证券代码：002092 证券简称：中泰化学 公告编号：2026-002 债券代码：148437 债券简称：23 新化 K1 新疆中泰化学股份有限公司对外担保进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 1 | 新疆中泰进出口贸易有限公司 | 313.72 | 10,404.20 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上海中泰多经国际贸易有限责任公司 | 6,400.00 | 16,799.20 | | 海南永熙实业有限公司 | 4,000.00 | 8,000.00 | | 合计 | 270,431.16 | 1,511,597.35 | 上述担保事项已经公司董事会、股东会审议通过，担保金额未超过审议批准 的额度，符合公司生产经营发展需要，被担保方信用状况良好、具有偿债能力， 担保风险可控，不存在损害公司及股东利益的情形。 二、被担保方基本情况 1、新疆华泰重化工有限责任公司基本情况 成立日期：2004 年 1 月 16 日 注册资本：558,821.1918 万元人民币 一、担保情况概述 2025 年 10 月 1 日至 2025 年 ...

Financial Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit loss for 2025, estimated between -23,000 million yuan and -33,000 million yuan, representing a year-on-year improvement of 66.21% to 76.45% from a loss of 97,651.54 million yuan in the previous year[2] - The net profit loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between -33,000 million yuan and -43,000 million yuan, showing a year-on-year improvement of 59.44% to 68.88% from a loss of 106,026.72 million yuan last year[2] - Basic earnings per share are expected to be between -0.0893 yuan/share and -0.1281 yuan/share, compared to a loss of -0.3791 yuan/share in the previous year[2] Management and Operational Improvements - The company has focused on refining its internal management system and enhancing cost control capabilities, leading to improved profitability in the chlor-alkali chemical sector and better performance in the textile industry[5] - Significant reductions in impairment losses on fixed assets and inventory have been noted, along with a decrease in investment losses from important joint ventures[5] Audit and Investor Advisory - The performance forecast has not been audited by an accounting firm, and the company has communicated with its auditors regarding the forecast without major discrepancies[3] - Investors are advised to exercise caution as the performance forecast is based on preliminary estimates and the final financial data will be disclosed in the 2025 annual report[6]

证券之星消息，1月30日化学原料板块较上一交易日下跌0.15%，金瑞矿业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4117.95，下跌0.96%。深证成指报收于14205.89，下跌0.66%。化学原料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600409 | 三友化工 | 8.20 | 6.91% | 129.37万 | 10.48亿 | | 600618 | 氢碱化工 | 17.70 | 5.86% | 61.87万 | 10.27亿 | | 600610 | 中毅达 | 13.12 | 5.81% | 137.85万 | 17.79亿 | | 002092 | 中泰化学 | 7.01 | 3.85% | 166.46万 | 11.32亿 | | 603938 | 三季股份 | 26.60 | 3.54% | 15.28万 | 4.03亿 | | 003017 | 大洋生物 | 32.47 | 2.95% | 2.99万 | 9560.62万 | | 000818 | 航锦科技 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the PVC (Polyvinyl Chloride) industry, particularly regarding the transition to mercury-free production methods as mandated by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment in China [1] Key Points and Arguments - **Policy Push for Mercury-Free PVC**: The government is accelerating the transition to mercury-free catalysts in the PVC industry, which is expected to lead to the elimination of outdated production capacities [1] - **Impact of Capital Expenditure**: The transition to mercury-free production requires significant one-time capital expenditures. Smaller and higher-cost producers may lack the financial resources to complete this transformation, potentially leading to their exit from the market [1] - **Supply-Side Contraction**: The forced exit of less competitive producers will likely shrink the supply side of the industry, optimizing the overall supply-demand balance and alleviating excess pressure, which could promote industry profitability recovery [1] - **Current PVC Pricing**: As of January 28, PVC prices are at 4,615 RMB per ton, with a price difference of -111.5 RMB per ton. These figures are positioned at the 4.3% and 13.6% percentiles, respectively, since 2016 [1] Additional Insights - **Core Bottleneck of Mercury-Free Catalysts**: The industry is expected to enter a phase where technological advancements are realized, and companies with mature industrial capabilities are likely to benefit first [2] - **Key Players in the Market**: Notable companies mentioned include: - Zhongtai Chemical (2.6 million tons) - Xinjiang Tianye (1.34 million tons) - Junzheng Group (800,000 tons) - Chlor-Alkali Chemical (480,000 tons) - Jiahua Energy (300,000 tons) - Sanyou Chemical (525,000 tons) - Kaili New Materials (leader in mercury-free catalysts) [2] - **Risk Factors**: Potential risks include the possibility that the transition to mercury-free production may not proceed as expected and increased competition within the industry [2]

