Market Overview - The market is experiencing a broad rally, although the NASDAQ is lagging behind [1] - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of the rally without big tech leading the way [1][2] Sector Performance - Technology sector continues to perform well, with a robust earnings outlook despite concerns over valuations and returns on capital [3] - Financials, utilities, and healthcare are preferred sectors, with expectations of increasing prices in healthcare due to inflation [3] - The Russell 2000 index has seen a decline of 1.4%, reflecting a rethink of expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [4] Economic Indicators - The core PCE inflation rate is at 2.9%, remaining above the Federal Reserve's target for over four years, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [5] - Recent economic data shows strong spending numbers, but there are concerns about whether Fed cuts will lead to lower mortgage rates [8] Interest Rates and Federal Reserve Actions - The expectation is for the 10-year yield to stabilize around 4.25% in the coming year, with potential for slight decreases [9] - There is a belief that the Federal Reserve will cut rates, but the yield curve may steepen, which is favorable for financials and banks [10] Tariff Impact on Companies - U.S. companies, particularly in the S&P 500, are well-managed and capable of navigating challenges posed by new tariffs [14] - The tech sector is expected to see winners emerge, but there is caution that enthusiasm for certain names may be overblown [15]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月26日，香港交易所信息显示，德意志银行在理想汽车-W的持股比例于09月23日从 12.92%升至13.05%。 ...

Core Insights - The Risk Asia Awards 2025 recognize excellence in various categories related to risk management and financial services across Asia [1][2][3] Group 1: Derivatives Awards - Derivatives house of the year for Asia is awarded to UBS [1] - Other notable winners include Daiwa Securities for Japan, Crédit Agricole CIB for Hong Kong and South Korea, and OCBC Bank for Singapore [1] - The award for derivatives house of the year in China goes to Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, while CTBC Bank wins for Taiwan [1] Group 2: Specialized Awards - Standard Chartered is recognized as the interest rate derivatives house of the year [1] - BofA Securities wins the currency derivatives house of the year award [1] - UBS is awarded both equity and credit derivatives house of the year [1] Group 3: Technology and Risk Solutions - Murex is named technology vendor of the year and also wins for system support and implementation [2] - S&P Dow Jones Indices is recognized for quantitative investment solutions [2] - FactSet is awarded for risk solutions [2] Group 4: Compliance and Risk Management - The best AI solution for risk management is awarded to SAS Institute [2] - Wolters Kluwer receives multiple awards for various risk management solutions including IFRS 9 and credit risk management [2] - NICE Actimize is recognized for its AML solution of the year [2]

Brazilian waste management company Ambipar has secured a preliminary injunction from a Rio de Janeiro state court temporarily preventing the accelerated maturity of its debt, according to a decision s... ...

Deutsche Bank, in partnership with DWS and Partners Group, has revealed plans to introduce a private markets fund for its qualified private clients. Slated for release in the third quarter of 2025, the fund is designed to facilitate entry into private markets for investors in the European Economic Area and Switzerland. The fund will be structured as an evergreen offering under the European Long-Term Investment Fund (ELTIF) 2.0 regulation, aiming to provide clients with an investment vehicle compared to t ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong property developer New World Development has secured a term loan facility of up to HK$5.9 billion (approximately $758.62 million) from Deutsche Bank [1] Group 1: Company Information - New World Development is a property developer based in Hong Kong [1] - The company has successfully obtained a significant loan facility to support its operations [1] Group 2: Financial Details - The term loan facility amounts to HK$5.9 billion, which is equivalent to $758.62 million [1]

智通财经APP获悉，据媒体消息，为满足日益增长的银行和理财服务需求，多家国际大型银行已将高层 管理人员调派至香港，德银、摩根大通、渣打、花旗集团、星展银行等已开始在香港增聘人手。中金公 司、中信证券等中资券商最近亦出招挽留人才。另外，猎头公司Links International的金融服务主管指， 与去年相比，今年收到委托填补的职位数量增加30%至40%，主因是香港IPO及并购活动增加。 而早年减薪的内地金融券商，市传最近为留住人才，亦出招挽留人才。中金公司为高级投资银行家增设 新职级，新增职位包括高级董事总经理及总监。另中信证券则拟为旗下香港附属公司中信里昂证券职员 增薪，部分初级助理月薪加幅15至30%。 今年以来，港股IPO市场认购盛况空前，"超额认购王"纪录屡创新高。德勤预计，今年前三季度，香港 将迎来66只新股上市，集资总额达1823亿港元。新股数量较去年同期的45只增长47%，集资额较去年同 期的556亿港元大幅上升228%。德勤在报告中指出，预计今年最后一个季度，香港新股市场将延续强劲 势头，2025年全年香港将迎来超过80宗新股上市，总集资额介于2500亿至2800亿港元之间。 德勤中国华南区 ...

