Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for high-quality companies in the food and beverage sector, indicating that it has entered a strategic allocation period [6][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in revenue for major liquor companies, with high-end liquor prices continuing to drop, leading to a search for a balance between volume and price [6][7]. - It emphasizes the need for patience regarding fundamentals and notes that the performance of individual stocks will vary during this adjustment phase [6][8]. - The report anticipates that stock price returns will primarily come from valuation contributions in the upcoming year, suggesting reasonable expectations for price movements [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview of Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.07% last week, with the liquor segment declining by 0.73%, underperforming the broader market by 1.33 percentage points [5]. - The top gainers included Hai Xin Food (up 45.38%), Jia Long Co. (up 16.29%), and Yan Tang Dairy (up 15.25%) [5]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Segments - The report provides detailed pricing data for major liquor brands, noting that Moutai's bottle price is 1570 RMB, down 80 RMB week-on-week, and Wuliangye's price is approximately 825 RMB, down 5 RMB [7][25]. - It discusses the strategic direction of Moutai, focusing on quality over quantity and maintaining stable cash dividend policies [7]. 3. Industry Indicators and Future Outlook - The report predicts a gradual improvement in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2026, which could lead to a recovery for companies with pricing power in various sub-sectors [8]. - It recommends focusing on sectors such as seasoning, frozen foods, and dairy, highlighting companies like Anjiu Food, Qianhe Flavor, and Yili Group as key players [8]. 4. Valuation Levels - As of November 28, the food and beverage sector has a dynamic PE of 20.59x, with a premium rate of 28%, while the liquor segment has a dynamic PE of 19.35x, with a premium rate of 20% [26].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report indicates that the food and beverage sector is entering a strategic allocation period, particularly for high-quality companies, as the market is expected to reach a predictable bottom in the near future [2][6][8] - Key recommendations for the liquor sector include Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Wuliangye, while for consumer goods, the focus is on Yili, Qingdao Beer, Anjui Food, Qianhe Flavor Industry, Tianwei Food, and New Dairy [2][6][8] Group 2: Market Performance - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.07% last week, with the liquor segment declining by 0.73%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.33 percentage points [5] - Moutai's bottle price is reported at 1570 RMB, down 80 RMB week-on-week, while the box price is 1580 RMB, down 85 RMB [7][30] Group 3: Industry Trends - The report highlights that the high-end liquor prices are declining, indicating a search for balance between volume and price in the market [6][7] - For the consumer goods sector, the core observation for 2026 is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to improve gradually, leading to potential recovery for companies with pricing power [8][31] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - As of November 28, 2025, the food and beverage sector has a dynamic PE of 20.59x, with a premium rate of 28%, while the liquor sector has a dynamic PE of 19.35x, with a premium rate of 20% [31]

本文转载自每日经济新闻 值班编辑 | 宝珠 视觉 | 顾芗 近日，不少网友在社交平台上分享，自己从蜜雪冰城（企业微信）的社群推广和朋友圈中看到，雪王发 布了一份关于"早餐"的调查问卷。 问卷涉及到询问大家的性别、年龄、职业、省份、喜欢的早餐类型、购买早餐的花费等多个选项，以及 大家希望的形式和口味。不少网友在该类分享贴下评论表示：支持蜜雪冰城，带来平价稳定的早餐。 星标关注《盐财经》 此外，有网友发帖称，蜜雪冰城已开始上新"早餐奶"，在官方小程序点单界面新增"早餐系列"，涵盖早 餐五红奶、五黑奶、玉米奶等数款产品，均售价5元。 据极目新闻，一位接近蜜雪冰城的人士表示，目前"早餐计划"仅在大连、西安、南宁、杭州等城市进行 部分试新，上线产品包括早餐椰椰奶等四款乳品，售价均为5元。同时，目前暂时没有大面积推广计 划。 据了解，蜜雪冰城是以新鲜冰淇淋茶饮为主的全国知名饮品连锁品牌。截至2025年6月，蜜雪集团全球 门店超过53000家，拥有蜜雪冰城、幸运咖两大品牌，提供单价约6元的现制果饮、茶饮、冰淇淋和咖啡 等产品。 值得一提的是，在本次"进军早餐"前，蜜雪集团曾于10月1日，宣布合计斥资2.97亿元，收购福鹿家 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant growth of the company, with its global store count reaching 53,014 by June 30, 2025, and its coffee brand, Luckin Coffee, surpassing 10,000 stores globally [1] - The beverage industry, particularly coffee and tea companies, is showing a strong interest in "all-day consumption," with many brands exploring breakfast offerings [1] - Notable brands such as Heytea, Nayuki, and Gu Ming have launched breakfast products, while Starbucks and Luckin Coffee have introduced breakfast combo meals [1] Group 2 - Recently, the company launched breakfast products, including four dairy items like coconut milk, priced at 5 yuan each [3] - The breakfast initiative is currently being tested in select cities such as Dalian, Xi'an, Nanning, and Hangzhou, with no plans for widespread rollout at this time [3] - The company previously sought to hire for breakfast-related procurement roles, indicating a strategic focus on expanding its breakfast offerings [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant transformation in the Chinese tea beverage market, contrasting the declining performance of traditional brands like Xiangpiaopiao with the rapid growth of new tea drink companies such as Mixue Ice City and Guming, indicating a shift in consumer preferences from