We turn more bullish on China's power grid equipment names, underpinned by our assumed 11% China grid CAPEX CAGR in 2026-30E, up from 9% previously. While we highlighted upside to grid CAPEX (volume) and T&D tariffs (price) in our previous note, we now believe actual grid CAPEX could again exceed official plans, driven by accelerated backbone and distribution grid build-out enhancing system stability and reliability. This could translate into earnings upgrades and valuation re-ratings for power grid equipme ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2026-001 债券代码：113697 债券简称：应流转债 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于控股股东解除质押及再质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： ● 截至本公告披露日，安徽应流机电股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东霍山应流投资管理有限 公司（以下简称"应流投资"）持有公司股份 18,582.50万股，均为无限售条件的流通股，占公司总股本 27.37%。本次解除质押及再质押后，应流投资累计 7,000万股股份被质押，占其持有公司股份的 37.67%，占公司总股本的 10.31%；应流投资及其一致行动人累计质押8,300万股，占其持股数量比例为 35.19%，占公司总股本比例 12.22%。 公司于近日收到控股股东应流投资关于股份解除质押及再质押的通知，具体情况如下： 一、控股股东股份解除质押具体情况 二、控股股东股份再质押具体情况 ■ 本次再质押的股份不存在被用作重大资产重组业绩补偿等事项的担保或其他保障用途。 三、股东累 ...

每经AI快讯，应流股份1月30日晚间发布公告称，截至本公告披露日，安徽应流机电股份有限公司控股 股东霍山应流投资管理有限公司持有公司股份约1.86亿股，均为无限售条件的流通股，占公司总股本 27.37%。本次解除质押及再质押后，应流投资累计7000万股股份被质押，占其持有公司股份的 37.67%，占公司总股本的10.31%；应流投资及其一致行动人累计质押8300万股，占其持股数量比例为 35.19%，占公司总股本比例为12.22%。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——核电建设热潮下，设备厂忙到"飞起"！订单已排至2028年，员工三班倒， 产线24小时不停 （记者 曾健辉） ...

| 证券代码：603308 | 证券简称：应流股份 | 公告编号：2026-001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113697 | 债券简称：应流转债 | | 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于控股股东解除质押及再质押的公告 1 股东名称 本次解除 质押股数 （万股） 占其所 持股份 比例（%） 占公司 总股本 比例（%） 解除质押 时间 股东持股 数量（万 股） 股东持 股占公 司总股 本比例 （%） 剩余被质押 股份数量 （万股） 剩余被 质押股 份占其 所持股 份比例 （%） 剩余被 质押股 份占公 司总股 本比例 （%） 应流投资 6,000 32.29 8.84 2026/1/28 18,582.50 27.37 3,000 16.14 4.42 3,000 16.14 4.42 2026/1/29 6,000 32.29 8.84 合计 9,000 48.43 13.25 / 18,582.50 27.37 / / / 一、控股股东股份解除质押具体情况 "剩余被质押股份占公司总股本比例"不包含本次再质押股份的数量。 | 股东 | 是否为 | 本次质 | 是否 | 是否 为补 ...

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月28日 2026年01月29日 AI 基建点评：我们持续看好 AI 基建相关产业链，重点关注燃气轮机及液冷 方向。建议重点关注 AI 数据中心能源供应核心卡位的燃机产业链：1） 燃机热端叶片：【应流股份】【万泽股份】；2）燃机发电机组：【杰 瑞股份】；3）燃机其他铸件：【豪迈科技】【联德股份】；4）燃机配 套余热锅炉（HRSG）：【博盈特焊】。建议重点关注重点关注液冷中价 值量高、核心卡位的环节：1）一次侧重点关注冷水机组及压缩机环节： 【冰轮环境】【汉钟精机】【联德股份】；2）二次侧重点关注集成商： 【高澜股份】【同飞股份】；3）二次侧零部件端重点关注 CDU、Manifold、 冷板、UQD 环节：【飞荣达】【奕东电子】【南风股份】【强瑞技术】。 行业动态&政府新闻&公司动态 行业动态：商业航天-1 月 20 日，我国 2025 年度商业航天发射达 50 次，可 核心观点 行业研究·行业周报 制造成长周报（第 44 期） 优于大市 SpaceX 星舰今年目标完全复用，特斯拉将在 2027 年底前向公 众销售人形机器人 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基 ...

广钢气体：行业龙头上市推迟导致公司股价近两天出现调整，但我们了解到春节后大概率过会，只是时点问题。 【天风机械】重点品种：广钢气体、宏盛股份、应流股份、芯碁微装近期调整点评 广钢气体：行业龙头上市推迟导致公司股价近两天出现调整，但我们了解到春节后大概率过会，只是时点问题。 公司基本面强劲，26年有望订单+利润率+国产化率拐点三击，看好400-500e市值，回调建议布局。 宏盛股份：公司新增的潜力大客户相较于当前月度弹性单一个客户就有1.5-2x空间，该客户为美国AI最有 回调建议布局。 【天风机械】重点品种：广钢气体、宏盛股份、应流股份、芯碁微装近期调整点评 应流股份：公司产能爬坡非常顺利，安萨尔多订单已落地，近期即将新增韩国斗山，接单方面供不应求，毛利 率、净利率有望环比持续提升，本年度目标市值500e+。 高温叶片万泽股份、隆达股份同样看好。 芯碁微装：芯碁微装的市值中仅包含40e先进封装估值，而这部分实际可实现市值150-200e对应6x利润贡献。 公司基本面强劲，26年有望订单+利润率+国产化率拐点三击，看好400-500e市值，回调建议布局。 宏盛股份：公司新增的潜力大客户相较于当前月度弹性单一个客 ...

