Core Viewpoint - The express delivery sector is experiencing increased performance uncertainty, but there are opportunities for valuation recovery among leading e-commerce express companies such as Zhongtong Express and YTO Express, driven by market share growth and cyclical bottoming of express delivery services [1] Group 1: Industry Growth Prospects - The express delivery business volume is expected to grow over 20% year-on-year in the first four months of 2024 and 2025, driven by structural demand growth from factors like small parcelization, reverse logistics, and new models such as live e-commerce and community group buying [2] - The trend of strong growth in business volume is likely to continue into 2025, supported by policies to boost domestic demand and support from e-commerce platforms [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Price competition is expected to intensify in the first four months of 2025, with a year-on-year decline in single ticket revenue of 8.3%, reflecting increased focus on market share among leading companies [3] - Despite the intensified price competition, it is anticipated that healthy competition will prevail, aided by regulatory measures against malicious competition and the lack of large-scale capital expenditures by express companies [3] Group 3: Performance of Leading Companies - Leading e-commerce express companies maintain strong competitive advantages due to asset barriers, cash reserves, and profitability, demonstrating resilience in price competition [4] - Zhongtong Express showed stable performance in Q1 2025, with a narrowing decline in market share, and attention is needed on whether market share will rebound in the second half of the year [4] - The leading position and potential for improved profitability of direct-operated companies are expected to provide more certain returns for investors [4]

Group 1 - The express delivery industry in Yanzhou District, Jining City, Shandong Province is entering a new stage of high-quality development driven by policy support and intelligent upgrades [1][3] - Major express companies such as SF Express, Zhongtong, and JD have established regional distribution centers in Yanzhou, processing over 3 million packages daily and serving multiple cities in southwestern Shandong [1][2] - The SF Express distribution center in Jining covers an area of 25,000 square meters and features an automated sorting system, with over 1,000 cameras monitoring the entire process [1][2] Group 2 - The use of unmanned forklifts in the distribution center significantly reduces operational costs, with daily costs of 70 yuan compared to 200 yuan for human workers [2] - Yanzhou District has deployed 31 unmanned delivery vehicles, enhancing last-mile delivery efficiency and ensuring provincial deliveries are made within two days [2] - The Jining Zhongtong Smart E-commerce Express Industrial Park has introduced advanced sorting and delivery systems, processing approximately 1.5 million packages daily, with peak capacity exceeding 2 million during major sales events [2] Group 3 - Yanzhou District is focusing on safety in the express delivery industry, establishing a fast-track for the safe transport of goods and enhancing industry cohesion through the formation of a delivery industry party committee [3] - New projects such as the second phase of the Shentong distribution center and the China Post e-commerce logistics industrial park are expected to significantly increase daily processing capacities by 1.2 million and 1.5 million packages, respectively [3] - The district aims to leverage its geographical and infrastructural advantages to develop a billion-level logistics cluster, attracting over 80 well-known logistics companies [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the transportation industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in the shipping and port sectors [4]. Core Insights - The transportation industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with shipping and port sectors under pressure while the express delivery sector continues to grow [1][2]. - The shipping market is expected to recover gradually, with signs of improvement in oil transportation and a stable outlook for port operations despite recent challenges [1][25]. - The express delivery sector is projected to maintain robust growth, although average ticket prices are declining due to increased competition and a shift towards lower-value packages [1][3]. Summary by Sections Shipping and Port Sector - In Q1 2025, the oil transportation market started weakly, with VLCC market performance significantly lower than the same period last year. The overall revenue for 14 listed shipping companies in 2024 was CNY 364.97 billion, a 26.47% increase year-on-year, while net profit rose by 68.72% to CNY 66.79 billion [13][19]. - The port sector showed relative stability in performance, with 18 listed port companies reporting a total revenue of CNY 222.90 billion in 2024, a slight increase of 0.62%, but net profit decreased by 21.78% to CNY 32.22 billion [26][30]. Aviation and Airport Sector - The aviation industry is witnessing a divergence in performance, with traditional full-service airlines facing challenges while low-cost carriers are gaining market share. The overall passenger traffic is recovering, but ticket prices remain weak, impacting profitability [1][2]. - Airport non-aeronautical revenues are under pressure due to new tax agreements affecting profit margins. For instance, the new duty-free agreement at Shanghai Airport has reduced profit elasticity [1][2]. Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery industry in 2024 is expected to see a business volume of 174.5 billion packages, a 21% increase year-on-year, with total revenue reaching CNY 1.4 trillion, up 13% [1][2]. - The average ticket price for express delivery has decreased from CNY 9.1 to CNY 8.0 due to the increasing proportion of low-value packages and heightened competition among leading companies [1][2]. Road and Rail Sector - The railway passenger volume growth reached double digits in 2024, with a total of 4.31 billion passengers, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%. The total freight volume was 5.17 billion tons, up 2.8% [1][2]. - The road transport sector also showed growth, with freight volume reaching 41.88 billion tons, a 3.8% increase, and passenger transport volume at 11.78 billion, up 7% [1][2].

