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农林牧渔2025年12月投资策略:养殖大周期反转预计在即,核心推荐港股牛奶养殖标的
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-08 02:44
Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks [1][12] - The monthly recommended portfolio includes YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to benefit from the livestock cycle recovery [1][3] - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, suggesting a strong recovery in the performance of livestock companies [1][14] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is projected to experience a major turnaround, with a focus on dairy farming stocks such as YouRan Agriculture and Modern Farming [1][14] - The report indicates that the domestic beef and milk markets are likely to see a price rebound, driven by a reduction in production capacity and improved demand dynamics [1][14] - The anticipated "meat-milk resonance" is expected to enhance profitability for dairy farming companies, with significant earnings recovery potential [1][14] Swine Sector - The swine sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in prices, with leading companies like Huazhong and Muyuan Foods positioned to benefit from valuation corrections [1][14] - The report notes that the cash flow of leading swine companies is improving, which may lead to higher dividend payouts in the future [1][15] - The current market conditions suggest that the swine industry is stabilizing, with a focus on maintaining reasonable breeding levels [22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is experiencing a slight increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery to support price stabilization [24] - The report highlights that the white-feathered chicken market is showing signs of recovery, with prices expected to improve as the consumption season approaches [24] - Leading poultry companies are anticipated to maintain strong profitability amid changing supply dynamics [24] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a promising growth area, with domestic brands gaining traction and expected to benefit from rising consumer sentiment [1][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for local pet food brands to capture market share, particularly in the high-end segment [1][16] - The performance of leading pet food companies is projected to remain strong, driven by product upgrades and direct sales strategies [20] Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies leveraging technological and service advantages [1][14] - The report indicates that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong cost support for livestock producers [1][14] - The anticipated tightening of supply-demand balance in the feed market is expected to lead to gradual price recovery [1][14] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that the price of live pigs was 11.25 yuan/kg at the end of November, down 10% month-on-month, while the price of 7kg piglets increased by 18% [2][22] - The report also highlights that corn prices have increased by 4% month-on-month, indicating a potential bottoming out in the market [2][22] - The overall agricultural sector is showing resilience, with the SW Agricultural Index outperforming the broader market [2][22]
畜牧ETF(159867)红盘向上,后续产能有望持续去化
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 06:06
天风农业团队指出,受气温下降影响,山东南部、辽宁西部部分区域有零星猪病散发,本周90kg以下小 体重猪整体出栏占比为4.83%,较上周增加0.34%。连续增长7周,后续需持续观察。政策引导减产&养 殖亏损&疫病干扰情况下,后续产能有望持续去化。机构强调,重视生猪板块空间,重视优秀企业的盈 利能力,在25年猪价持续低位&政策引导情况下,后续产能有望去化。 截至2025年12月3日 13:29,中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)成分股罗牛山(000735)上涨9.98%,益客食品 (301116)上涨3.36%,金新农(002548)上涨2.82%,海利生物(603718)上涨2.50%,中牧股份(600195)上涨 2.23%。畜牧ETF(159867)上涨0.46%,最新价报0.65元。 畜牧ETF紧密跟踪中证畜牧养殖指数,中证畜牧养殖指数选取涉及畜禽饲料、畜禽药物以及畜禽养殖等 业务的上市公司证券作为样本,以反映畜牧养殖相关上市公司的整体表现。 数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)前十大权重股分别为牧原股份(002714)、 温氏股份(300498)、海大集团(002311) ...
圣农发展(002299) - 关于非独立董事变更为职工代表董事的公告
2025-12-01 10:00
一、非独立董事辞任 证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-071 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 关于非独立董事变更为职工代表董事的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 9 月 3 日召开 2025 年第二次临时股东大会,审议通过了《关于修订<公司章程>的议案》、《关 于修订公司部分内部治理制度的议案》。鉴于公司不再设置监事会,根据修订后 的《公司章程》规定,公司董事会设置职工代表董事 1 人,由公司职工代表大会 选举产生。 董 事 会 二○二五年十二月二日 附件:席军先生简历 公司于 2025 年 12 月 1 日收到公司非独立董事席军先生的辞呈,根据有关规 定,结合工作需要,席军先生申请辞去第七届董事会非独立董事职务。根据《中 华人民共和国公司法》和《公司章程》的有关规定,席军先生的辞职报告自送达 公司董事会时生效,除辞任非独立董事职务外,席军先生担任的公司其他职务不 变,其辞任不会导致公司董事会成员低于法定人数,其本次职务变动系由非独立 董事变更为职工董事 ...
