Core Viewpoint - The communication sector is experiencing significant growth, with the National Communication Index rising by 1.90% and notable increases in individual stocks such as Dekoli and Zhongci Electronics [1][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Communication ETF (159695) has increased by 2.20%, with a cumulative rise of 7.77% over the past two weeks as of September 4, 2025 [1][4]. - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 23.05% and a transaction value of 57.993 million yuan [4]. - The ETF's scale grew by 31.8469 million yuan over the past week, ranking first among comparable funds, with the latest share count reaching 139 million, a one-year high [4]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - Leading optical module companies achieved a total revenue of 27.682 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking an 83.54% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 8.837 billion yuan, up 127.88% [5]. - The gross margin for these companies was reported at 43.4%, with a net profit margin of 32.82% [5]. - The market for optical modules is expanding, with predictions indicating a 21% market share in Scale-up networks by 2030 [5]. Group 3: Key Stocks and Weightings - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Communication Index account for 64.43% of the index, with significant players including Xinyi, Zhongji Xuchuang, and ZTE [5]. - Notable stock performances include Zhongji Xuchuang rising by 3.35% and Xinyi increasing by 5.13%, while China Telecom and China Mobile saw declines of 2.03% and 0.35%, respectively [7].

Group 1: Overall Performance of Listed Companies - The total operating revenue of listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen reached 34.92 trillion yuan, with a net profit of 2.99 trillion yuan for the first half of 2025 [1] - Shenzhen companies achieved a total operating revenue of 10.24 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.64%, and a net profit of 595.46 billion yuan, up 8.88% [1] - Shanghai companies reported operating revenue of 24.68 trillion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.3%, with a net profit of 2.39 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.1% [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Emerging industries such as semiconductors, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and new energy are rapidly rising, while traditional industries like steel and machinery are seeking transformation [2] - The electronics sector in Shenzhen saw 253 companies generate 984.76 billion yuan in revenue, a 14.1% increase, and a net profit of 454.57 billion yuan, up 24.59% [3] - The computer industry in Shenzhen reported 501.25 billion yuan in revenue, a 13.74% increase, and a net profit of 122.85 billion yuan, up 26% [5] Group 3: R&D Investment - Shenzhen companies invested a total of 352.97 billion yuan in R&D, with significant contributions from companies like BYD and ZTE [9] - The R&D investment in strategic emerging industries in Shenzhen reached 92.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.36% [9] - Shanghai's R&D investment also hit a record high of 432.6 billion yuan, growing by 1% [9] Group 4: International Expansion - Over 830 manufacturing companies in Shanghai achieved overseas revenue of 1.1 trillion yuan, a 5% increase [11] - Shenzhen's strategic emerging industries reported overseas income of 434.66 billion yuan, a 23.59% increase, with a 29.22% share of total revenue [11] - Companies are diversifying their overseas markets, with significant growth in exports from firms like Huayou Cobalt and Quectel [12] Group 5: Dividend and Shareholder Returns - A total of 794 listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen announced mid-term dividends amounting to 643.81 billion yuan [12] - Shenzhen companies saw an 18.04% increase in the number of mid-term dividends declared, with a 49.51% increase in dividend amounts [12] - Companies are also increasing share buybacks, with Shenzhen firms announcing 230 buyback plans totaling 68.21 billion yuan [13]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated on September 4, with a total market turnover of 2.58 trillion yuan, an increase of over 180 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 2,200 stocks closed higher, with 44 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] Stock Ratings and Predictions - A total of 174 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 160 stocks, with Great Wall Motors receiving the highest attention with three buy ratings [2] - Among the stocks rated by institutions, 43 stocks have an upside potential exceeding 20%, with ZTE Corporation having the highest potential at 64.96% based on a target price of 67.37 yuan per share [2] - The power equipment sector is the most favored by institutions, with 15 stocks including EVE Energy and Tianci Materials listed in the buy rating rankings [2] Institutional and Foreign Investment - In the top stocks by net buying on the Dragon and Tiger list, Tianfu Communication and New Yisheng led with net purchases of 623 million yuan and 409 million yuan, respectively [3] - Northbound funds net bought 16 stocks, with New Yisheng and Tianfu Communication again leading the net buying amounts [3] Company Announcements - BYD announced that seven out of eight roll-on/roll-off ships have been put into operation, and it aims to achieve the highest sales of new energy vehicles in several countries by the first half of 2025 [4] - Seiyun Circuit reported that its AI glasses product has entered mass production for a major overseas client, and it has achieved mass production of various AI server-related products [5] - Dongfang Yuhong signed a strategic procurement cooperation agreement with China State Construction Third Engineering Division for gypsum board and light steel keel products [6][7] - JianTou Energy received approval from its controlling shareholder, Hebei JianTou Group, to issue up to 231 million shares to no more than 35 specific investors [7]

