证券代码：002946 证券简称：新乳业 公告编号：2025-045 债券代码：128142 债券简称：新乳转债 新希望乳业股份有限公司 关于控股股东减持计划期限届满暨实施情况的公告 本公司控股股东保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、准确、完 整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供 的信息一致。 新希望乳业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"本公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 30 日披露了《关于控股股东减持计划的预披露公告》（公告编号：2025-036）。 控股股东 Universal Dairy Limited（以下简称"UDL"）拟自减持计划预披露公 告之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月以内即 2025 年 7 月 21 日至 2025 年 10 月 20 日，以集中竞价或大宗交易的方式减持公司股份合计不超过 25,820,305 股，即 不超过公司总股本的 3%，其中，拟以集中竞价方式减持公司股份不超过 8,606,768 股（占公司总股本比例 1%），以大宗交易方式减持公司股份不超过 17,213,537 股（占公司总股本比例 2%）。 截至 2 ...

证券日报网讯新乳业（002946）10月21日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年10月20日公司 股东总户数为16532户。 ...

Market Overview - The beverage and dairy sector increased by 0.42% compared to the previous trading day, with New Dairy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.33, up by 1.36%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13077.32, up by 2.06% [1] Stock Performance - New Dairy (002946) closed at 17.52, with a rise of 2.46% and a trading volume of 77,800 shares, amounting to 135 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Junyuan Health (605388) with a 2.18% increase, and Happy Home (300997) with a 2.10% increase [1] - The beverage and dairy sector saw mixed performances, with some stocks like Chengde Lululemon (000848) and Yili Group (600887) experiencing slight declines of 0.22% [2] Capital Flow - The beverage and dairy sector experienced a net inflow of 51.27 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 49.59 million yuan [2] - Notably, speculative funds had a net outflow of 101 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Main funds showed a net inflow of 56.83 million yuan into Dongpeng Beverage (605499), while it faced a net outflow of 19.55 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - New Dairy (002946) had a net inflow of 16.94 million yuan from main funds but saw a net outflow of 14.26 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Yili Group (600887) recorded a net inflow of 8.08 million yuan from main funds, with a minor net outflow from speculative funds [3]

Core Viewpoint - New Hope Dairy has shown a mixed performance in stock price and financial metrics, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit year-on-year, while also experiencing fluctuations in stock trading activity and shareholder composition [1][2][3]. Stock Performance - As of October 21, New Hope Dairy's stock price increased by 2.05% to 17.45 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 15.019 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 22.67%, but it has seen a slight decline of 1.13% over the last five trading days and 0.68% over the last twenty days [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, New Hope Dairy reported a revenue of 5.526 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 397 million CNY, which is a significant increase of 33.76% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders decreased to 17,300, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 0.74% to 49,085 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 676 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 448 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders included notable funds such as China Europe Value Select Mixed Fund, which reduced its holdings by 1.5897 million shares, and new entrants like Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Mixue Ice City has officially entered the fresh beer market by acquiring a 53% stake in Xianpiao Fulujia for 297 million yuan [2] - As of August 31, 2025, Fulujia has established approximately 1,200 stores across 28 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China, making it the leading brand in terms of the number of fresh beer chain stores [2] - The actual controller of Fulujia, Tian Haixia, is the wife of Mixue Ice City's CEO, Zhang Hongfu, indicating a close personal connection between the two companies [3]

Market Overview - The beverage and dairy sector experienced a slight decline of 0.05% on October 20, with New Dairy leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3863.89, up 0.63%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12813.21, up 0.98% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the beverage and dairy sector included: - Yangyuan Beverage: closed at 29.69, up 3.38% with a trading volume of 177,200 shares and a turnover of 524 million yuan [1] - Western Pastoral: closed at 11.23, up 2.93% with a trading volume of 67,600 shares and a turnover of 75.06 million yuan [1] - Other gainers included Caobo Daobu, Huanlejia, and Qishi Dairy, all showing positive performance [1] - Conversely, New Dairy saw a significant decline of 4.36%, closing at 17.10 with a trading volume of 73,000 shares and a turnover of 126 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The beverage and dairy sector saw a net inflow of 151 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 66.42 million yuan [2] - Major stocks with significant capital flow included: - Yili Group: net inflow of 65.81 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 51.30 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Dongpeng Beverage: net inflow of 56.42 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also showing a net outflow [3] - Yangyuan Beverage and other stocks also reflected similar trends in capital flow [3]

