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出猪节奏导致7月猪价涨幅不及预期,后市猪价不悲观
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-14 14:46
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The rhythm of pig sales led to July pig prices rising less than expected, but the outlook for future prices remains optimistic. In July 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 14.55 yuan/kg, up 1.89% month-on-month but down 23.21% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in July was 4.1583 million heads, down 3.67% month-on-month but up 1.80% year-on-year. The completion rate of pig sales in July was 97.11% of the planned output, with an increase of 6.60% in planned output for August compared to July [6][15][22]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The increase in pig prices in July was less than expected due to the accelerated growth rate of pigs in May and June, leading to earlier sales in July. The price peaked at 15.46 yuan/kg on July 3 and fell to 14.09 yuan/kg by the end of July. The supply gap and supportive policies suggest a positive outlook for future prices [6][15][18]. Supply and Structure - As of August 7, 2025, the proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the sales structure decreased, while the proportion of breeding stock increased. The breeding stock increased by 0.52% month-on-month, and the average profit per head for self-breeding and self-raising in July was 101.66 yuan, a month-on-month increase of 304.30% [7][16][22]. Corporate Performance - In July 2025, 12 listed pig companies reported a total of 15.2799 million heads sold, a year-on-year increase of 24.82%. The average selling prices for major companies increased month-on-month, with prices for companies like Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope rising by 1.6% to 3.4% [8][28][33].
中国驻埃及大使廖力强出席中埃“新希望”养殖技术培训启动仪式
人民网-国际频道 原创稿· 2025-08-13 01:01
Core Points - The event marks the launch of the "New Hope" aquaculture technology training program in Egypt, organized by the Chinese Embassy, the National Alliance for Civil Action Development, and New Hope Company [1] - The training aims to empower rural women economically and support Egypt's poverty alleviation efforts, reflecting the strong partnership between China and Egypt [1] Group 1 - The training program is attended by over 100 participants, including Chinese Ambassador Liao Liqiang and various Egyptian officials [1] - China has successfully eradicated poverty for 800 million people, and Egypt is exploring its own poverty reduction strategies [1] - The Egyptian side appreciates China's achievements in poverty alleviation and expresses gratitude for China's support in rural development [1] Group 2 - The training is seen as a practical innovation to enhance sustainable development capabilities for impoverished farmers in the Manufia province [1] - The Egyptian government is eager to learn from China's poverty alleviation experiences and expand cooperation in the livelihood sector [1]
农业行业周报:建议关注饲料的回升周期和养殖的边际改善-20250812
Shanxi Securities· 2025-08-12 10:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Haida Group and "Buy-B" for Shengnong Development, Wen's Shares, and others [7]. Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on the recovery cycle of feed and the marginal improvement in breeding [1]. - The pig price has decreased week-on-week, with average prices in key provinces showing a decline [3]. - The feed industry is expected to see a bottoming out and recovery due to the decline in upstream raw material prices and improvements in the downstream breeding sector [3]. - The report highlights the potential growth of Haida Group's overseas feed business as a new performance growth point [3]. Industry Performance - For the week of August 4 to August 10, the CSI 300 index rose by 1.23%, while the agriculture sector increased by 2.52%, ranking 10th among sectors [2][24]. - The top-performing sub-industries included broiler chicken breeding, fruit and vegetable processing, and pig breeding [2][24]. Pig Breeding Sector - As of August 8, the average price of external three-way cross pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan was 13.30, 15.39, and 13.83 yuan/kg, respectively, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 2.92%, 4.05%, and 3.82% [3][33]. - The average pork price was 20.41 yuan/kg, down 0.92% from the previous week [3][33]. - The self-breeding profit was 45.13 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -134.14 yuan/head [3][33]. Poultry Sector - As of August 8, the weekly price of white feather broiler chickens was 7.14 yuan/kg, up 4.54% week-on-week [3][47]. - The price of broiler chicks was 3.13 yuan/chick, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 21.79% [3][47]. - The profit from chicken breeding was 0.62 yuan/chick, while egg prices fell by 6.94% to 6.70 yuan/kg [3][47]. Feed Processing Sector - In June 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 27.67 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% but a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [54]. - The production of compound feed, concentrated feed, and additive premix feed saw year-on-year growth of 6.6%, 3.4%, and 8.7%, respectively [54]. Recommendations - The report recommends stocks such as Wen's Shares, Shengnong Group, Juxing Agriculture, Tangrenshen, and New Hope in the pig breeding sector due to expected profitability recovery starting from Q2 2024 [4]. - It also highlights the potential of domestic pet food brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Shares, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming years [5].
养殖业板块8月12日跌0.04%,华英农业领跌,主力资金净流出2.9亿元
证券之星消息,8月12日养殖业板块较上一交易日下跌0.04%,华英农业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3665.92,上涨0.5%。深证成指报收于11351.63,上涨0.53%。养殖业板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300967 | 晓鸣股份 | 24.00 | 4.62% | 27.68万 | | 6.75亿 | | 300313 | *ST天山 | 10.54 | 1.54% | 10.17万 | | · 1.07亿 | | 002982 | 湘佳股份 | 16.85 | 1.44% | 15.99万 | | 2.71亿 | | 002234 | 民和股份 | 9.66 | 1.36% | 31.10万 | | 3.08亿 | | 002299 | 圣农发展 | 17.12 | 0.94% | 17.78万 | | 3.08亿 | | 000048 | 京基督农 | 16.44 | 0.86% | 7.23万 | | 2611 | | 300 ...
