Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for the third quarter and the first three quarters of the year, indicating potential challenges in its financial performance [1] Financial Performance Summary - Third quarter revenue was 6.347 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.20% [1] - Third quarter net profit was 657 million, a year-on-year decrease of 29.47% [1] - Revenue for the first three quarters was 19.905 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.25% [1] - Net profit for the first three quarters was 2.586 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 17.77% [1]

北新集团建材股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 2.公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人(会计主管人员)声明：保证季度报告中财务信息的真实、准确、 完整。 3.第三季度财务会计报告是否经过审计 □是 否 证券代码：000786 证券简称：北新建材 公告编号：2025-055 北新集团建材股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 1.董事会及董事、高级管理人员保证季度报告的真实、准确、完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担 个别和连带的法律责任。 1 北新集团建材股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 一、主要财务数据 （一） 主要会计数据和财务指标 公司是否需追溯调整或重述以前年度会计数据 □是 否 | | 本报告期 | 本报告期比上年同期 | 年初至报告期末 | 年初至报告期末比上 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 增减 | 年同期增减 | | | 营业收入（元） | 6,347,283,983.48 | -6.20% | 19 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [5] Core Insights - Infrastructure investment showed weakness in September, but the fourth quarter may benefit from increased funding and policy catalysts. The report highlights the importance of infrastructure as a stabilizing measure for the economy, with a focus on undervalued, high-dividend construction stocks [1][2] - The real estate sector saw a decline in sales area by 5.5% year-on-year from January to September, with a significant drop of 21.3% in September alone. However, the completion rate for real estate projects turned positive for the first time since 2024, indicating a potential recovery [2] - Cement demand is gradually weakening, with a production drop of 5.2% year-on-year from January to September. The report suggests that cement companies may seek to optimize supply and increase prices to recover profitability [3] - The flat glass market showed signs of improvement in September, with a slight increase in demand. However, overall production still declined by 5.2% year-on-year, and inventory levels have risen significantly [4] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment from January to September showed a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, but September alone saw a decline of 4.7%. The report anticipates a recovery in the fourth quarter due to early fiscal funding and new policy financial tools [1][2] Real Estate Sector - Real estate sales area decreased by 5.5% year-on-year from January to September, with a notable drop of 11.9% in September. New construction area fell by 18.9% year-on-year, while completion area saw a slight increase in September, marking the first positive growth since 2024 [2] Cement Industry - Cement production from January to September was 1.259 billion tons, down 5.2% year-on-year. The average shipment rate was 41.3%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year. The report indicates that cement companies are likely to push for price increases to enhance profitability [3] Glass Industry - Flat glass production from January to September was 72.881 million weight cases, down 5.2% year-on-year. The report notes a slight improvement in demand in September, but overall inventory levels have increased significantly, indicating potential challenges ahead [4]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.22% on October 23, with 21 out of the 28 sectors in the Shenwan classification experiencing gains. The top-performing sectors were coal and oil & petrochemicals, with increases of 1.75% and 1.53% respectively. Conversely, the sectors that saw the largest declines were telecommunications and real estate, down by 1.51% and 0.99% respectively [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - Throughout the day, the main capital outflow from both markets totaled 33.733 billion yuan. Six sectors saw net inflows, with the coal sector leading at a net inflow of 1.465 billion yuan, followed by the media sector with a net inflow of 362 million yuan and a daily increase of 0.90% [1]. - A total of 25 sectors experienced net capital outflows, with the electronics sector leading the outflow at 5.435 billion yuan, followed by the machinery equipment sector with an outflow of 4.999 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, and electrical equipment [1]. Construction Materials Sector - The construction materials sector declined by 0.91%, with a total net capital outflow of 697 million yuan. Out of 71 stocks in this sector, 30 stocks rose, including 2 that hit the daily limit, while 41 stocks fell [2]. - Among the stocks with net inflows, Beixin Building Materials topped the list with an inflow of 36.797 million yuan, followed by Jingxue Energy Saving and Qingsong Construction with inflows of 