Group 1: Zhang Kun's Investment Strategy - Zhang Kun maintains a focus on core consumer stocks and is optimistic about the long-term resilience of the economy, with a total fund size of 55.047 billion yuan as of Q2 2025 [1] - The performance of Zhang Kun's funds in the first half of the year shows a return of 15.38% for the E Fund Asia Select fund, while the E Fund Blue Chip Select fund returned only 0.83% [1][3] - The top ten holdings include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, and Wuliangye, with significant increases in positions for JD Health and SF Express, while Tencent Holdings saw a reduction [2][3] Group 2: Market Analysis and Outlook - Zhang Kun emphasizes that the current low valuations of holdings reflect expectations of future profit declines, making them attractive for long-term investors [4] - He believes that the economic growth will be driven by market forces, individual dynamism, and technological advancements, with a vision for GDP per capita to reach the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [3][4] Group 3: Zhu Shaoxing's Investment Focus - Zhu Shaoxing's fund, the Fortune Tianhui Select Growth Mixed Fund, has a scale of 23.544 billion yuan and a stock position of 94.05%, with the top ten holdings accounting for 34.98% of net value [5][6] - The top ten holdings include Guizhou Moutai and Ningbo Bank, with new entries like Jerry Holdings and Guangdong Hongda, while companies like BYD and Luxshare Precision have exited the top ten [6][7] Group 4: Market Conditions and Future Expectations - Zhu Shaoxing notes that the market experienced volatility due to trade tensions but expects a resolution through negotiations, with monetary and fiscal policies actively supporting the market [7][8] - He highlights that the overall valuation of A-shares remains attractive, and the risk-reward ratio for equity assets is favorable, focusing on collecting high-potential companies for long-term value realization [8]

Market Performance - In Q2 2025, major A-share indices generally rose, with the North Star 50 increasing by 13.85% and the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.26%[13][17] - The top five performing sectors included Comprehensive Finance (32.16%), National Defense and Military Industry (16.03%), and Banking (12.62%) while the worst performers were Food and Beverage (-5.13%) and Home Appliances (-3.45%) [17][18] Fund Issuance and Positioning - A total of 66 equity-oriented active funds were established in Q2 2025, with a total share of 338.57 billion, marking an increase in issuance compared to the previous quarter[2][25] - The average stock positions of various types of equity-oriented active funds increased, with mixed equity funds reaching an average position of 88.46%[29] Sector and Stock Holdings - The top five sectors with increased holdings were Communication, Banking, National Defense and Military Industry, Non-Bank Financials, and Media, with Communication and Banking seeing increases of over 1%[4][42] - The top five stocks with the largest increases in holdings were Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Hudian Co., Shenghong Technology, and SF Express, while the largest reductions were seen in BYD, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye[5][43] Billion Fund Holdings - The largest changes in holdings among billion-dollar funds were observed in SF Express, Xinlitai, and Ningde Times, with the National Defense and Military Industry sector seeing a significant increase from 0 to 10.76 billion[6] Southbound Capital Analysis - In Q2 2025, the top five stocks held by southbound funds included Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group, and Alibaba, with notable increases in holdings for Sinda Biopharmaceuticals and Pop Mart[7]

