Core Viewpoint - The stock price of New Harmony has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market capitalization of 77.33 billion yuan. The company has shown mixed performance in terms of stock price changes over different time frames [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, New Harmony achieved a revenue of 16.642 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.45%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.321 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 33.37% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for New Harmony increased to 82,500, up by 2.15%. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 2.11% to 36,823 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 16.114 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 5.682 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Major Shareholders - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 185 million shares, which is a decrease of 6.6675 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include various ETFs, all of which have seen a reduction in their holdings [3].

Core Viewpoint - New Hope's stock price has shown a positive trend with a year-to-date increase of 2.50% and a significant rise of 10.96% over the past 60 days, indicating strong market interest and performance [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, New Hope achieved a revenue of 16.642 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.45%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.321 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase of 33.37% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for New Hope increased to 82,500, up by 2.15%. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 2.11% to 36,823 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 16.114 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 5.682 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Major Shareholders - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 185 million shares, which is a decrease of 6.6675 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 Medical ETF, both of which have also seen reductions in their holdings [3].

Core Insights - The report highlights that Xinhecheng (002001) is positioned to become a global leader in the fine chemical industry by leveraging high-barrier core intermediates and focusing on domestic substitution [2][12] - The nutritional products segment is expected to recover, with methionine likely to see both volume and price increases as the impact of BASF's incident fades [12] - The flavor and fragrance segment is experiencing steady growth, with the company leading in domestic scale and continuously expanding its product offerings [12] - The new materials segment demonstrates synergy between industry and technology, with the company planning to enhance its production capacity for key intermediates like adiponitrile [12] Nutritional Products Segment - The nutritional products segment is at a turning point, with methionine demand expected to grow at 6% globally, supported by a strong cost curve and reduced overseas competition due to environmental pressures [12] - The company has a significant cost advantage by mastering core intermediates and integrating the vitamin A and E supply chain [12] - The anticipated completion of projects for 70,000 tons of solid methionine and 180,000 tons of liquid methionine in 2025 is expected to lead to volume and price increases in 2026 [12] Flavor and Fragrance Segment - The global flavor and fragrance market is dominated by a few players, with high barriers to entry, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from this concentration [12] - The segment is expected to grow as downstream manufacturers are less sensitive to price changes and seek comprehensive service offerings [12] New Materials Segment - The new materials segment is characterized by high-barrier processes and significant domestic substitution potential, with the company being the second-largest producer of PPS globally [12] - The company is planning a nylon integration project in Tianjin, with an initial capacity of 100,000 tons per year for adiponitrile and hexamethylenediamine [12] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 23.183 billion, 23.426 billion, and 24.478 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profit forecasts of 6.733 billion, 7.202 billion, and 8.058 billion yuan [12] - The expected EPS for the same years is 2.19, 2.34, and 2.62 yuan per share, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% for net profit [12] - The company's PE ratio for 2026 is projected to be around 11 times, which is below the average PE of comparable companies at 15 times [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company Xinhecheng is positioned as a global leader in the fine chemical industry, leveraging high-barrier core intermediates and focusing on domestic substitution to drive growth [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company has successfully overcome challenges in the domestic production of Vitamin A and E, and is now extending its industrial chain through high-barrier core intermediates, customer collaboration, and domestic substitution [1] - The company has diversified into multiple sectors including nutrition products, flavor and fragrance, new materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and intermediates, as well as bio-fermentation [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Current methionine prices are declining, but the cost curve remains steep with strong bottom support; the company is positioned at the leftmost side of this curve, ensuring solid bottom-line profits [1] - Overseas production capacity is gradually exiting due to cost and environmental pressures, with the EU carbon tariff in 2026 potentially accelerating this trend, leading to expected price elasticity for methionine [1] Group 3: Future Prospects - In 2025, the company plans to implement a 70,000-ton solid methionine technical upgrade and an 180,000-ton liquid methionine project, which may lead to simultaneous volume and profit growth in 2026 [1] - The flavor and fragrance segment continues to expand, showing steady growth, while new materials demonstrate industrial and technological synergy, with additional growth potential from adiponitrile [1] - Given the company's status as a global leader in fine chemicals, its significant scale cost advantages, and the cyclical bottom with elasticity and new material growth potential, a "buy" rating is maintained [1]

| | | | --- | --- | | | | | . | 1 | | . | | | 市场数据: | 2026 年 01 月 12 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 25.36 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 26.28/19.52 | | 市净率 | 2.4 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 3.55 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 77,015 | | 上证指数/深证成指 4,165.29/14,366.91 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产 (元) | 10.48 | | 资产负债率% | 28.25 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 3,073/3,037 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | 市公司 同研究人公司深 年内股价与大盘对比走势: 沪深300指数 相关研究 证券分析师 李绍程 A0230525070002 lisc@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@sw ...

