Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the computer industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The "reciprocal tariff" policy is expected to further impact the global industrial landscape, accelerating China's technological self-reliance and self-control process, with positive prospects for the development of domestic software and hardware markets [7][9]. - The implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" by the U.S. is leading to increased tariffs on Chinese imports, which may result in a shift towards domestic alternatives in software and hardware sectors [24]. Summary by Sections Tariff Impact Overview - The U.S. has enacted "reciprocal tariffs," which may accelerate China's self-reliance process in technology [13]. - The tariffs imposed by the U.S. include a 34% increase on all imports from the U.S. to China, which is expected to raise the costs of imported software and hardware products, thus promoting a shift towards domestic alternatives [24]. Software Impact - The trend towards model autonomy remains unchanged, with significant potential for self-replacement in foundational and industrial software [7]. - China's large model industry is rapidly catching up, with domestic models like DeepSeek and Qwen continuously improving their capabilities [7]. Hardware Impact - The domestic chip industry is expected to accelerate, with significant growth potential in domestic computing power [8]. - In 2024, NVIDIA and Intel's revenues in China were $17.1 billion and $15.5 billion respectively, while domestic CPU and GPU manufacturers are increasingly competitive [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "reciprocal tariff" policy will influence the global industrial structure and accelerate China's technological self-reliance, maintaining a "Recommended" rating for the computer industry [9]. Related Targets - Key software companies include China Software, Taiji, and DaMeng Data, while hardware targets include Haiguang Information, Inspur, and Huawei [10][11].

华大九天 20250410 • 华大九天作为国产 EDA 龙头，受益于中美贸易摩擦和自主可控政策，有望 加速实现设计和制造全流程工具覆盖，并逐步对标海外巨头，实控人变更 为中国电子，提供资金和产业支持。 • 华大九天计划在 2025 年实现数字全流程工具覆盖，2030 年实现设计和 制造各领域全流程覆盖，通过收并购驱动成长，并积极打造 IP 业务，预计 将成为新的增长极。 • 全球 EDA 市场规模庞大，中国市场占比约 10%，新思科技、Cadence、 西门子 EDA 长期垄断市场。中国政府推动关键技术领域国产化，为华大九 天等国内企业带来发展机遇。 • 华大九天通过收购阿卡斯和星河半导体等公司，不断提升自身竞争力，扩 展技术能力，巩固市场地位，加速追赶海外龙头。 • 预计华大九天 2024-2026 年收入分别为 12.55 亿元、16.07 亿元和 20.38 亿元，对应归母净利润分别为 1.4 亿元、2.38 亿元和 3.56 亿元， 维持买入评级。 Q&A 中美关税升级背景下，EDA 行业的国产替代前景如何？ 在中美关税升级的大背景下，自主可控成为一条重要且鲜明的主线，尤其在知 识密集型产业中的 E ...

作为国产EDA龙头华大九天，可谓全村的希望。这起并购究竟能给公司带来什么？ 本次交易前，上市公司主要产品包括全定制设计平台 EDA 工具系统、数字电路设计 EDA 工具、晶圆 制造 EDA 工具和先进封装设计 EDA 工具等软件及相关技术服务。其中，全定制设计平台 EDA 工具系 统包括模拟电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统、存储电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统、射频电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统和平板显示电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统；技术服务主要包括基础 IP、晶圆制造工程服务及其 他相关服务。公司产品和服务主要应用于集成电路设计、制造及封装领域。 近日，华大九天一则并购公告引发市场关注。 公告显示，华大九天披露筹划发行股份及支付现金购买芯和半导体科技（上海）股份有限公司（以下简 称"芯和半导体"）100%股份的交易预案。 根据交易预案，华大九天拟以102.86元/股的价格向公司实控人中国电子信息产业集团有限公司（以下 简称"中国电子集团"）、中电金投控股有限公司（以下简称"中电金投"）发行股份募集配套资金。此次 募集配套资金总额不超过发行股份购买资产交易价格的100%，且发行股份数量不超过本次发行股份购 买资 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Buy" [9][36]. Core Views - The company is planning to acquire 100% equity of Chip and Semiconductor, which will enhance its capabilities in the EDA (Electronic Design Automation) sector [6][7]. - The acquisition is expected to solidify the company's position as a leader in the domestic EDA market, especially in the context of increasing demand for domestic software and hardware alternatives [7]. - The EDA industry is experiencing high growth, with the global EDA market projected to reach $3.227 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth [7]. - The company aims to cover the entire EDA process and field to meet the needs of domestic substitution, leveraging the acquisition to fill product gaps and enhance efficiency [7]. - The financial performance of the company is expected to improve significantly post-acquisition, with projected revenues of 1.224 billion yuan in 2024 and 1.791 billion yuan in 2025, representing growth rates of 21.19% and 46.24% respectively [8]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The closing price of the company is 116.30 yuan, with a market capitalization of 30.508 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 12.87 and a net asset return rate of 1.19% [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.010 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.791 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit forecasted to increase from 201 million yuan to 284 million yuan in the same period [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.37 yuan in 2023 to 0.52 yuan in 2025 [8]. Industry Context - The EDA industry is witnessing consolidation, with major players like the company and others actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance their market positions [9]. - The acquisition of Chip and Semiconductor is seen as a strategic move to accelerate growth and improve product offerings in a competitive landscape [7][9].