instant tea to freshly made tea drinks [4][12]. Group 1: Xiangpiaopiao's Challenges - Xiangpiaopiao, once a leading brand in the instant tea market, reported a revenue of 1.035 billion yuan in its half-year report, a year-on-year decline of 12.21%, and a net profit loss of 97 million yuan, a staggering drop of 230.13% [6]. - The decline is primarily attributed to a 31.04% drop in sales revenue from its instant tea products, which has significantly impacted overall performance [6]. - In response to these challenges, Xiangpiaopiao is attempting to reposition its brand towards younger and health-conscious consumers by launching new products like "original leaf freshly brewed milk tea" and "ancient five red warm milk tea" [6][10]. Group 2: Growth of Freshly Made Tea Brands - In contrast, new tea drink companies such as Mixue Ice City, Guming, and others have shown remarkable growth, with a combined revenue exceeding 33 billion yuan and a total net profit of over 5 billion yuan in the first half of the year [12]. - Mixue Ice City achieved a revenue of 14.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.3%, and a net profit of 2.72 billion yuan, up 44.1% [12]. - Guming also reported impressive growth, with a revenue of 5.363 billion yuan, a 41.2% increase, and a net profit surge of 121.51% [12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Consumer Preferences - The tea beverage industry is experiencing a shift towards health and freshness, with consumers increasingly prioritizing product ingredients and health benefits, leading to a rise in fresh fruit and vegetable drinks [17]. - The competition is intensifying as freshly made tea brands establish robust supply chains, with Mixue Ice City achieving 100% self-sourcing of core ingredients and Guming providing rapid cold chain delivery to 98% of its stores [19]. - The integration of online and offline channels is becoming crucial for brand expansion, as consumers view tea drinks not just as beverages but as social and emotional experiences [18].

Core Viewpoint - New Hope Dairy has shown a mixed performance in stock trading, with a year-to-date increase of 21.12% but a slight decline in recent trading days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, New Hope Dairy achieved a revenue of 8.434 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.49% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 623 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 31.48% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 28, New Hope Dairy's stock price was 17.23 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 14.829 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a net outflow of 305,100 yuan in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 6.19% of total purchases and 6.90% of total sales [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with a net purchase of 67.0816 million yuan on April 10 [1]. Shareholder Information - As of November 20, the number of shareholders for New Hope Dairy was 15,800, a decrease of 2.10% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 2.14% to 53,883 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, New Hope Dairy has distributed a total of 676 million yuan in dividends, with 448 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, major shareholders include China Europe Value Select Mixed Fund, which increased its holdings by 2.0809 million shares [3]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited also increased its holdings by 947,100 shares, while Huatai-PB Vision Select Mixed Fund entered the top ten shareholders [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent initiatives by Mixue Ice City to introduce a breakfast series, highlighting consumer engagement through surveys and the launch of new breakfast products at a competitive price point [1][5][8]. Group 1: Breakfast Series Launch - Mixue Ice City has introduced a "Breakfast Series" featuring products like Five Red Milk, Five Black Milk, Corn Milk, and Coconut Milk, all priced at 5 yuan [5][8]. - The breakfast initiative is currently being tested in select cities including Dalian, Xi'an, Nanning, and Hangzhou, with no plans for widespread rollout at this time [8]. Group 2: Consumer Engagement - A survey was conducted by Snow King to gather consumer preferences on breakfast choices, including options like soy milk, fried dough sticks, and sandwiches, along with demographic information [1][8]. - The survey aims to understand consumer spending habits and preferences for breakfast formats and flavors [1]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Mixue Ice City reported a revenue of 14.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.3%, with a gross profit of 4.71 billion yuan, up 38.3% [8]. - The net profit for the same period reached 2.72 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 44.1% compared to the previous year [8]. - As of June 30, 2025, the total number of Mixue Ice City stores globally reached 53,014, with an increase of 9,796 stores from the previous year [8].