Summary of Chlor-Alkali Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the chlor-alkali industry, particularly the impact of the Minamata Convention on mercury and the transition towards mercury-free production methods in the polyvinyl chloride (PVC) sector [1][2]. Key Points 1. **Minamata Convention on Mercury**: The convention aims to protect human health and the environment from the adverse effects of mercury emissions and releases. It has become a focal point in recent negotiations regarding the chlor-alkali industry [1][2]. 2. **Transition to Mercury-Free PVC Production**: The Ministry of Ecology and Environment emphasizes accelerating the transition to mercury-free PVC production. This includes the development of mercury-free catalysts and the phasing out of outdated production capacities [1]. 3. **Impact on PVC Production**: The use of mercuric chloride as a catalyst in the acetylene method for PVC production poses environmental and health risks. The convention will prohibit the mining of primary mercury by 2032, making it impossible to use mercuric chloride in PVC production [2]. 4. **Methods for Achieving Mercury-Free PVC**: - **Gold-Based Catalysts**: This method requires significant production line modifications and incurs higher costs, estimated to increase the cost of PVC production by approximately 100 CNY per ton. Smaller PVC producers may struggle to afford these changes [2]. - **Ethylene Method**: The investment cost for ethylene-based PVC production is higher, averaging 5,973 CNY per ton compared to 3,328 CNY per ton for the acetylene method. Both methods will increase costs for acetylene-based PVC producers, with the gold-based catalyst route being the more favorable option [3]. 5. **Market Implications**: The transition to mercury-free production is expected to lead to the exit of smaller, less profitable PVC companies from the market, as they may not be able to bear the increased costs associated with the new production methods [3]. Beneficiary Companies - **Xinjiang Tianye**: A leading player benefiting from the transition - **Zhongtai Chemical**: Another key beneficiary - **Chlor-Alkali Chemical**: Engaged in ethylene-based PVC production - **Jiahua Energy**: Also involved in ethylene-based PVC - **Junzheng Group**: Positioned on the cost-effective side of acetylene-based PVC - **Beiyuan Group**: Lower-cost acetylene-based PVC producer - **Kaili New Materials**: Focused on gold-based catalysts [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that leading companies are expected to benefit significantly from the trend of carbon reduction, with a stable yet slightly strong market structure for potassium chloride [3] - The PVC industry is undergoing a transformation towards mercury-free production, driven by regulatory pressures and environmental concerns, which will increase production costs for traditional methods [5][6] - The report notes that the chlor-alkali industry is experiencing significant losses, with net profits dropping from 182 RMB/ton in Q3 2025 to -49 RMB/ton in Q4 2025, indicating a critical need for capacity exit [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The PVC industry is facing a transition to mercury-free production methods, which will require significant investment and may lead to the exit of smaller, less profitable companies [6][7] - The Water Mercury Convention aims to phase out mercury use in PVC production by 2032, impacting production costs and methods [6] Market Dynamics - The chlor-alkali sector is currently in a state of widespread loss, with the profitability of caustic soda declining, making it difficult to maintain the current production balance [7] - The cancellation of export tax rebates for PVC and anticipated restrictions on high-energy-consuming industries are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity [7] Beneficiary Companies - Potential beneficiaries from these industry changes include Xinjiang Tianye, Zhongtai Chemical, Chlor-alkali Chemical, Jiahua Energy, Junzheng Group, Beiyuan Group, and Kaili New Materials [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that leading companies are expected to benefit significantly from the trend of carbon reduction, with a stable yet slightly strong market structure for potassium chloride [3] - The PVC industry is undergoing a transformation towards mercury-free production, driven by regulatory pressures and environmental concerns, which will increase production costs for traditional methods [5][6] - The report notes that the chlor-alkali industry is experiencing significant losses, with a net profit of -49 RMB/ton in Q4 2025, indicating a challenging market environment [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chlor-alkali industry is facing a historical shift due to multiple factors, including the Minamata Convention, which aims to phase out mercury use in PVC production by 2032 [6] - The transition to mercury-free catalysts will likely increase production costs by approximately 100 RMB per ton for PVC manufacturers [6] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the chlor-alkali industry is currently in a state of widespread losses, with Q4 2025 showing a significant decline in profitability compared to Q3 2025 [7] - The cancellation of export tax rebates for PVC and anticipated restrictions on high-energy-consuming industries are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacities [7] Beneficiary Companies - Potential beneficiaries identified include Xinjiang Tianye, Zhongtai Chemical, Chlor-alkali Chemical, Jiahua Energy, Junzheng Group, Beiyuan Group, and Kaili New Materials [8]