Market Overview - On September 4, the A-share market experienced a collective pullback, with all three major indices declining. The total trading volume reached 2.58 trillion yuan, an increase of over 180 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Despite the overall market adjustment, more than 2,200 stocks closed higher, with 44 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] Sector Performance - The dairy, duty-free shops, and prepared dishes sectors led the market's rise, while sectors related to national big fund holdings, packaging optics, and lithography machines saw significant declines [1] Institutional Ratings - A total of 174 buy ratings were issued by institutions, covering 160 stocks. Great Wall Motors became a market focus, receiving three buy ratings from institutions. Among the stocks with buy ratings, 64 records provided explicit target prices, with 43 stocks showing an upside potential exceeding 20% [1] High Upside Potential Stocks - ZTE Corporation has the highest upside potential, with a target price of 67.37 yuan per share, indicating a potential increase of 64.96%. Other stocks with significant upside include AVIC Optoelectronics and BYD, with potential increases of 63.44% and 54.81%, respectively [1] Industry Preferences - The power equipment industry is favored by institutions, with stocks like EVE Energy and Tianci Materials among 15 stocks receiving buy ratings. The automotive and machinery equipment industries also attracted institutional attention, with 14 and 12 stocks, respectively, receiving buy ratings [1] Northbound Capital Inflows - New Yi Sheng and Tianfu Communication received significant attention from both institutions and northbound capital. They ranked first and second in net buying amounts, with 4.01 billion yuan and 2.82 billion yuan, respectively [4] Company Announcements - BYD announced its global presence in over 112 countries and regions, leading in several overseas new energy vehicle markets. Seven of its eight roll-on/roll-off ships are now operational. Additionally, Seiyun Circuit reported mass production of its AI glasses for major overseas clients and several technological breakthroughs in the AI server field [7]

Summary of ZTE Corp (763 HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: ZTE Corp (763 HK) - **Sector**: Telecommunications - **Current Price**: HKD 36.22 (as of September 1, 2025) - **Target Price**: HKD 39.00, implying a 7.7% upside [4][22] Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue growth accelerated to **21% y-y** (1Q25: +7.8% y-y) - Earnings declined by **13% y-y** (1Q25: -10.5% y-y) [1][14] - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Carrier network revenue declined by **6% y-y** in 1H25 - Enterprise segment revenue grew by **110% y-y**, driven by AI server shipments [1][2] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: - GPM declined by **8.0pp y-y to 32.5%** in 1H25 and **8.1pp y-y to 30.9%** in 2Q25 [1][14] - **Cost Control**: - R&D expenses decreased by **2.7% y-y** in 1H25 and **2.5% y-y** in 2Q24, partially offsetting GPM decline [1] Revenue and Earnings Forecasts - **Revised Revenue Forecasts**: - FY25F-27F revenue forecasts raised by **8.5-10.0%** due to stronger AI server demand [1][13] - **Earnings Adjustments**: - FY25F-27F earnings forecasts cut by **4-21%** due to margin dilution [1][13] - **Future Revenue Contribution**: - Enterprise/government segment expected to contribute **34% of total revenue by 2027F** with a **43% revenue CAGR** from FY24-27F [2] Market Dynamics - **Carrier Business Challenges**: - Continued downcycle in 5G infrastructure spending in China impacting growth [2][18] - **AI Server Demand**: - Strong demand driven by accelerated AI investments from domestic tech players [2] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: - Target price based on **19x FY26F EPS of CNY1.88**, aligned with FY25-27F earnings CAGR [11][18] - **Risks**: - **Downside Risks**: Slower-than-expected 5G spending, US-China trade tensions - **Upside Risks**: Faster recovery in telecom demand, better margin improvements in enterprise and consumer segments [11][18] Additional Insights - **Cash Flow and Debt**: - Ending cash projected to increase from **CNY 43.9 billion in FY24** to **CNY 566.6 billion in FY27** [10] - Net debt/equity ratio expected to rise to **30.9% by FY27** [10] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately **USD 19.45 billion** [4][8] Conclusion ZTE Corp is navigating a challenging telecom environment with a strong focus on AI server growth. Despite margin pressures, the company is expected to benefit from increased demand in the enterprise segment, leading to revised revenue forecasts. The stock maintains a Neutral rating with a target price reflecting potential upside.

