证券日报网讯 12月17日，新和成（002001）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，生物基PPS的成本相比 常规PPS要高，但是客户会根据下游应用的接受度决定是否采购生物基PPS，对公司销量没有影响。 ...

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes two main investment themes for the chemical industry: anti-involution policies and domestic substitution, which are expected to drive recovery and growth in the sector [4][5][6] Anti-Involution and Cycle Recovery - The report suggests that the chemical industry is at a turning point, with anti-involution measures leading to a recovery in the cycle. Key areas include the peak of new capacity in organic silicon, the end of PTA capacity expansion, and a rebound in prices for certain chemicals due to supply chain disruptions [4][5] - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) has decreased significantly, dropping to 3865 points by November 30, 2025, down 16.37% from early 2024 and 10.71% from the beginning of 2025 [4][20] Domestic Substitution as a Growth Driver - Domestic substitution is highlighted as a key growth driver, with significant support from national policies for bio-based materials and advancements in technology leading to a more robust domestic supply chain [4][6] - The report identifies several companies positioned to benefit from these trends, including KaiSai Bio and RuiFeng New Materials, which are making strides in bio-based materials and lubricant additives, respectively [5][6] Market Dynamics and Price Recovery - The report notes that while the chemical market is experiencing a downturn, certain segments are expected to see price recovery due to improved supply-demand dynamics and reduced capacity expansion [4][22] - Specific chemical products have shown varied price movements, with some experiencing significant declines while others are stabilizing or recovering [22] Manufacturing Sector Recovery - The manufacturing sector is showing signs of recovery, which is anticipated to support the chemical industry. The report mentions that the real estate market is stabilizing, and automotive production has increased, indicating a potential uptick in demand for chemical products [25][33] Capital Expenditure Trends - Capital expenditure growth in the chemical industry is slowing, with a notable decline in new projects. The report indicates that the total construction in progress for the chemical sector was 327.57 billion yuan in Q3 2025, down 17.64% year-on-year [34][39] Inventory and Consumption Trends - High inventory levels in the chemical sector are being addressed as consumer demand begins to recover. The report suggests that the inventory-to-revenue ratio for the basic chemical industry was 0.62 in Q3 2025, indicating a slight increase from the previous year [41][42] Profitability and Financial Performance - The report highlights a recovery in profitability for the chemical industry, with gross margins and return on equity (ROE) showing improvement in Q3 2025 compared to previous periods [56][60] - Specific sub-sectors, such as agrochemicals and fluorochemicals, have demonstrated significant profit growth, with some exceeding 100% year-on-year increases [55][56]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Strong Buy" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [2]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with the "anti-involution" trend expected to accelerate the optimization of the competitive landscape, driving an upward trend in industry prosperity. Leading companies are likely to see improvements in both profitability and valuation, with recommendations for companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, China Petroleum, Baofeng Energy, and New Hope Liuhe [3]. - The report highlights the importance of self-discipline in production cuts within sub-industries like polyester filament, agrochemicals, fluorochemicals, and organosilicon, recommending companies such as Tongkun Co., New Fengming, Lier Chemical, and others [3]. - The refining industry, currently at a cyclical low, is expected to benefit from the elimination of backward production capacity, leading to a rapid recovery in prosperity, with recommendations for China Petroleum, Hengli Petrochemical, and others [3]. Summary by Sections Supply Side - The peak of capacity expansion has passed, with fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry showing a negative year-on-year growth for the first time in nearly five years as of June 2025. The total fixed assets of listed companies in the basic chemical industry reached 14,628.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.56% [14][46]. - The construction of new projects has also seen a downturn, with the amount of ongoing projects decreasing by 15.11% year-on-year as of Q3 2025 [46]. Demand Side - Domestic demand is expected to be boosted by stimulus policies, while exports of chemical products continue to grow. The demand from downstream industries such as real estate, automotive, and textiles is showing positive trends [3][14]. - The resilience of chemical product exports is highlighted, with the export quantity index for the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry reaching 122.40 as of September 2025 [3]. Global Industry Landscape - The report notes a shift in the global industrial landscape, with Chinese chemical companies enhancing their competitiveness. In 2023, China's chemical sales reached 2,238.1 billion euros, accounting for 43.1% of the global market [3][14]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in the global chemical industry, with many overseas chemical production capacities exiting the market due to high costs and aging facilities, thereby strengthening the competitive position of domestic companies [3]. Policy and Industry Self-Regulation - The "anti-involution" actions initiated in 2024, including self-regulation and production cuts by industry associations and leading companies, are expected to help restore product prices and profits [3]. - The report discusses various policies aimed at energy conservation and carbon reduction, which are likely to optimize supply and improve product structures in the petrochemical industry [3].