31.815 million yuan and 9.609 million yuan respectively. Conversely, the stocks with the largest net outflows included China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Zhongtie Assembly, with outflows of 65.220 million yuan, 64.058 million yuan, and 58.115 million yuan respectively [2][3]. Individual Stock Performance - The following table summarizes the capital flow and performance of key stocks in the construction materials sector: | Stock Code | Stock Name | Daily Change (%) | Turnover Rate (%) | Main Capital Flow (10,000 yuan) | |------------|------------------|------------------|-------------------|----------------------------------| | 600176 | China Jushi | -1.10 | 0.86 | -65.220 | | 002080 | Zhongcai Technology | -6.01 | 3.09 | -64.058 | | 300374 | Zhongtie Assembly | -8.92 | 21.62 | -58.115 | | 600585 | Conch Cement | -0.38 | 0.56 | -53.628 | | 600293 | Three Gorges New Materials | -6.95 | 16.94 | -49.968 | | 600326 | Tibet Tianlu | -1.70 | 4.85 | -47.501 | | 603256 | Honghe Technology | -4.50 | 1.48 | -42.050 | | 301526 | International Composite Materials | -1.97 | 4.37 | -39.217 | | 605318 | Fashilong | 9.99 | 6.66 | -32.091 | | 000877 | Tianshan Shares | -2.94 | 0.61 | -27.135 | | 002225 | Purenai Shares | -3.76 | 3.88 | -25.901 | | 000672 | Shangfeng Cement | -1.53 | 2.35 | -22.121 | | 600819 | Yaopi Glass | -0.76 | 3.79 | -21.966 | | 001212 | Zhongqi New Materials | -1.95 | 2.87 | -21.142 | | 601636 | Qibin Group | -0.15 | 1.03 | -18.347 | | 603038 | Huali Shares | -0.59 | 6.65 | -16.302 | | 002392 | Beijing Lier | -1.44 | 1.18 | -14.091 | | 002043 | Rabbit Baby | -4.09 | 2.59 | -13.805 | | 002066 | Ruitai Technology | 0.06 | 8.24 | -13.524 | [2][3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has announced a price increase for gypsum boards, which is expected to enhance Q4 performance. This is the second price increase in the second half of the year, indicating a shift away from previous price wars in the industry [6] - The company holds over 60% market share in the gypsum board sector, giving it significant pricing power. The price hikes may gradually take effect [6] - The company is also implementing price increases in its waterproofing segment, which may lead to improved profit margins in Q3 [6] - The company is expanding globally with projects in various countries, including a new gypsum fiberboard project and an industrial coatings production base [6] - A stock incentive plan has been completed, aiming for significant growth in net profit and return on equity from 2025 to 2027 [6] - The company expects net profits of 40 billion, 48 billion, and 55 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to valuation multiples of 10, 9, and 7 times [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 25,821 million in 2024 to 31,373 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 8.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 3,647 million in 2024 to 5,518 million by 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [5] - The company’s gross margin is forecasted to remain stable, with slight improvements expected in the coming years [5]

Market Performance - The renovation and building materials sector rose by 1.11% on October 15, with Youbang Ceiling leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3912.21, up 1.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13118.75, up 1.73% [1] Top Gainers in the Sector - Youbang Ceiling (002718) closed at 24.18, up 6.01% with a trading volume of 33,200 lots and a transaction value of approximately 77.50 million yuan [1] - Jianlang Hardware (002791) closed at 22.71, up 5.14% with a trading volume of 193,400 lots [1] - Fashilong (605318) closed at 52.86, up 4.32% with a trading volume of 59,900 lots and a transaction value of approximately 299 million yuan [1] Sector Fund Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net inflow of 92.69 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 129 million yuan [2] - The sector's main funds showed a mixed trend, with some companies attracting significant net inflows while others faced outflows [3] Notable Stocks with Fund Flow - Beixin Building Materials (000786) had a net inflow of approximately 36.81 million yuan from main funds, but a net outflow of 45.10 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Jianlang Hardware (002791) attracted a net inflow of about 30.89 million yuan from main funds, with a net outflow of 33.69 million yuan from retail investors [3] - San Ke Tree (603737) saw a net inflow of 12.85 million yuan from main funds, but also faced a net outflow of 11.04 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese building materials industry**, particularly companies like **Oriental Yuhong**, **Beijing New Building Materials (BNBM)**, **Vasen**, and **Skshu Paint** [1][5][43][47]. Core Insights - **Market Conditions**: Underlying demand remains weak, with a year-over-year decline in new builds and secondary property transactions. However, there is no significant sequential deterioration from