Summary of the Conference Call for 应流股份 Company Overview - 应流股份 is involved in multiple sectors including gas turbines, aviation engines, and nuclear power, with a focus on expanding its market presence and enhancing profitability through increased capacity utilization and product development [2][9][10]. Key Industry Insights Gas Turbine Sector - The gas turbine business has seen record revenue and orders, with a forecast upgrade for fiscal year 2025 due to rising electricity demand in Europe, India, and the US, particularly for small to medium-sized gas turbines [2][3]. - Potential signed projects in the gas turbine sector could reach 10 to 20 GW, indicating strong overseas order demand [2][3]. - The supply chain for gas turbine blades is tight, with core suppliers operating at full capacity, which is affecting the availability of blades for gas turbines [2][5]. Aviation Engine Sector - The aviation engine market is experiencing significant growth, driven by domestic demand for large aircraft and opportunities in Southeast Asia [6][12]. - The market size for aviation engines exceeds 100 billion RMB, with strong demand from clients like 吉祥航空, 赛峰, and 罗罗 [12]. - 应流股份 has established strategic agreements with major clients, indicating a robust pipeline for future orders [12]. Nuclear Power Sector - The nuclear power industry has seen a continuous increase in approved projects since 2019, with the share of nuclear energy in total power generation rising from approximately 4% in 2018 to about 5% currently [7][8]. - 应流股份 is well-positioned in the nuclear sector, with expected revenue growth from 4.2 to 5 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting the industry's upward trajectory [15][16]. Financial Performance - 应流股份 has shown a consistent improvement in profitability, with a significant increase in orders, particularly in the gas turbine sector, where total orders reached approximately 1.2 billion RMB [10][11]. - The company’s gross margin has improved, benefiting from capacity release and cost dilution effects [2][9]. - The expected growth rate for the nuclear power sector is between 10% to 20%, with potential for even higher growth [10]. Strategic Developments - 应流股份 has a comprehensive product coverage in gas turbine blades, with over 700 models and more than 100 projects under development [11]. - The company is focusing on domestic substitution opportunities in the heavy-duty segment, which could enhance its competitive position [5]. - The capital expenditure has been steadily increasing, indicating ongoing investments in capacity and technology [13]. Market Outlook - The overall market sentiment for the gas turbine and aviation engine sectors remains positive, with expectations for significant growth in the coming years [10][14]. - 应流股份 is strategically positioned to benefit from both domestic and international market trends, with a focus on expanding its market share in the gas turbine and aviation engine sectors [10][18]. Conclusion - 应流股份 is poised for substantial growth across its key sectors, supported by strong demand, strategic partnerships, and a focus on innovation and capacity expansion. The company’s financial health and market positioning suggest a promising outlook for investors [2][9][18].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese aviation engine industry has transitioned from imitation to independent research and development, demonstrating strong self-innovation capabilities and moving towards high-quality development supported by national policies [1]. Industry Overview - The aviation engine industry is a crucial segment of the national economy and security, with its comprehensive level reflecting a country's overall strength. Aviation engines can be categorized into various types based on thrust generation principles, oxidizer sources, and the presence of compressors [3]. Technical and Financial Barriers - The aviation engine industry is characterized by high technical and financial barriers, requiring expertise across multiple modern technology fields. The demanding operational conditions necessitate significant foundational research, engineering technology accumulation, and financial investment, making it challenging for new entrants to compete [5]. Engine Types and Applications - Different types of aviation engines serve distinct applications, with the turbofan engine being the most widely used due to its efficiency and low fuel consumption. A summary of various engine types and their applications includes: - Piston engines: Low cost and high fuel efficiency, primarily used in small low-speed aircraft and drones [9]. - Ramjet engines: Simple structure and high thrust, used in supersonic missiles and targets [9]. - Turbojet engines: High thrust but high fuel consumption, used in older fighter jets and ballistic missiles [9]. - Turbofan engines: High efficiency and low fuel consumption, used in modern military and civilian aircraft [9]. - Turboprop engines: High fuel economy at medium to low speeds, used in small transport and general aviation aircraft [9]. - Turboshaft engines: The only power source for helicopters [9]. - Propfan engines: Complex structure and high noise, with limited application [9]. Future Development Directions - The Chinese aviation engine manufacturing industry is expected to focus on independent innovation, improving quality and reliability, international cooperation, R&D investment, and sustainable development, positioning itself as a significant player in the global aviation sector [11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for Yingliu