Market Performance - As of September 4, the China AI 50 concept index declined by 5.11%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with Data Port hitting the daily limit down, and companies like New Yisheng, Cambricon, and Zhongji Xuchuang also experiencing significant declines [1] - The main funds saw a net outflow of 13.007 billion yuan from the China AI 50 concept, with 43 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 26 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 1 billion yuan [2] Key Stocks - Zhongji Xuchuang had the highest net outflow of main funds at 2.003 billion yuan, followed by New Yisheng with 1.778 billion yuan, and Haiguang Information with 1.481 billion yuan [2] - The stocks with the largest declines included Zhongji Xuchuang (-13.39%), New Yisheng (-15.58%), and Haiguang Information (-11.13%) [3] Fund Flow Analysis - The top stocks with net inflows included China Telecom (net inflow of 235 million yuan), Cambricon (net inflow of 141 million yuan), and Top Group (net inflow of 99.31 million yuan) [4] - The overall trend indicates a significant outflow from the AI sector, reflecting investor sentiment and market dynamics [2][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that ZTE Corporation has shown strong mid-term performance, with a revenue growth of 15%, driven by robust demand in the government and enterprise sector as well as consumer business [1] - Revenue from the government and enterprise segment increased by 110%, while consumer business revenue grew by 8% [1] - The gross margin narrowed by 8.1 percentage points year-on-year to 30.9%, attributed to a higher proportion of lower-margin server sales in the government business and an increase in AI server shipments [1] Group 2 - The report anticipates that the computing demand from domestic internet service providers will remain strong for the remainder of the year [1] - ZTE's component inventory is expected to support its continued strong growth [1] - The forecast for ZTE's government business revenue is a year-on-year increase of 104% for the current year, with a projected growth of 14% for the next year [1] Group 3 - The report indicates that while the gross margin may continue to be under pressure this year, it is believed that it will not deteriorate further [1] - The rating for ZTE Corporation is maintained at "outperform," with the target price raised from HKD 33 to HKD 40 [1]

Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation reported strong mid-term performance with a revenue growth of 15%, driven by robust demand in the government and enterprise sector as well as consumer business [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue from the government and enterprise business increased by 110%, while consumer business revenue grew by 8% [1] - The overall revenue growth is attributed to favorable demand in the domestic internet service provider sector [1] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin narrowed by 8.1 percentage points year-on-year to 30.9%, primarily due to a higher proportion of lower-margin server sales in the government business and an increase in AI server shipments [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the remaining part of the year, with a forecasted annual revenue growth of 104% for the government business and 14% for the following year [1] - Although gross margin may continue to be under pressure throughout the year, it is believed that further deterioration is unlikely [1] Analyst Rating - The firm maintains a "Outperform" rating for ZTE Corporation, raising the target price from HKD 33 to HKD 40 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target of outperforming the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [5][18]. Core Views - The company is fully committed to AI, which has driven stable revenue growth in the first half of 2025. The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 71.553 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.058 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.77% [2][4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its capabilities in the AI and computing infrastructure sectors, which has led to significant growth in its second curve revenue, particularly in server and storage products, which saw a year-on-year increase of over 200% [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A at 124.251 billion yuan, 2024A at 121.299 billion yuan, 2025E at 137.068 billion yuan, 2026E at 150.774 billion yuan, and 2027E at 165.098 billion yuan, with growth rates of 1.1%, -2.4%, 13.0%, 10.0%, and 9.5% respectively [1][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 9.326 billion yuan in 2023A, 8.425 billion yuan in 2024A, 8.561 billion yuan in 2025E, 9.208 billion yuan in 2026E, and 9.987 billion yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 15.4%, -9.7%, 1.6%, 7.6%, and 8.5% respectively [1][10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline slightly from 13.5% in 2023A to 10.7% in 2027E [1][10]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its product technology in the connectivity and computing fields, focusing on 5G core networks and AI-driven large-scale computing clusters. It has established over 450 project cases globally in data center products [3][4]. - The company has launched innovative AI terminal products in the first half of 2025, including the Nubia Z70S Ultra and Nubia Flip 2, maintaining a leading position in the mobile internet market [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is entering a phase of accelerated revenue growth driven by AI server demand, with comprehensive AI capabilities expected to strengthen competitive power [1] Revenue and Profitability - Revenue forecasts for the company are raised due to rapid growth in AI servers, while profit estimates are slightly lowered due to structural impacts. Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 141.3 billion, 161.9 billion, and 184.1 billion respectively, with net profits of 8.057 billion, 8.968 billion, and 10.276 billion respectively, leading to EPS of 1.68, 1.87, and 2.15 [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 71.553 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, and a net profit of 5.058 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.77%. The gross margin was 32.45%, down 8.02 percentage points year-on-year [2] Growth in Second Growth Curve - The second growth curve, represented by computing power and terminal products, saw nearly 100% year-on-year revenue growth, with server and storage revenue increasing over 200%. AI server revenue accounted for 55% of total revenue [3] - The company won a significant share of the centralized procurement for AI general computing devices from China Mobile for 2025-2026, highlighting its competitive strength [3] AI Capabilities - The company has demonstrated outstanding AI full-stack capabilities, achieving significant breakthroughs in the computing power field with its self-developed chips and AI servers. The "Dinghai" DPU chip, "Lingyun" switch chip, and "Zhu Feng" CPU chip are notable examples [4] - The company received the Annual Major Breakthrough Achievement Award at the 2025 China Computing Power Conference for its AI supernode system, showcasing its leading chip design capabilities [4]