Group 1: Corporate Earnings - JPMorgan Chase & Co. exceeded analyst expectations for the fourth quarter, resulting in a 1% increase in premarket trading shares, with stronger-than-forecasted trading revenue [2][3] - Delta Air Lines shares fell 5% after reporting slightly lower revenue than anticipated for the fourth quarter, but it beat earnings per share expectations and projected a 20% profit increase in 2026, citing strong travel demand [5][6] Group 2: Market Reactions - Bank stocks, including JPMorgan, faced a challenging session following President Trump's proposal for a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, which industry executives view as potentially harmful to their business models [4] - Shares of Alphabet rose after the announcement of an AI-powered upgrade for Siri, helping the company reach a $4 trillion market cap [10][11] Group 3: Economic Policies - President Trump announced a 25% tariff on any country doing business with Iran, aimed at economically isolating the country, following threats of military action over the killing of anti-government protesters [8][9]

Market Overview - Major indices showed declines: Shanghai Composite Index (-0.64%), Shenzhen Component Index (-1.37%), ChiNext Index (-1.96%), North Star 50 (-2.50%), and Sci-Tech Innovation 50 (-2.80%) [1] - TMT sector led the gains with SW Portal (+6.79%), SW Marketing Agency (+2.49%), and SW Gaming III (+0.40%) [1] - TMT sector faced losses with SW Military Electronics III (-5.41%), SW Communication Terminals and Accessories (-5.34%), and SW Communication Cables and Accessories (-5.20%) [1] Domestic News - XREAL announced a strategic partnership with ASUS ROG to launch the ROG XREAL R1 AR glasses, featuring micro OLED technology with a resolution of 1920 x 1080 and a virtual screen equivalent to 171 inches at 4 meters [2] - Jiangbolong reported that its self-developed UFS4.1 product outperforms market counterparts in process, read/write speed, and stability, gaining recognition from major clients [2] - Yongxi Electronics plans to invest 2.1 billion yuan in a packaging base in Malaysia, focusing on system-level packaging products for AIoT and power modules [2] - Sanan Optoelectronics disclosed that its SiC MOSFET products have begun bulk supply to leading global power manufacturers, targeting data centers and AI servers [2] Overseas News - SK Hynix is investing in its advanced packaging plant P&T7 to meet global AI storage demand, with the plant expected to play a crucial role in commercializing DRAM as HBM [3] - A collaboration between the University of Cambridge and a German research team has led to the successful development of stable and high-performance cubic InGaN materials for red Micro-LED devices [3] - Counterpoint Research forecasts a 2% year-on-year growth in global smartphone shipments in 2025, driven by high-end demand and emerging market growth, with Apple leading the market at a 20% share [3] - The Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) faced a setback with the PSLV-C62 rocket losing all 16 satellites during its third phase of flight [3] AI News - Apple and Google have announced a multi-year partnership to develop the next generation of Apple Foundation Models based on Google's Gemini model and cloud technology [4] - Zhipu AI and Didi Chuxing have formed a strategic partnership focusing on the development of intelligent agents for transportation scenarios [4] - Tencent Research Institute and Midjourney have launched the Niji v7 anime-specific model, enhancing details and stability for anime-style creations [4] - Nvidia and Eli Lilly are investing $1 billion to establish an AI lab aimed at accelerating drug discovery and personalized treatment [4] Industry Tracking - The FCC has approved SpaceX to launch an additional 7,500 second-generation Starlink satellites, bringing the total approved to 15,000 [5] - The Eighth Research Institute of China Shipbuilding Group has developed a low-vibration helium re-liquefaction system for high-precision instruments [5] - The National Medical Products Administration of China