生猪去化趋势不改,择机参与板块配置
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-11-30 12:48
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Increase" [4] Core Views - The trend of pig reduction continues, suggesting a strategic opportunity for participation in the sector [15][16] - The price of lean meat pigs as of November 28, 2025, is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from the previous month, indicating ongoing industry losses [15][18] - The average profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head from the previous month, while the profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [15][23] - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.9 million, and further production capacity reduction is expected due to policy and low prices [15][16] - The mushroom sector shows a sustained price rebound for enoki mushrooms, with strong performance expected from key companies [16] - The seed industry is seeing a clear trend of variety replacement, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales, indicating potential growth for related companies [16] - In poultry farming, seasonal price elasticity opportunities are noted for yellow feathered chickens, while white feathered chickens are affected by avian influenza in Europe [17] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The lean meat pig price is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from last month [18] - The average wholesale price of pork is 17.83 CNY/kg, down 1.1% [18] - The profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head [23] - The profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [23] Mushroom Sector - Enoki mushroom prices remain strong, confirming a sustained price rebound [16] - The release period for Cordyceps sinensis as a key new product is approaching, with strong performance expected [16] Seed Industry - A clear trend of variety replacement in corn is noted, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales [16] - Companies like Kangnong Seed Industry and Longping High-Tech are highlighted for potential growth [16] Poultry Farming - The price of meat chicken chicks is 3.47 CNY/chick, down 3.1% from last month [28] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 7.19 CNY/kg, up 1.4% [32] - The average price of chicken products is 8.95 CNY/kg, up 0.6% [32] Agricultural Products - Domestic corn prices increased to 2329.8 CNY/ton, up 4.0% [44] - Domestic wheat prices rose to 2507.28 CNY/ton, up 0.7% [46] - Domestic soybean prices increased to 4014.74 CNY/ton, up 0.4% [57]
畜牧ETF(159867)盘中净申购750万份,猪企龙头出海布局,机构称26年龙头价值属性或将凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 03:05
Group 1 - The livestock sector is experiencing a positive trend, with the China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) rising, and key stocks such as Jinxinnong (002548) and Yisheng (002458) showing significant gains [1] - Major pig farming companies are expanding into Southeast Asia, indicating a trend of overseas expansion among leading enterprises like Muyuan, New Hope, and Haida [1] - The market is at a critical point of capacity reduction driven by both policy and market forces, with potential improvements in supply-demand relationships expected by mid-2026 if capacity reduction targets are met [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.58% of the index, with companies like Muyuan (002714) and Wens (300498) being the most significant contributors [3] - The overall capital expenditure of listed pig farming companies is stabilizing and slightly decreasing, as many firms are halting capacity expansion projects due to narrowing profits and cash flow pressures [2] - The livestock ETF closely tracks the China Livestock Breeding Index, which includes companies involved in feed, pharmaceuticals, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2]
福建圣农发展股份有限公司 关于2025年限制性股票激励计划 内幕信息知情人与激励对象 买卖公司股票的自查报告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-25 23:15
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-069 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏。 福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于2025年10月28日召开第七届董事会第十六次会议,审 议通过《关于<公司2025年限制性股票激励计划(草案)>及其摘要的议案》等相关议案。具体内容详 见公司2025年10月29日披露于指定信息披露媒体和巨潮资讯网(www.cninfo.com.cn)的相关公告。 根据《上市公司股权激励管理办法》(以下简称"《管理办法》")和《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监 管指南第1号——业务办理》(以下简称"《自律监管指南第1号》")等有关法律、法规及规范性文件的 相关规定,公司对激励计划采取了充分的保密措施,对本次激励计划的内幕信息知情人进行了必要的登 记。经向中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司(以下简称"中登深圳公司")查询,公司对本次激 励计划内幕信息知情人及激励对象在激励计划首次公开披露前6个月内(即2025年4月28日至2025年10月 28日)买卖 ...
圣农发展(002299) - 关于2025年限制性股票激励计划内幕信息知情人与激励对象买卖公司股票的自查报告
2025-11-25 10:34
证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-069 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 关于 2025 年限制性股票激励计划内幕信息知情人 与激励对象买卖公司股票的自查报告 3、公司向中登深圳分公司就核查对象在自查期间买卖公司股票的情况进行 了查询确认,中登深圳分公司出具了《信息披露义务人持股及股份变更查询证明》 和《股东股份变更明细清单》。 二、核查对象买卖公司股票的情况说明 根据中登深圳分公司出具的《信息披露义务人持股及股份变更查询证明》和 《股东股份变更明细清单》,在自查期间,核查对象买卖公司股票情况如下: (一)内幕信息知情人买卖股票的情况 在自查期间,本激励计划的内幕信息知情人均不存在买卖公司股票的情况。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 10 月 28 日召 开第七届董事会第十六次会议,审议通过《关于<公司 2025 年限制性股票激励计 划(草案)>及其摘要的议案》等相关议案。具体内容详见公司 2025 年 10 月 29 日披露于指定信息披露媒体和巨潮资讯网(ww ...
