Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a weekly increase of 1.55%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices, which increased by 1.28% and 0.72%, respectively, resulting in excess returns of 0.27% and 0.82% [4]. - Cement prices have increased to 354.7 CNY/ton, up by 4.5 CNY/ton from the previous week, but down by 70.3 CNY/ton compared to the same period last year [4][14]. - The average cement inventory level is at 66.4%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points from the previous week, while the average cement shipment rate is 44.6%, down by 0.8 percentage points week-on-week [21]. - The report highlights that infrastructure construction is expected to be a key driver for economic stability in the short term, with recommendations to focus on companies in the infrastructure supply chain and home improvement sectors [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data - **Cement**: The national average cement price is 354.7 CNY/ton, with significant regional price increases noted in the Yangtze River Delta and Southwest regions [4][14]. The average shipment rate has decreased to 44.6% [21]. - **Glass**: The average price of float glass is reported at 1163.9 CNY/ton, reflecting a weekly increase of 16.0 CNY/ton but a year-on-year decrease of 254.7 CNY/ton [48]. The inventory level for float glass is 5675 million weight boxes, down by 83 million from the previous week [50]. - **Fiberglass**: The market remains stable with no significant price changes, and the focus is on the demand recovery in the downstream sectors [4]. 2. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report notes that the construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, particularly in the southern regions, while northern regions face challenges due to seasonal weather impacts [4]. 3. Weekly Market Review and Sector Valuation Table - The construction materials sector has shown resilience with a positive performance compared to broader market indices, indicating potential investment opportunities [4]. 4. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in infrastructure, home improvement, and export-oriented sectors, including Conch Cement, Oriental Yuhong, and China Communications Construction [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Yao Pi Glass, Yinlong Co., Puxin Co., San Ke Shu, and Wei Xing New Materials, while recommending "Hold" for Bei Xin Materials [8]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is experiencing weak demand, with a focus on the impact of government policies to stimulate growth. The report highlights the potential for recovery in municipal engineering projects and the importance of monitoring the government's debt management strategies [1][2]. - The cement market is characterized by a slight increase in prices and production, but overall demand remains weak, particularly in residential construction. The report suggests that a more robust macroeconomic support is needed for a significant recovery [17][28]. - The glass manufacturing sector is facing supply-demand imbalances, but self-regulated production cuts in photovoltaic glass may alleviate some pressure. The report emphasizes the need to watch for price stability in this segment [1][5]. - The fiberglass market shows signs of bottoming out, with price wars ending and demand from wind power projects expected to rise. The report indicates a positive outlook for high-end electronic fiberglass products [6][7]. - Consumer building materials are benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a recommendation to focus on companies with strong market share potential [1][7]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of December 5, 2025, the national cement price index is 352.47 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.77%. Cement output reached 2.971 million tons, up 0.2% from the previous week [17]. - The utilization rate of cement clinker production lines is 39.65%, reflecting a 1.21 percentage point increase week-on-week. However, the overall demand remains in a year-on-year contraction phase [17][28]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass as of December 4, 2025, is 1163.86 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.40%. Inventory levels are high, with a total of 56.75 million weight boxes reported [2][5]. - The report notes that while northern regions are experiencing reduced demand, southern regions are seeing price adjustments as manufacturers attempt to balance supply and demand [5][6]. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The market for fiberglass remains stable, with limited demand recovery. The report indicates that electronic fiberglass prices have seen a slight increase, suggesting a tightening supply situation [6][7]. Consumer Building Materials Tracking - The demand for consumer building materials continues to show weak recovery, with upstream raw material prices fluctuating. The report highlights the importance of monitoring these price changes for investment decisions [7]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market remains stable, with production increasing by 25.83% week-on-week. However, the report indicates that profitability remains under pressure due to high production costs [7].

