Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sector, including Ningde Times, Kodali, and others [6][7]. Core Insights - The electric equipment and new energy sector experienced a decline of 5.10% in the past week, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index. The lithium battery index saw the smallest drop at 1.03%, while the nuclear power index faced the largest decline at 8.96% [1]. - A significant development is the mass production of aviation-grade solid-state batteries by XWANDA, which includes two product lines with energy densities of 320Wh/kg and 380Wh/kg, targeting various applications including eVTOLs [2][15]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have announced a new capacity compensation mechanism for power generation, aiming to create a more market-oriented and unified system [3][37]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - XWANDA has achieved mass production of aviation-grade solid-state batteries, with Gen1 (320Wh/kg) for lightweight drones and Gen2 (380Wh/kg) for eVTOLs, featuring fast charging and high safety standards [2][15][19]. - The company plans to introduce Gen3 batteries with over 400Wh/kg energy density by 2026 and 500Wh/kg full solid-state batteries by 2027 [15][21]. New Energy Generation - The new capacity compensation mechanism expands the scope to include coal and gas power, as well as independent storage resources, promoting a more scientific and market-driven approach [3][38]. - The mechanism aims to unify compensation standards based on actual peak output capabilities rather than installed capacity, enhancing the reliability of power supply [38][39]. Electric Equipment and Industrial Control - Hunan Province plans to invest 45.2 billion yuan in 2026 to accelerate the construction of 24 key energy projects, including high-voltage transmission projects [4]. - The China Electric Power Research Institute has successfully scaled up the application of high-performance transformer protection technology in major power projects [4]. Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX is seeking to deploy a constellation of up to 1 million satellites to create an orbital AI data center, indicating a significant advancement in commercial aerospace [5]. Market Performance - The report highlights key companies to watch, including Ningde Times, Kodali, and others, as they navigate the current market dynamics [12].

Core Insights - The performance of A-share listed companies for 2025 is showing a "polarization" trend, with significant differences in industry prosperity affecting earnings, where some companies achieve substantial profit growth while others, particularly in real estate and photovoltaic sectors, face losses [2][10] Group 1: Earnings Reports - As of January 30, over 70 companies have disclosed their 2025 annual reports, with more than 2200 companies providing earnings forecasts, indicating a clearer market outlook [2][7] - Among the companies that have reported, 51 achieved year-on-year revenue growth, highlighting the resilience of profit growth [3][6] - The top three companies in revenue growth are Shouyao Holdings, Lier Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten, with revenue increases of approximately 120%, 82.97%, and 47.84% respectively [4][5] Group 2: Profit Growth - A total of 47 companies reported year-on-year growth in net profit, with Wohua Pharmaceutical and Lier Chemical showing particularly strong performance, with net profit increases of 162.93% and 122.33% respectively [6] - Wohua Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 0.817 billion with a net profit of 0.096 billion, while Lier Chemical reported a revenue of 9.008 billion and a net profit of 0.479 billion [6] Group 3: Earnings Forecasts - Approximately 900 out of 2200 companies that disclosed earnings forecasts are expected to see profit increases, indicating strong growth momentum in the A-share market [7][10] - Notably, over 60 companies anticipate net profit growth exceeding 500%, with 20 companies expecting over 1000% growth, showcasing robust development potential [7][10] - Ningbo Fubang stands out with an expected net profit increase of 3099.59% to 4379.43%, driven by rising silver prices and asset optimization [8][9] Group 4: Loss Predictions - A significant number of companies, particularly in the real estate and photovoltaic sectors, are expected to report losses, with major firms like China Fortune Land Development and Greenland Holdings forecasting losses of 16 billion to 24 billion and 16 billion to 19 billion respectively [10] - The photovoltaic sector is also heavily impacted, with companies like Tongwei and TCL Zhonghuan predicting losses of 9 billion to 10 billion and 8.2 billion to 9.6 billion respectively [10]

