive [20]. - **Sector Performance**: In 2025Q1, the growth rates of net profit attributable to the parent of the consumer and growth sectors led, those of the cyclical and financial sectors slightly turned positive, and the negative growth rate of the stable sector significantly narrowed. The revenue growth rate of the growth sector led among all sectors [21][23]. - **Industry Performance**: In 2025Q1, the performance growth rates of the midstream cyclical, some consumer, and growth industries generally improved, with agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, household appliances, automobiles, electronics, and non-banking maintaining high-speed growth. In terms of ROE and other aspects, the ROE levels of most downstream cyclical and consumer sectors declined, the gross profit margins of the optional consumer sector generally declined, and the net profit margins of the midstream cyclical sector generally recovered. The top 30 sub-industries in terms of single-quarter profit growth rate in 2025Q1 were mainly concentrated in the electronics, computer, and media industries [25][28][32]. 3. Convertible Bonds: Narrowing Negative Profit Growth, Declining Revenue Growth Rate - As of May 5, 2025, the existing 472 convertible bonds covered 27 out of 30 CITIC first-level industries, and 92% of the underlying stocks of the convertible bonds had a market value of less than 3 billion yuan. In terms of size style, the issuers of convertible bonds were generally closer to small and medium-cap stocks [33]. - The average negative growth of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed, and the revenue growth rate declined. After excluding some extreme values, the average growth rate of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed from -42.76% in 2024Q4 to -2.23%, and the average growth rate of single-quarter revenue in 2025Q1 decreased from 8.51% in 2024Q4 to 5.36% [33].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 3305.11 points, above the annual line, with an increase of 0.80% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares is 646.819 billion yuan [1] Stocks Breaking Annual Line - A total of 233 A-shares have surpassed the annual line today [1] - Notable stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Jinkai Biological Science and Technology (10.11%) - Disen Power (9.84%) - Hanbo High-tech (8.84%) [1] Stock Performance Details - The top stocks with their respective performance metrics are as follows: - Jinkai Biological: Price increased by 10.32%, turnover rate 13.55%, latest price 33.02 yuan [1] - Disen Power: Price increased by 10.04%, turnover rate 1.77%, latest price 4.93 yuan [1] - Hanbo High-tech: Price increased by 9.42%, turnover rate 3.54%, latest price 15.33 yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Jiashitang (9.97%, 3.57%, 13.13 yuan) - Sanmu Group (9.94%, 7.78%, 3.54 yuan) [1] Additional Stocks with Minor Deviations - Stocks with smaller deviation rates that have just crossed the annual line include: - Yongqing Environmental Protection - Dongjian Technology - Aishide [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 revenue is projected to be 7.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 300 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.1% [7] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 76.5% in net profit attributable to the parent company [7] - The company is experiencing strong growth in new businesses, particularly in sensors and air suspension, with revenues of 670 million yuan and 990 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of 25.4% and 41.8% [7] - The overall gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 25.1%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the lower margins of new products [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 9.1 billion yuan and 11.1 billion yuan respectively, down from previous estimates of 9.5 billion yuan and 11.5 billion yuan [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 and 2026 is revised to 510 million yuan and 720 million yuan respectively, compared to earlier estimates of 590 million yuan and 780 million yuan [7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16, 11, and 9 times respectively [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 revenue is projected to be 7.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 300 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.1% [7] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 76.5% in net profit attributable to the parent company [7] - The company is experiencing strong growth in new businesses, particularly in the sensor and air suspension sectors, with revenues of 670 million yuan and 990 million yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 25.4% and 41.8% [7] - The overall gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 25.1%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the lower margins of new products [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 9.1 billion yuan and 11.1 billion yuan respectively, down from previous estimates of 9.5 billion yuan and 11.5 billion yuan [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 and 2026 is revised to 510 million yuan and 720 million yuan respectively, compared to earlier estimates of 590 million yuan and 780 million yuan [7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16, 11, and 9 times respectively [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Baolong Technology (603197.SH) [4][6]. Core Views - Baolong Technology's net profit in Q1 increased by 40% year-on-year, with expectations for accelerated performance release in 2025. The company achieved a revenue of 7.025 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19.12%, and a net profit of 303 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.14%, primarily due to 124 million yuan in stock incentive expenses [1][10]. - The company is a global leader in TPMS (Tire Pressure Monitoring System) and has a robust order book for new products, despite a downward adjustment in profit forecasts due to product structure changes and increased competition [4][28]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, Baolong Technology's overall gross margin is projected to be 25.05%, a decrease of 2.35 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by the ramp-up of lower-margin ADAS products. The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for 2024 are expected to be 3.29%, 5.81%, and 8.11%, respectively [2][13]. - The company reported a revenue of 19.99 billion yuan in Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.69%, and a net profit of 54 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.71% [10][11]. Product and Market Positioning - Baolong Technology has a comprehensive product layout in air suspension, having secured a project with a well-known European OEM for a new platform, marking a significant breakthrough for domestic air spring suppliers [3][28]. - The company has developed a diverse range of sensors, covering six categories and over 40 products, with an average vehicle value of approximately 1,000 yuan per sensor [36][38]. - The air suspension market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that by 2026, the annual delivery scale of passenger cars equipped with air suspension systems in China could reach 3 million units, corresponding to a market size of approximately 24 billion yuan [30][32]. Profit Forecasts and Financial Metrics - The profit forecasts for Baolong Technology have been adjusted downward, with expected net profits of 479 million yuan, 570 million yuan, and 689 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 58.97 billion yuan in 2023 to 89.57 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 27.5% [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a net profit growth of 40% year-on-year in Q1, with expectations for accelerated performance in 2025 [2][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.025 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.12%, and a net profit of 303 million yuan, a decrease of 20.14%, primarily due to 124 million yuan in stock incentive expenses. Adjusted operating net profit was 427 million yuan, up 13% [3][9] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.999 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.69% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.47%. The net profit was 54 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.71% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 46.20% [3][9] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.905 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.46%, with a net profit of 95 million yuan, up 39.99% year-on-year [3][9] Product Structure and Margins - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 25.05%, a decrease of 2.35 percentage points, influenced by the lower profitability of ADAS products. The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 3.29%, 5.81%, and 8.11%, respectively [4][14] - In Q1 2025, the expense ratios were 2.89% for sales, 5.93% for management, and 6.98% for R&D, indicating a reduction in stock incentive expenses and potential for accelerated net profit recovery [4][14] Market Position and Product Development - The company remains a leader in the TPMS market, selling 66.73 million transmitters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22% [6][32] - The company has established a comprehensive product layout in air suspension, achieving a shipment of 1.8093 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22%. It also secured a project with a well-known European OEM, marking a significant breakthrough for domestic suppliers [7][20][23] - The company has developed a range of 40 types of sensors across six categories, enhancing its capabilities in intelligent driving technologies [8][30] Subsidiary Performance - The profitability of key subsidiaries has improved significantly, with Ningguo Baolong achieving a net profit growth of 48% in 2024, and Baofu Overseas reporting a net profit increase of over 1300% [18][19] Order Backlog and Production Capacity - The company has over 14 billion yuan in orders for air suspension systems, with production capacity gradually being released from two expansions that added 4.28 million units [20][27] - The air suspension market is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 3 million units delivered by 2026, indicating substantial revenue potential [20][27] Strategic Partnerships and Market Trends - The company has established long-term supply relationships with major automotive manufacturers, including Tesla and various domestic brands, enhancing its market presence [20][23] - The air suspension system's penetration rate is expected to increase, with the market projected to reach approximately 24 billion yuan by 2026 [20][27]