Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [5] Core Insights - The liquor industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with the "opening red" sales expected to remain under pressure year-on-year, while brand differentiation is evident. Positive feedback from high-end liquor is significantly boosting market confidence, and a shift in style and improved expectations may catalyze liquor stock prices [2][6] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The liquor market is experiencing a deep adjustment, with sales and revenue expected to decline throughout the year. However, there are signs of marginal improvement starting from Q4 2025, with high-end brands like Moutai and Wuliangye leading the market [6] High-End Liquor Performance - High-end liquor brands are showing resilience, with Moutai and Wuliangye implementing strategies to stabilize prices and enhance channel profits. Moutai's sales performance has improved, with significant user engagement and order volume [6][7] Stock Recommendations - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as other brands like Shanxi Fenjiu and Yingjia Gongjiu, which are expected to clear inventory [6][7] Future Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its current cycle, with potential catalysts for stock prices including improvements in sales, price increases, and inventory reduction. Positive signals from policy changes could further enhance market sentiment [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the cultural significance of wine as a living heritage and its connection to the rich cultural tapestry of Anhui, highlighting the compatibility of different cultural elements in the production of wine [2]. Group 1 - The event "Seeing the Path of Compatibility" will be launched in collaboration with Xinhua News and Kuozi Jiao, featuring discussions on cultural heritage and wisdom related to wine [2]. - Key figures involved in the event include Shan Qixiang, Director of the Academic Committee of the Palace Museum, Xu Qinxiang, Party Secretary and Deputy General Manager of Anhui Kuozi Wine Industry Co., Ltd., and Yang Qingbing, Vice President of Xinhua News [2].

建筑是凝固的音乐，而酒是流动的文明，它不仅是一种味道，更是一种活态的文化遗产。徽山皖 水，融南北文脉，汇江河灵气，藏着兼容并蓄的文化密码。深植这片沃土的口子窖，以兼容之道酿自然 兼香，将安徽的和合包容凝于酒液。 循着兼容文脉和一缕酒香，故宫博物院学术委员会主任、中国文物学会专家委员会主任单霁翔，安 徽口子酒业股份有限公司党委书记、副总经理徐钦祥，新华网副总裁杨庆兵与新华网主持人刘燕，带您 一起解读千年兼容智慧，感受一杯酒里的文化传承。 新华网×口子窖《看见·兼容之道》即将上线，2月10日，敬请期待！ 【纠错】 【责任编辑:韩攀】 ...

证券之星消息，2月2日白酒板块较上一交易日上涨1.86%，金徽酒领涨。当日上证指数报收于4015.75， 下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 616809 | 金徽酒 | 23.98 | 10.00% | 39.46万 | | 9.15 G | | 000995 | 皇台酒业 | 17.52 | 9.98% | 62.80万 | | 10.50亿 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 44.78 | 7.44% | 27.47万 | | 12.23亿 | | 661009 | 金种子酒 | 10.98 | 5.17% | 85.00万 | | 9.16亿 | | 000799 | 酒鬼殿 | 58.80 | 3.48% | 34.99万 | | 20.49亿 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | 41.63 | 2.46% | 13.86万 | | 5.80亿 | | 0008 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000995 | 三号温州 | 1 | 9.98 | 31.08亿 | 40.05 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 1 | 7.32 | 218亿 | 16.30 | | 603919 | 我做 | 4 | 6.51 | 118亿 | 13.71 | | 600199 | 金种子酒 | 1 | 3.83 | 71.31 乙 | 11.98 | | 000799 | 酒鬼酒 | 4 | 3.59 | 191亿 | 7.84 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | 美 | 3.00 | 335亿 | 5.79 | | 600702 | 舍得酒业 | 中 | 2.82 | 193亿 | 3.23 | | 000858 | 五粮液 | 1 | 2.63 | 4183亿 | 1.72 | | 603589 | 口子窖 | | 2.35 | 180亿 | 0.13 | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 1 | 2.25 | 17939亿 | 4.02 | | ...

2月2日，A股市场白酒（核心股）股逆势上涨，其中，皇台酒业涨停，水井坊涨超7%，金徽酒涨超 6%，金种子酒、酒鬼酒、迎驾贡酒涨超3%，舍得酒业、五粮液、口子窖、贵州茅台涨超2%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 招商证券在最新的一份研究报告中也指出，该团队近期调研了河南、安徽、四川等多地白酒（核心股） 渠道，总需求仍在下滑（双位数下滑），但符合此前预期。分场景看，商务宴请以小局为主、中高端餐 饮仍较萧条，送礼需求有部分回补。品牌侧分化明显，茅台动销表现优异，春节备货需求前置，其他品 牌承压。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000995 | 高导演业 | 1 | 9.98 | 31.08亿 | 40.05 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 4 | 7.32 | 218亿 | 16.30 | | 603919 | 我做 | 1 | 6.51 | 118亿 | 13.71 | | 600199 | 金种子酒 | 1 | 3.83 | 71.31亿 | 11. ...