中埃“新希望”养殖技术培训在埃启动
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:42
新华社开罗8月11日电(记者董修竹)中国驻埃及使馆11日与埃及全国民间行动发展联盟、新希望公司 在埃及米努夫省苏巴克·阿哈德村联合举办中埃"新希望"养殖技术培训启动仪式。 中国驻埃及大使廖力强表示,中国成功打赢脱贫攻坚战,实现8亿贫困人口全部脱贫。埃及也在积极探 索埃及特色减贫治理道路。此次培训是助力埃扶贫事业和农村妇女经济赋能的创新实践,将增进中埃民 心相通。 埃方高度赞赏中国脱贫攻坚伟大成就,感谢中方对埃农村扶贫事业的大力支持,表示此次培训是埃中全 面战略伙伴关系在民间层面的生动体现,将为米努夫省贫困农户减贫增收、增强可持续发展能力打开希 望之窗。埃方愿学习借鉴中方扶贫理念经验,扩大民生领域合作。 新希望公司技术经理阿娅·阿卜丁告诉记者,培训课程围绕养殖周期内的要点展开,以期实现农户在整 个养殖周期中的收益最大化。 ...
广发银行助力乡村振兴 金融力量点亮发展新希望
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the comprehensive implementation of the "Ten Million Project" experience from Zhejiang by Guangfa Bank, focusing on targeted assistance for rural revitalization [1] Group 2 - Guangfa Bank adheres to "Party Building + Assistance," enhancing leadership in rural revitalization through partnerships with local party organizations, organizing collective learning, and conducting financial knowledge outreach [2] Group 3 - The bank focuses on local specialties to boost income, developing financial products like "Grape Loan" and "Tea Farmer Loan," and increasing credit investment in local industries to support cooperative formation and industry base construction [3] Group 4 - Guangfa Bank has established a "Mall Zone" to connect rural and urban areas, with over 6.2 million yuan in agricultural product purchases from designated assistance counties and a cumulative sales figure of over 16.1 million yuan from the "Rural Revitalization Zone" [5] Group 5 - The bank has initiated charitable activities, donating 1 million yuan to support local rural revitalization projects and educational facility renovations, with the Guangfa Hope Charity Fund raising over 100 million yuan in 15 years [6] Group 6 - Guangfa Bank leverages comprehensive financial services to support the development of unique local industries, implementing risk-sharing models and providing tailored loans to farmers, with 2.2 million yuan in loans issued to 11 farmers [8] Group 7 - The bank aims to continuously optimize financial supply and innovate assistance methods to support the development of rural specialty industries and enhance collective economic income [10]
农业农村部引导调减约100万头能繁母猪,畜牧ETF(159867)冲击3连涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 01:59
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese livestock industry is experiencing a phase of high pig production capacity, prompting the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs to implement comprehensive production capacity regulation to mitigate risks of price volatility and overproduction [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 12, 2025, the CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.68%, with notable gains from companies such as Xiaoming Co. (300967) up 6.50%, Minhe Co. (002234) up 6.19%, and Yisheng Co. (002458) up 3.28% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (159867) rose by 0.46%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price at 0.65 yuan [1]. Group 2: Policy and Regulation - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has announced plans to guide the reduction of approximately 1 million breeding sows to prevent production fluctuations and price instability [1]. - A meeting held on July 23 emphasized strict implementation of production capacity regulation measures, including the rational elimination of breeding sows and control of new production capacity [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Recent policies are expected to accelerate the elimination of inefficient production capacity in the industry, potentially leading to a long-term increase in pig prices, benefiting low-cost and high-quality pig enterprises [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 64.83% of the index, indicating a concentrated market structure [2].
