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招商证券:鸡价触底回升 看好8月景气
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 08:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that chicken prices are gradually rebounding due to reduced supply since mid-July, leading to improved profitability for farmers and increased willingness to restock [1][2] - In July, the average price of chicken seedlings was 1.41 yuan per chick, down 43% year-on-year and 38% month-on-month; the average price of live chickens was 6.52 yuan per kilogram, down 12% year-on-year and 9.2% month-on-month [1] - The demand for chicken seedlings is overall positive due to the upcoming school season, although the supply of chicken seedlings has decreased due to increased culling of breeding chickens [1] Group 2 - The price of yellow feathered chickens has shown signs of recovery in late July, with expectations for a favorable market in August [3] - The average price of fast-growing chickens in July was 3.94 yuan per pound, down 19.6% year-on-year but up 3.2% month-on-month; the average price of Xueshan grass chickens was 6.43 yuan per pound, down 27% year-on-year but up 5% month-on-month [3] - The cost of raising yellow feathered chickens has decreased significantly, with costs for leading companies falling to around 5.6 yuan per pound, indicating potential for substantial profit release as prices recover [3][4] Group 3 - The supply of parent stock chickens is expected to tighten in the second half of 2025 due to a significant decrease in overseas imports, which will also affect the supply of commercial broiler chicks in 2026 [2][4] - The current inventory of parent stock chickens is at a historically low level, which may lead to a contraction in supply and set the stage for future price increases [4] - The long-term outlook for the yellow feathered chicken market remains positive, driven by changing consumer habits, implementation of sales bans, and economic recovery boosting consumption [4]
农产品研究跟踪系列报告:牛肉价格延续涨势,看好牧业大周期景气向上
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-13 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [1][6]. Core Views - The report is optimistic about the reversal of the livestock cycle in 2025, with expectations of a simultaneous rise in domestic and international beef and raw milk markets [4]. - The pet consumption sector is identified as a growing industry that will benefit from demographic changes [4]. - The feed industry, particularly Haida Group, is expected to achieve excess returns due to the recovery of the aquaculture market [4]. - The pig farming sector shows insufficient expansion willingness, but a stable market is anticipated in 2025, with a focus on undervalued leading companies [4]. - The poultry sector is expected to see a long-term increase in consumption, with yellow chicken likely to benefit first from domestic demand recovery [4]. Summary by Sections Livestock - Beef prices have started to rise, with the average price on August 8 being 60.33 yuan/kg, a 0.97% increase from the previous week and a 29.74% increase year-on-year [2][16]. - The pig price on August 8 was 13.65 yuan/kg, down 3.81% week-on-week and down 33.51% year-on-year [14]. - The report forecasts a stable pig market in 2025, with a focus on leading companies like Muyuan and Wens [4][5]. Poultry - The price of broiler chicks increased by 23.08% week-on-week to 3.36 yuan/chick, while the price of broilers rose by 7.16% to 7.18 yuan/kg [15]. - The report anticipates a long-term increase in consumption for white chickens and expects yellow chickens to benefit from improved domestic demand [4]. Feed and Other Agricultural Products - The report notes that soybean meal prices are at historical lows, with a current price of 3008 yuan/ton, a 0.33% increase week-on-week [3][16]. - Corn prices are expected to maintain a moderate upward trend, with the current price at 2384 yuan/ton, down 0.71% week-on-week but up 0.76% year-on-year [3][16]. - Sugar prices have decreased slightly, with the current price at 5910 yuan/ton, down 1.34% week-on-week [3][16]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Livestock: YouRan, Modern Farming, China Shengmu, and Guangming Meat [4][5]. - Pet industry: Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipu Biotech [4]. - Feed industry: Haida Group [4]. - Pig farming: Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan, Huadong, Wens, and others [4]. - Poultry: Lihua, Yisheng, and Shengnong Development [4].
