Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.62%, S&P 500 futures down 0.47%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.46% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 1.29%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.05%, France's CAC40 down 0.74%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.97% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is down 1.83% at $66.90 per barrel, while Brent crude is down 1.75% at $68.55 per barrel [3][4] Bond Market Insights - Concerns over long-term US Treasury demand are rising, with a key auction of $22 billion in 30-year bonds being closely watched [5] - The "new bond king," Jeffrey Gundlach, warns that the US debt burden may lead to a flight from dollar assets, suggesting that long-term Treasuries are no longer a safe haven [6] Cryptocurrency and Stock Market Analysis - Fundstrat's Tom Lee indicates that while the S&P 500 is close to its historical high, extreme short positions could lead to a potential "waterfall decline" [7] - Bitcoin's recent highs may signal a bullish trend for the S&P 500, with Lee suggesting a focus on oversold stocks, tech giants, and small-cap stocks [7] Oil and Gas Industry Outlook - Fitch Ratings has downgraded the global oil and gas outlook from "neutral" to "negative," citing increased tariffs and supply growth as factors suppressing demand [8] Company-Specific Developments - Oracle (ORCL.US) reports a 11% year-over-year revenue increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue expected to grow over 70% in the next fiscal year [9][10] - Boeing (BA.US) shares drop over 7% following a crash of an Air India Boeing 787, which could be a significant incident for the manufacturer [11] - OpenAI partners with Google (GOOGL.US) for cloud services, indicating a strategic shift in resource acquisition [11] - Bank of America (BAC.US) CEO warns of a potential 25% drop in investment banking revenue due to policy uncertainties [12] - Deutsche Bank (DB.US) CEO indicates weaker-than-expected trading and advisory business performance [12] - Uxin (UXIN.US) reports a 142% increase in retail transaction volume, with revenue up 58% year-over-year [13] - Oklo (OKLO.US) announces a $400 million stock offering after securing a significant contract, but shares drop over 5% [14] - Voyager Technologies (VOYG.US) sees a stock price increase of over 7% following a successful IPO and funding from NASA [14]

Core Viewpoint - The weakening of the US dollar and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve create a critical allocation window for non-dollar assets [1][2]. Economic Outlook - The US economy has been experiencing a temporary slowdown since the beginning of the year, characterized by increased imports and weakened consumer and business confidence, which is expected to continue for the next two to three quarters [1]. - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to start cutting interest rates by the end of this year, with a total of four cuts expected by mid-next year, potentially lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.25%-3.50% [1]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider reallocating to non-dollar assets, particularly European industrial and banking stocks, which are expected to benefit from significant fiscal stimulus plans in Europe [2][4]. - The euro is projected to appreciate against the dollar, with an expected exchange rate of 1.18 by August next year, indicating a potential 4% increase [4]. European Market Insights - The European investment landscape has seen a notable shift in confidence, driven by factors such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and Germany's announcement of a €500 billion fiscal stimulus plan focused on defense and infrastructure [4]. - European investment-grade bonds, particularly from the financial sector, offer attractive yields around 3.5%, despite being lower than US Treasury yields [4]. Australian Market Perspective - Australian government bonds are also viewed positively, with 10-year yields exceeding 4%, and the Australian dollar is expected to appreciate over the next 1-2 years due to global commodity price influences [5]. Gold and Commodity Investments - Gold is seen as a significant hedge and diversification tool, with potential prices reaching $3,700 per ounce by June next year, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and central bank purchases [5]. - The allocation to gold and other commodities should be limited to around 5% of the investment portfolio, with a greater focus on stocks and bonds [5]. Focus on Chinese Technology Stocks - Chinese technology stocks, particularly those related to artificial intelligence, are highlighted as promising investment opportunities, driven by recent fiscal and monetary stimulus and growing international interest [6]. - The rapid development of AI in China is supported by significant investments from major tech companies, enhancing the long-term growth potential of the sector [6]. Comparison with Japan's Economic Situation - China's economic resilience is contrasted with Japan's past economic challenges, emphasizing that China's growth rate remains around 5% and urbanization offers substantial growth potential [7]. - Despite adjustments in the real estate market, China's industrial and manufacturing investments are growing at rates of 9%-10%, significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels [7].

