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建材在底部,行业正迎来景气度和估值共振向上拐点
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 15:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the building materials sector, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][110]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is at a turning point, with both demand and valuation expected to improve. The real estate sector is anticipated to stabilize, leading to a recovery in building materials demand. The report highlights that new construction starts in 2025 are projected to decline by 70% compared to 2021, with completions down by 40% and new home sales down by 50% [9][8]. - Rising prices of upstream raw materials such as asphalt, polypropylene, and polyethylene are expected to drive up building material prices, benefiting companies with pricing power [9][8]. - The report recommends several companies, including Beixin Building Materials, Oriental Yuhong, and Sanhe Tree, while suggesting to pay attention to companies like Rabbit Baby and China Liansu [9][8]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials sector is currently underweighted, with a configuration ratio of 0.72% as of Q4 2025, which is significantly lower than the historical average since 2010 [8]. - The cement and glass sectors are noted to be at low valuation levels, with the cement manufacturing PB at the 16th percentile and glass manufacturing PB also at the 16th percentile since 2010 [8]. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Beixin Building Materials: EPS forecasted to increase from 2.1 in 2024 to 3.5 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 13.4 to 8.2 [6]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecasted to rise from 1.5 in 2024 to 2.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 17.3 to 11.6 [6]. - China Jushi: EPS expected to grow from 0.6 in 2024 to 1.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 36.1 to 18.6 [6]. - Other companies include Weixing New Materials, Sanhe Tree, and Huaxin Cement, all rated as "Buy" or "Increase" [6]. Industry Trends - The report notes a significant increase in market share for consumer building materials over the past few years, with profitability in segments like waterproofing and piping at a low point, suggesting potential for recovery [9][8]. - The cement sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability, with a current national cement market price decrease of 1% and a notable drop in average shipment rates [36][9]. - The float glass sector is experiencing a supply-side adjustment, with production capacity at a five-year low, indicating potential for price recovery [9][8]. Emerging Opportunities - The report highlights opportunities in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, Central Asia, and Southeast Asia, where rising populations and urbanization rates are creating demand for building materials [9][8]. - The electronic fabric market is also noted for its upward price trend due to supply constraints, with significant price increases observed in recent weeks [9][8]. Conclusion - The building materials industry is positioned for a recovery phase, driven by stabilization in the real estate market and rising raw material prices. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong pricing power and market positioning to capitalize on these trends [9][8].
建筑材料行业投资策略周报:普通电子布涨价超预期,上海拟收购二手房用作保租房-20260208
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 09:10
Core Insights - The report indicates that the price of ordinary electronic cloth has exceeded expectations, with significant price increases observed in recent months, suggesting a sustained high demand in the market [12][13] - Shanghai's initiative to purchase second-hand homes for rental purposes is expected to boost the supply of rental housing and stimulate the construction materials market [13][14] - The construction materials industry is currently at a historical valuation low, with potential for recovery as demand stabilizes and supply-side improvements take effect [23][25] Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The price of ordinary electronic cloth has seen cumulative increases of 1-1.2 RMB/m due to supply-demand imbalances and rising copper prices, indicating a long-term bullish trend [12] - The Shanghai government has launched a program to acquire second-hand homes for rental purposes, focusing on small-sized units, which is anticipated to enhance the supply of rental properties and invigorate the construction materials sector [13] - Recent data shows a recovery in second-hand home transactions, with significant year-on-year increases, suggesting a potential rebound in the real estate market [14][15] Group 2: Industry Fundamentals and Company Performance - The construction materials sector is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with various sub-sectors like cement and fiberglass showing signs of recovery, supported by supply-side adjustments and improved market conditions [23][25] - The report highlights that leading companies in the consumer building materials segment are demonstrating resilience, with improved revenue growth rates compared to the overall market, indicating strong operational capabilities [29] - Cement prices have recently decreased by 1%, but the overall market is expected to stabilize as companies implement price control measures and benefit from lower coal costs [25][26] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the consumer building materials sector, such as Three Trees, Rabbit Baby, and Oriental Yuhong, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing market recovery [23][25] - In the cement industry, companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and historical performance [25][26] - The fiberglass sector is also noted for its growth potential, with leading firms like China Jushi and Zhongtai Technology expected to capitalize on increasing demand for high-end electronic cloth [26][28]