the previous quarter [5][12]. - **Price Stabilization**: Pricing has stabilized across most product categories, with some sectors like waterproofing and gypsum board seeing mild price restoration. A 1-2% price increase was noted in the project channel and a 3-5% increase in the retail channel for waterproofing materials [5][9]. - **Competitive Landscape**: Competition remains intense, particularly in gypsum board and plastic pipes. However, top players are becoming more price disciplined, which has led to some price restoration efforts [5][9]. Company-Specific Highlights Oriental Yuhong - **Earnings Outlook**: Anticipated positive earnings inflection in 3Q25, with expected growth in membrane volume and overall volume growth. Projected earnings growth of +5% year-over-year [9][43]. - **Market Position**: As the largest producer of waterproofing materials in China, Yuhong is well-positioned to expand market share due to cost competitiveness and strong channel capabilities [43][44]. Beijing New Building Materials (BNBM) - **Revenue and Profitability**: Expected slight decline in revenue for 3Q25, but the company is optimistic about new product expansions in waterproofing and coatings, which are expected to drive earnings growth [47]. - **Market Leadership**: BNBM is the world's largest producer of gypsum boards, benefiting from rising renovation demand [47]. Vasen - **Growth Challenges**: Despite being a leading producer of plastic piping systems, Vasen faces earnings downside risks due to the property completion downcycle and competition. The company is rated as a "Sell" due to unfavorable risk-reward dynamics [51][54]. - **Market Strategy**: Focus on expanding market share and cross-selling new products, but concerns remain about profitability and competition [51][54]. Skshu Paint - **Performance Expectations**: Expected to deliver +5% year-over-year top-line growth in 3Q25, driven by better pricing and expansion in new retail channels [9][54]. - **Market Position**: As the largest local supplier of architectural paint, Skshu Paint is in a fragmented market but faces competition from stronger brands like Nippon Paint [54]. Financial Metrics and Projections - **EPS Revisions**: Minor revisions in EPS forecasts for Vasen and BNBM, with downward revisions for Yuhong and Skshu due to impairment losses. However, 2026E-27E EPS estimates for Yuhong and Skshu have been raised due to expected pricing restoration [7][10]. - **Target Prices**: Target prices for Yuhong, BNBM, Vasen, and Skshu have been adjusted based on the latest financial metrics and market conditions [8][39][45][52]. Risks and Considerations - **General Risks**: Key risks include weaker-than-expected construction activities, unexpected increases in raw material prices, and potential impairment losses related to receivables from developers [40][46][50]. - **Company-Specific Risks**: Each company faces unique risks, such as BNBM's reliance on paper prices and Vasen's exposure to the property market downturn [46][51]. Conclusion - The Chinese building materials industry is navigating a challenging environment with weak demand and competitive pressures. However, companies like Oriental Yuhong and BNBM are positioned to leverage their market leadership and product expansions to drive future growth, while Vasen and Skshu Paint face more significant challenges in maintaining profitability amidst competition and market conditions [1][5][43][47].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Overweight" [70] Core Insights - The overall ESG scores for the 11 central enterprises in the building materials sector are good, with strengths in climate change response and social responsibility, while governance performance varies among companies [10][58] - The importance assessment shows that 10 companies have completed dual importance assessments, but third-party verification is lacking, with only one company introducing third-party validation [13][15] - Environmental and climate issues are prioritized, with scores ranging from 24 to 34 out of 35, indicating a strong focus on compliance and green transformation [17][18] - Social responsibility is highlighted through initiatives in rural revitalization and public welfare, with all companies demonstrating a strong commitment to social responsibility [44][47] - Governance structures are generally well-established, with most companies scoring high in governance mechanisms, although there is room for improvement in ESG information supervision [58][65] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - The ESG scores for the 11 central enterprises are generally above 70, with 2 companies scoring above 90, 5 between 80-89, 3 between 70-79, and 1 between 60-69 [10][12] Importance Assessment - 10 companies disclosed importance assessments, with a focus on financial performance-related issues, but only one company provided third-party verification [13][15] Environmental & Climate - The total scores for environmental and climate issues range from 24 to 34, with 7 companies scoring between 30-34, indicating a strong emphasis on both environmental compliance and climate disclosure [17][18] - All companies disclosed their waste management practices, with a 100% disclosure rate for waste treatment [20] Social Responsibility - All 11 companies disclosed their social responsibility initiatives, particularly in rural revitalization and public welfare, demonstrating a strong commitment to social issues [44][47] Governance - Governance scores are concentrated in the mid to high range, with 9 out of 11 companies achieving high scores in governance structure [58][65] - Most companies have established effective governance mechanisms, but there is a need for improved transparency in ESG information supervision [58][65]