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotou Securities emphasizes the importance of consumption in economic growth, predicting a stabilization in the consumption fundamentals in 2026, which presents a significant opportunity for investment in the food and beverage industry [1] Group 1: Alcohol Industry - The liquor sector is at a cyclical bottom, with low expectations, low holdings, and low valuations, suggesting potential for left-side layout opportunities [2] - The rapid clearing of financial reports in the past two quarters indicates a resolution of supply-demand conflicts, with a gradual recovery in household consumption expected [2] - The white liquor business model remains strong, and with a potential economic recovery, valuations are likely to rebound quickly [2] Group 2: Beer Industry - The beer sector is expected to maintain a structural market in 2026, with investment opportunities in companies with strong single-product growth logic and those benefiting from competitor adjustments [3] - Overall profitability in the beer sector is on an upward trend, driven by the expansion of products priced between 8-10 yuan and improved efficiency from lean management [3] Group 3: Dairy Industry - The dairy sector is positioned for a turnaround in the raw milk cycle in 2026, with a focus on the profitability elasticity of the dairy supply chain [4] - Demand for dairy products has shown differentiation, with low-temperature fresh milk and cheese experiencing healthy growth, while room temperature liquid milk has been a drag [4] - The average milk price in major production areas is expected to recover above the average cost of production in 2026, making it an opportune time to invest in the dairy supply chain [4] Group 4: Soft Drink Industry - The soft drink sector has seen significant performance differentiation, with companies in strong growth categories leading the industry [5] - In 2026, there is a focus on functional beverages and the competitive landscape of packaged water, with an emphasis on companies introducing new products [5] - The demand for low-sugar functional beverages is anticipated to grow, particularly among white-collar workers seeking fatigue-relief options [5] Group 5: Snack Industry - The snack sector is benefiting from strong new channel drivers, with expectations of improved gross and net profit margins due to scale effects [6] - The konjac product category is maintaining high market interest, with significant growth potential in China [6] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies with strong performance during the adjustment period and those with leading products in the snack sector [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the food and beverage industry, highlighting several key companies as investment opportunities [3][4]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry is experiencing internal rotation in new consumption and improvement at the bottom of traditional consumption. The overall performance in 2025 was weak, primarily due to the adjustment in the liquor sector, but the long-term recovery trend for mass consumer goods remains intact [3][8]. - For 2026, structural opportunities are expected to continue, with new consumption showing internal rotation and traditional consumption gradually recovering from the bottom [3][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In 2025, the food and beverage sector's revenue grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, while profits fell by 14.6%, underperforming compared to the previous year. The industry index ranked last among 31 sub-industries with a decline of 4.8% [8][11]. - The adjustment in the liquor sector is identified as the main factor for the overall weak performance, while the recovery trend for mass consumer goods is expected to persist [8][11]. Soft Drinks - The beverage industry is projected to benefit from a rebound in travel demand in 2026, with a revenue increase of 6.2% in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [42][45]. - Cost advantages from declining prices of raw materials like sugar and PET are expected to continue, enhancing profit margins for beverage companies [45][49]. Snacks - The konjac snack sector is experiencing high growth, with companies like Salted Fish and Wei Long achieving significant revenue increases in 2025 [66][67]. - The competitive landscape for konjac products is expected to remain manageable, with established brands likely to maintain their market positions despite new entrants [70][76]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is anticipated to see a recovery in supply-demand balance, with raw milk prices expected to stabilize in 2026 due to ongoing supply adjustments [38][39]. - Policies promoting consumption are expected to benefit liquid milk and milk powder sales, driving demand improvements [38][39]. Frozen and Condiment Products - The frozen food sector is expected to see performance improvements as competition stabilizes, with a focus on recovery in demand [38][39]. - The condiment sector is also projected to benefit from a gradual recovery in consumer demand [38][39]. Liquor - The liquor industry is still in an adjustment phase but is gradually approaching a bottoming out stage, with supply clearing expected to continue into 2026 [6][25]. - The report suggests that the long-term value of liquor stocks will become more apparent as the market stabilizes [6][25]. Investment Recommendations - Key companies to watch include Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring, and Moutai in the beverage sector, as well as Wei Long and Salted Fish in the snack sector [6][8].

证券日报网讯新乳业（002946）11月24日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年11月20日公司 股东总户数为15788户。 ...