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光伏行业“内卷”严重,国家层面政策信号密集释放 光伏产业大省如何“反内卷”
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-07-09 00:24
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the photovoltaic (PV) equipment sector in the A-share market is driven by a series of favorable policies aimed at combating "involution" and promoting high-quality development within the industry [1][2]. Policy Background - The central government has intensified signals against "involution," with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) mandating PV companies to report their cost prices, threatening penalties for those selling below cost [2][4]. - High-level meetings involving major PV companies indicate a strong governmental commitment to addressing disordered competition and enhancing product quality [2][4]. - The "anti-involution" measures have been a recurring theme in government discussions since last year, with multiple policy documents emphasizing the need for comprehensive regulation [2][4]. Industry Background - The PV industry is experiencing severe overcapacity, with significant price declines across the supply chain. In 2024, prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules are expected to drop by 39%, 50%, 40%, and 29% respectively [6][7]. - The industry's rapid expansion has led to a situation where many companies are selling products below cost, resulting in substantial losses. In 2024, major PV companies reported losses exceeding 600 billion yuan [6][7]. - The growth of the PV sector is notable, with projected installation capacity growth rates of 13.9%, 59.3%, 148.1%, and 28.3% from 2021 to 2024 [6]. Sichuan Countermeasures - Sichuan, a major player in the PV industry, is implementing strategies to address overcapacity while promoting technological upgrades and competitive advantages [9][10]. - The province is witnessing short-term challenges, including production cuts and layoffs, but long-term benefits are anticipated as companies stabilize and innovate [10][11]. - A combination of self-initiated production cuts and government policies aims to reduce capacity and enhance competitiveness [12][14]. Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, the PV industry is expected to rebound as the market corrects itself. The International Renewable Energy Agency projects that global PV installations will need to reach 18,200 GW by 2050 to meet carbon neutrality goals [14].
江西上饶综保区正式封关运行 分为五大功能区
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-08 12:31
Core Points - Jiangxi Shangrao Comprehensive Bonded Zone officially commenced operations on July 8, 2023, focusing on industries such as photovoltaic and new energy vehicles [1][3] - The zone covers a total planned area of 0.55 square kilometers and is divided into five functional areas, with the first phase expected to be completed by March 2025 [1] - The first business transaction involved JinkoSolar Co., Ltd., which declared three trucks of N-type photovoltaic components valued at 67,000 yuan, marking the first operational activity in the zone [3] Industry Development - The Shangrao Comprehensive Bonded Zone aims to establish a "bonded+" industrial ecosystem by attracting projects related to cross-border e-commerce, manufacturing, logistics, bonded warehousing, testing and maintenance, and research and design [4] - The efficient entry process for goods is supported by a strict process control system, ensuring smooth customs clearance and data interoperability across the supply chain [3]
光伏ETF基金(159863)大涨5.08%,政策上再度重申“供给侧预期再起”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 06:05
Group 1 - The photovoltaic ETF fund (159863.SZ) has increased by 5.08%, with major components such as Sungrow Power (up 8.98%), Longi Green Energy (up 6.08%), Tongwei Co. (up 10.00%), Daqo New Energy (up 14.84%), and TBEA Co. (up 3.02%) [1] - There are rumors that silicon material does not have a guiding price and cannot be sold below their full cost, with policies reiterating "supply-side expectations rising" [1] - The photovoltaic industry is currently undergoing a clearing process that can be categorized into financial, policy, and technical clearings, with expectations of challenges in domestic demand in Q3 and an anticipated increase in polysilicon production in July [1] Group 2 - Zhongyi Securities' strategy team notes that the current market environment is similar to the end of 2014, with investors having accumulated profit effects in the industry, and policy expectations stabilizing [1] - China Post Securities highlights that the photovoltaic industry has been officially named for "involution-style" competition, with leading photovoltaic glass companies planning to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has signaled stronger regulatory measures, requiring companies to report cost prices and planning to impose heavy penalties on low-price sales, indicating an escalation in industry governance [2]
光伏再度猛攻!通威股份涨停,光伏龙头ETF(516290)放量涨超4%,供给侧出清步入“深水区”,光伏的春天来了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 03:50
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a significant rebound, with the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) surging over 4% in trading volume, indicating a potential bottom reversal in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The photovoltaic leading ETF (516290) saw a price increase of 4.47%, reaching 0.444, with a trading volume of 3,842 million [1] - Major component stocks of the ETF, such as Daqo New Energy, Tongwei Co., and Sungrow Power Supply, reported substantial gains, with Daqo New Energy rising over 14% and Tongwei Co. hitting the daily limit [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - In May, the newly installed capacity for photovoltaic systems reached 93 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of 388%, with a historical high of nearly 100 GW in new installations driven by a rush to install [2] - The photovoltaic industry is addressing supply-side excess, with expectations for specific measures to be implemented, which could benefit segments like silicon materials and BC battery efficiency improvements [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The photovoltaic sector is anticipated to undergo a fundamental recovery, with positive sentiment expected to shift as new technologies and government initiatives promote market clearing [4] - The photovoltaic leading ETF (516290) is highlighted as a low-fee option in the market, with management and custody fees significantly lower than the industry average [4]
新一轮反内卷冲锋号吹响!
