公司报告 | 年报点评报告 卫星化学（002648） 证券研究报告 2024 年业绩达到新高，新项目带来新业绩增量 1. 2024 年公司全年归母净利润 60.7 亿 公司新项目于 2023 年年底通过发改委审批，并且项目一阶段的二次环评已 经于 2024 年 5 月 22 日挂政府官网。待公司项目投产之后，公司的乙烯产 量或将从 250 万吨变为 500 万吨，C2 产能或将翻倍。 5. 盈利预测 维持公司 2025/2026 年归母净利润 75.3/95.3 亿元，对应 EPS 为 2.24/2.83 元/股，给予公司 2027 年归母净利润 116.1 亿元，对应 EPS 为 3.45 元/股。 根据公司 2024 年年报，2024 年公司归母净利润为 60.7 亿元，同比提高 26.8%。2024 年 Q4 公司归母净利润为 23.8 亿，跟 2023 年 Q4 的 14.0 亿相 比，同比提高 70.4%。 2. 2024 年公司 C2 利润维持高位，2025 年有望继续维持 根据我们计算，2024 年全年乙烷-乙烯的平均利润为 2749 元/吨，比 2023 年平均利润高 625 元/吨。 截至 ...

[Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 分析师：潘宁馨 执业证书号：S0010524070002 电话：13816562460 邮箱：pannx@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.单季度业绩环比大增，丁辛醇项目 顺利投产 2024-10-22 2.二季度盈利环比增长，α-烯烃项目开 工打开成长空间 2024-07-19 3.盈利同比大增，α-烯烃项目加速推进 2024-04-23 [Table_StockNameRptType] 卫星化学（002648） 公司点评 2024 年全年业绩大增，α-烯烃项目加速推进 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-03-25 | | | [Table_BaseData] ...

上 市 公 司 基础化工 2025 年 03 月 25 日 卫星化学 (002648) ——业绩增长显著，乙烷新材料项目进展顺利，成长性可 期 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | 买入（维持） | | --- | | 市场数据： 2025 年 03 月 25 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 21.66 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 22.33/14.65 | | 市净率 | 2.4 | | 息率（分红/股价） | 1.85 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 72,918 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,369.98/10,649.08 | | | 注："息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2024 年 12 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 8.99 | | 资产负债率% | 55.63 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 3,369/3,366 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 03-25 04-25 05-25 06-25 07-25 08-25 09 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 45.648 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.072 billion yuan, up 26.77% year-on-year [6][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a significant performance boost, with revenue reaching 13.373 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.69%, and a net profit of 2.379 billion yuan, up 75.09% year-on-year [6][8] - The company is advancing its α-olefin high-end new materials project, which is expected to support long-term growth [6][7] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, which reached 1.75 billion yuan in 2024, a 7.7% increase year-on-year, focusing on key strategic materials and new materials [6][7] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, establishing partnerships with over 160 countries and regions [7] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit margin of 23.57%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 13.28%, up 1.75 percentage points year-on-year [6][8] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 7.495 billion, 10.102 billion, and 12.592 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.22, 3.00, and 3.74 yuan [8][9] - The company is projected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with revenue expected to grow by 22.39% in 2025 and 24.79% in 2026 [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 45.6 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.1 billion RMB, reflecting a 27% year-on-year growth [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 13.4 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26% and a year-on-year increase of 4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.4 billion RMB, marking a 71% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory due to the advantages of ethane resources and the upcoming launch of new material projects [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the functional chemicals, polymer materials, and new energy materials segments generated revenues of 21.7 billion, 12 billion, and 800 million RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2%, 1%, and 81% [2] - The gross margins for these segments were 20%, 35%, and 22%, with respective year-on-year changes of +5%, +5%, and -15 percentage points [2] - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 7.4 billion, 8.6 billion, and 9.6 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 2.19, 2.56, and 2.86 RMB [5] Market Conditions - The prices of key products such as acrylic acid and its esters have shown positive trends, with average price increases of 11%, 13%, and 6% for acrylic acid, acrylic acid methyl ester, and acrylic acid butyl ester, respectively, since the beginning of 2025 [3] - The company benefits from low raw material prices, with the price of ethane remaining at a five-year low, which supports profitability in the C2 segment [3] Project Developments - The company is advancing its high-end new materials project, which includes a capacity of 1.7 million tons per year for high-end polyolefins and is expected to be completed by the end of 2025, with production starting in early 2026 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Satellite Chemical achieved significant growth in revenue and net profit in 2024, despite a challenging overall environment in the chemical industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 45.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.03% [1]. - The net profit reached 6.072 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.77% compared to the previous year [1]. - Basic earnings per share were 1.8 yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.684 billion yuan in cash dividends [1]. - Quarterly performance showed consistent growth, with Q4 revenue at 13.373 billion yuan, up 41.7%, and net profit at 2.379 billion yuan, up 75.1% [1]. Industry Context - The overall chemical industry faced difficulties in 2024, with a revenue growth of only 4.6% and a profit decline of 6.4% [1]. - The industry is experiencing a structural contradiction of oversupply in low-end products and a shortage in high-end products, prompting a push for innovation [1]. Innovation and R&D - The company invested nearly 10 billion yuan in R&D in recent years, with 1.75 billion yuan in 2024, a 7.7% increase [2]. - The number of R&D personnel reached 1,275, with a significant increase in the number of PhD and Master's degree holders [2]. - Satellite Chemical established a global "1+N" R&D innovation platform, achieving over 500 patents, including more than 100 in catalysts and new materials [2]. Product Development and Market Position - The company expanded its production capacity, including a 100,000-ton ethanolamine facility, enhancing its product matrix [3]. - Satellite Chemical's market share for ethanolamine and polyether monomers exceeded 20%, ranking first and second nationally, respectively [3]. - The company successfully launched an integrated new materials and renewable energy project, further solidifying its market influence [3]. International Expansion - As an industry leader, Satellite Chemical is increasing its overseas presence, establishing the Satellite Global Company to accelerate market expansion [4]. - The company ranks among the top exporters of acrylic acid and esters, polyether monomers, and other products, collaborating with clients in over 160 countries and regions [4].