农业行业周报:建议关注饲料的回升周期和养殖的边际改善-20250812
Shanxi Securities· 2025-08-12 10:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Haida Group and "Buy-B" for Shengnong Development, Wen's Shares, and others [7]. Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on the recovery cycle of feed and the marginal improvement in breeding [1]. - The pig price has decreased week-on-week, with average prices in key provinces showing a decline [3]. - The feed industry is expected to see a bottoming out and recovery due to the decline in upstream raw material prices and improvements in the downstream breeding sector [3]. - The report highlights the potential growth of Haida Group's overseas feed business as a new performance growth point [3]. Industry Performance - For the week of August 4 to August 10, the CSI 300 index rose by 1.23%, while the agriculture sector increased by 2.52%, ranking 10th among sectors [2][24]. - The top-performing sub-industries included broiler chicken breeding, fruit and vegetable processing, and pig breeding [2][24]. Pig Breeding Sector - As of August 8, the average price of external three-way cross pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan was 13.30, 15.39, and 13.83 yuan/kg, respectively, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 2.92%, 4.05%, and 3.82% [3][33]. - The average pork price was 20.41 yuan/kg, down 0.92% from the previous week [3][33]. - The self-breeding profit was 45.13 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -134.14 yuan/head [3][33]. Poultry Sector - As of August 8, the weekly price of white feather broiler chickens was 7.14 yuan/kg, up 4.54% week-on-week [3][47]. - The price of broiler chicks was 3.13 yuan/chick, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 21.79% [3][47]. - The profit from chicken breeding was 0.62 yuan/chick, while egg prices fell by 6.94% to 6.70 yuan/kg [3][47]. Feed Processing Sector - In June 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 27.67 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% but a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [54]. - The production of compound feed, concentrated feed, and additive premix feed saw year-on-year growth of 6.6%, 3.4%, and 8.7%, respectively [54]. Recommendations - The report recommends stocks such as Wen's Shares, Shengnong Group, Juxing Agriculture, Tangrenshen, and New Hope in the pig breeding sector due to expected profitability recovery starting from Q2 2024 [4]. - It also highlights the potential of domestic pet food brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Shares, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming years [5].
农林牧渔行业周报:生猪产业政策方向持续,重点推荐“平台+生态”服务型企业德康农牧-20250812
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-12 09:29
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) with a key recommendation for the "platform + ecosystem" service-oriented enterprise Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [3] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation of the pig industry policy, highlighting the importance of high-quality development and the need for cost control and capacity management [4][5][17] - The report suggests that the industry is entering a high-quality development phase, with expectations for improved profit margins and a focus on technology-driven and service-oriented companies [17] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in leading companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, as well as Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [17] Summary by Sections 1.1 Pig Industry - Recent pig prices are at 13.72 CNY/kg (down 0.02 CNY/kg MoM), with average slaughter weight slightly decreasing to 127.8 kg (down 0.18 kg MoM) [4][16] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes reducing breeding stock and controlling new capacity, with a focus on improving the entire industry chain's competitiveness [5][16] - The report anticipates further policy measures to stabilize pig prices and control production capacity, recommending Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry as a key player [17] 1.2 Poultry - The report notes a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption" in the white feather chicken industry, with a focus on improving return on equity (ROE) [18] - Key recommendations include focusing on leading companies in the integrated supply chain and those with strong breeding capabilities [18] 1.3 Feed - The report highlights positive price trends in aquatic products, with significant year-on-year increases in various fish species [20] - It recommends Haida Group due to its improved management effectiveness and capacity utilization, expecting it to exceed growth expectations [20] 1.4 Pet Industry - Online sales growth in the pet industry has slightly slowed, with notable performance from brands like Guibao and Zhongchong [21][22] - The report suggests that long-term impacts from tariff uncertainties are limited, with leading companies expected to maintain high growth rates [22] 1.5 Agricultural Products - The report discusses uncertainties in soybean imports and the rising prices of natural rubber, with a focus on macroeconomic conditions affecting the agricultural sector [23] 2. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index rose by 2.52% during the week, with the pet food sector performing the best at +5.41% [24]