金十数据6月11日讯，欧洲投资银行(EIB)将与包括德意志银行在内的欧洲大型金融机构合作，为国防领 域提供30亿欧元（34亿美元）的资金支持，以克服该行业参与地区重新武装计划的犹豫情绪。EIB总裁 Nadia Calvino在布鲁塞尔召开的欧洲防务和安全峰会上表示，EIB已与德意志银行达成协议，为国防和 安全领域的中小企业提供5亿欧元的流动性支持。与法国BPCE银行的第二份协议最早可能于下周达成。 欧洲投资银行将与德银等大型金融机构合作 为国防领域提供资金支持 ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank and Ant Group have established a strategic partnership to provide comprehensive cross-border payment solutions for global merchants, marking a new phase in their collaboration since 2019 [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Partnership - The Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) aims to leverage both parties' strengths, utilizing Ant Group's unique tokenization technology and AI-based foreign exchange technology to offer more comprehensive payment solutions for businesses of various sizes in Europe and Asia [3][4]. - Deutsche Bank will collaborate with Ant Group's financial services division to launch innovative solutions in global treasury management and cross-border payments, including tokenized deposits and stablecoins [5]. Group 2: Technological Integration - Deutsche Bank will become the first German bank to access Ant Group's real-time treasury management platform based on blockchain technology, enhancing the efficiency and transparency of global treasury management [5]. - The partnership will explore innovations in cross-border payments, including the application of stablecoins and the Falcon TST foreign exchange model to help reduce foreign exchange-related costs and risks for Ant Group and its clients [5]. Group 3: Market Expansion - Deutsche Bank will deepen its collaboration with Ant Group's merchant payment and digital service provider, Antom, to expand acquiring solutions in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, facilitating seamless access to diverse payment options for merchants [6]. - The bank will support Ant Group's cross-border trade payment and account service brand, Wanlihui, providing comprehensive cross-border payment solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises in e-commerce and foreign trade [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The executives from both companies expressed optimism about the partnership, highlighting the potential to reshape the future of treasury management and enhance the payment experience for global enterprises and consumers [8].

Group 1 - Deutsche Bank (DB.US) and Ant Group announced a strategic partnership to provide comprehensive payment solutions for businesses in Europe and Asia, leveraging Ant Group's tokenization technology and AI-based foreign exchange technology [1] - Deutsche Bank will collaborate with Ant Group's financial services division to launch innovative solutions in global cash management and cross-border payments, including tokenized deposits and stablecoins [1] - Deutsche Bank will become the first German bank to access Ant Group's blockchain-based instant cash management platform, enhancing efficiency and transparency in global cash management [1] Group 2 - Deutsche Bank will deepen cooperation with Ant Group's merchant payment and digital service provider, Antom, to expand acquiring solutions in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa [2] - The partnership aims to support Ant Group's cross-border trade payment and account service brand, Wanlihui, providing comprehensive cross-border payment solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises in e-commerce and foreign trade [2] - The collaboration is expected to leverage Deutsche Bank's extensive product capabilities and global network to deliver secure and seamless payment solutions [2]

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets are experiencing a positive trend after recent volatility, with the S&P 500 near its all-time high and both the Nasdaq Composite and Dow showing positive year-to-date performance [1][2] Economic Factors - Ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China, stability in the U.S. labor market, and a declining inflation rate have improved market sentiment towards equities [2] Investment Opportunities - Non-tech stocks have shown significant appreciation year to date, alongside discussions of AI, quantum computing, and 5G/6G technologies [3] Recommended Stocks - Five corporate giants with market capitalizations over $50 billion have provided returns exceeding 40% year to date, all holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [4][5] Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) - Benefits from strong momentum in the commercial aerospace market and defense aerospace business, supported by rising U.S. and international defense budgets [8] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 8.5% and 28.6% respectively for the current year, with a 4.2% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [9][10] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - Progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the acquisition of Newcrest, which enhances operational synergies [11] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 2% and 20.1% respectively for the current year, with a 9.7% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [12] Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - Strong pricing power and an expanding smoke-free product portfolio, with products like IQOS and ZYN driving growth [13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 8.1% and 13.7% respectively for the current year, with a 4.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [15] NatWest Group plc (NWG) - Provides a range of banking and financial services, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 20.1% and 17.3% respectively for the current year, and a 6.8% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [16][17] Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB) - First-quarter 2025 results benefited from increased revenues and lower expenses, with a focus on stable, capital-light businesses driving revenue growth [18][19] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 12% and over 100% respectively for the current year, with a 4.2% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [19]