Core Insights - The lithium battery core material shipment volume is expected to achieve year-on-year growth by 2025, with a clear concentration of leading companies in the industry [2] - The lithium material industry is entering a new phase of value competition by 2026, with a focus on technological innovation and supply chain resilience [7] Positive Electrode Materials - Lithium Iron Phosphate - In 2025, China's lithium iron phosphate positive electrode material shipment volume reached 3.944 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, accounting for 79.1% of the total positive electrode material shipment volume [3] - The top ten companies in this segment include Hunan YN, Wanrun Energy, and Defang Nano, with Hunan YN leading with over 1 million tons and a market share of approximately 29.8%-30% [3] Positive Electrode Materials - NCM - In 2025, China's NCM material shipment volume reached 786,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 22.2% [4] - The leading companies in this segment are Nantong Ruixiang, Tianjin Bamo, and Rongzhi Technology, with Nantong Ruixiang achieving nearly 200,000 tons in shipments [4] Negative Electrode Materials - In 2025, China's negative electrode material shipment volume reached 2.922 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 38.1% [5] - The top three companies, including Better Energy, Shanghai Shanshan, and Zhongke Xingcheng, collectively hold a market share of 50.9% [5] Electrolytes - In 2025, global lithium-ion battery electrolyte shipment volume grew by 44.5% to 2.402 million tons, with China's actual shipment volume reaching 2.235 million tons, accounting for 93.05% of the global market [6] - The leading companies in this segment include Tianci Materials and BYD, with Tianci Materials achieving a shipment volume of 720,000 tons and a market share of 32.2% [6] Separators - In 2025, China's lithium-ion battery separator total shipment volume reached 32.85 billion square meters, a year-on-year increase of 44.4% [7] - The top companies in this segment include Shanghai Enjie and Hebei Jinli, with Shanghai Enjie achieving nearly 10 billion square meters in shipments and a market share exceeding 30% [7] Industry Outlook for 2026 - By 2026, global lithium-ion battery shipment volume is expected to reach 3,016.3 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 30% [7] - The industry is anticipated to see intensified competition among leading companies and accelerated exit of weaker players, driven by the expansion of the energy storage market and growth in new energy vehicle exports [7]

Macro and Strategy - The fixed income investment strategy for February 2026 focuses on convertible bonds, suggesting a "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" portfolio, with an emphasis on growth sectors and defensive allocations in power and banking [7] - The report highlights that the small-cap growth style outperformed the large-cap value in January, with significant increases in resource sectors, while the market's valuation levels indicate potential for upward movement [7] - The report anticipates a continuation of the "spring excitement" market trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to break through 4200 points, driven by increased retail investment as high-interest savings mature [7] Industry and Company Mechanical Industry - SpaceX aims for complete reuse of its Starship rockets in 2026, which could reduce space access costs by 99%, while Tesla plans to sell humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027 [11][12] - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics, particularly focusing on supply chain companies involved in rocket manufacturing and AI infrastructure [12][13] Energy Sector - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) expects capital expenditures of approximately RMB 8.44 billion for 2026, focusing on equipment investment and technology upgrades, with a positive outlook on its operational performance [24] - The report predicts that international oil prices will stabilize and rise slightly, with CNOOC's business structure continuously optimizing, leading to improved profit margins [24] Battery Materials - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. anticipates a 42% increase in net profit for 2025, driven by strong sales of lithium cobalt oxide and ongoing advancements in solid-state battery materials [25][26] - The company is expanding its production capacity for high-performance battery materials and is actively developing new materials for electric vehicles and energy storage [27] Insurance Sector - Ping An Insurance is focusing on enhancing its liability business and value transformation, which is expected to improve its valuation amid easing real estate risks [28][29] - The report maintains profit forecasts for Ping An from 2025 to 2027, with expected earnings per share of RMB 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation recovery [29] Sportswear Industry - The sportswear market is experiencing a bifurcation, with high-end brands driving growth in apparel while footwear prices are under pressure, leading to a decline in sales for many brands [18][19] - The report highlights that domestic brands are facing significant price competition, with performance varying widely across different product categories [20][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 755 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 42%. Revenue is projected to reach 20.03 billion yuan, up 48% year-on-year [2] - The company maintains a leading position in lithium cobalt oxide, with sales expected to reach 65,300 tons in 2025, a 41% increase year-on-year, and a market share of 51%, up 7 percentage points [3] - The company is accelerating the industrialization of solid-state battery materials and new structural materials, with significant investments planned for high-performance battery materials and hydrogen energy materials [4] Financial Projections - The company is projected to have revenues of 20.03 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 755 million yuan, and an EPS of 1.50 yuan [5][6] - The expected EBIT margin for 2025 is 5.4%, with a net asset return (ROE) of 7.8% [6] - The company’s dynamic PE ratio is forecasted to be 60.8 for 2025, decreasing to 37.8 by 2027 [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 厦钨新能（688778.SH） 优于大市 业绩快速增长，固态电池材料布局持续推进 公司 2025 年预计实现归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比+42%。公司 2025 年预计 实现营收 200.34 亿元，同比+48%；实现归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比+42%； 实现扣非归母净利润 7.05 亿元，同比+58%。公司 2025Q4 预计实现营收 69.75 亿元、环比+26%，实现归母净利润 2.03 亿元、环比-17%，实现扣非归母净 利润 1.99 亿元、环比-7%。公司公告 2025 年计提存货跌价损失 1.17 亿元， 其中 Q4 计提 1.19 亿元；计提信用减值损失 0.88 亿元，其中 Q4 计提 0.39 亿元。 公司钴酸锂全球领先地位稳固，盈利能力稳中向好。2025 年公司紧抓国家换 机补贴政策机遇，并顺应 3C 消费设备 AI 化带来的电池电量升级趋势，钴酸 锂销量及份额快速提升。公司 2025 年钴酸锂销量 6.53 万吨，同比+41%；其 中 Q4 销量约为 1.84 万吨，环比+2%，Q4 单吨净利估计超 1 万元、环比稳中 向好。根据鑫椤 ...