A股异动丨鸡苗价格暴涨,助推鸡产业股普涨,晓鸣股份一度涨近14%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-12 02:14
Group 1 - The A-share market for chicken industry stocks experienced a significant rally, with companies like Xiaoming Co. rising nearly 14%, Minhe Co. up over 8%, and Yisheng Co. increasing by nearly 6% [1] - The price of white feather chicken has seen extreme fluctuations, dropping below 3 yuan per jin in early July, leading to deep losses in the industry. To mitigate excess supply, some breeding farms have resorted to extreme measures such as culling breeding chickens [1] - By August, the price of毛鸡 surged to a peak of 3.7 yuan per jin, while chick prices skyrocketed from 1.5 yuan per chick to 4.2 yuan per chick, marking an increase of 180%. The demand for chicks remains high despite the price surge [1] - Since July, domestic chick prices have entered a rising trend, with a staggering increase of 300% in Shandong, a major meat chicken production province, over just a month [1]
农业农村部引导调减约100万头能繁母猪,畜牧ETF(159867)冲击3连涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 01:59
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese livestock industry is experiencing a phase of high pig production capacity, prompting the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs to implement comprehensive production capacity regulation to mitigate risks of price volatility and overproduction [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 12, 2025, the CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.68%, with notable gains from companies such as Xiaoming Co. (300967) up 6.50%, Minhe Co. (002234) up 6.19%, and Yisheng Co. (002458) up 3.28% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (159867) rose by 0.46%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price at 0.65 yuan [1]. Group 2: Policy and Regulation - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has announced plans to guide the reduction of approximately 1 million breeding sows to prevent production fluctuations and price instability [1]. - A meeting held on July 23 emphasized strict implementation of production capacity regulation measures, including the rational elimination of breeding sows and control of new production capacity [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Recent policies are expected to accelerate the elimination of inefficient production capacity in the industry, potentially leading to a long-term increase in pig prices, benefiting low-cost and high-quality pig enterprises [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 64.83% of the index, indicating a concentrated market structure [2].
福建圣农发展股份有限公司2025年7月份销售情况简报
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-11 19:36
Group 1 - The company achieved a sales revenue of 2.129 billion yuan in July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.02% and a month-on-month increase of 26.21% [1] - The poultry breeding and processing segment generated chicken sales revenue of 1.490 billion yuan, up 14.44% year-on-year and 27.35% month-on-month [1] - The deep-processed meat products segment reported sales revenue of 983 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38.48% and a month-on-month increase of 19.74% [1] Group 2 - The sales volume for the poultry breeding and processing segment reached 158,700 tons in July, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.88% and a month-on-month increase of 28.40% [1] - The deep-processed meat products segment sold 51,600 tons, which is a 56.39% increase year-on-year and a 23.70% increase month-on-month [1] - The company’s sales strategy has shown significant results, with a strong growth in high-value channels, particularly a more than 30% increase in C-end retail channel revenue and over 100% growth in export channel revenue [2] Group 3 - The company has optimized its product structure, with an increasing proportion of deep-processed products contributing to overall revenue growth [2] - The new self-developed breeding chicken "Shengze 901Plus" has been fully replaced, leading to a significant reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024 [2] - The company continues to enhance its operational management efficiency, further solidifying its profit foundation [2]