上 市 公 司 -20% 0% 20% 40% 01-13 02-13 03-13 04-13 05-13 06-13 07-13 08-13 09-13 10-13 11-13 12-13 新和成 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 证券分析师 李绍程 A0230525070002 lisc@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 证 券 研 究 报 告 | | | | --- | --- | | | | | . | 1 | | . | | | 市场数据： | 2026 年 01 月 12 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | 25.36 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 26.28/19.52 | | | 市净率 | | 2.4 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | | 3.55 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 77,015 | | | 上证指数/深证成指 | ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the changes in the shareholding structure of various companies, highlighting the movements of major shareholders and their respective holdings [1][2][3] - Notable changes include the increase in holdings by certain strategic funds, such as 重阳战略, which have maintained or increased their stakes in companies like 002001 and 002352 [1][2] - The data indicates that some companies have seen fluctuations in their top shareholders, with some being pushed out of the top ten due to changes in share distribution among existing shareholders [3] Group 2 - The report provides specific figures on shareholdings, such as 5407.22 million shares held by 重阳战略汇智 in 002001, representing 1.75% of the total [2] - It also notes that certain companies, like 移运通信, have seen new entries into their top shareholder lists, indicating potential shifts in investor confidence or strategic realignments [1][3] - The overall market sentiment appears to reflect a cautious approach, with some shareholders opting to maintain their positions rather than increase their stakes significantly [2][3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [70]. Core Insights - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are reported at 18,043, 14,171, and 14,478 CNY/ton respectively, with TDI showing a week-on-week increase of 59 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for ethane, propane, and coal are 1,165, 4,172, and 520 CNY/ton respectively, with ethane decreasing by 85 CNY/ton and propane increasing by 45 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2,213, 1,724, 3,787, and 2,546 CNY/ton respectively, with synthetic ammonia decreasing by 34 CNY/ton and urea increasing by 12 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for animal nutrition products such as VA and VE are 62.5 and 54.9 CNY/kg respectively, with no significant changes [2]. Summary by Sections Polyurethane Sector - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are 18,043, 14,171, and 14,478 CNY/ton respectively, with TDI showing a week-on-week increase of 59 CNY/ton [2][16][20]. Oil, Coal, and Olefins Sector - Ethane and propane average prices are 1,165 and 4,172 CNY/ton respectively, with ethane decreasing by 85 CNY/ton and propane increasing by 45 CNY/ton [2][24][31]. - The average price for polyethylene is 6,800 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 30 CNY/ton [2]. Coal Chemical Sector - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2,213, 1,724, 3,787, and 2,546 CNY/ton respectively, with synthetic ammonia decreasing by 34 CNY/ton and urea increasing by 12 CNY/ton [2][40][48][49]. Animal Nutrition Sector - The average prices for VA, VE, solid egg amino acid, and liquid egg amino acid are 62.5, 54.9, 17.6, and 14.2 CNY/kg respectively, with no significant changes [2][56][62].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to experience an upward cycle due to the implementation of "anti-involution" policies in China and the accelerated exit of some European facilities [29] - The report highlights the potential for domestic substitution of semiconductor materials from Japan due to rising geopolitical tensions, which could benefit various companies in the sector [5] - The chromium salt industry is undergoing a value reassessment driven by increased demand from AI data centers and commercial aircraft engines, with a projected supply-demand gap of 340,900 tons by 2028 [8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical industry has shown strong relative performance with a 1-month increase of 10.7%, 3-month increase of 9.6%, and a 12-month increase of 45.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] Price Trends - Key products such as lithium carbonate and polysilicon have seen significant price increases, supported by policy guidance and industry self-discipline [12] - The price of chromium salts has remained stable, with metal chromium priced at 82,000 CNY/ton as of January 9, 2026 [15] Investment Opportunities - Focus on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhu Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, as well as those in sectors with improving market conditions like chromium salts and phosphates [6][9] - High dividend yield opportunities are identified in state-owned enterprises like China Petroleum and China National Chemical [10] Key Company Tracking - Companies such as Dongfang Shenghong and Huabei Yihua are highlighted for their earnings potential, with projected EPS growth for 2026 [30] - The report tracks specific price movements for various chemicals, including a notable increase in the price of ammonium phosphate and a stable price for urea [17][19]

格隆汇1月9日丨新和成(002001.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，公司PPS、PPA系列产品均有商业航天领域 订单。 ...