Summary of Global Automobiles Conference Call Industry Overview - **Global BEV Sales Growth**: In September 2025, global Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) sales increased by +31% year-over-year (y/y), reaching approximately 1.5 million units, marking a historic monthly high. For 3Q25, sales totaled 3.9 million units, reflecting a +32.4% y/y growth [1][2] - **Regional Performance**: The US led global growth in 3Q25 with a +33% y/y increase, attributed to pre-buying before the expiration of EV credits on September 30, 2025. Europe followed with a +32% y/y growth despite a seasonal decline of -2% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) [1] - **Future Projections**: Global BEV sales are expected to grow by +27% y/y in 2025, but growth will slow to approximately +14% y/y in 4Q25, primarily due to a potential sales decline in the US of -10% y/y or more after subsidy cuts [1] OEM Performance - **Tesla**: Gained market share in September 2025 (+120 basis points), with expectations of continued strength due to new entry-level models. However, a reversal is anticipated post-EV pre-buying in the US [2] - **BYD and Geely**: Experienced significant market share losses (-60 basis points and -100 basis points respectively) due to increased local competition and slower growth in China [2] - **US OEMs**: Celebrated the end of EV credits, pushing forward in the market [2] - **German Premium OEMs**: Mixed results; only Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz gained market share, with Audi's global BEV sales up by +55% y/y in Q3 2025, while BMW saw a decline of -16% y/y [2] FY26 Outlook - **Sales Growth Expectations**: Global BEV sales growth is projected to decrease to approximately +17% y/y in FY26, down from +27% y/y in FY25, with total sales expected to reach around 16.9 million units [3] - **US Market Dynamics**: Anticipated zero growth in BEV sales in the US for FY26 due to the removal of purchase subsidies and changes in regulations [3] - **China's NEV Market**: Expected to see a reduction in purchase tax exemptions, leading to only a +1 million unit increase in BEV sales y/y, with intensified price pressure [3] - **European Market**: Projected to grow by +30% y/y, with BEV penetration reaching approximately 24%, supported by subsidy schemes in Italy and Germany [3] - **Chinese OEMs' International Expansion**: As domestic sales slow, Chinese OEMs like BYD plan to expand internationally, with new plants in Hungary and Türkiye set to open in 2026 [3] Additional Insights - **Model Launches**: Key model launches in FY26 include VW Polo/Cross, Hyundai Ioniq 3 & 9, Renault Twingo, BMW iX3/i3, and others [3] - **Market Share Trends**: Tesla's market share increased to 14.2% in September 2025, while BYD's decreased to 14.7%. Geely's market share fell to 7.1% [19] - **PHEV Sales Surge**: Anticipated surge in Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) sales in China due to new EV rules, with PHEVs accounting for 40% of all passenger electric vehicle sales in the first eight months of 2025, reflecting a +35% y/y increase [8][9] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state and future outlook of the global automobile industry, particularly focusing on BEVs and the competitive landscape among OEMs.

Core Insights - The auto industry is currently facing a variety of challenges and developments, including tariff issues, recalls, rental program expansions, and regulatory advancements in autonomous vehicles. Group 1: Tariff Issues - Mazda Motor Corp. is experiencing significant challenges due to President Trump's tariffs, which have resulted in billions in potential headwinds for the company, particularly as North America is its largest market by volume [2]. Group 2: Rental Program Expansion - Tesla is expanding its rental program in multiple U.S. cities, with job listings for "Rental Readiness Specialist" positions indicating growth in this area. The program will feature unlimited miles, free Supercharging, and rentals of up to 7 days [3]. Group 3: Vehicle Recalls - Ford Motor Co. has announced new recalls affecting 229,609 units of the 2025-2026 Bronco and Bronco Sport due to instrument panel issues, as well as over 20,558 Ford Escape and Lincoln Corsair PHEVs for battery short circuit problems [4]. Group 4: Autonomous Vehicle Developments - WeRide Inc. has received a driverless permit for its Robotaxi from Switzerland's Federal Roads Office, allowing fully autonomous operation on public roads in the Furttal region, marking a significant milestone as Switzerland's first driverless Robotaxi permit for passenger service [6]. Group 5: Market Expansion - BYD Co. Ltd. is considering introducing its compact Racco car to the European market, with the Vice President expressing interest in complying with EU regulations if market conditions allow [7].