上市公司动态 | 万华化学上半年净利降25.10%,卫星化学上半年净利增33.44%,圣农发展7月销售同比增22.02%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 15:11
Group 1 - Wanhua Chemical reported a 25.10% decrease in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 90.90 billion yuan, down 6.35% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.12 billion yuan, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 6.24 billion yuan, both showing significant declines [1][2] - Despite challenges such as weak international demand and geopolitical tensions, the chemical industry in China maintained stable development due to domestic consumption upgrades and diversified export markets [2] Group 2 - Satellite Chemical achieved a 33.44% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with total assets reaching 69.30 billion yuan, up 5.58% year-on-year [4][5] - The company reported revenue of 23.46 billion yuan, a 20.93% increase compared to the previous year, demonstrating resilience in a complex environment [4][5] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and plans to invest 3 billion yuan in high-performance catalyst projects [5] Group 3 - Shengnong Development reported a 22.02% increase in sales revenue for July 2025, reaching 2.13 billion yuan, with significant growth in both poultry and processed meat segments [6][7] - The company noted a strong performance in high-value channels, with retail channel revenue growing over 30% year-on-year [7] Group 4 - Desay SV reported a 45.82% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 14.64 billion yuan, up 25.25% year-on-year [8] - The smart cockpit and smart driving businesses contributed significantly to the revenue growth, with sales of 9.46 billion yuan and 4.15 billion yuan respectively [8] Group 5 - New Qianglian reported a remarkable 496.60% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 2.21 billion yuan, up 108.98% year-on-year [16] - The company demonstrated strong growth in its financial performance, indicating effective operational strategies [16] Group 6 - Fuda Co. reported a 98.77% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 937 million yuan, up 30.26% year-on-year [18] - The company showed significant growth in net profit excluding non-recurring items, indicating strong operational performance [18] Group 7 - Tianzhun Technology reported a revenue increase of 10.32% for the first half of 2025, reaching 597 million yuan, but still recorded a net loss of 14 million yuan [19] - The company’s total assets grew by 9.99% year-to-date, indicating a positive trend in asset management [19] Group 8 - Huafeng Chemical reported a 35.23% decrease in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 12.14 billion yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year due to industry downturns [28] - The company faced challenges with declining product prices across various segments, impacting overall profitability [28] Group 9 - The company Zhishang Technology plans to acquire 99.86% of Hengyang Data for 1.15 billion yuan, focusing on AI and cloud computing solutions [29] - This acquisition aims to enhance the company's capabilities in intelligent computing and data processing [29] Group 10 - Huangshanghuang plans to acquire 51% of Lixing Food for 495 million yuan, which will allow it to gain control over the food manufacturing company [30] - This acquisition is part of the company's strategy to expand its product offerings and market presence [30] Group 11 - Beida Pharmaceutical faces significant revenue and profit declines due to the termination of its business cooperation with Peking University International Hospital, projecting a loss of approximately 600 million yuan in sales [31] - The company is exploring new directions for transformation, but faces uncertainty regarding its future operations [31]
圣农发展:7月实现销售收入21.29亿元,同比增长22.02%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-11 14:34
北京商报讯(记者 郭秀娟 实习记者 王悦彤) 8月11日,圣农发展发布公告称,在2025年7月份公司实现 销售收入21.29亿元,同比增长22.02%,环比增长26.21%。其中,家禽饲养加工板块鸡肉销售收入为 14.90亿元,同比增长14.44%,环比增长27.35%;深加工肉制品板块销售收入为9.83亿元,同比增长 38.48%,环比增长19.74%。 ...
公告精选:露笑科技筹划赴港上市;深圳皇庭广场将被司法拍卖
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-11 14:00
人民财讯8月11日电,【热点】 【经营业绩】 露笑科技:筹划发行H股并在香港联交所上市。 中国重工:自8月13日起连续停牌直至终止上市。 海康威视:董事长提议实施2025年中期分红,拟10派4元(含税)。 北大医药:全资子公司北医医药6月以来主营业务已基本中止。 皇庭国际:深圳皇庭广场将被司法拍卖,起拍价30.53亿元。 *ST苏吴:控股孙公司就Regen Biotech违约提起仲裁并获受理立案。 ST易购:拟支付2.2亿元与家乐福方达成债务和解协议。 上海建科:公司董事陈为接受纪律审查和监察调查。 金鹰重工:与新藏铁路有限公司还未开展相关业务。 三连板吉视传媒:公司未参与投资目前上映的影片。 二连板天顺股份:公司未参与新藏铁路工程项目。 东芯股份:上海砺算未纳入公司合并报表范围。 【并购】 新晨科技:终止收购天一恩华96.96%股权事项。 光库科技:拟购买苏州安捷讯光电100%股权,12日复牌。 *ST生物:筹划购买慧泽医药51%股权,预计构成重大资产重组。 东方国信:拟控股视拓云,深化智能算力领域布局。 九鼎投资:拟控股南京神源生,切入机器人产业链关键环节。 煌上煌:拟4.95亿元收购立兴食品51%股权。 ...