Investment Rating - The report rates the central state-owned enterprises in the building materials industry as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The overall ESG scores of the 11 central state-owned enterprises in the building materials sector are good, with strengths in climate change response and social responsibility, while governance performance varies among companies [4][12] - The scoring results show that 2 companies scored above 90, 5 companies scored between 80-89, 3 companies scored between 70-79, and 1 company scored between 60-69, with no companies scoring below 60 [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of ESG performance in the context of increasing regulatory requirements and market expectations [4] Summary by Sections 1. Overall Scores and Areas for Improvement - The ESG scores of the 11 central state-owned enterprises are generally good, with climate change and social responsibility being strong points, while governance disclosures need improvement [12] 2. Importance Assessment - 10 out of 11 companies disclosed importance assessments, indicating a high level of awareness regarding issues related to their financial performance [15][17] - Only 1 company included third-party verification in their ESG report, highlighting a gap in external validation [15][17] 3. Environmental & Climate Focus - The total scores for "environment + climate change" range from 24 to 34 (out of 35), with 7 companies scoring between 30-34, indicating a strong focus on these issues [20] - All companies disclosed their waste management practices, with a 100% disclosure rate for "three wastes" [24] 4. Social Responsibility - All 11 companies disclosed their contributions to rural revitalization and social welfare, reflecting a strong commitment to social responsibility [53][56] - Most companies provided detailed accounts of their funding, project execution, and social impact [53] 5. Governance Structure - The governance scores are primarily in the mid to high range, with 9 out of 11 companies achieving full marks in three governance areas [68] - Most companies have established robust governance mechanisms, but disclosures regarding ESG information supervision are still lacking [68][71] 6. Climate Management - 8 companies have established climate management frameworks, but there is a need for improved transparency and quantification in risk management [49] - All companies disclosed their climate-related targets, focusing on carbon reduction and energy efficiency [50]

Market Overview - On October 13, the renovation and building materials sector declined by 0.32% compared to the previous trading day, with ST Nanchuan leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.5, down 0.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13231.47, down 0.93% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the renovation and building materials sector included: - Huali Co., Ltd. (603038) with a closing price of 19.91, up 10.00% and a trading volume of 308,200 shares, totaling 596 million yuan [1] - Kesheng New Materials (920580) closed at 17.00, up 2.97% with a trading volume of 41,900 shares [1] - Wanli Stone (002785) closed at 38.24, up 2.22% with a trading volume of 194,200 shares, totaling 743 million yuan [1] - Notable decliners included: - ST Nanchuan (300198) closed at 2.20, down 2.65% with a trading volume of 153,300 shares, totaling 33.6 million yuan [2] - Beijing Lier (002392) closed at 9.97, down 2.16% with a trading volume of 292,000 shares [2] - Beixin Building Materials (000786) closed at 24.20, down 1.55% with a trading volume of 131,000 shares, totaling 316 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net inflow of 31.36 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 17.39 million yuan [2][3] - The capital flow for key stocks showed: - Huali Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 149 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 76.64 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Wanli Stone had a net inflow of 12.84 million yuan from institutional investors, with a slight outflow from retail investors [3] - Beixin Building Materials had a net inflow of 9.77 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 21.01 million yuan from retail investors [3]