Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The report focuses on the North American electricity shortage, driven by the non-linear growth of AI power demand and aging power grid infrastructure [1] - The demand side sees a surge in AIDC projects in the U.S., leading to a significant increase in electricity demand [1] - On the supply side, while total supply is expected to meet short-term demand by 2025, long-term challenges include a decline in stable supply and regional electricity shortages [1] Key Points Supply Challenges - **Decline in Stable Supply**: The aging power grid leads to frequent outages, failing to meet AIDC's requirement for 100% reliable power. The upcoming retirement peak of coal power plants and the instability of wind and solar energy further exacerbate the situation. Only natural gas can currently fill the gap [1][2] - **Regional Electricity Shortages**: By 2024, over 50% of data centers are expected to be located in Texas, California, and Virginia, putting significant pressure on regional power supplies. The fragmented nature of the U.S. power grid and poor interconnections have led to emergency controls due to power imbalances [1] Future Projections - NERC forecasts an average peak gap of over 20 GW in the U.S. from 2027 to 2030, with Texas, the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest, and California facing significant risks. The DOE predicts an average peak gap of 20-40 GW by 2030 [1] Technology Solutions - **Gas Turbines**: Considered the optimal solution for AIDC self-built power, with efficiency exceeding 60% and the lowest cost per kWh. The global installation of gas turbines is accelerating, with major manufacturers like GE, Siemens, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries having orders scheduled until 2029 [2] - **Gas Internal Combustion Engines**: Slightly lower efficiency than gas turbines but offer rapid deployment. Leading company Wärtsilä saw a 111% year-on-year increase in new orders for Q1-Q3 2025, with deliveries extending to 2028 [2] - **Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC)**: High efficiency but currently in early commercialization stages, making it less viable in the short term due to cost and capacity constraints [2] - **Diesel Generators**: Optimal for backup power due to quick start-up capabilities, with Cummins reporting a revenue growth of approximately 20% year-on-year for related products in Q1-Q3 2025 [2] Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are expanding from gas turbines to gas internal combustion engines and SOFCs, as the current electricity shortage in North America exceeds the total production capacity of various technologies [3] - **Gas Turbines**: Recommended companies include Jerry Holdings, Yingliu Co., Dongfang Electric, Linde Co., and Haomai Technology [3] - **Gas Internal Combustion Engines**: Focus on Linde Co., with additional attention to Weichai Power and Eagle Precision [3] - **SOFC**: Suggested to monitor Weichai Power [3] - **Diesel Generators**: Recommended companies include Linde Co., with additional focus on KOTAI Power, Weichai Power, and Eagle Precision [3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include lower-than-expected investment in AI data centers, international trade tensions, and slower-than-anticipated capacity ramp-up [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights significant regional power supply pressures in the U.S. due to the increasing establishment of data centers, particularly in Texas, California, and Virginia, with projections indicating a substantial power gap by 2030 [1][2]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Over 50% of data centers are projected to be built in Texas, California, and Virginia by 2024, leading to considerable regional power supply stress [1][2]. - The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) anticipates an average peak power gap of over 20 GW from 2027 to 2030, with Texas, the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest, and California facing significant risks [1][2]. - The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) forecasts an average peak power gap of 20-40 GW by 2030 [1][2]. Group 2: Supply Challenges - The U.S. power supply is facing long-term challenges, including a decline in stable supply due to aging infrastructure and frequent outages, which cannot meet the 100% reliability demands of AI data centers [2]. - The upcoming retirement of coal power plants and the instability of wind and solar energy further exacerbate the supply issues, necessitating reliance on natural gas for current gaps [2]. Group 3: Technology Solutions - Gas turbines are identified as the optimal solution for self-built power generation in AIDC, with combined cycle gas turbines achieving over 60% efficiency and the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour [3]. - Gas internal combustion engines, while slightly less efficient, offer rapid deployment capabilities, with a significant increase in orders reported by leading companies [3]. - Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC) have high efficiency but are still in early commercialization stages, making them less viable in the short term [3]. - Diesel generators are noted for their quick start-up advantages, serving as optimal backup power solutions [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are shifting from gas turbines to gas internal combustion engines and SOFCs, as the current power deficit in North America exceeds the total production capacity of various technologies [4]. - Recommended companies for gas turbines include Jerry Holdings, Yingliu Co., Dongfang Electric, Linde Co., and Haomai Technology [4]. - For gas internal combustion engines, Linde Co. is recommended, with additional attention to Weichai Power and Weichai Heavy Machinery [4]. - SOFC investments should focus on Weichai Power, while diesel generator investments recommend Linde Co. and other related companies [4].