Investment Rating - Investment recommendation: Outperform the market (maintained) [7] Core Viewpoints - In June, the national express delivery business volume reached 16.87 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%; express delivery revenue totaled 126.32 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year; the average price per ticket in the industry was 7.49 yuan, down 5.85% year-on-year. Under the "anti-involution" policy's soft constraints, the overall competition intensity in the industry is expected to be controllable, and the price decline in the off-season may stabilize. The current valuation of the sector has returned to a relatively low historical level, providing a sufficient margin of safety, suggesting attention to investment opportunities in the sector under the "anti-involution" policy [4][12]. Summary by Sections Business Volume - In June, the national express delivery business volume reached 16.87 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%. The growth rate has slowed down due to the earlier start of the 618 promotion, which brought some volume forward to May [9][17]. - In June, SF Express, YTO Express, Yunda Express, and Shentong Express completed business volumes of 1.46 billion, 2.63 billion, 2.17 billion, and 2.18 billion pieces, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.77%, 19.34%, 7.41%, and 11.14% respectively, with SF Express continuing to lead in growth [20]. Ticket Price - The average ticket price in June was 7.49 yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 5.85%, but an increase of 0.24 yuan compared to May. The average ticket price for the first half of the year was 7.52 yuan, down 7.74% year-on-year [10][28]. - The ticket prices for major express companies in June were 13.67 yuan for SF Express, 2.10 yuan for YTO Express, 1.91 yuan for Yunda Express, and 1.99 yuan for Shentong Express, with year-on-year changes of -13.32%, -6.69%, -4.50%, and -1.00% respectively [36]. Industry Structure - The brand concentration index (CR8) in June was 87.0, unchanged from May and up 1.7 from the same period in 2024. The market shares for SF Express, YTO Express, Yunda Express, and Shentong Express were 8.65%, 15.57%, 12.88%, and 12.95% respectively, with year-on-year increases of 1.05%, 0.46%, -1.00%, and -0.54% [11][46]. Investment Suggestions - The industry demand remains high, and the intensity of price competition is controllable. The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the sector under the "anti-involution" policy, as the current valuation has returned to a relatively low historical level, providing a sufficient margin of safety. Specific companies to watch include SF Express, Zhongtong Express, and YTO Express, which are expected to benefit from their operational strategies and market positions [12][49].

Core Viewpoint - The recent collaboration between Zhengzhou Public Transport Group and Henan Shunfeng Express has sparked public interest, although the actual implementation of a "daytime passenger transport and nighttime cargo transport" model has not yet commenced [2][5]. Group 1: Company Collaboration - Zhengzhou Public Transport and Henan Shunfeng have signed a strategic cooperation agreement, focusing primarily on expanding the scope and content of property leasing rather than immediate transportation collaboration [2][3]. - The public transport company currently maintains a clear separation between passenger and cargo services, with no current plans to mix these operations [2][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhengzhou Public Transport's bus operation revenue accounted for 62.97% of its main business income, with a gross margin of -604.1%, while property leasing contributed 10.19% with a gross margin of 87.42% [2]. - The low fare structure of Zhengzhou Public Transport, with a flat rate of one yuan regardless of distance, reflects its strong public service orientation [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - National public transport passenger volumes have been declining, with figures dropping from 691.76 billion in 2019 to an estimated 380.5 billion in 2023, indicating a need for public transport companies to optimize resource utilization [3]. - The integration of public transport and logistics services, such as the "bus + express delivery" model, is being explored in various cities to alleviate operational challenges and enhance efficiency [4][5]. Group 4: Policy and Implementation Challenges - Successful implementation of the "bus + express delivery" model requires a supportive policy environment, as seen in cities like Nanjing, where pilot projects align with regulatory changes [5]. - Challenges such as route design and vehicle scheduling must be addressed to maximize the economic and social benefits of this integration [5].

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Zhengzhou Public Transport Group and SF Express aims to explore a new model of "public transport + logistics + ecology" to enhance operational efficiency and revenue generation for public transport services [2][4]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - Zhengzhou Public Transport and SF Express have signed a strategic cooperation agreement, focusing on utilizing excess capacity of public transport vehicles during off-peak hours and at night for logistics purposes [2][3]. - The partnership will involve transforming certain bus stations into multifunctional logistics hubs, integrating public transport and logistics services [2][3]. - SF Express plans to implement automated sorting equipment and intelligent warehouse management systems at these bus stations [2]. Group 2: Implementation and Progress - Currently, 38 bus stations are under discussion for collaboration, with the logistics sorting center at Fogang bus station already in operation [3]. - SF Express has requested 280 personnel from Zhengzhou Public Transport for shared labor needs and has proposed a demand for over 50 vehicles for logistics operations [3]. - The initiative is part of a broader trend where various cities are exploring the integration of public transport and logistics to alleviate operational pressures on public transport companies [4]. Group 3: Industry Context - The public transport sector is facing significant operational pressures, with government subsidies insufficient to cover costs, prompting the need for innovative revenue-generating strategies [3][4]. - Other cities, such as Nanjing and Beijing, have initiated similar projects to combine public transport with logistics, indicating a growing trend in the industry [4].