圣农发展(002299) - 关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司2025年第四次临时股东会的法律意见书
2025-11-25 10:30
关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2025 年第四次临时股东会的 法 律 意 见 书 福建至理律师事务所 地址:中国福州市鼓楼区洪山园路华润万象城三期 TB#写字楼 22 层 电话:(86 591)8806 5558 网址:http://www.zenithlawyer.com 2025 年第四次临时股东会的法律意见书 闽理非诉字〔2025〕第 263 号 致:福建圣农发展股份有限公司 福建至理律师事务所(以下简称本所)接受福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以 下简称公司)之委托,指派陈禄生、林静律师(以下简称本所律师)出席公司 2025 年第四次临时股东会(以下简称本次会议或本次股东会),并依据《中华人 民共和国公司法》(以下简称《公司法》)、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称 《证券法》)、《上市公司股东会规则》(中国证券监督管理委员会公告〔2025〕7 号)、《深圳证券交易所上市公司股东会网络投票实施细则(2025 年修订)》(深证 上〔2025〕223 号,以下简称《网络投票实施细则》)等中国现行有效的有关法 律、法规、规章、规范性文件以及《福建圣农发展股份有限公司章程》(以下简 称《公司章程》)之规定出具法律意 ...
圣农发展(002299) - 2025年第四次临时股东会决议公告
2025-11-25 10:30
福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2025 年第四次临时股东会决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、特别提示 (一)本次会议上无否决或修改议案的情况。 (二)本次会议上无涉及变更以往股东会已通过的决议。 证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-070 二、会议召开和出席的情况 本次会议由公司董事会召集,现场会议由公司董事长傅光明先生主持。出席 本次会议的股东(或股东代理人,下同)共 278 人,代表股份 664,408,902 股, 占公司股份总数 1,243,111,721 股的比例为 53.4472%。其中:(1)出席现场会 议的股东共 7 人,代表股份 601,796,376 股,占公司股份总数的比例为 48.4105%; (2)根据深圳证券信息有限公司在本次会议网络投票结束后提供给公司的网络 投票统计结果,参加网络投票的股东共 271 人,代表股份 62,612,526 股,占公 司股份总数的比例为 5.0368%;(3)出席现场会议和参加网络投票的中小投资 者(指除公司董事、高级管理人员以及单独或合计持有公司 ...
农林牧渔行业2026上半年投资策略:关注产能去化把握边际改善
Dongguan Securities· 2025-11-25 09:21
Group 1 - The SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery industry outperformed the CSI 300 index, with an overall increase of 16.36% from January to November 2025, surpassing the index by approximately 3.18 percentage points [12][13][14] - All sub-sectors within the industry recorded positive returns, with significant increases in animal health (36.27%), fishery (35.22%), agricultural product processing (21.88%), feed (12.48%), breeding (11.53%), and planting (8.49%) [13] - Approximately 83% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with around 5% of stocks increasing by over 100%, and 17% recording negative returns [14][17] Group 2 - The breeding industry is experiencing a gradual reduction in the number of breeding sows, with a current stock of 40.35 million heads, which is 1.1% lower than the previous year [23][24] - The price of live pigs has shown a downward trend in 2025, with an average price of 11.65 yuan/kg as of November 24, down 26% from the beginning of the year, but is expected to gradually recover in 2026 [26] - The profitability of pig farming has turned negative, with self-breeding losses at 135.9 yuan per head and external piglet purchases at 234.63 yuan per head, but a recovery is anticipated in 2026 [31] Group 3 - The meat chicken breeding sector faced challenges in profitability during 2025, with the average price of broiler chicks fluctuating and a significant decline in profitability [33][35] - The supply of yellow feathered chickens is expected to remain relatively abundant in 2026, with a high stock of breeding chickens [45][47] - The overall feed production in China is projected to continue its recovery, with a total production of 15.85 million tons in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [50] Group 4 - The prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal have shown fluctuations, with corn prices recovering from a low of 2115.59 yuan/ton to around 2300.88 yuan/ton by late November 2025 [52][53] - The global supply of corn is expected to remain ample, with a projected production of 128.6 million tons for the 2025/26 season, indicating limited price recovery potential [55] - The overall market for pet food in China is anticipated to grow, with an increase in exports and a rising domestic market [38][40]