Core Insights - The 23rd Guangzhou International Auto Show features 1,085 vehicles, including 93 global debuts and 629 new energy models [1] - Ford's theme for this year's show is "Unleash Nature, Go Wild," showcasing several key models, including the new Ford Mondeo and the all-terrain camping SUV, the Ford Zhiqu Liemar [1][2] Summary by Categories Vehicle Highlights - The Ford Zhiqu Liemar is the world's first all-terrain camping SUV, with a range of configurations and a pre-sale price starting at 229,800 yuan, offering a CLTC comprehensive range of 1,220 kilometers for the range-extended version and 650 kilometers for the pure electric version [1][2] - The new Ford Mondeo emphasizes driving pleasure and practicality, aiming to redefine market value in the mid-to-high-end sedan segment [2] Ford's Product Matrix - Ford's "Exploration Wild" family includes various models such as the Ford Liemar, the Ford Ranger, the new Ford F-150 Raptor, and the Ford Explorer, showcasing the brand's strength in off-road and outdoor lifestyle vehicles [2]

Core Viewpoint - Investor interest in Ford Motor Company is strong as the stock recovers from a multiyear low, despite being down from its early 2022 peak [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Ford is one of the oldest and largest automobile manufacturers globally, generating $185 billion in revenue last fiscal year and holding approximately 14% of the U.S. market [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue is growing due to increased pricing power, reaching record levels this year, but profits are shrinking due to rising costs and competition [3] - Ford's net income was about $6 billion in 2024, while new import tariffs are estimated to add $1 billion to $2 billion in operating costs annually [4] Group 3: Production Challenges - High production costs are a long-standing issue, with Ford outsourcing manufacturing to reduce expenses since the 1970s [5] - The industry continues to seek affordable ways to produce new vehicles, indicating that production cost challenges are unlikely to change soon [6] Group 4: Electrification Strategy - Ford is making a significant $5 billion investment in electrification, aiming to manufacture electric vehicles (EVs) starting at $30,000 by 2027 [7] - The company previously announced a total investment of $50 billion in electrification, highlighting the substantial financial commitment required to seize EV opportunities [8] Group 5: Investment Considerations - The future remains uncertain for investors, as Ford faces high production costs and varying demand for electric vehicles, necessitating careful judgment on the company's potential performance [9]

Core Points - The Supreme Court hearing on November 5, 2025, posed significant challenges to Trump's tariff policies, with conservative justices questioning the legality of his actions [1][3] - The outcome of the hearing could lead to substantial financial implications for the U.S., potentially resulting in a refund of $750 billion to $1 trillion in tariffs [4][6] - The tariffs have adversely affected U.S. businesses, with companies reporting significant financial losses due to increased costs [6][8] Group 1: Legal and Political Implications - Chief Justice Roberts emphasized that the power to levy taxes belongs to Congress, not the President, highlighting the constitutional principle regarding taxation [3] - Justices appointed by Trump, including Gorsuch and Barrett, raised critical questions about the extent of presidential power in declaring emergencies to impose tariffs [3] - The hearing has shifted market expectations regarding the likelihood of Trump's tariff policies being upheld, dropping from 40% to 27% [3] Group 2: Economic Impact on Businesses - Companies like Learning Resources and Terry Precision Cycling reported significant financial losses due to tariffs, with the latter expecting a loss of $1.2 million by 2026 [4][6] - The tariffs have led to increased costs for major corporations, including Nike, which warned of a potential $1.5 billion loss due to tariffs [6][8] - The Senate passed a resolution to terminate Trump's global tariff policy, signaling a shift towards anti-tariff sentiment [6] Group 3: Global Trade Dynamics - The tariffs have prompted retaliatory measures from other countries, including Canada and Mexico, which have imposed their own tariffs on U.S. goods [8] - The WTO expressed concerns about the potential for a trade war to have catastrophic effects on the global economy, reminiscent of the 1930s [8] - Companies are adjusting their strategies to mitigate the impact of tariffs, with some committing to increased investments in the U.S. to secure tariff exemptions [8]

Core Insights - Ford's new Mondeo and the Ford Intelligent Mustang were unveiled at the Guangzhou Auto Show, highlighting the company's focus on the competitive Chinese automotive market [1][3] - CEO Wu Shengbo emphasized the importance of understanding consumer needs to strengthen Ford's position in China, focusing on who to serve, what to offer, and how to deliver services [1] Product Highlights - The Ford Intelligent Mustang is the first new energy product to enter Ford's upgraded channel, expanding the product matrix to include fuel, range-extended, strong hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and pure electric powertrains [3] - The pure electric version of the Intelligent Mustang has a CLTC range of 650 kilometers, while the range-extended version boasts a comprehensive range of 1220 kilometers [4] - The new Mondeo features upgrades across various aspects, including 1.5T and 2.0T fuel versions, as well as a 1.5T hybrid version [4]

Ford said the latest fire at a key aluminum supplier in New York won’t derail its profits this year because the blaze was “swiftly contained” and the plant is operating again https://t.co/HaeVQQsl1g ...

