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煤炭行业周报(2025年第49期):11月原煤产量同比继续回落,日耗仍有提升空间,煤市或逐步改善-20251221
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-21 10:13
Core Insights - The coal market is expected to gradually improve as November raw coal production continues to decline year-on-year, while daily consumption has room for growth [5][79] - The report indicates that the coal industry is rated as a "Buy" with expectations of improved profitability in Q4 2025 and 2026 [5][6] Market Dynamics - The price of thermal coal has continued to decline, with the CCI5500 thermal coal index reported at 716 RMB/ton, down 42 RMB/ton week-on-week [11][80] - In the main production areas, thermal coal prices have generally decreased, with Shanxi region prices dropping by 70 RMB/ton [11][80] - The coal mining capacity utilization rate was reported at 88.3%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points week-on-week [21][38] - Coal inventory at major ports increased by 2.8% week-on-week, reaching 7.261 million tons [21][24] Industry Outlook - The report anticipates a slight increase in coal demand in 2026, while supply is expected to have limited upward potential, leading to an upward adjustment in coal prices [5][79] - The report highlights that the coal industry’s total profit for the first ten months of 2025 was 257 billion RMB, a 49% year-on-year decline [5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of the 2026 long-term contract policy, which aims to ensure stable supply and pricing in the coal market [82][85] Key Companies - Companies with stable dividends in the thermal coal sector include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, and Shaanxi Coal [5][6] - High elasticity companies benefiting from improved demand expectations and supply contraction include Shanxi Coking Coal and Lu'an Environmental Energy [5][6] - Companies with long-term growth potential highlighted in the report include Baofeng Energy and China Qinfa [5][6]
煤价分化炼焦煤企稳向上,神华千亿收购提升价值
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-20 11:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry [2][5]. Core Views - The coal market is expected to stabilize as supply tightens and demand rebounds, driven by seasonal factors and production adjustments [7][8]. - China Shenhua's acquisition of significant assets is projected to enhance its coal production capacity and resource reserves substantially [8]. - The investment strategy suggests a focus on undervalued stocks with high dividend yields and growth potential in the coal sector [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry comprises 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 1,875.44 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 1,839.35 billion yuan [2]. 2. Coal Price Tracking - Recent trends indicate a divergence in coal prices, with coking coal stabilizing upwards while thermal coal prices are under pressure due to weak demand [7][8]. - As of December 19, 2025, the price of thermal coal at the port was 708 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 42 yuan/ton [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Coal production in November 2025 was 42,679 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5% but a month-on-month increase of 4.93% [7]. - The report highlights that the demand for electricity coal has been affected by warmer weather, leading to a decrease in daily coal consumption [7]. 4. Key Company Insights - China Shenhua's acquisition plan involves purchasing multiple coal and energy assets for a total consideration of 1,335.98 billion yuan, significantly increasing its coal production capacity by approximately 230 million tons per year [8]. - Other companies such as Yancoal Energy and Shanxi Coking Coal are also highlighted for their growth potential and dividend policies [13]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a strategy of buying undervalued stocks with strong dividend yields, such as China Shenhua, Zhongmei Energy, and Xinji Energy, while also focusing on companies with significant production capacity growth [8][13].
山西焦煤:公司产品销售采取长协加市场模式
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-18 12:41
证券日报网讯12月18日,山西焦煤(000983)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司产品销售采取长 协加市场模式。2025年下半年,公司产品价格环比逐步增长,长协合同兑现率逐月回升。 ...
山西焦煤:下半年公司产品价格环比逐步增长 长协合同兑现率逐月回升
人民财讯12月18日电,山西焦煤(000983)12月18日在互动平台表示,公司产品销售采取长协加市场模 式。2025年下半年,公司产品价格环比逐步增长,长协合同兑现率逐月回升。 ...
六部门:提升煤炭清洁高效利用整体水平,高股息ETF(563180)盘初飘红,山西焦煤上涨近2%
12月18日,三大指数集体低开,中证高股息策略指数(H30366.CSI)上涨0.18%,该指数成分股中,山西 焦煤上涨近2%,山煤国际与潞安环能等5只上涨超1%,淮北矿业与中国石油等6只上涨近1%。 高股息ETF(563180)紧密跟踪中证高股息策略指数,该指数选取了80只股息率和股利支付率较高、分 红较为稳定,并具有一定规模及流动性的上市公司证券作为指数样本,以反映高股息上市公司证券的整 体表现。该ETF配备了2只场外联接基金(A:022144、C:022145)。 国金证券表示,在低利率长周期背景下,险资、养老金、银行理财等长久期资金对稳定现金流的需求显 著提升。仅2025年前三季度,上市险企二级市场新增权益配置超过4100亿元,高股息资产占新增仓位一 半以上。红利ETF规模亦呈爆发式增长,从2023年末的500亿扩容至2025年近2000亿元,成为红利策略 体量扩张的核心载体,赛道从单一"高股息"进化到"红利+低波""红利+央企""红利+质量"等多元结构。 (文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 相关ETF方面,高股息ETF(563180)盘初飘红,现涨0.18%,实时溢价率为0.04%。截至12月17日, ...