计算机软件 分析师：唐月 登记编码：S0730512030001 tangyue@ccnew.com 021-50586737 并购优质 EDA 标的，加速打造全流程能 力 ——华大九天(301269)公司点评报告 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(上调) 市场数据(2025-04-08) | 收盘价(元) | 116.30 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 149.54/70.06 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,650.76 | | 市净率(倍) | 12.87 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 305.08 | | 基础数据(2024-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 9.03 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -0.08 | | --- | --- | | 毛利率(%) | 91.86 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 1.19 | | 资产负债率(%) | 7.17 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 54,294.18/26,232.14 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -13% 1% 16 ...

华大九天 20250408 摘要 Q&A 华大九天在 EDA 行业中的地位如何？其未来的发展前景怎样？ 华大九天是中国 EDA 行业的龙头企业，其核心团队自 90 年代起便参与了我国首 款自主 EDA 工具的研发，技术积淀深厚。近年来，随着美国对半导体政策不断 加码，国内头部半导体公司受到美国 EDA 工具禁令的影响，使得国产 EDA 行业 迎来了前所未有的发展机遇。华大九天在 2022 年的国内市场占有率已达到 7%， 并且通过与华为等头部公司合作，快速缩小了与海外软件的差距。目前其工艺 覆盖度已接近全流程覆盖，在数字电路方面预计 2029 年实现 90%以上的覆盖。 未来华大九天有望进一步提升市场份额，甚至进入全球前三名。 • 华大九天受益于美国 EDA 禁令，国产替代加速，2022 年国内市场占有率达 7%，通过与华为等合作，快速缩小与海外差距，预计 2029 年数字电路覆盖 率超 90%，有望提升市场份额至全球前三。 • EDA 行业客户粘性高，巨头通过并购补全工具链，形成垄断。全球市场由 新思科技、铿腾电子和西门子 EDA 主导，市占率达 76%，国内约为 75%。 • 中美贸易摩擦促使国产 EDA ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The AI chip and CPU sectors are moving towards self-sufficiency, with significant growth potential in domestic chip production as companies like Alibaba, Tencent, and Huawei increase their investments in chip development [3][10]. - The domestic software industry is expected to accelerate, with the foundational software market projected to grow from approximately 153.8 billion RMB in 2023 to 432.76 billion RMB by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 48% [48]. - The autonomous driving chip market is also seeing a shift towards domestic production, with a notable increase in the output of domestic chips as the new energy vehicle industry expands [3][10]. Summary by Sections 01: AI Hardware: AI Chips + CPUs - The U.S. has added several Chinese AI companies to its entity list, increasing the difficulty of importing related components, which emphasizes the need for self-sufficiency in the AI industry [5]. - In 2024, China's AI chip shipments are estimated at 2.7 million units, with domestic brands accounting for only 30% of the market, indicating a significant reliance on imports [15]. - The market for AI chips in China is projected to grow rapidly, with a CAGR of 66.4% from 2020 to 2024, reaching a market size of approximately 1.412 trillion RMB in 2024 [15]. 02: Accelerated Development of the Trustworthy Computing Industry - The trustworthy computing industry is expected to grow significantly, with a market size projected to reach 3.38 trillion RMB by 2025, driven by increased domestic demand and government support [48]. - The foundational software market is anticipated to see rapid growth, with key segments such as operating systems and databases showing substantial potential for domestic replacement [48][51]. 03: Domestic Autonomous Driving Chips - In 2024, the output of domestic autonomous driving chips is expected to increase, with domestic manufacturers gradually catching up in terms of technology and production capacity [3][10]. - The market for intelligent cockpit chips is also expanding, with domestic chips currently accounting for only 10% of the market, indicating significant room for growth [3][10]. 04: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests actively monitoring the trustworthy computing industry chain due to the ongoing U.S. trade policies and technology restrictions, which are likely to drive domestic production and innovation [3].