Core Viewpoint - Ford Motor maintains its annual EBIT guidance of $6 billion to $6.5 billion for the year despite a recent fire at aluminum supplier Novelis' New York plant [1] Group 1 - Ford's EBIT guidance remains unchanged following the incident, indicating confidence in its financial outlook [1] - The fire at Novelis' plant could potentially impact supply chains, but Ford is currently not adjusting its forecasts [1]

Market Overview - The financial markets experienced a rebound on November 21, 2025, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 reaching session highs, recovering from earlier volatility [2] - This market upswing was supported by indications from New York Fed President John Williams regarding potential additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in December [2] Nvidia (NVDA) - The Trump administration is considering allowing the sale of Nvidia's H200 chips to China, which could significantly impact current export restrictions and the global AI chip market [9] - Nvidia shares rose by 1.9% following the news, despite previous restrictions that had reduced its market share in China [3][9] Ford Motor Company (F) - Ford's shares surged by 4.3% after reaffirming its 2025 adjusted EBIT guidance of $6 billion to $6.5 billion and adjusted free cash flow outlook of $2 billion to $3 billion [4][9] - This reaffirmation came after a fire at a key aluminum supplier, Novelis Oswego, which had raised concerns among investors [4] Brazil-U.S. Trade Relations - Brazil's Vice President Geraldo Alckmin reported progress in tariff negotiations with the U.S., with 22% of Brazilian exports still facing a 40% tariff, reduced from 36% [5][9] - The U.S. has recently rolled back tariffs on over 200 Brazilian products, indicating a commitment to further reduce or eliminate remaining tariffs [5] Federal Reserve Developments - The Federal Reserve Board extended the public comment period for its proposal to improve transparency and accountability in stress test models until February 21, 2026 [6][9]

Core Viewpoint - Ford China officially launched its new global brand proposition "Ready Set Ford - 放天性，去野行" at the 2025 Guangzhou International Auto Show, emphasizing its commitment to outdoor exploration and adventure [3][4]. Group 1: Brand Proposition and Strategy - The new brand proposition aims to inspire action-oriented individuals to embrace their potential and explore the world, positioning Ford as a powerful enabler for their journeys [3]. - Ford's confidence in this proposition is built on its rich history of exploration, numerous global championship titles, strong technical capabilities, and leading global sales [4]. Group 2: Product Highlights - The Ford Mustang Mach-E, the world's first all-terrain camping SUV, attracted significant attention at the auto show, with a pre-sale price starting at 229,800 yuan and a comprehensive range of 1,220 kilometers for the extended range version [7][10]. - The Mustang Mach-E features unique solutions, including a large battery capacity of 105.4 kWh for the pure electric version, achieving a range of 650 kilometers, addressing user concerns about range anxiety [13]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - The Mustang Mach-E is equipped with advanced technology, including 31 perception hardware components and dual Orin-X chips, enabling high-level autonomous driving capabilities and comprehensive safety monitoring systems [13][36]. - It offers unique features such as a one-button lift roof, a multifunctional tailgate system, and a "mountain kitchen" setup, enhancing the outdoor experience for users [15][18]. Group 4: New Model Launches - The new Ford Mondeo was also showcased, highlighting its dynamic design and performance, with a maximum power output of 261 horsepower and a peak torque of 408 N·m [24][30]. - The Mondeo features a spacious interior with a 2945 mm wheelbase and advanced connectivity through the new SYNC® + intelligent system, setting a new standard for smart vehicles in its class [33][36]. Group 5: Overall Product Matrix - Ford's "exploration and adventure" product matrix includes various models such as the Mustang, Ranger, and Explorer, showcasing the brand's strength in the outdoor lifestyle segment [40][42]. - The company invites media and consumers to experience the unique charm of its "wild exploration" family at the auto show, emphasizing its commitment to outdoor adventures [42].