煤炭板块业绩改善+高股息名单揭晓
广发证券指出,四季度以来煤炭煤价上涨超预期,10月火电发电量同比增速达7.3%,各环节库存仍低 于去年同期,11月下旬开始季节性需求进一步提升,预计年末及2026年煤价总体延续稳中偏强走势。 国元国际表示,优质煤企凭借资源禀赋及成本优势,能够保持稳健盈利和充裕现金流,分红持续性高, 成为高股息投资标的,资产红利属性不断增强,行业进入"红利+周期"双属性阶段。 中泰证券最新发布的2026年煤炭行业投资策略指出,2026年预核增产能退出规模或超亿吨,带动国内供 应规模收缩,在需求端,电煤需求有望重回增长,非电需求韧性可期。交易面与基本面共振,看好2026 年煤炭板块投资机会。 投资建议方面,中泰证券建议把握三条主线:基于中长期资金持续入市,煤炭"高股息、低估值"投资价 值进一步凸显,积极配置红利属性较强的标的;基于企业自身产能增长逻辑,叠加盈利弹性较大,重点 关注α与β共振的标的;基于煤价见底、盈利改善,重点关注困境反转的炼焦煤。 东方财富Choice数据显示,共有22只煤炭股的股息率(TTM)超2%,其中,冀中能源居首,股息率达 10.20%,中国神华、平煤股份等3股股息率均超7%。 值得注意的是,多数煤炭股今 ...
煤炭开采行业11月数据全面解读:生产、进口继续回落,11月煤价上行
Guohai Securities· 2025-12-16 11:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Insights - The coal mining industry is experiencing a mixed supply and demand scenario, with production and imports declining, while coal prices are on the rise due to seasonal demand and supply constraints [14][21] - The report highlights the resilience of major coal companies, emphasizing their strong cash flow and profitability, which positions them well for future growth despite market fluctuations [14] Supply Side Summary - Coal production in November 2025 was 430 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, but the decline was less severe than in October [20][21] - Coal imports fell by 19.87% year-on-year in November, with a total of 44.05 million tons imported, reflecting supply chain disruptions and high base effects from the previous year [9][28] - Overall coal supply in November showed a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline narrowed compared to October [28] Demand Side Summary - The demand for coal is being negatively impacted by a 4.2% year-on-year decline in thermal power generation in November, contrasting with a 7.3% increase in October [10][29] - Chemical and metallurgical sectors are showing positive contributions to coal consumption, with chemical industry coal usage increasing by 8.22% year-on-year [12][41] Inventory Summary - Power plants are replenishing their coal inventories, with significant increases noted in November, while upstream coal inventories remain low [13][14] - The inventory levels for coking coal are also rising but are still considered low overall [13] Price Summary - The average price of thermal coal at northern ports rose to 822 RMB per ton in November, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 10% [13] - The report anticipates that coal prices may stabilize due to seasonal demand and supply adjustments, despite the ongoing fluctuations [14] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on robust coal companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [15][14] - It highlights the investment value of coal stocks due to their high dividends and cash flow characteristics, recommending a strategic approach to investing in the sector [14]
11月PMI回暖,红利资产稳健配置价值凸显,国企红利ETF(159515)盘中涨0.53%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 02:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the State-owned Enterprise Dividend Index has shown positive performance, with significant increases in specific constituent stocks, indicating a favorable environment for dividend-paying stocks [1][2]. - As of December 15, 2025, the State-owned Enterprise Dividend Index rose by 0.56%, with notable stock performances including COFCO Sugar rising by 9.99% and Shanxi Coal International by 4.00% [1]. - The State-owned Enterprise Dividend ETF (159515) also experienced an increase of 0.53%, reflecting strong investor interest in dividend-paying assets [1][2]. Group 2 - The liquidity of the State-owned Enterprise Dividend ETF has improved, with an average daily transaction volume of 2.7164 million yuan over the past month and a weekly scale growth of 2.3717 million yuan [1]. - The ETF's share count increased by 3 million shares in the past week, indicating a significant uptick in investor participation [1]. - The State-owned Enterprise Dividend Index is designed to reflect the performance of 100 listed companies with high cash dividend yields and stable dividend policies, which are selected from state-owned enterprises [2]. Group 3 - The report highlights that dividend assets are attractive in a low-interest-rate environment, appealing to risk-averse investors seeking stable returns [2]. - The manufacturing PMI showed a slight recovery to 49.2% in November, indicating improvements in both production and demand, which supports the overall economic stability [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the State-owned Enterprise Dividend Index account for 16.99% of the index, with companies like COSCO Shipping and Jizhong Energy among the leaders [2][4].
山西焦煤:预计2026年度日常关联交易总额96.8亿元
南方财经12月12日电,山西焦煤(000983.SZ)公告,预计2026年度与山西焦煤集团、西山煤电等关联 方发生日常关联交易总额968008万元,其中关联采购755367万元,关联销售212641万元。交易内容涵盖 原材料采购、燃料动力、设备租赁、劳务服务及产品销售等,定价遵循市场价或协议价。 ...
山西焦煤能源集团股份有限公司第九届董事会第十六次会议决议公告
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:000983 证券简称:山西焦煤 公告编号:2025-048 山西焦煤能源集团股份有限公司 第九届董事会第十六次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 山西焦煤能源集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第九届董事会第十六次会议以通讯方式于2025年12 月11日召开。公司已于2025年12月1日以传真、邮件及专人送达的方式通知了全体董事。本次会议应到 董事10人,实际参加表决董事10人。会议由董事樊大宏先生主持。会议的召开和表决程序符合《公司 法》和《公司章程》的规定。 二、董事会会议审议情况 (一)会议以4票同意,0票反对,0票弃权的表决结果通过了《关于2026年度日常关联交易预计的议 案》。(详见公告2025-049) 该议案已经公司独立董事专门会议审议通过。该议案属于关联交易,根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规 则》规定,公司6名关联董事王强、胡文强、樊大宏、王慧玲、焦宇强、孟奇回避表决,由公司4名非关 联董事对该议案进行了表决。 本议案需提交2025年 ...