Co., driven by the rising demand in the "two machines" sector, with a projected average global gas turbine sales increase of 36% from 44.1 GW in 2023 to 60 GW from 2024 to 2026 [5][24]. - The nuclear fusion sector is expected to see accelerated bidding in 2025, with over 70 tenders reported for the Hefei BEST project this year, indicating a robust market environment [5][24]. - Huawei's collaboration with UBTECH in humanoid robotics and Tesla's advancements in their Optimus project signal a rapid development in the humanoid robotics industry [5][24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index rose by 0.35% during the week of May 12-16, 2025, ranking 18th among 31 primary industry categories [3][13]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has increased by 9.47%, ranking 3rd among the primary industry categories, while the CSI 300 Index has decreased by 1.16% [3][17]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for April was reported at 49.0, indicating a slight decline, with new orders PMI at 49.2 [23]. Engineering Machinery - Excavator sales in April reached 22,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with exports growing by 19.3% [35]. Railway Equipment - Railway fixed asset investment and passenger volume showed year-on-year increases of 5.3% and 5.9%, respectively, indicating a recovery in demand [37]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.43 in April, a year-on-year increase of 0.32%, suggesting improved profitability for shipbuilding companies [39]. Oilfield Equipment - Brent crude oil prices fluctuated around $65 per barrel, with ongoing monitoring of production increases and trade negotiations [42]. Industrial Gases - Industrial gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with both liquid oxygen and nitrogen prices showing variability [45]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the nuclear sector, including the successful delivery of key components for nuclear power plants and advancements in oil and gas exploration technologies [46][47].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for Yingliu Co., driven by the rising demand in the "two machines" sector, with a projected average global gas turbine sales increase of 36% from 44.1 GW in 2023 to 60 GW from 2024 to 2026 [5][25]. - The nuclear fusion sector is expected to see accelerated bidding activity in 2025, with over 70 tenders reported for the Hefei BEST project this year, indicating a robust market environment [5][25]. - Huawei's collaboration with UBTECH in humanoid robotics and Tesla's advancements in their Optimus project signal a rapid development in the humanoid robotics industry [5][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index rose by 0.35% during the week of May 12-16, 2025, ranking 18th among 31 primary industry categories, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.12% [3][13]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has increased by 9.47%, ranking 3rd among the 31 primary industry categories, contrasting with a 1.16% decline in the CSI 300 Index [3][17]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for April was reported at 49.0, indicating a slight decline, with new orders PMI at 49.2, reflecting a decrease of 2.6 percentage points [24]. Engineering Machinery - In April 2025, excavator sales reached 22,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with exports at 9,595 units, up 19.3% [38]. Railway Equipment - From January to April 2025, railway fixed asset investment and passenger volume increased by 5.3% and 5.9% respectively, indicating a recovery in railway equipment demand [40]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.43 in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.32%, suggesting improved profitability for shipbuilding companies [43]. Oilfield Equipment - Brent crude oil prices fluctuated around $65 per barrel, with ongoing monitoring of production increases and trade negotiations between China and the US [46]. Industrial Gases - Industrial gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with both liquid oxygen and nitrogen prices showing variability [49]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the general machinery sector, including the delivery of key nuclear pump equipment and advancements in liquid cooling technology for data centers [50]. - The report also mentions a major breakthrough in natural gas exploration by Sinopec in Sichuan, which could enhance the region's production capabilities [51].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The aviation engine industry in China is primarily dominated by a few key players, with a significant focus on innovation, research and development, and market expansion to enhance their competitive edge in both military and civilian sectors [1][18]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The aviation engine manufacturing segment includes four main types: turbojet, turbofan, turboshaft, and turboprop engines, largely monopolized by the China Aviation Engine Group [1]. - Key companies in the industry include Aviation Power (航发动力), Aviation Technology (航发科技), and Aviation Control (航发控制), among others [1][3]. Group 2: Company Performance - Aviation Power reported a revenue of 449.94 billion yuan in 2024, leading the industry in terms of revenue [16]. - The average gross margin for listed companies in the aviation engine sector is around 25%, with individual margins ranging from 10% to 35% [16]. - Aviation Control achieved a gross margin of 28.11% in 2024, reflecting its strong technological innovation capabilities [16]. Group 