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the North American electricity sector, particularly focusing on gas turbines and related technologies due to the ongoing electricity shortage driven by AI data center demands [2][6][30]. Core Insights - The North American electricity shortage is characterized by a contradiction between the non-linear growth of AI electricity demand and the aging infrastructure of the power grid. The demand side sees a surge in AIDC projects, while the supply side faces challenges with declining stable supply and regional electricity shortages [2][6][24]. - The report highlights that gas turbines are currently the optimal solution for AIDC self-built power generation, with gas internal combustion engines, SOFC, and diesel generation serving as effective supplements [2][37]. - The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) predicts an average peak electricity gap of over 20GW from 2027 to 2030, with significant risks in Texas, the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest, and California [2][32]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Current Electricity Shortage in North America - The electricity shortage is driven by the non-linear growth of AI demand and the aging power grid infrastructure. The electricity consumption in the U.S. is expected to reach historical highs in 2025-2026, with data centers' planned installed capacity increasing from 5GW in early 2023 to over 245GW by October 2025 [6][19]. - The average lifespan of power infrastructure in the U.S. is around 35-40 years, leading to frequent outages and an inability to meet the reliability demands of AIDC [15][19]. Section 2: Power Source Selection - Gas turbines are identified as the primary power source, with gas internal combustion engines, SOFC, and diesel generation as supplementary options. The report emphasizes the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of gas turbines, which can achieve over 60% efficiency and have the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour [2][37]. - The report also discusses the expected increase in gas turbine installations, with global new installations projected to approach previous cycle peaks by 2025, driven by the surge in AIDC electricity demand [48][52]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on various technologies due to the ongoing electricity shortage, suggesting investments in gas turbines, gas internal combustion engines, SOFC, and diesel generation. Specific companies are highlighted for potential investment opportunities, including Jerry Holdings, Yingliu Co., Dongfang Electric, and others [2][37][39].

Core Viewpoint - The gas turbine sector is experiencing rapid growth, driven by an increased demand for energy solutions in North America, particularly due to a projected power shortfall in data centers from 44 GW to 47 GW between 2025 and 2028, equivalent to the total electricity consumption of 9 Miami or 15 Philadelphia [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Gas turbine concept stocks surged, with Linde Co. hitting the daily limit, and other companies like Yingliu Co. rising over 9% [1] - Several companies, including Jereh and Boying Special Welding, have been the focus of intensive research by multiple brokerages and fund companies [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The gas turbine industry chain includes key components such as blades, casings, and combustion chambers, with domestic manufacturers like Yingliu Co., Haomai Technology, Feiwo Technology, and Wanze Co. making significant breakthroughs [2] - Jereh has entered the North American data center energy system integration market, providing complete power generation solutions and securing orders worth hundreds of millions from AI clients [2] - The current supply-demand tension is opening up overseas opportunities for Chinese gas turbine manufacturers like Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric [2] - The demand for heat recovery steam generators (HRSG) is also increasing alongside gas turbines, with companies like Boying Special Welding, Xizi Clean Energy, Binglun Environment, and Changbao Co. being noteworthy players [2]

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验， 因此本文内容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联 系biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 2026年2月9日，应流股份（sh603308）触及涨停，涨停价57.18元，涨幅9.08%，总市值385.01亿元，流 通市值385.01亿元，截止发稿，总成交额8.15亿元。 根据喜娜AI异动分析，应流股份涨停原因可能如下，质押比例下降+公司治理合规+高端零部件业务： 1、公司控股股东质押率从 48.43%降至 37.67%，质押比例下降 10.76%，风险敞口收窄，这一积极变化 增强了市场对公司的信心。同时，华泰联合确认公司治理、内控、信披全面合规，为公司的稳定发展提 供了有力保障。 2、公司一次性修订 11 项制度，取消监事会可能提升决策效率，且高管团队稳定，职 工董事内部 ...