Market Overview - In November, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a trend of high-low switching, with the ChiNext Index down 4.23% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 5.23%[5] - The market's focus shifted towards defensive sectors as funds moved from high-valuation growth stocks to low-valuation cyclical stocks and dividend assets[5] Investment Strategy - December's market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with a short-term oscillating structure anticipated[5] - Key events include the Central Economic Work Conference and various industry conferences that may create investment opportunities[5] Key Investment Themes - Focus on "anti-involution" policies which are expected to improve industry performance, particularly in resource sectors benefiting from rising commodity prices[5] - Emphasis on overseas expansion themes, with Chinese high-end manufacturing expected to gain market share globally[5] Recommended Stocks - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) projected EPS growth from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.83 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 23.62 to 10.10[7] - Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) expected to see EPS rise from 2.38 in 2024 to 2.75 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 10.9 to 9.45[27] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's revenue is projected to grow from 303.64 billion yuan in 2024 to 381.84 billion yuan in 2027, with a net profit increase from 32.05 billion yuan to 75.22 billion yuan[18] - Electric Power Investment's revenue is expected to increase from 298.59 billion yuan in 2024 to 371.25 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit rising from 5.34 billion yuan to 6.17 billion yuan[27] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, underperformance in commercialization, and slower-than-expected product development[5]

近日，工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委、商务部等6部门印发《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促 进消费的实施方案》(以下简称《实施方案》)，旨在增强供给与需求的适配性，进一步释放消费潜力。 这为建材行业以消费升级引领产业升级明确了发展路径。 "十五五"时期是建材行业构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的攻坚阶段。随着建材产业结构调整和需求 升级，工业领域、居民终端消费等对建材行业的拉动作用不断增强，"好房子"建设也将为建材行业发展 提供新的市场空间。步入精细化、个性化发展的建材行业，将围绕新型绿色建材研发生产、智能技术集 成、"好房子"建造、适老化产品开发等，推出更多绿色、环保的高质量"好材料"，为消费者带来更人性 化的设计、更绿色的健康环境和更智慧的居住体验。 加速新技术应用 走进北京首钢国际会展中心，一场关于"好材料"的探索正在这里上演，精彩亮相的产品展示出住房建设 领域的前沿成果。 "石墨烯在板材里起到什么作用？"在第二十二届中国国际住宅产业暨建筑工业化产品与设备博览会(简 称"中国住博会")"好材料"专区，参观者田朋拿起展位上的板材样品询问。专区里，像这样能迅速激发 观众兴趣的"好材料"还有很多。有些是在市场上 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Views - Focus on the expectation of glass cold repairs and emphasize high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] - Cement prices continue to decline, while glass inventory has slightly decreased month-on-month [7][8] - The real estate policy outlook is improving, suggesting a focus on high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] Summary by Sections Cement - National cement prices have continued to decline, with a current average price of 355.00 yuan/ton, down 0.65 yuan/ton month-on-month and down 77.10 yuan/ton year-on-year [26] - The cement market is entering the off-season, with a national shipment rate of approximately 45%, down 0.3 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [7][26] - The northern market is experiencing a seasonal decline in demand, while some southern regions show slight recovery [7][25] Glass - The domestic float glass market prices have stabilized after a decline, with a current average price of 60.59 yuan/weight box, down 0.59 yuan/weight box month-on-month and down 15.51 yuan/weight box year-on-year [39] - The production capacity of float glass has slightly decreased, with 218 out of 283 production lines currently in operation, and a daily melting capacity of 156,155 tons [8][36] - Inventory levels in key monitored provinces have decreased, with a total inventory of 59.32 million weight boxes, down 730,000 weight boxes month-on-month [38][39] Consumer Building Materials - High-quality leading companies in consumer building materials are expected to have bottom value, with recommendations for companies like SanKeTree, TuBaoBao, and WeiXing New Materials [6] - From a cyclical bottom and structural optimization perspective, companies in waterproofing and coatings are recommended due to significant supply exits and increased market share for leading companies [6] - If market conditions improve, the expected price performance ranking is waterproofing > coatings > pipes/hardware/gypsum board [6] Special Fabrics - Attention is drawn to the opportunities in AI special fabrics after recent adjustments, with domestic leaders like ZhongCai Technology benefiting from domestic substitution trends [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the increasing pressure in the construction materials industry, with a focus on the expected rise in real estate policies and the potential for quality leading companies in consumer building materials to gain value [2][3] - The industry is experiencing a significant downward trend, with expectations for policy tools aimed at reducing housing burdens, such as interest subsidies or tax deductions, to support housing demand [2][3] - Key companies recommended for investment include Sanhe Tree, Rabbit Baby, and Weixing New Materials, which are seen as having bottom value and potential to benefit from policy changes [2][3] Group 2 - Cement prices have slightly decreased, with demand in southern regions recovering while northern regions face weakened demand due to cold weather [3] - The national cement enterprise shipment rate is approximately 45.5%, reflecting a month-on-month decline of about 0.4 percentage points [3] - In the glass market, prices are trending downward, with an increase in inventory levels, indicating ongoing pressure on production and sales [4] Group 3 - The focus on African supply chains includes recommendations for Huaxin Cement and Keda Manufacturing, which are expected to benefit from overseas performance and domestic market recovery [5] - The stock chain is highlighted for its potential recovery, with leading companies in consumer building materials expected to see demand restoration and structural optimization [5] - Special electronic fabrics are noted for their growth potential due to high demand and supply barriers, with companies like Zhongcai Technology positioned to benefit from domestic substitution [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI new materials sector, particularly focusing on domestic leaders such as Zhongcai Technology and Tongguan Copper Foil, which are expected to maintain a technological edge and product reserves [1][11]. Core Insights - The demand for AI new materials is increasing, with a notable distinction between the Google chain and NV chain, leading to differences in quantity, suppliers, and generational