Core Viewpoint - New Hope Dairy's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 23.09% but a recent decline in the last five and twenty trading days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, New Hope Dairy reported a revenue of 5.526 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 397 million yuan, which is a 33.76% increase [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of October 20, New Hope Dairy's stock was trading at 17.51 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 15.07 billion yuan. The stock experienced a 2.07% decline during the trading session [1]. - The company has seen a net inflow of 233,900 yuan from major funds, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for New Hope Dairy was 17,300, a decrease of 0.73% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 0.74% to 49,085 shares [2][3]. - The company has distributed a total of 676 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 448 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, major shareholders included China Europe Value Select Mixed Fund, which reduced its holdings, and new entrants like Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Xin'ao Quality Return Mixed Fund [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the industry, suggesting that the liquor sector is in a bottoming process while food companies should seek structural opportunities from the bottom up [6][8]. Core Views - The liquor industry is expected to experience a prolonged period of inventory digestion, with pressure on third-quarter reports anticipated to continue into the first quarter of 2026. The report emphasizes that stock price recovery may precede fundamental improvements [6][7]. - For consumer goods, the report highlights the potential for structural growth driven by new consumption trends, recommending companies with strong long-term competitive advantages [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Industry Insights - The food and beverage sector outperformed the market, with a weekly increase of 0.86%, while the liquor segment rose by 1.78%. The sector ranked third among 31 sub-industries [5][29]. - Key stocks that performed well included Kweichow Moutai and Qingdao Beer, while stocks like Jinzi Ham faced significant declines [5]. 2. Market Performance by Sector - The report indicates that the liquor sector is facing significant adjustment pressures, with high channel inventories and weak demand expected to persist into the next year. The report anticipates that the sales performance during the 2026 Spring Festival will be under pressure due to high base effects from 2025 [7][29]. - The consumer goods sector is viewed positively, particularly in dairy and beer, with recommendations for stocks like Yili and Yanjing Beer, while also noting potential competition in the snack and beverage segments [8][29]. 3. Key Company Updates - Moutai's bottle price is reported at 1750 RMB, down 15 RMB week-on-week, while Wuliangye's price remains stable at approximately 830 RMB. The report notes that the autumn sugar and wine fair had a subdued atmosphere, reflecting ongoing market challenges [7][19]. - The report highlights significant profit growth for companies like Chenguang Biotech, with a projected net profit increase of 344.05% to 401.55% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025 [9][10]. 4. Valuation Metrics - As of October 17, 2025, the food and beverage sector's dynamic PE is reported at 19.74x, with a premium rate of 24%. The liquor sector's dynamic PE stands at 18.33x, with a premium rate of 15% [19][28]. 5. Sectoral Excess Returns - The food and beverage industry outperformed the Shenwan A index by 4.44 percentage points during the period from October 13 to October 17, 2025, with various sub-sectors showing different levels of performance [29][30].

Core Insights - The acquisition of a 53% stake in "Xianpi Fulujia" for 297 million yuan marks the first major acquisition by Mixue Ice City since its IPO in March 2023, signaling its entry into the fresh beer market [1][2] - The deal has raised discussions about the connections between the companies, particularly the relationship between Zhang Hongfu, CEO of Mixue Group, and Tian Haixia, the actual controller of Fulujia, who is also Zhang's wife [1][4] - The valuation of the acquisition has been questioned, with a calculated price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 523 times, significantly higher than the industry average [2][3] Acquisition Details - The acquisition was structured as a capital increase and share transfer, with Mixue Group investing 285.6 million yuan for a 51% stake and acquiring an additional 2% from a third-party shareholder for 11.2 million yuan [2] - The valuation of Fulujia was based on an independent assessment, with a market value range of 244.7 million to 276.6 million yuan, and the acquisition price slightly exceeding the upper limit of this range [2][3] - Post-acquisition, Tian Haixia's direct shareholding in Fulujia decreased to 29.43%, while her total stake, including indirect holdings, is valued at approximately 220 million yuan, yielding an investment return of about 8.2 times [4] Business Strategy - Mixue Ice City aims to leverage its strong supply chain to enhance Fulujia's operations, potentially reducing production costs and improving logistics efficiency [12] - The fresh beer market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a market size nearing 100 billion yuan by 2025, indicating a strategic shift for Mixue Ice City to diversify its revenue streams [13][14] - The acquisition aligns with Mixue's broader strategy to explore new growth avenues amid slowing growth in the tea beverage sector [13] Market Positioning - Fulujia has rapidly expanded its presence, with around 1,200 stores across 28 provinces, primarily targeting community and university markets through a franchise model [8] - The branding and operational strategies of Fulujia closely resemble those of Mixue Ice City, suggesting a synergistic relationship between the two brands [9][10] - The fresh beer segment is becoming increasingly competitive, with established players and new entrants vying for market share, posing challenges for Mixue Ice City as it enters this space [15]

Core Viewpoint - New Hope Dairy's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 24.57% and a recent decline of 4.47% over the past 20 days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, New Hope Dairy reported a revenue of 5.526 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 397 million yuan, which is a 33.76% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of October 16, New Hope Dairy's stock was trading at 17.72 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 15.251 billion yuan. The stock experienced a net outflow of 2.4804 million yuan in principal funds [1]. - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard once this year, with a net buy of 67.0816 million yuan on April 10 [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for New Hope Dairy was 17,300, a decrease of 0.73% from the previous period, with an average of 49,085 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 0.74% [2][3]. - The top shareholders include various funds, with notable changes in holdings among them, such as a decrease in shares held by 中欧价值智选混合A and new entries like 香港中央结算有限公司 [3]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, New Hope Dairy has distributed a total of 676 million yuan in dividends, with 448 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Industry Classification - New Hope Dairy operates within the food and beverage sector, specifically in the dairy products category, and is associated with concepts such as new retail and domestic dairy industry [2].