3: Business Layout and Market Position - Aviation Power and Aviation Technology have over 50% of their business focused on aviation engines, indicating a strong commitment to this sector [13]. - The regional distribution of companies shows that titanium alloy leaders are mainly located in Shaanxi, while other material representatives are concentrated in the East China region [5]. Group 4: Future Business Plans - Companies are focusing on innovation and R&D investments to expand their aviation engine business, with plans to enhance their capabilities in high-temperature alloy components and precision casting [19]. - Aviation Technology aims to participate in the development of the C919 aircraft's engines and expand its international subcontracting business [19]. Group 5: Key Financial Metrics - The largest revenue-generating company in the aluminum and high-strength steel sector is China Aluminum, with a revenue of 2370.66 billion yuan [4]. - The revenue of Aviation Power in the aviation engine sector is projected to exceed 400 billion yuan in 2024, highlighting its market leadership [4]. Group 6: Patent and Employee Information - China Aluminum and Aviation Power hold over 1000 patents, indicating a strong focus on innovation [8]. - Southern Airlines has the largest employee count among listed companies, exceeding 100,000 [8].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on May 16, with the National General Aviation Industry Index experiencing fluctuations and rising by 0.72% at the time of reporting [1] - The General Aviation ETF (159230) is currently being issued, with the subscription period running from May 7 to May 16, and is set to close today [1] - Notable stocks within the index include Lijun Co., Ltd., which hit the daily limit, along with Guorui Technology, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Yingliu Co., Ltd., Zhuhai Guanyu, Zhonghaidah, and Aerospace Electronics, which saw significant gains [1] Group 2 - The China Low Altitude Economy Industry Development Alliance was officially established on May 10, 2025, in Sanya, marking a new phase of high-quality development driven by industrial collaboration and scenario innovation [2] - The alliance aims to contribute "Chinese wisdom" and "Hainan solutions" to global low-altitude economic development, focusing on applications such as drone logistics, urban air mobility (UAM), and low-altitude tourism [2] - The alliance plans to promote 100 landmark scenarios and incubate 50 unicorn companies over the next three years, with a goal of helping Hainan's low-altitude economy exceed 100 billion [2] Group 3 - There has been a surge in eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) intent orders this year, with expectations for frequent test flights starting in the second half of the year [3] - By 2027, it is anticipated that some major cities will achieve eVTOL commercialization, aiming for "air taxi" services, with large cities expected to enter the low-altitude economy era by 2030 [3] - The national government is placing significant emphasis on the development of the low-altitude economy, with major eVTOL manufacturers receiving numerous intent orders, suggesting a focus on components, complete machines, infrastructure support, and air traffic management operations [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing significant growth in its two-machine business, with a 102.8% increase in orders for gas turbine products in 2024. The total orders on hand for this segment exceed 1.2 billion [3] - The company is making progress in the low-altitude economy sector, covering various areas such as turboshaft engines, hybrid power systems, and general aviation airports. It has established a comprehensive operational platform with the certification of its Liu'an Jin'an Airport as the third A1 class general aviation airport in Anhui Province [3] - The company maintains a leading position in the nuclear power sector, with a focus on advanced nuclear fusion technology. It has delivered 10 units of the "Hualong One" nuclear primary pump shell in 2024 and established a joint venture for nuclear fusion materials and components [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 2.513 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.21%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 286 million, a decrease of 5.57% [1] - The gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 34.24% and 10.09%, respectively, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year. However, the gross margin is expected to improve starting from Q4 2024 due to the increased proportion of high-margin two-machine business [2] - The company has maintained a high R&D investment ratio, with R&D expenses accounting for 12.13% of total expenses in 2024 [2] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged for 2025-2026, with net profits projected at 423 million, 568 million, and 751 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are 33, 25, and 19 [4]

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-017 本期超短期融资券通过簿记建档集中配售的方式在全国银行间债券市场公 开发行，募集资金主要用于补充营运资金、偿还银行借款。 特此公告。 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 董事会 二零二五年五月十五日 1 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 2025 年度第一期超短期融资券发行结果公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 安徽应流机电股份有限公司（以下简称"应流股份"或"公司"）于 2025 年 5 月 14 日发行了 2025 年度第一期超短期融资券（科技创新债），现将发行结果 公告如下： | 债务融资工具 | 安徽应流机电股份有限 SCP001（科 | | | 债务融资工具 | 25 应流 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 2025 技创新债券 | 公司 | 年度第一期科 | 简称 | 创债） | | 代码 | 012581120 | | | 债务融资工具 期限 | 180 日 | | 计息方式 | ...