products. Cost-effectiveness is prioritized, especially in materials like fiberglass cloth and copper foil [1][11]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic substitution in the market, particularly in response to statements from Mitsui Mining and Manufacturing, indicating a shift in production dynamics among Japanese material companies [1][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of balancing profitability, capacity, and customer relationships in the context of limited domestic supply capabilities, suggesting that domestic players are currently in a follower position rather than a leading one [1][11]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The focus this week is on the Google chain, Mitsui's statements, and the motivation for Japanese material companies to shift production. The domestic leaders in materials are expected to maintain their technological advantages [1][11]. Cyclical Linkage - Cement prices averaged 350 RMB/t, down 78 RMB/t year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 45.4%. Glass prices decreased to 1147.84 RMB/ton, a drop of 20.53 RMB/ton, with inventory days at 30.42 days [3][13]. - The report notes a slight increase in the price of fiberglass, with the average price for 2400tex alkali-free yarn at 3535.25 RMB/ton, reflecting a 0.1% increase [3][61]. Market Performance - The construction materials index decreased by 1.18%, with specific declines in glass manufacturing and fiberglass sectors. The report indicates a need for cautious observation of the cement market due to low demand [16][12]. Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices continued to decline by 0.2%, with regional variations noted. The report indicates a high inventory level in the cement market, with a capacity ratio of 68.13% [29][30]. - The floating glass market is stabilizing, with an average price of 1147.84 RMB/ton, although high inventory levels continue to exert downward pressure on prices [3][42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [7][6]. Core Views - The company is advancing its waterproof segment by acquiring Tangshan and Suzhou Yuanda Hongyu, enhancing its regional competitiveness and market share [7]. - The acquisition is deemed reasonably valued, with Tangshan Yuanda Hongyu's price-to-book (PB) ratio at 0.9 times and price-to-earnings (PE) ratio at 4.9 times based on 2024 net profit [7]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in waterproof demand by 2026, which may lead to significant profit elasticity [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to be 25,821 million yuan in 2024, with a slight increase to 25,997 million yuan in 2025, and further growth to 30,551 million yuan by 2027 [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 3,647 million yuan in 2024, decreasing to 3,516 million yuan in 2025, and then increasing to 4,802 million yuan by 2027 [6]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 9.6% in 2025 to 14.3% by 2027 [6]. Market Data - As of November 28, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 25.31 yuan, with a market capitalization of 42,761 million yuan [2]. - The company has a dividend yield of 3.42%, and its price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 12 for 2025, decreasing to 9 by 2027 [2][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is set to enhance its waterproof segment through the acquisition of Tangshan and Suzhou Yuanda Hongyu, with a total investment of approximately 41.8 million yuan for 80% equity in each entity [7] - The acquisition is deemed reasonably valued, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.9 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 4.9 for Tangshan Yuanda Hongyu [7] - The merger is expected to strengthen the company's regional competitiveness and is anticipated to release significant earnings elasticity by 2026 as market demand recovers [7] - The company has been actively expanding through both external and internal mergers, with ongoing projects in various locations including Tanzania and Uzbekistan [7] - Price increases for gypsum boards are expected to improve profitability, indicating a potential end to price wars in the industry [7] - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 3.516 billion, 4.030 billion, and 4.802 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE valuations of 12, 11, and 9 times [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 25,997 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.7% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 3,516 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 3.6% year-on-year [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 2.07 yuan [6] - The company's gross margin is forecasted to be 28.1% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.7% [6]

Core Points - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index (470064) closed at 2212.99 points, up 0.51% with a trading volume of 16.404 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.67% [1] - Among the index constituents, 36 stocks rose while 12 fell, with China Steel International leading the gainers at 2.67% and China Merchants Shekou leading the decliners at 2.63% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index include: - BOE Technology Group (9.31% weight, latest price 3.86, market cap 144.418 billion yuan) in the electronics sector - Hikvision (7.97% weight, latest price 30.02, market cap 275.129 billion yuan) in the computer sector - Wuliangye Yibin (7.71% weight, latest price 117.85, market cap 457.448 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - Luzhou Laojiao (6.59% weight, latest price 135.88, market cap 200.007 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - XCMG Machinery (5.75% weight, latest price 10.32, market cap 121.291 billion yuan) in the machinery sector - Changan Automobile (3.88% weight, latest price 11.94, market cap 118.374 billion yuan) in the automotive sector - Shenwan Hongyuan (3.84% weight, latest price 5.15, market cap 128.956 billion yuan) in the non-banking financial sector - Yunnan Aluminum (3.81% weight, latest price 24.70, market cap 85.659 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector - Yanghe Brewery (3.37% weight, latest price 66.20, market cap 99.727 billion yuan) in the food and beverage sector - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (3.18% weight, latest price 5.10, market cap 68.388 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of main funds into the index constituents totaled 56.5973 million yuan, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 69.8164 million yuan, and retail investors had a net inflow of 13.2191 million yuan [3] - Notable capital flows include: - Changan Automobile experienced a main fund net outflow of 54.1716 million yuan - China Steel International had a main fund net inflow of 31.1027 million yuan - Hikvision saw a main fund net inflow of 27.5848 million yuan [3]