刘永好:我们要抬头看路,更要仰头看天
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 09:50
Core Insights - The recent "Embrace AI" digital application finals and the closing ceremony of the New Hope Group's sixth corporate culture festival highlight the integration of digital transformation with corporate culture [1][5] - Chairman Liu Yonghao emphasized the need for new cultural connotations in the context of the changing economic landscape and the importance of embracing artificial intelligence [4][5] Group 1: Corporate Culture and Transformation - New Hope Group has evolved over 43 years, becoming a recognized enterprise supported by a strong corporate culture [4] - The current economic transition from high-speed growth to high-quality development necessitates a shift from traditional investment and expansion models [4][5] - The corporate culture, encapsulated in the motto "Let life be better," plays a crucial role in navigating challenges such as economic downturns and geopolitical uncertainties [4][5] Group 2: Embracing AI and Digitalization - The AI digital application competition aimed to foster a proactive approach to digital transformation within the organization [6] - The integration of AI represents a new industrial revolution, which is essential for enhancing competitiveness and adapting to market changes [5][9] - Companies must understand and participate in AI advancements to avoid obsolescence, as AI is rapidly transforming industries and daily life [5][9] Group 3: Strategic Approach to Innovation - Companies should not blindly adopt AI but instead develop strategies that align with their specific business contexts [7][8] - Learning from industry leaders and adapting proven models can enhance efficiency and reduce redundant efforts [8] - Focusing on areas of expertise, such as cold chain logistics and digital applications in agriculture, can lead to improved quality and operational efficiency [8][9]
固收周报20250810:“债不弱,股不强”格局下转债仍将扮演必要角色-20250810
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-10 13:47
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the industry investment rating [1] Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Maintain a relatively optimistic view of the convertible bond market in the second half of the year, due to the continuous imbalance between supply and demand and the "asset shortage" situation, the important role of convertible bonds in the asset portfolio, and the need to conduct high - low switching [1] - In the context of a slow - bull equity market, there are still opportunities for bank convertible bonds [1] - The top ten high - rating, medium - low - price convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Hexing Convertible Bond, Guangda Convertible Bond, etc. [1] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Week - to - Week Market Review 1.1. Equity Market Overall Rise, Most Industries Rise - From August 4th to 8th, the equity market rose overall, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 2.11%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.25%, the ChiNext Index up 0.49%, and the CSI 300 up 1.23%. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 1121.60 billion yuan to 16748.23 billion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 6.28% [6][8] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries closed up, with National Defense and Military Industry, Non - Ferrous Metals, etc. leading the gains [12] 1.2. Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise, Most Industries Fall - From August 4th to 8th, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.31%. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 4 industries closed up, with Automobile, Social Services, etc. leading the gains. The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 895.48 billion yuan, a significant increase of 72.55 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of 8.82% [15] - About 92.46% of convertible bond issues rose, and 51.72% of them had a gain of over 2% [15] - The overall market conversion premium rate rebounded, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 41.62%, an increase of 0.98 pct compared to last week [22] - 20 industries saw an expansion in the conversion premium rate, and 17 industries had an increase in conversion parity [28][33] 1.3. Stock - Bond Market Sentiment Comparison - From August 4th to 8th, the weekly weighted average and median of the convertible bond and underlying stock markets were positive, and the underlying stocks had a larger weekly gain. The trading volume of the convertible bond market increased by 5.07% week - on - week, and that of the underlying stock market decreased by 6.84% week - on - week. The trading sentiment of the underlying stock market was better [34] 2. Outlook and Investment Strategy - Maintain the previous view, be relatively optimistic about the convertible bond market in the second half of the year. In the context of a slow - bull equity market, there are still opportunities for bank convertible bonds [1][38] - The top ten high - rating, medium - low - price convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Hexing Convertible Bond, Guangda Convertible Bond, etc. [1]
2025年第32周周报:如何看待7月生猪能繁数据?-20250810
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-10 10:43
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [7] Core Views - The pig sector is experiencing a halt in the growth of breeding sows, indicating a significant expectation gap in the market. The average price of pigs is stable at 14.34 CNY/kg, while the price of piglets has reached a new low this year. The supply pressure continues to increase, and the seasonal demand is weak, suggesting a potential seasonal decline in pig prices [1][2][11] - The dairy sector is nearing the end of its capacity reduction phase, with expectations for a rebound in raw milk prices. The beef cycle may have started, with companies that can withstand the current downturn showing strong profit potential [3][13][14] - The pet industry is witnessing a rise in domestic brands and a positive trend in pet food exports, indicating robust growth in the pet economy. Key recommendations include companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [15][16] - The poultry sector is focusing on the breeding gap for white and egg-laying chickens, with expectations for price improvements driven by demand. The yellow chicken market is also showing signs of recovery due to supply constraints and improving demand [4][17][19] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - The average price of pigs is stable at 14.34 CNY/kg, with self-breeding profits around 130 CNY per head. The price of piglets has hit a new low, and the average weight of pigs at market is high, indicating supply pressure [1][11] - The breeding sow numbers have decreased, with some institutions reporting a halt in growth. The market is expected to see capacity reduction due to policy guidance and weak demand [2][12] Dairy and Beef Sector - The raw milk price is expected to rebound as the dairy industry approaches the end of its capacity reduction phase. The beef cycle may have started, with companies that can adapt showing strong profit potential [3][14] Pet Sector - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands growing rapidly. Pet food exports are also on the rise, with significant sales growth reported [15][16] Poultry Sector - The white chicken and egg-laying chicken markets are focusing on breeding gaps, with expectations for price increases driven by demand. The yellow chicken market is showing signs of recovery due to supply constraints [4][17][19] Planting Sector - The focus is on achieving food security through self-sufficiency and enhancing breeding strategies. The government is promoting agricultural technology innovation to support this goal [5][21][22] Feed and Animal Health Sector - The feed sector is recommended for companies with increasing market share and consistent performance, such as Haida Group. The animal health sector is focusing on breaking through homogenized competition with innovative products [6][23][24]