富时中国A50指数连续 金十图示：2025年07月23日（周三）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：石油、煤炭板块回吐涨幅，银行、保险板块多 数收涨 +0.05(+0.89%) +0.03(+0.36%) 0.00(0.00%) 光大银行 2505.23亿市值 7.54亿成交额 4.24 0.00(0.00%) 得經 中国平安 中国太保 中国人保 明 3719.24亿市值 3573.96亿市值 10561.94亿市值 11.79亿成交额 22.33亿成交额 50.21亿成交额 37.15 58.00 8.41 +0.96(+2.65%) +1.30(+2.29%) +0.03(+0.36%) 酿酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 2314.39亿市值 18535.20亿市值 4859.77亿市值 66.76亿成交额 28.88亿成交额 22.23亿成交额 1475.50 125.20 189.71 +10.52(+0.72%) -1.07(-0.56%) -0.33(-0.26%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2392.12亿市值 2491.53亿市值 3141.81亿市值 39 ...

Group 1 - The year 2025 marks a critical moment for global investors to reassess Chinese assets, with high-quality Chinese companies gaining international attention [1] - The success of these companies highlights the resilience and innovative potential of the Chinese economy, sparking renewed interest from international capital [1][6] - Chinese assets are becoming an indispensable part of international investment portfolios due to their unique appeal amid changing global economic dynamics [1] Group 2 - Recent market movements indicate a shift from small-cap stocks to core assets, as analysts predict a significant change in market style [2][4] - Core assets have played a crucial role in stabilizing the A-share market, with major banks' stocks acting as a stabilizing force for the overall index [2][4] - The potential for a significant index bull market is low, with a more likely scenario being a slow and steady market growth driven by core assets [4] Group 3 - Chinese assets have shown strong anti-drawdown capabilities, particularly in the first half of the year, attracting risk-averse funds during a downturn in Western markets [6] - The emergence of companies like the "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" and "New Consumption Four Sisters" reflects the optimism of global investors towards Chinese technology and consumption sectors [6][7] - Compared to U.S. core assets, Chinese core assets are significantly undervalued, with the average valuation of the CSI 300 at 13 times and the Hang Seng Index at around 11 times, compared to over 30 times for U.S. indices [7] Group 4 - The current phase for Chinese assets is characterized by low valuations and the release of policy dividends, enhancing investment safety and potential profitability [7] - Korean investors are increasingly buying Chinese stocks, particularly in technology and emerging industries, indicating a shift in global investment attitudes towards China [7] - The ongoing IPO process of Yushu Technology is drawing attention, with its capital structure becoming clearer as it progresses through multiple funding rounds [10][12][14] Group 5 - Yushu Technology's revenue primarily comes from B2B orders from research institutions and AI companies, with its consumer market yet to fully open [16] - Notable investment strategies include focusing on high-quality companies with clear competitive advantages, as demonstrated by significant increases in holdings of leading consumer and technology stocks [19] - The investment landscape is advised to follow major trends and policies, with recommendations to focus on stable sectors while exploring emerging opportunities [20]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the integration of express delivery services into the manufacturing and supply chain, highlighting the role of logistics in enhancing economic circulation and consumer experience [5][8][9]. Group 1: Express Delivery and Manufacturing Integration - The "Express Delivery into Factories" initiative is transforming logistics from mere delivery to a core component of the industrial chain, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs for manufacturers [8]. - In 2022, the postal express industry in Henan supported a total output value of 432.90 billion yuan through 232 projects, with a business volume of 8.49 billion items [8]. - The express delivery business in Henan saw a cumulative completion of 50.20 billion items from January to May 2023, marking a year-on-year growth of 33.18%, with express delivery alone reaching 44.76 billion items, a 35.10% increase [9]. Group 2: High-Speed Rail Logistics - Henan has established itself as a key hub for high-speed rail logistics, with express delivery services