格隆汇2月9日丨应流股份(603308.SH)涨8.56%，报56.430元，股价创历史新高，总市值383.18亿元。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The rapid construction of data centers in the U.S. is increasing the demand for electricity, leading to a rise in the construction of power generation equipment. This trend is expected to strengthen the industry's prosperity [3][8] - U.S. policies are directing technology companies to invest more heavily in power generation equipment, creating investment opportunities within the sector [3][8] - Orders for gas turbine companies have entered a high prosperity state, with significant growth in orders reported by several companies [3][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The construction of data centers is exacerbating electricity demand in the U.S., with projected growth in commercial electricity sales of 2.4% in 2025 and 4.3% in 2026/2027 according to EIA [8] - Recent U.S. policies are pushing for higher electricity rates for data centers and requiring long-term commitments from them, which is expected to drive further investment in power generation [8] Market Opportunities - Gas turbine companies are experiencing a surge in orders, with GE Vernova reporting a 67% year-on-year increase in gas turbine orders to 10.2 GW for Q4 2025, and Caterpillar seeing a 44% increase in generator sales [8] - The expansion of production capacity by major manufacturers like Caterpillar and GE Vernova is anticipated to enhance industry growth and create investment opportunities in the component sector [8] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Jereh Group (002353, Buy) - Linde (605060, Not Rated) - Yingliu (603308, Not Rated) - Ice Wheel Environment (000811, Not Rated) - Deweir (688377, Not Rated) [3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the gas turbine industry Core Insights - Gas turbines have a wide range of downstream applications, with F-class being the current mainstream model [6] - AI is driving the gas turbine market into a prosperous cycle, with significant order increases from overseas leaders [6] - The overall capacity of the supply chain is tight, and domestic suppliers are expected to increase their global market share [9] Summary by Sections 1. Gas Turbines: Wide Downstream Applications, F-Class as the Mainstream Model - Gas turbines convert thermal energy into mechanical work and consist of three main components: compressor, combustion chamber, and turbine [7] - Heavy gas turbines are primarily used in fixed power generation units for urban grids, while light gas turbines are used in industrial power generation, marine propulsion, oil and gas transportation, distributed generation, and military applications [7][26] - The global gas turbine market is expected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, reaching over 100 GW in the next decade, with the U.S. adding 250 GW in the next five years [41][43] 2. Demand: AI Drives the Gas Turbine Market into a Prosperous Cycle - The global data center demand is expected to grow significantly, with AI data centers in the U.S. requiring an additional 31 GW of power over the next five years [31][36] - The electricity consumption of global data centers is projected to rise from 415 TWh in 2024 to 945 TWh by 2030, with the U.S. accounting for 45% of this demand [36] 3. Supply: Overall Capacity of the Supply Chain is Tight - The gas turbine OEM market is highly concentrated, with GEV, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi holding 34%, 27%, and 24% of the global market share, respectively [44] - The report highlights the increasing order intake for gas turbines, with GEV expecting to sign contracts for 24 GW in Q4 2025, and Siemens Energy forecasting 26 GW in the same period [55] 4. Investment Suggestions - The report suggests focusing on domestic suppliers' opportunities to increase their global market share and progress in the gas turbine supply chain [10] - The domestic suppliers are positioned to benefit from the ongoing expansion of the gas turbine market, particularly in high-temperature alloy components and blades [80]

Group 1 - AVIC Chengfei is a core subsidiary of China Aviation Industry Group, specializing in the research and development of military fighter jets and trainer aircraft, holding a leading position in the aviation equipment manufacturing sector [1] - The company has successfully provided key structural components for various domestic commercial rocket enterprises and has participated in multiple commercial space launch missions, gaining high industry recognition for its technical reliability and product stability [1] - With the accelerated development of commercial aerospace, the company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for aerospace structural components and special materials, expanding its market share significantly [1] Group 2 - AVIC Xifei is a major manufacturer of military transport aircraft, bombers, and early warning aircraft, possessing top-tier technical strength in the aviation equipment manufacturing field [2] - The company has actively expanded its commercial aerospace business by providing core products such as structural components and lightweight parts for commercial rockets, meeting the industry's demand for high reliability [2] - As the frequency of commercial space launches continues to rise, the company aims to deepen its innovation in aerospace technology and solidify its position as a core supplier in the commercial aerospace structural component sector [2] Group 3 - Xiamen Xiangyu is a leading bulk commodity supply chain service provider, leveraging its unique location in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone to build a global logistics, trade, and financial service network [3] - The company has successfully provided fuel transportation and supply chain support services for multiple domestic commercial rocket launch missions, gaining wide recognition from industry clients [3] - With the acceleration of global commercial aerospace layout, the demand for cross-border transportation and supply chain services for aerospace materials is expected to grow significantly [3] Group 4 - Hisense Visual is a domestic leader in display technology, with a comprehensive industrial layout from panel manufacturing