Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by growth in polyester filament sales and production capacity expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 67.09 billion yuan (up 9.1% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.1 billion yuan (up 1.3% year-on-year) [1]. - Q1 2025 revenue is projected at 14.56 billion yuan (up 0.7% year-on-year, down 18.6% quarter-on-quarter) with a net profit of 310 million yuan (up 11.4% year-on-year, down 13.7% quarter-on-quarter) [1]. - The company’s polyester filament production capacity is currently 8.05 million tons, expected to reach 8.45 million tons by the end of 2025 [1]. Group 2: Product Sales and Pricing - Polyester filament sales for 2024 are projected at 5.247 million tons for POY, 1.4985 million tons for FDY, and 808,400 tons for DTY, reflecting year-on-year increases of 13.4%, 5.5%, and 5.6% respectively [1]. - The average selling prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in 2024 are expected to be 6,670 yuan, 7,527 yuan, and 8,801 yuan per ton, with year-on-year changes of -1.9%, -1.9%, and +3.6% respectively [2]. - The gross profit margins for POY, FDY, and DTY are 4.3%, 10.9%, and 7.8%, showing year-on-year changes of -0.6, -0.3, and +2.3 percentage points respectively [2]. Group 3: PTA Production and Market Dynamics - The company has a PTA production capacity of 7.7 million tons, with most of it used for self-supply [2]. - In 2024, PTA sales are expected to be 484,700 tons (down 1.9% year-on-year) with a gross profit margin of -1.3% [2]. - The average selling price for PTA in Q1 2025 is projected at 4,381 yuan per ton (down 16% year-on-year, up 2% quarter-on-quarter) [2]. Group 4: Short Fiber Performance - The company leads the domestic market in polyester staple fiber with a production capacity of 1.2 million tons [3]. - In 2024, short fiber sales are expected to reach 1.304 million tons (up 11.8% year-on-year) with an average selling price of 6,559 yuan per ton (up 0.6% year-on-year) [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.10 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year [2][10] - The company is benefiting from the gradual release of new production capacity, with polyester filament sales reaching 7.55 million tons in 2024, an increase of 10.83% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the polyester industry, with a focus on integrated operations and cost reduction strategies [11][12] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.10 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 5.63% [2][12] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, and a net profit of 0.36 billion yuan, up 77.92% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, and a net profit of 0.31 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [3][12] Industry Outlook - The polyester industry is expected to face short-term pressures due to factors such as tariffs and declining downstream orders, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the high market share of domestic polyester filament production [10][11] - The company is expected to benefit from the high concentration of the polyester filament industry, which may lead to improved profitability for leading firms [10][11] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.55 billion yuan, 2.08 billion yuan, and 2.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.01, 1.37, and 1.65 yuan [12][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.10 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is benefiting from the gradual release of new production capacity, with polyester filament sales reaching 7.55 million tons in 2024, an increase of 10.83% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the polyester industry, with a focus on integrated supply chain management and cost reduction strategies [11][12] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.10 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 5.63% [2][12] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, and a net profit of 0.36 billion yuan, up 77.92% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, and a net profit of 0.31 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [3][12] Industry Outlook - The polyester industry is expected to face short-term pressures due to factors such as tariffs and reduced downstream orders, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the high market share of domestic polyester filament production [10][11] - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual recovery of the polyester market, with projected net profits of 1.55 billion yuan in 2025, 2.08 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.51 billion yuan in 2027 [12][13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][5] Core Views - The company reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 145.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.00 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.35% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.66% [5][6] - The analysts maintain the profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.609 billion, 2.049 billion, and 2.552 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.06, 1.34, and 1.67 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 10.4, 8.2, and 6.6 times for the respective years [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from steady demand growth and an optimized supply structure, leading to a recovery in long filament profitability [5][6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 67.97 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. The net profit is expected to be 1.609 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.2% [7][9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 6.8% in 2025 to 8.0% by 2027, while the net margin is projected to rise from 2.4% to 3.4% over the same period [7][9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to increase from 8.5% in 2025 to 11.0% in 2027 [7][9]

Core Viewpoint - The company has released its first quarter report for 2025, ensuring the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, and confirming that there are no false records or significant omissions [1][2][9]. Financial Data - The first quarter financial statements have not been audited [3][6]. - The company reported a total of 29,368,391 shares held in its repurchase account, accounting for 1.93% of the total share capital as of the reporting period [4]. Shareholder Information - The company has provided guarantees for credit facilities not exceeding 20 billion RMB for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Zhejiang Dushan Energy Co., Ltd., and 10 billion RMB for Huzhou Zhongshi Technology Co., Ltd. [5]. Board and Supervisory Meetings - The sixth board meeting was held on April 28, 2025, with all 8 directors present, and the meeting followed legal and procedural requirements [8][10]. - The supervisory board meeting also took place on April 28, 2025, with all 3 supervisors present, confirming compliance with relevant laws and regulations [13][15]. Operational Data - The company has disclosed its main operational data for the first quarter of 2025, including production, sales, and revenue figures, as well as price changes for major products and raw materials [17][18].