utilizing the extensive high-speed rail network to enhance delivery speed and efficiency [10][11]. - The province has opened 51 high-speed rail express lines and 20 metro express lines, facilitating rapid delivery across major cities, with travel times from Zhengzhou to Beijing as short as 4 hours [10][11]. - The integration of high-speed rail into logistics is supported by national policies aimed at improving rail express routes and establishing specialized logistics bases [10][11]. Group 3: Technological Advancements in Logistics - The implementation of automated sorting systems and the use of drones and unmanned vehicles are revolutionizing the logistics landscape in Henan, improving efficiency and service quality [12][13]. - By mid-2025, Henan's express delivery companies are expected to deploy 343 unmanned delivery vehicles with a total capacity of 1,522 cubic meters, enhancing last-mile delivery capabilities [13]. - The logistics sector is increasingly adopting technologies such as big data, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things to optimize operations and improve overall efficiency [12][13]. Group 4: Rural Logistics and E-commerce Integration - The "Passenger and Cargo Postal" initiative in Gongyi City is leveraging public transportation to enhance rural logistics, facilitating the delivery of goods to remote areas [15][16]. - The integration of online sales platforms with local postal services is enabling farmers to sell their products more effectively, thus increasing their income and market access [16]. - By June 2025, Henan plans to have established 289 intermodal transport routes, enhancing the efficiency of rural logistics and supporting the sale of agricultural products [16].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" with an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry experienced high growth in package volume in the first half of 2025, with a total of 956.4 billion packages delivered, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.3%. However, the revenue growth lagged behind, with total industry revenue reaching 718.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [2][3]. - The average revenue per package continued to decline, with a June average of 7.49 yuan, down 5.85% year-on-year, although the rate of decline has slowed due to seasonal demand [2][4]. - The competitive landscape among leading companies remains intense, with significant changes in market share observed in June 2025. The concentration index (CR8) for express delivery services remained stable at 87.0, indicating a slight easing of competitive pressure [4][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the express delivery business volume accounted for 74.0% in the eastern region, 15.5% in the central region, and 10.5% in the western region. The eastern region saw a slight decline in both revenue and volume share compared to the previous year, while the central and western regions experienced increases [3]. Competitive Dynamics - Major express delivery companies such as SF Express, Yunda, Shentong, and YTO reported varying growth rates in package volume, with SF Express leading at 14.60 billion packages, a year-on-year increase of 31.77%. However, average revenue per package for these companies showed a decline, reflecting ongoing competitive pressures [4]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests a positive outlook for the express delivery industry amid regulatory changes aimed at reducing "involution" competition. It is anticipated that the continued tightening of regulations will lead to a reduction in price declines and a release of profit elasticity for express delivery companies. Recommended stocks include SF Holding, YTO Express, Shentong Express, and Yunda [5].

2025 年 07 月 22 日 快递持仓占比大幅提升，航运股退 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 行 业 及 产 业 交通运输 评 看好 ——2025Q2 交运行业基金重仓分析 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 范晨轩 A0230525070003 fancx@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 联系人 范晨轩 (8621)23297818× fancx@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 出基金重仓前十大 - ⚫ 交运内部快递持仓环比大幅提升，航运股退出基金重仓前十大。Q2 交运消费相关的快 递机构持仓大幅提升，航运、铁路运输、港口、高速公路及原材料供应链服务持仓均有 所下降。 ⚫ 2025Q2 交运行业基金配置总市值达到 258 亿元，环比增长 17%，配置总市值在申万 31 个行业中排名第 14 名，环比 Q1 持平。交运行业基金持仓占全部基金重仓持股的 1.97%，环比 Q1 提升 0.32pct。交运行业市值 ...