Core Points - SF Airlines has officially launched its first international cargo route to Canada, connecting Ezhou, New York, and Halifax, marking a significant expansion in its international operations [1][2] - The new route is the 100th cargo route since Ezhou Huahu Airport was opened as an international airport, enhancing connectivity between China, the U.S., and Canada [1][2] Group 1 - The "Ezhou-New York-Halifax-Ezhou" route will be operated by a B747-400 freighter with a maximum payload of 110 tons, scheduled to run 1-2 times per week [2][3] - Export goods from China will primarily include clothing, electronics, and machinery, while imports will consist of machinery, footwear, health products, and fresh seafood [2][3] Group 2 - The route utilizes fifth freedom rights, allowing SF Airlines to pick up and drop off cargo in both New York and Halifax, facilitating efficient logistics for goods traveling between these locations and China [2][3] - The new route is expected to provide over 100 tons of air cargo capacity weekly for exporting fresh seafood from Halifax to China, with a transit time of as little as 48 hours for perishable goods [3] Group 3 - As of March this year, SF Airlines has operated over 90 freighters, leading in cargo capacity within Asia [3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the express delivery industry, indicating potential for valuation recovery opportunities and cyclical bottom layout timing for time-sensitive express delivery [55]. Core Insights - In April 2025, the express delivery volume increased by 19.1% year-on-year, surpassing the postal bureau's annual growth forecast. The total volume reached 16.32 billion parcels, with a cumulative volume of 61.45 billion parcels from January to April 2025, reflecting a 20.9% year-on-year growth [59][6]. - The report highlights a trend of increasing market share concentration among leading companies, with the CR8 index rising to 86.7, indicating intensified price competition and a shift towards larger market players [59][23]. - The report emphasizes that while price competition is expected to increase, regulatory measures are anticipated to maintain a healthy competitive environment, benefiting leading companies in the long term [55][51]. Summary by Sections Express Delivery Industry Performance - The express delivery industry maintained a high growth rate in April 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 19.1% in parcel volume and a revenue growth of 10.8% [6][59]. - The average single ticket revenue fell by 7.0% year-on-year to 7.43 yuan, reflecting increased competition and a focus on market share [6][30]. Company Performance - In April 2025, the parcel volume growth for major companies was as follows: S.F. Holding (+30.0%), YTO Express (+25.3%), Yunda (+13.4%), and Shentong (+21.0%) [29][30]. - Market shares for these companies in April 2025 were: S.F. Holding (8.2%), YTO Express (16.5%), Yunda (13.3%), and Shentong (12.8%) [29][38]. Long-term Industry Outlook - The report discusses the transition from a competitive "Spring and Autumn" period to a "Warring States" period in the express delivery industry, with leading companies focusing on market share and establishing competitive barriers [51][43]. - It is expected that the industry will continue to see a natural concentration of market share among leading companies, supported by regulatory measures that prevent vicious competition [51][22]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends monitoring leading e-commerce express delivery companies for potential valuation recovery opportunities and suggests that the overall growth trend is likely to continue due to consumer support and e-commerce stimulation [55][56].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the performance and holdings of the Jiao Yin State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund, which has a recent net value of 1.7633 yuan and a decline of 0.57% [1] - The fund's performance over the past month shows a return of 0.79%, ranking 89 out of 119 in its category; over the past six months, it has returned 3.61%, ranking 29 out of 117; and since the beginning of the year, it has returned 3.46%, ranking 24 out of 117 [1] - The fund's top ten stock holdings account for a total of 50.78%, with significant positions in companies such as SF Holding (9.90%), China Chemical (6.04%), and ShouLve Hotel (5.44%) [1] Group 2 - The Jiao Yin State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund was established on June 10, 2015, and as of March 31, 2025, it has a total scale of 1.802 billion yuan [1] - The fund manager, Shen Nan, has been in the role since the fund's inception and has a background in finance, holding a master's degree from Fudan University [2]

证券代码：002352 证券简称：顺丰控股 公告编号：2025-034 1、 股东大会届次：公司 2024 年年度股东大会。 2、 股东大会召集人：公司董事会。 3、 会议召开的合法、合规性： 本次会议的召集程序符合有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、其他规范性文件 及《公司章程》的规定。 4、 会议召开日期、时间 顺丰控股股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年年度股东大会的通知 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整, 没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示：本通知按照《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》要求为 A 股股东编制，H 股 股东如参加本次年度股东大会，请详阅本公司于 2025 年 5 月 22 日在香港披露易网站 （www.hkexnews.hk）发布的 2024 年年度股东大会通告等文件。 根据顺丰控股股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第六届董事会第十九次会 议决议的授权，公司决定于 2025 年 6 月 13 日（周五）召开公司 2024 年年度股 东大会，现将本次股东大会的有关事项通知如下： 一、召开会议基本情况 （1）现场会议召开时间：2025 年 6 月 13 日（周五）下 ...