Core Viewpoint - Specialty nylon, as a high-performance polyamide material system beyond general nylon (PA6, PA66), is a key direction for the new materials industry towards high-end, functional, and green development. It overcomes the limitations of conventional nylon in heat resistance, water absorption, and transparency through molecular structure design and synthesis process innovation, leading to various subcategories widely used in advanced manufacturing fields such as automotive electrification, electronics, new energy equipment, and aerospace [1][2]. Group 1: Overview of Specialty Nylon - Specialty nylon refers to polyamide materials excluding general nylons (PA6 and PA66), including long-chain polyamides, high-temperature polyamides, transparent polyamides, and bio-based polyamides (PA56), with long-chain nylon and high-temperature nylon dominating the market [5][6]. - The global specialty nylon market is currently dominated by international giants such as Arkema, Evonik, and DuPont, with significant technological barriers in key monomers, polymerization processes, and high-end grades [1][10]. Group 2: Market Supply and Demand - The global production capacity of specialty nylon is approximately 600,000 tons per year, with major producers including Arkema, DuPont, DSM, and others. DSM uniquely masters the industrialization of hexamethylenediamine, producing PA4T, while other companies primarily focus on PA6T products [10][11]. - In China, domestic production of long-chain polyamides has gained a significant market share, with several companies planning to expand production capacity, expected to reach 150,000 tons in the next five years [14][13]. Group 3: Long-Chain Polyamides - Long-chain nylon typically refers to nylon materials with more than ten methylene groups in the molecular chain, offering high toughness and low water absorption, with applications in automotive, electronics, and military sectors [16][20]. - The global production capacity of long-chain polyamides is around 270,000 tons per year, with a projected market sales revenue of $2.846 billion in 2024, expected to reach $3.64 billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 3.6% [21][23]. Group 4: High-Temperature Polyamides - High-temperature polyamides can operate at temperatures up to 150°C, with a global production capacity of approximately 335,000 tons per year. They are widely used in electronics, automotive, and mechanical manufacturing [26][32]. - The production of high-temperature nylon involves complex synthesis processes, with the two-step method of high-temperature high-pressure solution polymerization followed by solid-phase post-polymerization being the mainstream industrial process [28][31].

Core Insights - The chemical industry report indicates a mixed performance in chemical product prices, with 42 products increasing in price, 37 decreasing, and 21 remaining stable during the week of December 8-14 [1][2] - The report suggests focusing on undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials and certain new energy materials amid price increases [1][6] Industry Dynamics - In the week of December 8-14, 47% of tracked chemical products saw a month-on-month price increase, while 44% experienced a decrease, and 9% remained unchanged [2] - The top price increases were noted in nitric acid, sulfuric acid, raw salt, bisphenol A, and TDI, while the largest declines were in PVA, LLDPE, trichloroethylene, and NYMEX natural gas [2] Oil Market Overview - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $57.44 per barrel (down 2.45%) and Brent crude at $61.12 per barrel (down 2.19%) [3] - The U.S. oil production averaged 13.853 million barrels per day, an increase of 38,000 barrels from the previous week and 222,000 barrels from the same period last year [3] - U.S. oil demand rose to an average of 21.082 million barrels per day, with gasoline demand increasing to 8.456 million barrels per day [3] TDI Market Analysis - TDI prices increased to an average of 14,713 yuan/ton, up 2.49% week-on-week and 5.51% month-on-month [4] - TDI production decreased, with an overall operating rate of approximately 58.55%, and various factories experiencing operational issues [4] - Average costs for TDI were 11,819 yuan/ton, down 0.92% week-on-week, while average gross profit rose by 31.79% week-on-week [4] Methionine Market Analysis - Methionine prices decreased to an average of 17,900 yuan/ton, down 2.45% week-on-week and 9.14% month-on-month [5] - The production remained stable at 18,350 tons, with an operating rate of 89.42% [5] - The cost of methionine was 13,853.73 yuan/ton, with a gross profit margin of 23.67% [5] Valuation Metrics - As of December 12, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemical sector was 24.14, and the price-to-book ratio was 2.19 [6] - The SW oil and petrochemical sector had a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 12.85 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.24 [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued leading companies, sectors benefiting from policy support, and emerging fields such as semiconductor materials and new energy materials [6] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others [6][7]