plans to establish standards for medical devices using brain-computer interface technology [5] - LimX Dynamics has released a new embodied intelligent system that allows for dynamic task adjustments during operation [5] Storage Market - The average price of DDR5 16G (2G×8) 4800/5600 DRAM is reported at $33.563, with a 3.27% increase [6] - The average price of DDR4 16Gb (2G×8) 3200 DRAM is reported at $73.500, with a 2.80% increase [6] Semiconductor Material Prices - The average price for 4N zinc oxide powder is reported at 1,465 yuan/kg, with a daily change of 20 yuan [7] - The average price for 5N high-purity zinc is reported at 6,300 yuan/kg, with no daily change [7]

每经记者｜王晶 每经编辑｜许绍航 陈星 1月13日，苹果与谷歌联合发布声明，宣布达成一项多年期的深度合作协议：下一代苹果基础模型（Apple Foundation Models）将基于谷歌的Gemini模型和 云技术，这些模型将为未来的苹果智能（Apple Intelligence）功能提供支持，并为今年即将推出的个性化Siri提供核心技术支持。 过去，对大多数iPhone用户来说，Siri功能有限，人们多数时候只会用来设置闹钟或者播放歌曲，而不是将其看作一个真正的数字助手。但达成合作后， 生成式人工智能版本的Siri有望得到重要更新。 消息公布数小时后，特斯拉与x AI创始人埃隆·马斯克在X平台连续发文，对这一合作表达强烈不满，称其将进一步加剧科技行业的"权力集中"。 据了解，长期以来，苹果始终坚持软硬件与核心技术高度自研，而此次在生成式人工智能最核心的"基础模型层"却引入其最大竞争对手之一——谷歌。 自2022年底Chat GPT引爆全球AI（人工智能）热潮以来，苹果虽持续投入研发，但在大模型的规模与能力上仍存在明显差距。2025年3月，苹果宣布推迟 语音助手Siri对话式版本的发布时间："我们一直在努力 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, presenting significant opportunities in the market [3] - The U.S. Department of Defense plans to integrate Elon Musk's AI chatbot "Grok" into its systems, alongside Google's generative AI, indicating a strong governmental interest in AI applications [5] - Ant Group and Google have launched a new open standard called the Universal Commercial Protocol (UCP) to streamline the entire AI shopping process, from product discovery to post-purchase support [6] Group 2 - Meta Platforms Inc. has formed a new executive team to focus on AI infrastructure, appointing Dina Powell McCormick to lead collaborations with governments and investors, emphasizing investment in AI infrastructure [8] - Alphabet's market capitalization has surpassed $4 trillion for the first time, with a recent stock price increase of 1.7% to $334.04, reflecting its strong position in the AI sector [9] - Apple has partnered with Google to utilize the Gemini model for its upcoming AI-driven Siri, marking a significant collaboration in AI technology development [10]

Core Viewpoint - Apple has confirmed a multi-year partnership with Google to utilize the Gemini model for new AI features, including an updated Siri, marking a significant strategic shift for Apple in the AI domain [2][4]. Group 1: Partnership Details - The collaboration allows Apple to leverage Google's Gemini model and cloud technology to support future versions of Apple Foundation Models [9]. - Apple expressed confidence in Google's technology, stating it provides a strong foundation for their models and anticipates innovative user experiences [9]. - The new features are expected to launch later this year, although no specific timeline has been provided [9]. Group 2: Market Impact - Following the announcement, Alphabet's stock price rebounded, reaching a market capitalization of over $4 trillion for the first time, making it the fourth company to achieve this milestone [2][6]. - Alphabet's stock has seen a cumulative increase of over 65% in 2025, outperforming other major tech stocks [5]. - The rise in Alphabet's market value is attributed to its comprehensive strategy in the AI sector, including the introduction of the Ironwood AI chip and the Gemini 3 language model [7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The partnership highlights the competitive yet collaborative nature of the relationship between Apple and Google, as both companies have previously competed in various sectors while cooperating in search services [4]. - Google's introduction of personalized advertising features in its AI shopping tools signifies a strategic move to monetize AI capabilities amidst competition from other AI companies [11][12]. - This development comes as AI chatbots pose a threat to Google's traditional advertising revenue, prompting the need for innovative monetization strategies [13].