Core Viewpoint - HSBC forecasts a 3.8% year-on-year growth in A-share earnings for Q1 2025, led by the materials (+40.3%) and information technology (+24.7%) sectors, with a continued outperformance of growth style over the market [1][2] Investment Themes Artificial Intelligence (AI) - The penetration rate of AI is rising, with 68% of A-share companies mentioning "AI" in their 2024 annual reports, up from 43% in the first half of 2024 [3] - Market expectations indicate accelerated profit growth in the AI value chain for 2025, with infrastructure companies expected to grow faster than technology enablers and applicators [3] Globalization - Recent breakthroughs in US-China trade negotiations serve as a catalyst for globalization-themed stocks [4] - In 2024, overseas revenue accounted for 11.7% of total revenue for CSI 300 constituents, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, with the information technology sector having the highest overseas revenue share at 31.4% [4] Cyclical Recovery - Cyclical industries are expected to see profit improvements, with overall earnings projected to grow by 18.8% in Q1 2025, compared to a decline of 17.9% in Q3 2024 [5] - Factors contributing to structural opportunities in cyclical industries include steady policy rollout, structural recovery in the real estate market, and attractive valuations [5] Recommended Stocks - Based on the three investment themes and bottom-up research, HSBC recommends the following 10 stocks with buy ratings: - AI Theme: Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Deepin Technology (300454.SZ), Zhangqu Technology (300315.SZ) [6] - Globalization Theme: HAPO (02142), Luxshare Precision (002475.SZ), Anker Innovations (300866.SZ), Giant Star Technology (002444.SZ) [6] - Cyclical Recovery Theme: Suzhou Bank (002966.SZ), Proya Cosmetics (603605.SH), SF Holding (002352.SZ) [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The logistics industry is showing positive trends, but the warehousing rental market is adopting a "price - for - volume" strategy due to supply shocks. The current high - rent period of Southern SF Logistics REIT is a window of opportunity for investment, and investors who meet the income conditions can consider allocating it at an appropriate time [1][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Logistics activities are improving, but warehousing facilities are rented at the expense of price for volume - **Logistics industry boom has significantly increased, and the proportion of logistics storage costs has been stable with a slight increase**: In April 2025, China's Logistics Prosperity Index was 51.1%, remaining in the expansion range. The warehousing logistics industry is cyclical, affected by e - commerce promotions and manufacturing business peaks. In 2024, the total social logistics cost was 19.0 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%, and the storage cost was 6.4 trillion yuan, accounting for 34% of the total social logistics cost [11][15]. - **The domestic high - standard warehouse industry has a "one - super - many - strong" pattern, and the supply shock will continue**: The domestic high - standard warehouse industry is highly concentrated, with GLP having a leading market share. Different development entities have increased the supply of high - standard warehouses. Due to the slowdown of macro - economic recovery and continuous supply release, the market generally adopts a "price - for - volume" strategy, but still faces short - term challenges of falling rents and rising vacancy rates [20][24]. - **Domestic warehousing logistics REITs are also facing a "price - for - volume" situation, and rents have declined**: As of May 16, 2025, 9 warehousing logistics REITs have been listed in China, involving 31 underlying assets. In 2025, the operating occupancy rates and rent levels of these REITs are still under pressure, and many projects will adopt a more aggressive "price - for - volume" strategy [31][35]. 3.2 SF Hong Kong REIT performs well and is an effective reference for domestic REITs - **SF Holdings adopts a self - operated logistics model, providing stable demand for Hong Kong and Shenzhen REITs**: SF Holdings is the largest comprehensive logistics service provider in China and Asia and the fourth - largest in the world. It has many key site resources such as logistics industrial parks, which can provide potential rental demand and expansion assets for its REITs [41][44]. - **SF Hong Kong REIT has been in operation for many years, with a high proportion of related tenants but stable performance**: Since its listing in 2021, SF REIT has been operating stably. Its first - largest tenant is the SF Holdings Group, and the rental area of SF Group tenants in 2024 accounted for 80.3% of the rentable area. The overall occupancy rate of its 4 