建筑材料行业2026年投资策略:重点关注电子布板块,重视第二增长曲线
Southwest Securities· 2026-02-08 06:31
Core Viewpoints - The traditional building materials sector is expected to bottom out and recover due to a combination of factors such as the slowdown in new real estate demand and the gradual release of stock renovation demand, with consumer building materials benefiting significantly [4] - The special fiberglass electronic cloth sector is experiencing high demand due to the explosion of computing power needs, and companies with outstanding technical advantages and production capacity reserves are favored [4] - Infrastructure investment opportunities are promising, particularly in sectors related to urban renewal and underground pipeline construction [4] Cement Sector - Cement demand is expected to stabilize as confidence in the housing market strengthens, with a potential bottoming out of demand [26][29] - The production of cement is declining due to weak demand from the real estate sector, with a forecasted production volume of 1.693 billion tons in 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year [29] - The average price of cement is recovering due to industry self-discipline and effective supply control, with policies aimed at eliminating backward production capacity expected to accelerate this trend [33] Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass sector is expanding its application fields, with strong demand for electronic fiberglass cloth driven by the growth of computing power needs [36][41] - The apparent consumption of fiberglass in China has increased from 187,000 tons in 2012 to 624,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.56% [40] - The demand for high-performance computing and AI applications is significantly increasing, leading to a structural change in demand for fiberglass materials [44] Glass Sector - The demand for flat glass is under pressure due to a decline in housing completion areas, with consumption levels expected to continue decreasing [51] - The glass industry is facing high inventory levels, with total inventory reaching 58.227 million weight boxes as of December 11, 2025, indicating a need for supply-side adjustments [51] - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing growth, but overall glass prices are under pressure due to capacity expansion and declining demand [51] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a release of stock demand, with policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market expected to support sales and completion rates [62] - The renovation demand is anticipated to recover as macroeconomic policies stimulate consumption, with a significant portion of demand coming from homes built 10-15 years ago [66] - The urban renewal initiatives and the establishment of a housing pension system are expected to further boost demand for consumer building materials [66] Recommended Investment Targets - Companies such as Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝, 002043) and Beixin Building Materials (北新建材, 000786) are highlighted for their strong market positions and competitive advantages in the consumer building materials sector [4][103] - International Composites (国际复材, 301526) is recommended for its strong performance in the special fiberglass cloth sector [4] - Companies like Jinjing Technology (金晶科技, 600586) and Puhua Co., Ltd. (濮耐股份, 002225) are noted for their promising second growth curves in TCO glass and high-activity magnesium oxide businesses, respectively [4]
装修建材板块2月4日涨3.6%,坚朗五金领涨,主力资金净流入2.03亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-02-04 08:57
Core Insights - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a significant increase of 3.6% on February 4, with Jianlang Hardware leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] Sector Performance - Jianlang Hardware (002791) saw a closing price of 25.70, with a rise of 10.02% and a trading volume of 166,500 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 410 million yuan [1] - Keshun Co., Ltd. (300737) closed at 7.55, up 8.63%, with a trading volume of 725,400 shares and a transaction value of 531 million yuan [1] - Dongfang Yuhong (002271) closed at 18.26, increasing by 6.97%, with a trading volume of 795,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.427 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Tubaobao (002043) with a 5.67% increase and Beixin Building Materials (000786) with a 5.61% increase [1] Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net inflow of 203 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.44 billion yuan [2] - The main capital inflow was observed in Dongfang Yuhong, with a net inflow of 129 million yuan, representing 9.07% of the total [3] - Beixin Building Materials had a net inflow of 119 million yuan, accounting for 7.70% of the total, while Keshun Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 66.34 million yuan, representing 12.49% [3]
建筑材料行业周报:二手房成交回暖,关注后续政策催化