Summary of Earnings Season Preview for 4Q25 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the S&P 500 index and its earnings performance for the fourth quarter of 2025 (4Q25) - The technology sector, particularly the "Big 6 Tech+" companies, is highlighted as a key driver of earnings growth Core Insights and Arguments - **Earnings Growth Projections**: - S&P 500 EPS is forecasted to grow by 8.8% in 4Q25, with expectations that it may finish closer to 12.2% due to historical trends and potential earnings beats [1][10][20] - The technology sector is expected to lead with an EPS growth of 21.5%, significantly outpacing the rest of the S&P 500, which is projected to grow at only 1.4% [9][10] - **Sector Performance**: - Eight out of eleven sectors are anticipated to show positive growth, with the technology sector being the standout performer [1] - The materials sector is expected to see an EPS increase of 8.8% in 4Q25, with a forecasted acceleration to 20.9% for the full year 2026 [9] - The industrials sector is projected to contract with an EPS growth of -2.4%, heavily influenced by Boeing's performance [9] - Financials, which had strong growth in previous quarters, are expected to moderate to 6.7% this quarter [9] - **Earnings Revisions**: - Revisions for S&P 500 earnings are slightly above historical trends, particularly driven by the technology sector [2] - The consensus for 2026 EPS expectations for S&P 500 ex-Tech+ has remained stable since June, contrasting with typical declines [2] - **Early Reporters**: - Early reporting companies have exceeded EPS estimates by 14.3%, significantly above the historical average of 4.9% [3][39] Additional Important Insights - **Margin Expectations**: - S&P 500 margins are expected to increase by 70 basis points, the lowest expectations since 2Q23, with anticipated margin contractions in several sectors including telecom and healthcare [2] - **Top Contributors and Detractors**: - Notable contributors to EPS growth include NVIDIA (EPS growth of 70.7%), Microsoft (22.7%), and Alphabet (22.0%) [28] - Detractors include Uber (-75.8%), UnitedHealth Group (-69.1%), and Ford (-73.5%) [29] - **Market Dynamics**: - The report indicates a potential setup for a low bar in earnings expectations, particularly for sectors outside of technology [9][22] - **Future Outlook**: - The broader S&P 500 is expected to see a full-year EPS growth of 10% for 2026, with technology continuing to drive significant growth [9] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings season preview for 4Q25, highlighting the expected performance of the S&P 500 and its sectors, particularly the technology sector's influence on overall market growth.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Dominant Theme**: AI is expected to remain the dominant theme in 2026, with significant stock performance improvements noted for Alphabet following the Gemini launch and TPU deals. The peak optimism for AI may not occur until highly visible AI decacorns go public [1][10] - **Top AI Sector Themes for 2026**: Key themes include AI capex returns, Agentic AI adoption, Open Internet traffic disruption, and OpenAI's ad ramp. The most significant event anticipated is Meta's Avocado LLM launch, with Agentic AI traction being a major theme for Google, OpenAI, and Amazon [1] Macro Economic Outlook - **GDP Growth Projections**: BofA economists forecast global growth at 3.2% and US growth at 2.4% for 2026. Key macro trends include potential impacts from US tax refunds, a K-shaped economy, and lower interest rates positively affecting valuations [2][25] - **Consumer Spending Dynamics**: Consumer and online media spending are positively correlated with GDP growth. The report highlights a K-shaped economy where higher-income households are expected to see better spending growth compared to lower-income households [37][45] Valuations and Market Performance - **Sector Valuations**: Internet sector valuations are currently below historical averages, with a forward year EV/EBITDA of 12x compared to a 5-year average of 16x. The P/E ratio for the sector is at 23x for 2027, also below the 5-year average of 34x [4][17] - **Stock Performance**: In 2025, larger caps outperformed small caps, with a 29% increase for large caps compared to a 9% decrease for small caps. Online travel and media sectors are expected to perform well in 1H'26 [5][12] Key Stocks and Recommendations - **Top Stock Picks for 1H'26**: - **Large Cap**: Amazon (benefits from cloud acceleration and AI deals) - **Travel and Transportation**: Expedia (expected bookings upside) - **Small Cap**: Wayfair (gains from tax refunds and logistics adoption) - **Gaming & Ad Networks**: AppLovin and Roblox [5][9] AI Revenue Opportunities - **Projected AI Revenue Growth**: The report estimates over $1 trillion in revenue opportunities driven by AI across cloud, digital advertising, and subscriptions. Specific projections include $500 billion in incremental cloud revenue, $400 billion in digital advertising, and over $200 billion in AI subscriptions [52][53] - **Enterprise AI Subscription Market**: The enterprise AI subscription market is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could reach $100 billion by 2030 [67] Risks and Challenges - **Sector Risks**: Potential risks include poor returns on capex spending, AI business model disruptions, and increasing pressure on consumer spending. The report warns of a possible overbuild in sector capacity leading to lower ROI on capex [9][52] - **K-Shaped Economy Impact**: Companies with higher exposure to lower-income consumers, such as eBay and Carvana, may face growth slowdowns due to diverging spending patterns [45][46] Conclusion - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in shaping the future of the internet sector, with significant revenue opportunities and challenges ahead. Investors are advised to consider macroeconomic factors, sector valuations, and individual stock performance when making investment decisions [9][52]