to terminal products, holding international leadership in high-resolution display and laser display technologies [4] - The company has provided customized display components for domestic commercial satellite projects, meeting stringent aerospace-grade requirements and gaining high recognition from aerospace enterprises [4] - As the construction of low-orbit satellite constellations accelerates, the demand for spaceborne optical equipment is expected to grow significantly, positioning the company to benefit from this trend [4] Group 5 - Far East Holdings is a leading enterprise in the cable and superconducting materials sector, with strong technical capabilities and a comprehensive industrial chain [5] - The company has successfully provided core cable products for multiple domestic commercial rocket launch missions, gaining wide recognition for its technical performance and product quality [5] - As commercial aerospace equipment evolves towards intelligence, lightweight, and high power, the demand for high-performance cables and superconducting materials is expected to continue to grow [5] Group 6 - AVIC Heavy Machinery is a core supplier in the aerospace forging sector, possessing advanced forging technology and a complete processing system [6] - The company has provided key forged products for various commercial rocket enterprises, participating in multiple key commercial aerospace launch projects [6] - With the increasing frequency of commercial rocket launches, the demand for high-end alloy forgings is expected to continue to rise, allowing the company to expand its production capacity in this area [6] Group 7 - Taiyuan Iron and Steel is a leading enterprise in the stainless steel industry, with global-leading production technology and a large capacity scale [7] - The company has provided core stainless steel materials for multiple domestic commercial aerospace projects, meeting aerospace-grade standards and gaining recognition from aerospace enterprises [7] - As the demand for high-end stainless steel and special alloy materials continues to grow, the company plans to deepen its research and development in aerospace-specific materials [7] Group 8 - Jiugang Hongxing is a leading enterprise in the steel industry in Northwest China, with a complete steel production industrial chain [8] - The company has provided customized steel products for several commercial aerospace projects, gaining industry recognition for its technical performance [8] - With the scale development of commercial aerospace equipment, the demand for high-strength steel is expected to continue to grow, prompting the company to optimize its production processes [8] Group 9 - Wind Power Equipment and Aerospace Supporting Equipment is a key enterprise in the field, with strong technical capabilities and a comprehensive production system [9] - The company has provided structural components for commercial rockets and precision processing parts for aerospace ground equipment, gaining industry recognition [9] - As the frequency of commercial rocket launches increases, the demand for precision structural components is expected to continue to grow [9] Group 10 - Yiyang Technology is a leading enterprise in the field of high-end castings and forgings, with a complete production system [10] - The company has provided engine castings for domestic commercial rocket enterprises, participating in the supply of satellite thrusters [10] - With the development of commercial rockets towards high thrust and reusability, the demand for high-temperature alloy castings is expected to continue to grow [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [5][10]. Core Insights - Meta's projected capital expenditure for 2026 is expected to reach between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly double that of the previous year, driven by AI-enhanced advertising business [17]. - Figure's Helix02 humanoid robot has achieved significant breakthroughs in large models and neural networks, enhancing its applicability in household scenarios [3][18]. - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing intensified competition for orbital resources, with SpaceX applying to deploy a constellation of up to 1 million satellites, which may accelerate advancements in space traffic management technology [2]. Summary by Sections Key Events - Meta's capital expenditure forecast for 2026 is between $115 billion and $135 billion, significantly exceeding analyst expectations [17]. - Figure has launched the Helix02 humanoid robot, which integrates long-range fine manipulation and motion control through a novel three-layer architecture [18]. - SpaceX is seeking approval to deploy a satellite constellation of up to 1 million satellites, enhancing its computational capabilities for advanced AI [2]. Commercial Aerospace Insights - The limited capacity of near-Earth orbit satellites will intensify competition for orbital resources, leading to a "first-come, first-served" effect [2]. - Long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace are promising, particularly in the rocket segment, with a focus on key players like SpaceX and domestic companies such as Landspace and CASIC [2]. Humanoid Robotics Insights - The advancements in Figure's Helix02 are expected to unlock new applications in domestic environments as the versatility of humanoid robots increases [3]. - Investment opportunities in humanoid robotics should focus on companies with strong supply chains and market positioning, such as Hengli Hydraulic and Wison Group [3][8]. AI Infrastructure Insights - Meta's capital expenditure forecast indicates a robust outlook for AI infrastructure, particularly in gas turbine and liquid cooling sectors [4]. - Key investment areas include the gas turbine supply chain and high-value segments in liquid cooling systems [4][8]. Company Profit Forecasts - Several companies are rated "Outperform," including: - Green Harmony (688017.SH) with a projected EPS of 0.67 for 2025 and a PE ratio of 342 [10]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ) with an EPS of 2.06 for 2025 and a PE ratio of 36 [10]. - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) with an EPS of 1.87 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 58 [10].