国盛证券有限责任公司· 2026-02-02 01:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The real estate market in first-tier cities has shown strong performance, particularly in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1][2] - Government debt issuance has significantly increased, with a total of 863.35 billion yuan in January 2026, reflecting a 204.3% month-on-month increase and a 54.8% year-on-year increase, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal projects [1] - The glass manufacturing sector is approaching a supply-demand balance due to accelerated cold repairs, while photovoltaic glass companies are reducing production to ease supply tensions [1][3] - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming process, with increased off-peak production efforts and a focus on regional demand recovery, particularly in areas like Tibet and Xinjiang [1][2] - The demand for fiberglass remains robust, driven by growth in wind energy and high-end applications, indicating structural investment opportunities [1][6] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the national cement price index is 342.94 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.278 million tons, a decrease of 4.27% [2][18] - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns is 45.19%, up 2.77 percentage points from the previous week, indicating a slight recovery in production [2][18] - The market is currently undergoing structural adjustments, with infrastructure remaining the main support but showing weak growth [2][18] Glass Industry Tracking - As of January 29, 2026, the average price of float glass is 1144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.53% [3][31] - Inventory levels have decreased, with a total of 49.27 million weight boxes, down 500,000 from the previous week [3][31] - Demand is expected to slow down as many small processing plants will shut down for the holiday, leading to a quieter market [3][31] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving remains stable, with demand primarily driven by essential purchases, while supply remains unchanged [6] - The average price of electronic yarn is stable, with expectations of price increases in high-end products due to ongoing demand [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber price remains stable, with a weekly production of 2,369 tons and an operating rate of 76.28% [7] - The industry continues to face profitability challenges, with an average production cost of 113,300 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from the recovery in second-hand housing and renovation demand, with significant potential for market share growth [1][6]
2月十大金股推荐
Ping An Securities· 2026-02-01 10:36
证券研究报告 2月十大金股推荐 1 ※ 核心观点 我们认为当前仍处于市场流动性偏宽的环境中,叠加高频景气跟踪与上市公司业绩预告均显示基本面有结构性亮点, 因此继续看好权益市场延续震荡向上趋势。方向上,建议重点关注:一是内外需共振景气向上、成长预期较好的科技 制造板块(AI/半导体/存储/风电等);二是受益于产品涨价预期的周期板块(有色金属/化工等);三是业绩有望筑 底改善的行业(建材/免税等);四是部分绩优红利资产(保险等)。 资料来源:Wind,平安证券研究所 备注:本篇报告数据统计截至2026/1/29 平安证券研究所 2026年1月30日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 2 证券代码 证券名称 申万一级行业 总市值 PE PB 推荐逻辑 (亿元人民币) (TTM) (MRQ) 300223.SZ 北京君正 电子 662 208.6 5.3 存储周期上行,L3智能驾驶催化汽车电子 603005.SH 晶方科技 电子 201 58.9 4.4 WLCSP先进封装领先企业,受益车规CIS需求扩张 688041.SH 海光信息 电子 6,073 256.6 27.7 国产算力领先企业,业绩持续增长可期 688615. ...
建材行业双周报(2026/01/16-2026/01/29):部分消费建材产品再次提价,行业盈利持续修复可期-20260130
Dongguan Securities· 2026-01-30 11:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the building materials industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [49]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with some consumer building materials products seeing price increases due to rising raw material costs [2][5]. - The cement sector is expected to show resilience in profitability, supported by significant infrastructure projects and urban renewal initiatives in 2026, despite a projected decline in cement production in 2025 [4][41]. - The glass and fiberglass sectors are undergoing structural adjustments, with a focus on high-end products and green transformation, while traditional segments face challenges from real estate market weaknesses [42][43]. - The consumer building materials segment is witnessing a trend of price stabilization and recovery, driven by demand for renovation and urban renewal, despite a slowdown in new construction [44]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - In Q1 2026, cement companies are expected to implement significant production cuts, with an average shutdown period of 46 days nationwide, aimed at balancing supply and demand [4][41]. - The average cost of P.O42.5 bulk cement is reported at 197 RMB/ton, with a gross profit margin of 17% [4]. - The industry is projected to recover gradually, contingent on effective supply-side policies and infrastructure investment [4][41]. Glass and Fiberglass - The flat glass market is expected to stabilize as production capacity is controlled and environmental standards are enforced, although demand remains weak due to real estate sector challenges [42]. - The fiberglass industry is in a recovery phase, with a focus on eliminating inefficient capacity and enhancing production quality through technological upgrades [43]. Consumer Building Materials - Major companies like Keshun and Sankeshu have announced price increases due to rising costs of raw materials, indicating a trend towards price recovery in the sector [44]. - The demand for renovation and urban renewal is expected to drive growth, while leading companies are enhancing their market share through brand strength and service improvements [44]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, including Shangfeng Cement, Tapa Group, and Huaxin Cement [4][45].