截至2026年1月23日收盘，中泰化学(002092)报收于6.41元，上涨3.05%，换手率4.89%，成交量125.93万 手，成交额7.99亿元。 董秘最新回复 投资者： 董秘你好！请问一下截止到2026.01.10的股东数是多少？谢谢！！！ 董秘： 根据中国证券登记结算有限公司出具的定期持有人名册，截至2026年1月9日，公司股东户数为 92,833。谢谢关注。 投资者： 网上传的取消PVC出口退税是真的吗？如果是真的会对贵公司的生产经营产生怎样的影响？ 投资者： 董秘你好，公司三氯氢硅一期5万吨目前是否已经投产外销？ 董秘： 目前该项目正在开展竣工验收工作，后续将根据市场情况等因素生产投运。谢谢关注。 投资者： 董秘您好！请问贵公司啥时候出业绩预告？ 董秘： 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》相关规定，2025年度业绩预告应当在会计年度结束之日 起一个月内进行披露。谢谢关注。 当日关注点 来自交易信息汇总：1月23日主力资金净流入601.35万元，呈现资金主动介入迹象。 交易信息汇总 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The PVC industry is expected to undergo continuous revaluation due to its high energy consumption and carbon emissions, particularly as China approaches its carbon peak during the 14th Five-Year Plan. The supply side may face strict controls, leading to potential reductions in production quotas. The demand for PVC in developing regions such as Africa and Latin America is anticipated to drive growth, despite the challenges posed by domestic production constraints [2][7] - The petrochemical industry is experiencing an upward trend in profitability, driven by significant price increases in key products such as butadiene rubber, PX, PTA, styrene, and ethylene glycol. The market's expectations for improved demand in 2026 are contributing to this positive outlook, with potential adjustments in operational strategies by leading companies likely to reshape supply and demand dynamics [7] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends several companies across various sub-sectors, including: - MDI leader: Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy) - PVC-related companies: Zhongtai Chemical (002092, Not Rated), Xinjiang Tianye (600075, Not Rated), Chlor-alkali Chemical (600618, Not Rated), Tianyuan Co., Ltd. (002386, Not Rated) - Refining sector leaders: Sinopec (600028, Buy), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493, Buy), Hengli Petrochemical (600346, Buy) - Phosphate chemical companies benefiting from energy storage growth: Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895, Not Rated), Yuntianhua (600096, Not Rated) - Oxalic acid sector: Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy), Huayi Group (600623, Buy), Wankai New Materials (301216, Buy) [3]

Key Points - SpaceX's procurement orders for calibration testing products from 康斯特 from 2016 to 2024 are relatively small [1] - 法尔胜 does not engage in businesses related to "controlled nuclear fusion," "superconductors," or "commercial aerospace" [1] - 龙旗科技 plans to invest 1.5 billion yuan to build an AI + smart terminal digital benchmark factory project in Nanchang High-tech Zone [1] - 蜀道装备 has won a contract worth 6,486,000 USD for the Rumuji natural gas liquefaction facility project in Nigeria [1] - TCL科技's subsidiary intends to acquire a 10.7656% stake in Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 6.045 billion yuan [1] - 一品红 plans to repurchase shares worth between 100 million to 200 million yuan [2] - 实丰文化's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [2] - 随升科技 intends to raise no more than 470 million yuan through a private placement [1][2] - 太力科技 has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Jinan University [1][2]