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 张璐 全球钴酸锂龙头企业厦钨新能（688778.SH）交出了一份亮眼的成绩单。 1月27日，厦钨新能发布2025年度业绩快报。数据显示，公司2025年实现营收200.34亿元，同比增幅达47.84%；实 现归母净利润7.55亿元，同比增长41.83%，盈利能力持续优化。 作为国内锂电池正极材料领域的领军企业，厦钨新能此次业绩爆发，不仅终结此前两年因行业周期调整导致的业 绩回调态势，更彰显了其强大的经营韧性。 厦钨新能核心产品表现突出，2025年钴酸锂销量达6.53万吨，同比增长41.31%，动力电池正极材料销量7.74万 吨，同比增长47.83%，多元产品协同发力筑牢增长根基。 此外，长江商报记者注意到，公司深耕主营业务，持续加码研发创新，2021年—2025年前三季度研发费用累计达 25.02亿元，截至2025年上半年，公司在国内外拥有288项注册专利，研发人员达544人，占总人数近15%。 2025年营收超200亿 公开资料显示，厦钨新能为厦门钨业控股子公司，主要从事新能源电池材料的研发、生产和销售，主要产品为钴 酸锂、三元材料、磷酸铁锂、氢能材料等。2021年8月，该公司在 ...

1月27日，厦钨新能(688778.SH)公告称， 2025年实现营业总收入200.34亿元，同比增长47.84%；实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 7.55亿元，同比增长41.83%。 往 期 回 顾 | | ｜ | 联动天翼：涅槃归来，三大核心产品强攻高端细分赛道 | | --- | --- | --- | | | ｜ | 比亚迪下发3年材料长单！ | | 03 | ｜ | 剑指中东！4大锂电龙头产能出海 | | 04 | ｜ 举办！ | 2026（第二届）起点锂电圆柱电池技术论坛暨圆柱电池20强排行榜发布会4月深圳 | | 01 02 | | | 锂电交流群—码上入群 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | 增减变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 幅度(%) | | | | 调整前 | 调整后 | 调整后 | | 营业总收入 | 2,003, 365. 33 | 1, 329, 679. 03 | 1.355,083.62 | 47.84 | | 营业利润 | 87. 505. 02 | 51, 323. 33 | 55.665.95 | 5 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's Q4 performance met expectations, with a total revenue of 20.03 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 754.9 million yuan, up 52.79% year-on-year [7] - The company has seen steady growth in lithium cobalt oxide shipments, with a total sales volume of 65,300 tons in 2025, a 41% increase year-on-year. The profitability remains high, with a projected net profit of over 10,000 yuan per ton in Q4 [7] - The company is experiencing stable growth in ternary and lithium iron phosphate sales, with total sales of 77,000 tons in 2025, a 48% increase year-on-year. The company expects to achieve profitability in lithium iron phosphate sales in 2026 [7] - The solid-state battery business is progressing well, with the company having established a production capacity of 10 tons in 2025 and plans for a hundred-ton production line in 2026 [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards due to increased expense provisions, with net profits projected at 7.5 billion, 10.5 billion, and 12.7 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 17.31 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 39.79%. For 2024, revenue is expected to be 13.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.19% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 527.45 million yuan, down 52.93% year-on-year, and for 2024, it is projected at 494.07 million yuan, a decrease of 6.33% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 1.05 yuan, decreasing to 0.98 yuan in 2024 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 88.99 for 2023, decreasing to 95.00 for 2024, and further down to 62.18 for 2025 [1][8]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 厦钨新能（688778） 2025 年业绩快报点评：Q4 业绩符合预期，固 态业务稳步推进 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 17,311 | 13,297 | 20,032 | 22,077 | 25,352 | | 同比（%） | (39.79) | (23.19) | 50.65 | 10.21 | 14.84 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 527.45 | 494.07 | 754.90 | 1,054.59 | 1,274.04 | | 同比（%） | (52.93) | (6.33) | 52.79 | 39.70 | 2 ...