大型基金经理的持仓仍偏低 尽管看涨的散户投资者推动标普500指数重回历史高位，但美国总统唐纳德·特朗普不断变化的贸易政策 迫使这些机构投资者保持克制。这种仓位配置反映了机构资产管理者的谨慎情绪，但也给他们提供了增 加配置的空间，以跟上市场的步伐。 巴克莱银行全球股票战术策略主管Alexander Altmann表示，他的团队将在未来几周保持对美股的看多立 场，并称仓位和情绪都"过低"。 以Dubravko Lakos-Bujas为首的摩根大通策略师上周表示，随着特朗普政府的重点似乎从关税转向减 税，"阻力最小的道路就是创下新高"。"即使在全球股市出现V型反弹之后，投资者的仓位仍然处于轻 度至中等水平，市场情绪也较为低迷。" 智通财经APP获悉，巴克莱和摩根大通等公司的分析师认为美国股市还有进一步上涨的空间，部分原因 是他们预计机构投资者将放弃谨慎的立场并增加对股票的投资。 尽管美国股市已从4月份关税引发的下跌中强势反弹，但大型基金经理的持仓仍明显偏低：德意志银行 的数据显示，自2010年以来，其整体股票仓位之低仅在23%的时间里出现过。 Truist Advisory Services联席首席投资官Keith ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank analysts predict that the UK labor market will continue to weaken, leading the Bank of England to reverse its restrictive monetary policy [1] Labor Market Analysis - The unemployment rate is expected to rise above the Bank of England's modal forecast, indicating ongoing deflationary pressures [1] - In May, employment numbers decreased by 109,000, marking the most significant drop since May 2020, which paints a concerning picture of the labor market [1] Monetary Policy Outlook - Deutsche Bank forecasts that the Bank of England's interest rate will decrease from the current 4.25% to 3.5% by the end of this year, and further to a low of 3.25% in the first quarter of 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank's strategists indicate that prolonged high interest rates may negatively impact U.S. corporate borrowers as the Federal Reserve delays interest rate cuts [1] Group 1: Impact of High Interest Rates - The expectation of a soft landing is leading to most defaults appearing as non-performing assets, with higher recovery rates [1] - However, the likelihood of a soft landing is decreasing due to inflation remaining above target, significant policy uncertainty, and rising sovereign term premiums [1] Group 2: Default Rate Projections - Deutsche Bank predicts that the default rate in speculative-grade credit could reach 5.5% around mid-next year, marking the highest level since 2012 for issuer-weighted speculative-grade default rates [1]

Group 1 - The Chinese market is attracting global investors due to its economic resilience and structural growth opportunities, as highlighted by multiple foreign banks [1][2] - HSBC's Chief Investment Officer emphasized the strong technical capabilities of China's manufacturing sector, which are difficult to replace, indicating ongoing growth potential [1] - Deutsche Bank's report suggests that China's monetary and fiscal policies are expected to support economic growth, with an upward revision of the 2025 economic growth forecast [1][2] Group 2 - A recent HSBC survey indicates that despite global trade uncertainties, China remains a key market for companies looking to increase trade and manufacturing [2] - The survey also highlights the deepening economic ties within Asia and between Asia and the Middle East, with China positioned as a central player in global trade [2] - The Chinese government is expected to continue supporting economic growth through monetary easing and fiscal measures, including special government bonds [2] Group 3 - The liquidity environment for A-shares is expected to remain favorable due to anticipated monetary policy actions such as rate cuts and increased market participation from various funds [3] - Investment themes in the Chinese market include a focus on high-quality growth and deep value stocks, particularly in technology and consumer sectors [3] - The potential for AI applications and domestic consumption growth is seen as a significant opportunity, alongside interest in core state-owned enterprises and consumer goods [3]