Core Insights - The Chinese aviation engine industry has achieved significant technological breakthroughs, focusing on three main areas: material processing, component manufacturing, and complete engine production [1][3]. Group 1: Technological Breakthroughs - Major companies in the aviation engine materials processing sector include Beijing Steel Research Technology Co., Ltd., which produces high-temperature alloys and precision castings for aerospace applications [2]. - In the component manufacturing sector, companies like Sichuan Chengfa Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. and Xi'an Aero Engine (Group) Co., Ltd. have developed various engine components, including turbine engines and combustion chamber parts [2][3]. - The complete engine manufacturing sector is represented by companies such as Guizhou Liyang Aviation Engine (Group) Co., Ltd., which has produced over 20 models of aviation turbine engines [3]. Group 2: Domestic Production and Development - China has established a relatively complete aviation engine research and production system, capable of developing various types of engines, including turboprop, turbojet, turbofan, and turboshaft engines [3]. - The domestically developed WS-20 engine is now used in the Y-20 transport aircraft, marking a significant step towards the complete domestic production of military aircraft engines [4]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - In the global military aircraft market, China ranks third with 3,309 military aircraft, accounting for 6% of the total, following the United States and Russia [6]. - The global fleet size is projected to grow from 20,563 aircraft in 2021 to 47,531 by 2041, with a shift towards the Chinese and Asia-Pacific markets [9].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [11]. Core Views - The company has extended its main business to include high-temperature alloy products, precision cast steel parts, nuclear power and other medium to large cast steel parts, and new materials and equipment, covering three major fields: high-end components, aerospace technology, and advanced materials [4][7]. - The company is accelerating the construction of high-end production capacity, forming a high-end product and capacity industrial system, which is expected to drive rapid growth in orders and revenue [11]. - The company has a strong position in the gas turbine market, benefiting from both overseas demand and domestic substitution, with significant growth in new orders for gas turbine components [8][11]. Summary by Sections High-end Casting Leading Enterprise - The company has established a complete production system for high-end components, focusing on the research, manufacturing, and sales of core components for high-end equipment [24][27]. - Revenue has shown steady growth since 2015, with a CAGR of 7.2% expected from 2015 to 2024 [7][11]. Gas Turbine Market - The gas turbine market is projected to grow significantly, with the global gas turbine service market expected to reach approximately $86.84 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 8.72% from 2024 to 2033 [8][11]. - The company has received over 600 million yuan in new orders for gas turbines in 2023, marking a record high, with a projected increase of 102.8% in orders for 2024 [8][11]. Aerospace Engine Components - The turbine blades are core components in aerospace engines, with a market space of approximately 217.8 billion yuan for military aviation engines over the next five years and around 3.1 trillion yuan for civil aviation engines over the next 20 years [9][11]. Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is supported by national policies, with the company signing cooperation agreements with various aviation and airport entities [10][11]. Globalization and R&D Investment - The company has accelerated its globalization strategy, with overseas revenue expected to reach 1.124 billion yuan in 2024, showing an average annual growth rate of 8% from 2020 to 2024 [11]. - The company has maintained high R&D investment, exceeding 300 million yuan annually since 2018, and is entering a harvest period for its investments [11].