Summary of Huada Jiutian Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Huada Jiutian - **Industry**: Electronic Design Automation (EDA) Key Points and Arguments - **Acquisition of Newhe Semiconductor**: Huada Jiutian acquired 100% of Newhe Semiconductor through a combination of cash and stock issuance, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the EDA market, particularly in system-level simulation for chips [3][4] - **Market Positioning**: The acquisition marks the beginning of a large-scale merger and acquisition cycle for Huada Jiutian, aimed at addressing its development gaps as the only EDA platform in China [3][4] - **Technological Trends**: The integrated circuit design is entering a post-Moore's Law era, where advanced packaging is crucial for increasing chip integration. Multi-physical field simulation technology is becoming essential in EDA tools to address challenges posed by chip integration [5][6] - **Challenges in SOC Design**: Huada Jiutian faces significant challenges in SOC design and chip manufacturing, including complex function decomposition, inter-chip connectivity, and advanced packaging issues [9] - **Market Growth Potential**: The domestic EDA market is projected to reach 16 billion RMB by 2030, with Huada Jiutian's localization rate expected to increase to 50%-70%, indicating a potential market capitalization of over 100 billion RMB [3][15] - **IP Business Development**: Huada Jiutian has the potential to develop its IP business, especially after establishing a leading position in the digital EDA market, which could become a new growth driver [3][16] - **Valuation Logic**: The high valuation of Huada Jiutian is supported by its strong market position and growth potential, with a projected PS ratio of 15-20 times based on future market conditions [11][14] - **Future M&A Plans**: The acquisition of Newhe Semiconductor signals the start of a broader M&A strategy, aimed at enhancing key capabilities and achieving a market valuation of 100 billion RMB [17] Additional Important Insights - **Collaboration with International Giants**: Huada Jiutian has partnered with international companies like Xindasi to launch a comprehensive 3D advanced packaging design analysis EDA platform, reinforcing its industry leadership [7][8] - **Technological Achievements**: The company has received national awards for its technological advancements, further solidifying its position in the domestic EDA industry [8] - **Impact of US-China Relations**: The current geopolitical climate is influencing market liquidity and sentiment, which in turn affects Huada Jiutian's revenue growth [12] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting Huada Jiutian's strategic moves, market positioning, and future growth potential within the EDA industry.

Summary of the Conference Call on Huada Jiutian Industry Overview - The company is a leading player in the domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) market, with a market share of 7% in 2022, maintaining its position as the top local provider [1] - The domestic semiconductor market is expected to grow at a rate of 20% over the next three years, with the EDA market projected to expand from 14 billion to 35.4 billion from 2024 to 2027, resulting in a CAGR of 36% [1][2] Key Points 1. **Market Growth and Projections** - The EDA market is anticipated to grow significantly due to the increase in the semiconductor market and the rise of EDA software usage from 1% to 1.3% of the semiconductor market [1] - The expected CAGR for the EDA industry from 2024 to 2027 is 36% [1] 2. **Company Growth Drivers** - The company is leveraging both self-research and acquisitions to enhance its process coverage, aiming for a comprehensive suite of EDA tools [1] - The digital circuit coverage is expected to exceed 90% by 2026, with other categories achieving full process coverage [2] - AI-driven advancements are helping the company close the gap with global leaders, while also expanding its market share [2] 3. **Global Market Context** - The leading global EDA companies include Cadence Design Systems (valued at approximately 500 billion), Synopsys (around 480 billion), and Siemens EDA (about 250 billion), collectively holding a 76% market share and a total market capitalization of 1.2433 trillion [2] - Huada Jiutian is projected to capture about 22% of the global market share in the long term, indicating significant growth potential from its current market capitalization of 60.5 billion [2] Financial Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43% from 2024 to 2026 [2] - The projected net profit for the parent company is forecasted to be 129 million, 230 million, and 392 million for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -35.64%, +77.68%, and +70.83%, leading to a 3-year CAGR of 74% [2] - The price-to-sales (PS) ratio is lower than comparable domestic companies, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Huada Jiutian (301269.SZ) [6] Core Insights - Huada Jiutian is positioned as a leader in the domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) market, aiming to accelerate its growth and market share to compete with global giants like Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA [2][4] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% in revenue over the next three years, driven by product expansion, market share growth, and advancements in AI technology [3][4] - The company is projected to become the first domestic EDA company to achieve full-process coverage in EDA tools, transitioning from import substitution to global supply [4][11] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company currently holds a 7% market share in the Chinese EDA market, which is dominated by three major players with a combined market share of 75% [2] - Huada Jiutian's revenue is expected to grow from 1.29 billion yuan in 2024 to 3.92 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 74% for net profit during the same period [4][11] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 1.288 billion yuan, 1.808 billion yuan, and 2.617 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.51%, 40.31%, and 44.75% [4][11] - The company maintains a high gross margin, with a consistent rate above 90% over the past five years, while R&D expenses have been increasing significantly [40][38] Market Context - The EDA industry is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese EDA market projected to expand from 14 billion yuan in 2024 to 35.4 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 36.1% [43][47] - The report highlights the importance of EDA tools as a strategic foundation for the integrated circuit industry, emphasizing their role in enhancing design efficiency and driving technological advancements [41][42] Competitive Positioning - Huada Jiutian is recognized for its strong R&D capabilities, with over 300 authorized patents and a commitment to innovation, supported by significant investment from state-owned enterprises [32][35] - The company is well-positioned to leverage national policies that support the semiconductor industry, creating a favorable environment for growth and development [51]