第一财经· 2025-07-08 02:16
Core Viewpoint - A new round of anti-"involution" competition has been initiated, affecting both traditional industries like steel and cement, as well as emerging sectors such as photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, and lithium batteries. The central government has signaled a commitment to address low-price disorderly competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity [1][4][6]. Group 1: Government Initiatives - The Central Economic Committee's recent meeting emphasized the need to govern low-price disorderly competition legally and systematically, aiming to enhance product quality and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity [1][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has held discussions with photovoltaic industry leaders to address the challenges posed by low-price competition and to promote high-quality development within the sector [11][12]. - The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law, effective from October 15, 2025, aims to provide legal tools to combat "involution" competition, particularly targeting platform operators who enforce below-cost pricing [9][10]. Group 2: Industry Responses - Various industry associations, including those in steel, cement, and battery sectors, have called for a collective response against "involution" competition, advocating for quality over price in market competition [3][16][19]. - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing significant pressure, with upstream silicon material prices plummeting, leading to a collective financial strain across the entire supply chain [12][14]. - Industry leaders have highlighted the necessity for consolidation and stricter control of production capacity to overcome the challenges posed by "involution" competition, suggesting that cooperation is essential for long-term sustainability [14][19]. Group 3: Economic Context - The current "involution" phenomenon is attributed to two main factors: a cyclical economic adjustment leading to heightened price sensitivity among consumers, and external pressures from a de-globalizing environment that compel companies to compete primarily on price [7][8]. - The imbalance between supply and demand in various sectors, particularly in the steel industry, has resulted in increased production despite declining consumption, exacerbating the "involution" issue [18][19].
四部门发文推动大功率充电设施建设,新能车ETF(515700)多只成分股上涨,光伏ETF基金(516180)盘中飘红
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 02:13
Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Industry - The China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) increased by 0.39%, with key stocks like Defu Technology (301511) rising by 3.57% and Huayou Cobalt (603799) by 2.92% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments announced plans to establish over 100,000 high-power charging facilities by the end of 2027, aiming for improved service quality and technology upgrades [1] - CITIC Securities forecasts that domestic electric vehicle sales will reach 16.52 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15-22% expected in 2026 [2] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry - The China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) rose by 0.15%, with major stocks like Sungrow Power (300274) increasing by 1.62% [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the photovoltaic index account for 55.39% of the total index, indicating a concentrated market [9] Group 3: Automotive Parts Industry - The China Securities Automotive Parts Theme Index (931230) increased by 0.29%, with stocks like Zhengmei Machinery (601717) rising by 2.51% [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the automotive parts index represent 41.05% of the total index, highlighting key players in the sector [9] Group 4: New Materials Industry - The China Securities New Materials Theme Index (H30597) rose by 0.50%, with stocks like Yake Technology (002409) increasing by 4.58% [6] - The top ten weighted stocks in the new materials index account for 51.27% of the total index, showcasing significant contributors to the industry [10]
新一轮反内卷冲锋号吹响,新兴产业民企占比高需因业施策
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 14:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that comprehensive rectification of "involutionary" competition is a key measure to address current economic development contradictions, affecting both traditional and emerging industries [1][4][5] - The new round of anti-involution policies includes not only traditional industries like steel and cement but also emerging sectors such as photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, and lithium batteries, which have a higher proportion of private enterprises [1][4][5] - The recent Central Economic Committee meeting highlighted the need to legally govern low-price disorderly competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity, signaling a national-level response to involution [2][5] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has initiated discussions with photovoltaic industry leaders to address production, innovation, and market competition challenges, aiming to support high-quality development in the sector [10] - The photovoltaic industry has faced significant pressure, with prices for silicon materials and components dropping below cash costs, leading to a substantial decline in profit margins [11][12] - Various industry associations, including those in steel, cement, and battery sectors, have called for a collective response to involution, advocating for quality over price competition and industry cooperation [13][15] Group 3 - The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law, effective from October 15, 2025, aims to provide institutional tools to curb "involutionary" competition, particularly targeting platform operators to prevent forced low-cost sales [9] - Experts have identified two main causes of the current involution phenomenon: domestic economic adjustments leading to price sensitivity and external pressures on Chinese enterprises due to de-globalization [6][7] - The steel industry is particularly affected by involution, with a significant increase in crude steel production despite declining apparent consumption, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [15]