1月27日，应流股份涨2.25%，截至发稿，报54.17元/股，成交10.63亿元，换手率2.96%，总市值367.83 亿元。应流股份股价已经连续4天上涨，区间累计涨幅5.08%。 资料显示，安徽应流机电股份有限公司位于安徽省合肥市经济技术开发区繁华大道566号，成立日期 2006年4月25日，上市日期2014年1月22日，公司主营业务涉及 专用设备高端零部件的研发、生产、销 售,产品应用于石油天然气、清洁高效发电、工程和矿山机械及其他高端装备领域。主营业务收入构成 为：机械装备构件53.59%，泵及阀门零件43.94%，其他2.48%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，新华基金旗下1只基金重仓应流股份。新华红利回报混合（003025）四季度减持2.8万股，持 有股数10万股，占基金净值比例为4.69%，位居第五大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约11.9万元。 连续4天上涨期间浮盈赚取26.2万元。 新华红利回报混合（003025）成立日期2017年3月27日，最新规模8899.98万。今年以来收益20.45%，同 类排名185/8861；近一年收益57.25%，同类排名1371/8126；成立以来收益14 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the energy sector, particularly natural gas and nuclear power, amid a global CAPEX upcycle driven by increasing electricity demand from AI, multi-shoring, and electrification [1][2][3][8]. Core Insights - **Electricity Demand Growth**: Global electricity demand is expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating it will exceed 32% of final energy consumption by 2050, up from 20% in 2023 [8]. - **CAPEX Projections**: A bottom-up analysis estimates a total of US$1,800 billion in global CAPEX from 2025 to 2030, focusing on offshore oil and gas exploration and production (E&P), LNG terminals, and gas-fired and nuclear power plants [2][7]. - **Industry Trends**: Four key trends identified include: 1. Consolidation in the oil and gas EPC and service market, leading to concentration among upstream equipment and parts manufacturers. 2. Outsourcing of production processes by EPC and service providers to suppliers. 3. Demand for higher quality advanced metal parts due to rising applications in deep-sea oil and gas, LNG terminals, and nuclear power plants. 4. Increased global competitiveness of Chinese equipment and parts suppliers [3][7][88]. Investment Opportunities - **Recommended Stocks**: The report initiates coverage on Neway and Develop with Buy ratings, and also recommends Yingliu, Jereh, and Sinoseal as potential beneficiaries of the CAPEX upcycle [1][3][7]. - **Market Mispricing**: The market may be underestimating the investment implications of the current natural gas and nuclear upcycle for China's upstream equipment and component manufacturers [7]. Financial Metrics of Recommended Stocks - **Neway Valve (603699.SH)**: Market cap of US$6.276 billion, expected PE of 22, with 61% overseas sales and a projected EPS CAGR of 28% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. - **Develop (688377.SH)**: Market cap of US$1.126 billion, expected PE of 37, with 62% overseas sales and a projected EPS CAGR of 51% [4]. - **Yingliu (603308.SH)**: Market cap of US$5.317 billion, expected PE of 54, with 47% overseas sales and a projected EPS CAGR of 54% [4]. - **Jereh Oil Field (002353.SZ)**: Market cap of US$12.801 billion, expected PE of 24, with 45% overseas sales and a projected EPS CAGR of 21% [4]. - **Sinoseal (300470.SZ)**: Market cap of US$5.337 billion, expected PE of 31, with 10% overseas sales and a projected EPS CAGR of 33% [4]. Additional Insights - **Natural Gas and Nuclear Power**: Both sectors are expected to benefit from stable electricity generation capabilities, with natural gas producing countries ramping up exploration and production, particularly offshore [2][20]. - **Technological Advancements**: The report highlights advancements in production technology that have significantly lowered the break-even costs for offshore oil E&P, enhancing the attractiveness of investments in this area [36][49]. - **Nuclear Power Renaissance**: There is a noted global renaissance in nuclear fission power, particularly in China, with expectations of accelerated approvals and construction of nuclear projects [65][66]. Conclusion - The energy sector, particularly natural gas and nuclear power, presents substantial investment opportunities driven by increasing electricity demand and significant CAPEX growth. Chinese manufacturers with strong overseas exposure and advanced manufacturing capabilities are well-positioned to benefit from these trends [1][7][8].

应流股份所属申万行业为：机械设备-通用设备-金属制品。所属概念板块包括：燃气轮机、核电、机 械、核聚变等。 截至9月30日，应流股份股东户数2.56万，较上期增加13.54%；人均流通股26505股，较上期减少 11.93%。2025年1月-9月，应流股份实现营业收入21.21亿元，同比增长11.02%；归母净利润2.94亿元， 同比增长29.59%。 分红方面，应流股份A股上市后累计派现5.58亿元。近三年，累计派现2.50亿元。 1月23日，应流股份盘中上涨2.02%，截至10:10，报52.65元/股，成交3.67亿元，换手率1.05%，总市值 357.51亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出2567.50万元，特大单买入2003.01万元，占比5.46%，卖出2242.86万 元，占比6.11%；大单买入9048.00万元，占比24.65%，卖出1.14亿元，占比30.99%。 应流股份今年以来股价涨26.11%，近5个交易日涨3.93%，近20日涨25.39%，近60日涨26.71%。 今年以来应流股份已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为1月6日，当日龙虎榜净买入-2.69亿元； 买入总计2.9 ...