properties has remained above 98% in the past three years [51][66]. - **The valuation of SF Hong Kong REIT has been adjusted downward, and the downward pressure on warehousing logistics assets still exists**: Affected by the decrease in occupancy rate and rent, the valuation of SF REIT decreased by 8.9% in 2024. It will face the renewal test of related tenants in 2026, and the subsequent lease term, rent, and increase rate need to be evaluated [68][70]. - **SF Hong Kong REIT has experienced multiple market cycles, and the low stock price has led to a dividend yield of over 7%**: Since its listing, SF REIT has experienced multiple market cycles and has been in a discounted state for a long time. From 2021 - 2024, its annualized distribution yields were 7.9%, 9.5%, 10.7%, and 8.8% respectively [73][74]. 3.3 Southern SF Logistics REIT, cherish the window period of the current high - rent period - **The underlying assets of SF's domestic REIT are sorting centers, which are important sites for express delivery services**: The underlying assets of Southern SF Logistics REIT include three projects in Shenzhen, Wuhan, and Hefei, with a total asset valuation of about 3.041 billion yuan. The sorting center area accounts for about 55% of the total rentable area, and the income accounts for a relatively high proportion [79][82]. - **The asset competition between the Hong Kong and Shenzhen REITs has eased, and each has its own regional focus**: SF REIT has the pre - emptive right to purchase SF Group's assets. In the future, SF Holdings will fully negotiate when selling assets to the two REITs. SF REIT will focus on South China and Southwest China, while Southern SF Logistics REIT will focus on the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River [88][89]. - **It highly depends on SF Group tenants, and the occupancy rate is expected to be generally stable**: As of September 30, 2024, the related - party rental area of Southern SF Logistics REIT accounted for 84.29% of the rented area, and the related - party contributed 88.45% of the monthly rent and management fee income. Although the high concentration of tenants has both advantages and disadvantages, the occupancy rate is expected to be generally stable [91]. - **The valuation has considered the risk of rent decline, and the current distribution rate is a good allocation period**: As of May 16, 2025, the market value of Southern SF Logistics REIT was 3.766 billion yuan, and the expected cash distribution rate in 2025 was 3.98%, ranking in the upper - middle level among the 9 listed warehousing logistics REITs. The current high - rent period before 2027 is a window of opportunity for investment [4].

Group 1: Market Overview - The logistics industry in China has shown significant improvement, with the logistics industry prosperity index at 51.1% in April 2025, indicating expansion[1] - The average effective rent in major city clusters has declined, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region down 3.7%, Yangtze River Delta down 6.1%, and the Pearl River Delta down 0.3%[2] - As of May 16, 2025, there are 9 listed logistics REITs in China, with 31 underlying assets, facing pressure on rental rates and occupancy[2] Group 2: REIT Performance - SF Hong Kong REIT, initiated by SF Holding, has been stable since its listing in May 2021, with a valuation drop to HKD 6.7 billion in 2024, down 8.9%[3] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT, listed in April 2025, focuses on high-quality assets in the South China and Southeast Asia regions, with a market value of CNY 3.766 billion and an expected cash distribution rate of 3.98% in 2025[4] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT's rental rates are currently above market averages, but there is a risk of downward adjustment upon lease renewals[4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The high-standard warehouse sector in China is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" market structure, with Prologis leading in market share[2] - The logistics REITs are adopting a "price for volume" strategy to maintain occupancy amid supply shocks, leading to rental declines and rising vacancy rates[2] - The average vacancy rates in major city clusters are high, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region at 28.6% and the Yangtze River Delta at 25.4%[2] Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The logistics sector is expected to face continued pressure from rental declines and increased vacancy rates due to ongoing supply releases[2] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT is positioned to benefit from the current high rental period before potential adjustments in 2027[4] - Risks include unexpected policy changes regarding public REITs and operational risks associated with infrastructure projects[5]