Investment Rating - The report rates multiple companies in the consumer staples sector as "Outperform," including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1]. Core Insights - The consumer staples industry in January 2026 shows a recovery in basic demand while hedonic consumption remains under pressure, indicating a divergence in performance across different segments [3][29]. - Among the eight key consumer industries tracked, four are experiencing positive growth (condiments, frozen food, soft drinks, and catering), while four are facing declines (high-end and above Baijiu, mass-market Baijiu, dairy products, and beer) [29]. Summary by Segment Baijiu (High-end and Above) - In January, the revenue for high-end Baijiu reached 47 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 14.0%. The price pressure is significant, with expectations of over a 10% price drop throughout the year due to high inventory levels [11]. Baijiu (Mass-market and Below) - The mass-market Baijiu segment generated 22.9 billion yuan in January, down 3.0% year-on-year. Despite the decline, the segment shows resilience due to rigid demand and adaptability to consumption scenarios [13]. Beer - The beer industry reported revenues of 17 billion yuan in January, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year. The demand was affected by adverse weather and the delayed Spring Festival, leading to a cautious inventory approach by distributors [15]. Condiments - The condiment sector achieved revenues of 46.9 billion yuan in January, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5%. The recovery in the catering channel and increased demand from small and medium-sized businesses are key drivers [17]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector's revenue was 43.5 billion yuan in January, down 3.3% year-on-year. The demand remains under pressure, but a potential recovery is anticipated in the coming months due to low base effects [19]. Frozen Food - The frozen food segment saw revenues of 14.99 billion yuan in January, with a year-on-year increase of 8%. The demand is supported by pre-Spring Festival stocking and favorable weather conditions [21]. Soft Drinks - The soft drink industry generated 96.2 billion yuan in January, with a modest growth of 1.1% year-on-year. Increased promotional activities indicate heightened market competition [24]. Catering - The catering sector reported revenues of 16.2 billion yuan in January, up 2.5% year-on-year. The demand is gradually improving, particularly in small and medium-sized restaurants [26].

天佑德酒去年的业绩同样大幅下滑，公司预计实现归母净利润421.35万元至632.02万元，同比下降85%-90%；扣非净利润同比降幅更是高达92.79%-95.20%。 对此，天佑德酒表示，2025年白酒行业步入深度调整周期，部分消费场景需求不足、恢复不及预期，消费需求承压，导致公司自有品牌中高档产品的占比下 降，营收下降。 水井坊2025年的业绩表现也不尽如人意，公司预计实现营业收入30.38亿元，同比下降42%；归属于母公司所有者的净利润3.92亿元，同比下降71%，其中Q4 净利润同比下降70%，弱于多数券商预估。 对于业绩下滑的核心原因，水井坊坦言，2025年白酒行业受宏观经济周期、产业调整周期与政策调整多重因素叠加影响，进入深度调整阶段，传统商务宴请 等核心消费场景恢复缓慢，行业整体库存高企，终端动销疲软，这一行业共性压力也直接传导至水井坊的经营端。 面对每天上千份上市公司公告该看哪些？重大事项公告动辄几十页几百页重点是啥？公告里一堆专业术语不知道算利好还是利空？请看智通财经 公司新闻部《速读公告》栏目，我们派驻全国的记者们将于公告当晚为您带来准确、快速、专业的解读。 智通财经1月30日讯（记者 朱 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅%↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002646 | 天佑德酒 | 1 | -5.81 | 44.27亿 | 6.82 | | 002304 | 洋河股份 | -澳 | -5.67 | 850亿 | -7.10 | | 000860 | 顺鑫农业 | 1 | -5.53 | 111亿 | 2.53 | | 200596 | 古井贡B | | -5.37 | 429亿 | -7.16 | | 600559 | 老白干酒 | | -5.01 | 149亿 | 1.62 | | 603589 | 口子窖 | | -4.95 | 178亿 | -0.87 | | 600197 | 伊力特 | 1 | -4.74 | 66.58亿 | 1.66 | | 603369 | 今世缘 | -澳 | -4.66 | 421亿 | -2.85 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | | -4.03 | 327亿 | 3.41 | | 000858 | 五粮液 | 1 | -3.93 | 4131亿 | 0.45 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [4]. Core Insights - The liquor industry has entered a deep adjustment period, but recent positive changes in the real estate and domestic demand sectors, along with the market-oriented transformation of Moutai, are stimulating incremental demand and driving up prices, leading to a valuation recovery [2]. - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as those expected to clear inventory like Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, Zhenjiu Lidu, Shede Jiuye, and Jinhui Jiu [4]. Summary by Sections Market Environment - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, and policies are becoming more favorable. The liquor industry is a typical cyclical sector, with market pricing influenced by both internal demand and real estate conditions. The government has prioritized boosting domestic demand as a key task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - The real estate market is gradually bottoming out after years of adjustment, with recent government actions aimed at stabilizing market expectations and improving conditions [4]. Moutai's Market Transformation - Moutai's market-oriented reform has sparked incremental demand, with significant attention on liquor sales during the Spring Festival. Moutai has introduced various products on its iMoutai platform, leading to a surge in online purchases and stable price performance [4]. - As of January 29, Moutai's price has increased by over 1,600 RMB, with transaction prices exceeding 1,700 RMB, indicating successful price-volume strategies [4]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its cycle, with liquidity improvements and expectations likely to catalyze stock prices. The report anticipates that if prices stabilize, the pressure on stock prices will lessen, and further positive signals from policies could enhance stock performance [4]. - The report includes earnings forecasts for key liquor companies, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% for Moutai from 2024 to 2026, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 21 to 19 [5].