Audit Opinion - The audit report states that the financial statements of Satellite Chemical Co., Ltd. fairly reflect the financial position as of December 31, 2024, and the operating results and cash flows for the year 2024 in accordance with accounting standards [2]. Key Audit Matters - Revenue recognition is identified as a key audit matter due to the inherent risk of management potentially manipulating profits through inappropriate revenue recognition. The total operating revenue for 2024 was RMB 45,648,350.05 million, with functional chemicals and polymer materials contributing RMB 33,694,799.93 million, accounting for 73.7% of total revenue [3][4]. - The carrying value of fixed assets and construction in progress is also a key audit matter, with the carrying amount of fixed assets as of December 31, 2024, being RMB 2,823,620.51 million, a decrease of 11.39% compared to the beginning of the period, representing 4.13% of total assets [4][5]. Financial Performance - The total operating revenue for Satellite Chemical in 2024 was RMB 45,648,350.05 million, an increase from RMB 41,486,922.12 million in the previous year, indicating a growth rate of approximately 5.2% [10]. - The total operating costs for the same period were RMB 38,835,048.01 million, up from RMB 36,514,161.46 million, reflecting an increase of about 6.4% [10]. Financial Position - As of December 31, 2024, the total assets of Satellite Chemical amounted to RMB 68,305,210.21 million, compared to RMB 64,581,962.27 million at the end of the previous year, marking an increase of approximately 4.2% [10]. - The total liabilities were RMB 38,000,485.26 million, while total equity was RMB 30,304,724.96 million, indicating a solid equity position [10]. Internal Controls - The audit procedures included evaluating the design and operational effectiveness of internal controls related to revenue recognition and fixed assets, ensuring that these controls are properly executed [4][5].

卫星化学: 年度关联方资金占用专项审计报告 目 录 一、非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况的专项 审计说明…………………………………………………………第 1—2 页 二、非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况汇总表…………第 3—3 页 非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况的 专项审计说明 天健审〔2025〕857 号 卫星化学股份有限公司全体股东： 我们接受委托，审计了卫星化学股份有限公司（以下简称卫星化学公司）2024 年度财务报表，包括 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司资产负债表，2024 年度 的合并及母公司利润表、合并及母公司现金流量表、合并及母公司所有者权益变 动表，以及财务报表附注，并出具了审计报告。在此基础上，我们审计了后附的 卫星化学公司管理层编制的 2024 年度《非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来 情况汇总表》（以下简称汇总表）。 一、对报告使用者和使用目的的限定 本报告仅供卫星化学公司年度报告披露时使用，不得用作任何其他目的。我 们同意将本报告作为卫星化学公司年度报告的必备文件，随同其他文件一起报送 并对外披露。 为了更好地理解卫星化学公司 2024 年度非经营性资 ...

一、内部控制审计报告…………………………………………第 1—2 页 内部控制审计报告 天健审〔2025〕856 号 卫星化学股份有限公司全体股东： 按照《企业内部控制审计指引》及中国注册会计师执业准则的相关要求，我 们审计了卫星化学股份有限公司（以下简称卫星化学公司）2024 年 12 月 31 日 的财务报告内部控制的有效性。 一、企业对内部控制的责任 目 录 三、内部控制的固有局限性 内部控制具有固有局限性，存在不能防止和发现错报的可能性。此外，由于 情况的变化可能导致内部控制变得不恰当，或对控制政策和程序遵循的程度降低， 根据内部控制审计结果推测未来内部控制的有效性具有一定风险。 四、财务报告内部控制审计意见 我们认为，卫星化学公司于 2024 年 12 月 31 日按照《企业内部控制基本规 第 1 页 共 2 页 范》和相关规定在所有重大方面保持了有效的财务报告内部控制。 天健会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙） 中国注册会计师： 中国·杭州 中国注册会计师： 按照《企业内部控制基本规范》《企业内部控制应用指引》以及《企业内部 控制评价指引》的规定，建立健全和有效实施内部控制，并评价其有效性是卫星 化学公司董 ...

目 录 | 一、审计报告……………………………………………………… 第 1—6 | | 页 | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、财务报表……………………………………………………… 第 7—14 | | 页 | | （一）合并资产负债表…………………………………………… | 第 | 7 页 | | （二）母公司资产负债表………………………………………… | 第 | 8 页 | | （三）合并利润表………………………………………………… | 第 | 9 页 | | （四）母公司利润表………………………………………………第 | | 10 页 | | （五）合并现金流量表……………………………………………第 | | 11 页 | | （六）母公司现金流量表…………………………………………第 | | 12 页 | | （七）合并所有者权益变动表……………………………………第 | | 13 页 | | （八）母公司所有者权益变动表…………………………………第 | | 14 页 | | | | 审 计 报 告 天健审〔2025〕852 号 卫星化学股份有限公司全体股东： 一、审计意见 我们审计了卫星化学股份 ...