Group 1 - Apple and Google announced a partnership to integrate the next generation of Siri and Apple Intelligence with Google's Gemini model, which has sparked significant reactions in the tech community [1][12] - The collaboration is a "white-labeled" partnership, meaning Apple will use a customized version of the Gemini model without any Google branding [3][15] - Apple has secured a 1.2 trillion parameter deep customized version of the Gemini model, which has been upgraded to handle larger files and complex tasks [2][14] Group 2 - User data privacy is a major concern, and Apple has assured that user data will remain within its ecosystem, employing a hybrid processing model to handle tasks [4][16] - Simple tasks will be processed on-device, while complex tasks will utilize the Gemini model on Apple's private cloud, ensuring user data is anonymized before processing [4][17] - Google will not have access to raw user data and cannot use it to train its models, reinforcing Apple's commitment to privacy [5][17] Group 3 - The decision to partner with Google reflects Apple's challenges in developing its own AI models, as it seeks to deliver a satisfactory Siri experience by 2026 [6][19] - The Gemini model's multi-modal capabilities make it an attractive solution for Apple, which is under pressure to enhance Siri's AI functionalities [19][20] - The partnership also serves a strategic purpose to counterbalance the potential competition from OpenAI, which is moving towards consumer AI hardware [20] Group 4 - Concerns about market monopoly have arisen due to the collaboration between two tech giants, with critics highlighting Google's existing dominance in various tech sectors [21][22] - Google's advertising revenue reached $74.2 billion in Q3 2025, with expectations to exceed $80 billion in Q4, indicating its significant market power [21] - Apple's market share in the global smartphone market reached 20% in 2025, surpassing Samsung for the first time, which enhances its influence over AI applications on iOS [22] Group 5 - The enhanced Siri is expected to launch in late 2026, featuring advanced capabilities such as application intent and personal context awareness [11][22] - Despite the partnership, Apple is not abandoning its ambition to develop its own AI models, with significant investments already made in AI technology [12][23] - Reports indicate that Apple is developing its own trillion-parameter model, aiming for a release around 2027, alongside advancements in its custom ASIC chips [23]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are showing a slight dip as investors prepare for critical economic data and the start of the fourth-quarter earnings season [1] - Major U.S. indexes closed at record highs on Monday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.16% to 6,977.27 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.17% to 49,590.20 points, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 0.26% to 23,733.90 points [3] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December 2025 is set to be released, with expectations of an annual inflation rate stable at 2.7% and a monthly pace of 0.3% for both total and core CPI [4] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is up to approximately 4.19% [2] Corporate Earnings - The fourth-quarter earnings season begins today, with major companies like JPMorgan Chase & Co. expected to report total revenue of $46.25 billion and earnings per share of $5.02 [6] - Other companies reporting include Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and Delta Air Lines [6] Notable Corporate News - Alphabet Inc. reached a market value of over $4 trillion after Apple announced the integration of Google's Gemini AI into Siri, with Alphabet up 0.68% in premarket trading [7] - Xpeng Inc. ADR dropped 2.63% in premarket despite plans for localized supply chain teams in Europe and ASEAN [7] - Valeura Energy Inc. reported Q4 2025 performance in line with guidance and provided a positive outlook for 2026 [11] - Maple Leaf Foods Inc. announced 2026 financial guidance and a dividend increase [11]

Market Overview - World shares exhibited mixed performance with U.S. futures declining slightly ahead of the U.S. consumer price update [1] - In early European trading, the FTSE 100 rose less than 1% while Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 fell by 0.2% and 0.5% respectively [2] Inflation and Consumer Prices - U.S. consumer prices are expected to have risen by 2.6% in December compared to the previous year, according to economists' estimates [2] - Inflation pressures are likely to remain high due to increased costs in electricity, groceries, and clothing [3] Regional Market Performance - Asian shares mostly gained, with Japan's Nikkei 225 surging 3.1% to a record close of 53,549.16, driven by technology-related stocks [3] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng index advanced 0.9% to 26,848.47, while shares of GigaDevice Semiconductor jumped 54% in its trading debut [5] - South Korea's Kospi closed 1.5% higher at a record 4,692.64, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained nearly 0.6% [5] U.S. Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence in setting interest rates were somewhat mitigated by investor expectations of potential rate cuts [6] - Tensions between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell escalated following a subpoena from the Department of Justice regarding Powell's testimony [7] - Trump has advocated for further interest rate cuts, which could benefit stock prices by lowering borrowing costs [8] Company-Specific Developments - Alphabet, Google's parent company, saw a 1% increase in market value, surpassing $4 trillion, following a deal with Apple to enhance Siri using Google's technology [8] - Credit card companies faced losses after Trump proposed a cap on credit card interest rates, impacting their profit margins [9]