2024年，新凤鸣完成"省级重点工业互联网平台"、"国家智能制造揭榜挂帅项目"等重大专项验收，成功 争创省部级项目成果11个。其中，公司和中石科技（300684）获评省级5G全链接工厂，公司获评国家 首批"智能制造示范工厂"、首批"卓越级智能工厂"，积极探索拓展企业数字化治理新路径。 新凤鸣表示，将着重以提升企业综合竞争力为出发点，继续扩大涤纶长丝产品差别化率、打造低碳节能 型企业为目标，进一步加大科技创新与技改投入，力争实现"产业基地化、生产规模化、产品精细化、 技术专业化、管理科学化"的产业升级目标，突出主业做精做强。到2025年底，公司涤纶长丝总产能预 计将达到845万吨，涤纶短纤120万吨；同时，公司将稳步推进PTA建设项目，保障原材料稳定供应， PTA总产能预计至2025年底将突破1000万吨。（厉平） 4月28日晚，新凤鸣（603225）公告2025年一季报，报告期内实现净利润3.06亿元，同比增长11.35%。 新凤鸣表示，公司已进入一个全新的纵向、横向双结合的持续发展阶段，未来头部企业将凭借其规模和 技术优势持续进行品质创新与发展，行业集中度也将逐步提升。 新凤鸣主要业务为民用涤纶长丝、短纤及 ...

Group 1 - The company reported a total revenue of 67.09 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 960 million yuan, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.2% [1] Group 2 - The polyester filament industry is experiencing a supply-demand balance, with a projected apparent consumption of 42 million tons in China for 2024, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year [2] - The company completed maintenance on five production units and added one new filament unit in 2024, leading to improved performance metrics across various production lines [2] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 are expected to be 5.6% and 1.6%, respectively, showing limited changes compared to the previous year [2] Group 3 - The polyester filament industry is expected to see an upward trend in its economic environment, with a projected decrease in new capacity by 2.3% year-on-year for 2024 [3] - The industry has initiated a "High-Quality Development Initiative" aimed at improving profitability through self-regulation [3] - Despite trade tensions, the impact on the domestic polyester filament industry is expected to be limited due to China's dominant supply position [3]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Tabl 点评报告 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 新凤鸣(603225.SH) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524040001 联系电话：13261695353 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com 相关研究 [《Table_O 首次覆盖报告：扩张 therReport] 节奏加快，打 造低成本龙头》2021.6.30 《60 万吨聚酯投产，成长性持续强 化》2021.7.5 《单季度业绩创新高，验证龙头盈利 弹性》2021.7.14 《2 季度公司业绩高增，持续布局产 能扩张》2021.8.18 《尽显龙头成本优势，扩张产能迎投 产大年》2021.11.02 《新凤鸣：22Q1 公司业绩承压，但扩 能投产势头强劲》2022.5.12 《新凤鸣：行 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.15%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.10 billion yuan, a growth of 1.32% year-on-year [2] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.73% [3] - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, with a notable increase in demand for polyester filament due to a 12.5% growth in retail sales of clothing in 2024 [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the optimization of industry supply structure, with a forecasted net profit of 1.30 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 18.3% growth [7] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 5.6%, with a projected increase to 6.3% in 2025 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.85 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.86 [7] - The company’s total revenue is expected to reach 70.91 billion yuan by 2027, with a modest growth rate of 1.0% [6][9]

一、主要会计数据和财务指标 前十大流通股东累计持有： 100452.73万股，累计占流通股比： 66.45%，较上期变化： -2721.59万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本比 | 增减情况 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 例(%) | (万股) | | 庄奎龙 | 33752.18 | 22.33 | 不变 | | 新凤鸣（603225）控股集团有限公司 | 23569.39 | 15.59 | 不变 | | 桐乡市中聚投资有限公司 | 15367.97 | 10.17 | 不变 | | 屈凤琪 | 10171.67 | 6.73 | 不变 | | 上海胜帮私募基金管理有限公司-共青城胜帮凯米投资合 伙企业(有限合伙) | 7295.30 | 4.83 | -980.96 | | 桐乡市尚聚投资有限公司 | 3570.34 | 2.36 | 不变 | | 吴林根 | 2087.41 | 1.38 | 不变 | | 桐乡市诚聚投资有限公司 | 1711.86 | 1.13 | 不变 | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 1560.32 | 1.03 | -17 ...