Market Overview - US stocks are experiencing a record-setting rally, with the Dow up about 42 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shown slight declines [3][105] - The energy sector is leading gains, with the XLE ETF up 1.5%, driven by rising oil prices due to supply concerns [5][6] - Deutsche Bank raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 7,000, citing resilient earnings despite inflation risks [7][8] Micron Technology - Micron reported a 46% year-over-year revenue increase and provided an optimistic forecast, driven by strong AI demand [20] - Despite positive results, Micron's stock is wavering as investors had already factored in expected performance, leading to selling on the news [21][22] - Analysts have raised price targets for Micron, with Rosenblad Securities setting the highest target at $250, indicating a potential 12% upside [59][60] Energy Sector - The energy sector is gaining traction, with investors showing interest in energy stocks amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions [5][6] - The XLE ETF's performance reflects a broader trend of investor preference for energy stocks, which have been highlighted as attractive investments [6][19] Telecom and Media - The return of Jimmy Kimmel has sparked discussions about the implications for media and telecom companies, particularly regarding political pressures and FCC independence [36][38] - Concerns are raised about the potential for political influence over telecom regulations, which could negatively impact the sector [39][41] Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's independence is under scrutiny, with implications for monetary policy and market reactions to political pressures [43][47] - Economic data expected later in the week could provide further direction for the markets, with a focus on the potential for continued growth in the financial sector [106][108] Financial Sector - The financial sector is navigating a new rate environment following the Fed's recent interest rate cuts, with banks experiencing a lack of loan demand [70][72] - Analysts suggest that banks with exposure to the mortgage market may be more attractive in the current climate, as capital return stories gain traction [71][72] - The potential for increased M&A activity in the banking sector is being discussed, although concerns about overpaying for targets remain [75][76] European Banking - European banking ETFs have significantly outperformed US banks, driven by stabilization in net interest income and growth in non-interest income [92][94] - Analysts remain bullish on European banking, expecting continued strong performance into the next year [95] AI and Technology Investments - The AI sector is seeing substantial investments, with companies like Nvidia and Oracle making significant moves in the space [27][32] - The interconnectedness of AI companies and chipmakers raises questions about potential vulnerabilities in the market [27][30] Housing Market - US new home sales unexpectedly jumped by over 20% in August, indicating a strong recovery in the housing market [67] - This growth suggests that home builders are successfully attracting buyers with aggressive sales incentives [67]

Core Viewpoint - Gold futures prices have surged to nearly $3,800 per ounce, reaching a historical high due to market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to strong inflows of safe-haven funds [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Gold futures for September delivery rose by 1.1% to $3,780.60 per ounce, marking the third consecutive day of record highs [1]. - Silver futures for September delivery increased by 0.9% to $44.192 per ounce, also achieving its highest level since May 2, 2011 [1]. - Year-to-date, gold has risen by 40%, representing the most significant annual increase since 1979 [4]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Outlook - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts by the end of the year, citing severe economic conditions and inflation risks [3]. - Market expectations indicate a 93% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October and a 77% probability in December [3][4]. Group 3: Investment Trends - Current demand for gold is driven by U.S. government policy uncertainty, concerns over the dollar, and geopolitical instability [5]. - Major Wall Street banks have raised their gold price forecasts following the recent highs, with Deutsche Bank predicting an average price of $4,000 per ounce in 2024 [6]. - UBS has adjusted its gold price forecast to $3,800 per ounce by the end of 2025 and $3,900 by mid-2026, citing weak U.S. labor data and anticipated Fed rate cuts [6]. - JPMorgan expects spot gold prices to exceed $4,000 per ounce in Q1 2026, supported by cyclical and structural factors [7].

Group 1 - Eurozone inflation is on a downward trend, increasing the likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting interest rates again in 2025, with core inflation expected to fall below 2% due to slowing wage growth and declining commodity prices [1] - Bridgewater Associates warns of high government debt in the US and UK, leading to economic strain and social polarization, with UK productivity stagnating since the mid-2000s [1] - Deutsche Bank strategists predict a continued weak dollar, as investors shift away from US assets amid a new easing cycle from the Federal Reserve and concerns over its independence [2] Group 2 - German manufacturing is facing challenges, with a decline in manufacturing PMI to 48.5 indicating increased contraction, despite a rise in services PMI to 52.5 [2] - Malaysia's fiscal deficit target for 2025 is expected to remain at 3.8%, benefiting from lower Brent crude prices and a stronger ringgit, with inflation expectations adjusted down to 1.5% [2] - The H-1B visa reform in the US may reduce the outflow of Indian talent, benefiting India's economy, but could also lead to decreased remittances from the US, putting downward pressure on the Indian rupee [3]