政策“组合拳”,光伏企业密集发声“反内卷
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-07 06:25
Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held the 15th manufacturing enterprise symposium focusing on accelerating the high-quality development of the photovoltaic industry [1] - 14 photovoltaic industry enterprises and association leaders shared insights on production operations, technological innovation, market competition, and industry ecosystem construction [1] - Longi Green Energy emphasized the importance of addressing low-price competition and optimizing capacity, creating structural opportunities for technologically advanced companies [1] Group 2 - Trina Solar highlighted the need for capacity integration to leverage the leading role of major enterprises and avoid disorderly competition [1] - JinkoSolar pointed out the urgency of addressing "involution" competition, reflecting the government's commitment to managing disorderly competition in the photovoltaic industry [1] - Minsheng Securities noted that the photovoltaic industry is currently at the bottom in terms of prices and profitability, with expectations for a rebound through policy and industry self-discipline [2]
光伏行业内卷68家公司年亏257亿 工信部出手治理推动减产创新寻出路
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-07-06 22:33
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the urgent need for the photovoltaic (PV) industry to combat "involution," characterized by excessive competition leading to low prices and reduced profitability, as emphasized by recent government meetings and industry responses [1][18]. Industry Overview - The PV industry has experienced a dramatic shift from profitability in 2023 to significant losses in 2024, with 68 PV equipment companies collectively losing approximately 257 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 993 billion yuan in 2023 [3][9]. - Major companies like Tongwei Co., Longi Green Energy, and JinkoSolar reported substantial revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan in 2023, but faced severe losses in 2024, with Longi Green Energy and TCL Zhonghuan losing 98.18 billion yuan and 86.18 billion yuan respectively [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - The industry has seen a split performance, with some segments like PV processing equipment and inverters thriving, while others, particularly silicon wafer and module manufacturers, are struggling with massive losses [3][8]. - The aggressive expansion strategies adopted by leading firms during the high-demand years of 2022 and 2023 have contributed to structural overcapacity and price declines in 2024, leading to a situation where companies are losing money even as they increase sales [10][13]. Policy and Industry Response - The government has initiated measures to regulate low-price competition and promote product quality, with the Central Financial Committee emphasizing the need for orderly market practices [1][18]. - Industry associations and companies are advocating for self-regulation and collaboration to foster a healthier market environment, with initiatives like the "Photovoltaic Industry Cooperation Initiative" signed by nine companies in 2023 [15][16]. Technological Innovation - Companies are increasingly focusing on technological advancements and innovation to improve product quality and operational efficiency, as seen with JinkoSolar's recent achievement in achieving a record conversion efficiency for its N-type solar cells [17][18].
光伏,活在产能出清的恐惧中
投中网· 2025-07-05 06:33
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing severe challenges, with many companies facing bankruptcy and an oversupply of production capacity, leading to continuous price declines and financial losses across the sector [4][5][6][8]. Group 1: Industry Status - As of 2024, at least 70 photovoltaic companies have filed for bankruptcy, primarily affecting small and medium-sized enterprises, with 40% of these bankruptcies occurring in the battery and module segments [8]. - The "installation rush" in the first half of the year led to a record high of 198 GW of new installations from January to May, yet prices across the photovoltaic supply chain continue to decline [6][9]. - The industry is in a prolonged "hell" phase, with companies bleeding cash while waiting for a balance between supply and demand [6][12]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, 40% of the 138 listed photovoltaic companies reported losses, with the top 10 loss-making companies collectively losing over 53 billion yuan [19][21]. - Major companies like Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar reported significant losses in the first quarter of 2025, with combined losses nearing 8.4 billion yuan [20][21]. Group 3: Capacity and Market Dynamics - As of the end of 2024, the production capacity for key segments in the photovoltaic supply chain is significantly higher than the projected global installation capacity, indicating a severe oversupply [15]. - The expansion of production capacity has not ceased, with numerous projects initiated in 2024, leading to further potential oversupply issues [15][16]. - The presence of state-owned enterprises acquiring struggling companies has hindered the necessary market corrections, allowing many non-competitive firms to remain operational [16][17]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Industry experts suggest that without strong regulatory measures, the current cycle of overcapacity and price wars will continue, potentially leading to the exit of major players [21][22]. - Proposed solutions include market-driven mergers and acquisitions, technological elimination mechanisms, and policy enforcement to manage capacity effectively [22].