2月金股报告:指数震荡,行业关注资源、出海、科技
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-29 11:18
Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market is experiencing a typical spring rally characterized by initial strength followed by stabilization and structural differentiation, with major indices recording positive returns as of January 28, 2026 [6] - The average daily trading volume in January reached 3.04 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.16 trillion yuan month-on-month, indicating a significant influx of new capital and a loose liquidity environment driving the index upward [2] - Regulatory measures, including raising the minimum margin requirement from 80% to 100%, have led to fluctuations in market sentiment and a deceleration in the index's upward momentum [3] Group 2 - The report highlights that technology assets are experiencing a rotation between thematic and cyclical investments, with thematic investments (e.g., commercial aerospace, AI applications) initially favored but cooling off due to increased margin requirements [4] - In the cyclical sector, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and oil & petrochemicals have shown strong performance driven by three factors: demand from high-end manufacturing, proactive supply-side adjustments, and external geopolitical risks [4] - The report anticipates a structural market characterized by a focus on "resources + technology + overseas expansion," with low-risk preference assets potentially outperforming in certain phases [5] Group 3 - The investment strategy emphasizes focusing on "external demand cyclical + AI industry chain," highlighting the potential for global manufacturing recovery to support resource prices and opportunities for Chinese manufacturing to expand overseas [5] - The AI industry remains a clear investment theme, with a shift from thematic to performance-driven investments, particularly in areas with supply shortages such as power supply and semiconductor sectors [5] - The report recommends a selection of stocks across various sectors, including Invesco's Nonferrous ETF, Dongpeng Beverage, and Huazhong Precision, among others, reflecting a diversified investment approach [10]
北新建材“国潮新韵 非遗匠心”品牌文化活动第二季开启
Xin Jing Bao· 2026-01-29 07:44
Core Insights - The second season of the "National Trend New Rhythm, Intangible Cultural Heritage Craftsmanship" brand cultural event by Beixin Building Materials was launched, gathering over 60 representatives from various sectors to explore the cultural core of national trend building materials and respond to market demands for high-quality domestic products and Chinese-style homes [1][4]. Group 1: Cultural Integration and Industry Upgrade - Beixin Building Materials emphasizes that its vitality lies not only in technological breakthroughs and market expansion but also in cultural heritage and value creation, aiming to integrate intangible cultural heritage with building materials [4]. - The company is actively promoting the deep integration of traditional culture and industrial upgrades, enhancing brand value and cultural connotation through a series of brand cultural activities [4][5]. - The event highlighted the importance of cross-industry collaboration to revitalize intangible cultural heritage, ensuring that cultural "soft power" supports enterprise development [5]. Group 2: Practical Implementation and Strategic Partnerships - The event featured brand leaders from Beixin Building Materials introducing their explorations in integrating intangible cultural heritage into products, marking a shift from conceptual discussions to project-based cooperation [9]. - Strategic signing ceremonies were held between Beixin Building Materials and various intangible cultural heritage projects, laying the groundwork for marketable "intangible heritage building materials" [9]. - The company's previous initiatives in brand activities and product innovation have aligned well with market demands, resulting in a projected 70% year-on-year growth in sales of national trend products for 2024 [9].
股市必读:北新建材(000786)1月28日董秘有最新回复
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 16:58
Core Viewpoint - The company, Beixin Building Materials, is actively engaging in smart manufacturing and cost management strategies while maintaining stable pricing for its products amidst market fluctuations [2][3]. Group 1: Company Developments - The company is enhancing operational efficiency through smart manufacturing initiatives, which include the construction of intelligent factories and the promotion of e-commerce sales channels [2]. - Beixin Building Materials has implemented a "one cent cost-saving plan" to further reduce costs and improve efficiency in its waterproof and coating product lines [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Pricing Strategy - The company has recently increased the price of gypsum boards and is monitoring the market for potential price adjustments in waterproof materials and coatings, although current prices remain stable [2]. - Beixin Building Materials holds a leading position in the gypsum board market and has a cost advantage in waterproof materials compared to competitors [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of January 20, 2026, the total number of shareholders for the company is approximately 64,000 [2]. Group 4: Capital Flow Insights - On January 28, 2026, there was a net inflow of 47.76 million yuan from major funds, indicating a significant accumulation trend [3].