Core Insights - The chemical industry is entering a favorable phase driven by demand, value, and supply dynamics [5][6][7] - Global supply constraints and the exit of European capacities are expected to enhance the market environment for the chemical sector [7] Demand Drivers - Key opportunities identified in various sectors include: - Gas turbine upstream: companies like Zhenhua Co., Yingliu Co., Longda Co., and Wanze Co. [5] - Refrigerants and fluorinated liquids: companies such as Juhua Co., New Zhoubang, and Runhe Materials [5] - Energy storage supply chain: including Chuanheng Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, Batian Co., and others [5] - Semiconductor materials: companies like Yanggu Huatai, Wanrun Co., Dinglong Co., and others [5] Value Drivers - Potential for increased dividend yields in sectors such as: - Coal chemical: Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [6] - Oil refining: Hengli Petrochemical, Satellite Chemical, and Sinopec [6] - Phosphate fertilizers: Yuntianhua, Yuntu Holdings, and others [6] Supply Drivers - Domestic anti-involution policies and the exit of European production capacities are expected to support the chemical industry: - PTA and polyester filament: companies like Xin Fengming and Tongkun Co. [7] - Tire manufacturing: including Sailun Tire, Zhongce Rubber, and others [7] Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Selected companies with profit forecasts include: - Zhenhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 6.04 billion, PE: 21.8) [8] - Yingliu Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 4.08 billion, PE: 42.7) [8] - Longda Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 1.06 billion, PE: 34.9) [8] - Wanze Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 2.37 billion, PE: 32.9) [8] - Juhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 48.14 billion, PE: 24.4) [8] Industry Cycle Insights - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new cycle, with demand recovery and supply-side reforms driving growth [14][21] - The chemical price index has shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential upturn in the market [20][21]

Group 1 - The company is currently not planning any expansion for its liquid methionine production despite the increasing penetration rate in the market [2] - The liquid methionine project, in collaboration with Sinopec, has a capacity of 180,000 tons/year (pure basis) and began trial production in June of this year [2] - After a maintenance period in September, production has resumed, and there are no additional plans for expansion or other developments at this time [2] Group 2 - The company has not indicated any breakthroughs in high-end products, such as those with increased biological availability, within its liquid methionine segment [2]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 新和成（002001.SZ）12月12日在投资者互动平台表示，结合一体化建设效率，公司目前在天津南港建 设"己二腈-己二胺-尼龙66"全产业链一体化生产项目，预计2027年建成。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：尊敬的董秘，您好！请问贵司上虞基地年产25万吨乙 二胺及48万吨尼龙新材料项目，目前施工建设进展如何？预计何时可以投产？ ...

格隆汇12月12日丨新和成(002001.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前在天津南港建设"己二腈-己二 胺-尼龙66"全产业链一体化生产项目，预计2027年建成。 ...

格隆汇12月12日丨新和成(002001.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，公司与中石化合作投建的18万吨/年（折 纯）液体蛋氨酸项目于今年6月份开始试生产，结合前期试生产情况于9月份安排了检修，检修后已恢复 生产，暂无扩产及其他计划。 ...