Core Viewpoint - Lenovo's CEO Yang Yuanqing believes there is no AI bubble, emphasizing that AI encompasses various fields beyond large language models, including computer vision, autonomous driving, and industrial automation, with its widespread application just beginning [1] Group 1: AI Development and Market Impact - The rapid development of AI technology has significantly increased global demand for key components such as memory, flash storage, and solid-state drives, leading to short-term price fluctuations that may persist into next year [1] - Lenovo has launched over 200 AI technologies and hybrid AI products, with its self-developed X-Engine optimizing AI generation speed and energy consumption, reinforcing its leadership in the AI PC sector [3] - AI-related business revenue has increased to 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, indicating that AI is evolving from a supportive role to a core growth driver for Lenovo [3] Group 2: Supply Chain Management and Financial Performance - Lenovo's industry-leading supply chain management, ranked 8th globally and 1st in Asia, allows the company to secure key component supplies through long-term agreements, ensuring cost control and profit stability [2] - For the second fiscal quarter of 2025/26, Lenovo reported a revenue increase of 15% year-on-year to 146.4 billion RMB, marking a historical high for the quarter, with adjusted net profit rising 25% to 3.66 billion RMB, significantly exceeding market expectations [3] - The company is confident in maintaining double-digit growth in both gross and net profit margins, supported by flexible pricing strategies and the ongoing upgrade cycle of Windows 10 PCs [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lenovo Group is maintained at "Buy" [2] Core Views - Lenovo Group's revenue for FY25/26Q2 increased by 14.6% year-on-year to $20.45 billion, exceeding Bloomberg's expectations by 1.7% [8] - The company's adjusted net profit rose by 26.7% year-on-year to $510 million, surpassing Bloomberg's forecast by 0.3% [8] - The AI PC segment is accelerating its penetration, with a penetration rate reaching 33% [8] - The mobile phone business achieved record sales, with revenue of $15.11 billion, exceeding expectations by 3.7% and showing a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [8] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported strong order reserves, with revenue of $4.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23.7% [8] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved record quarterly revenue of $2.56 billion, marking 18 consecutive quarters of double-digit growth [8] - Future adjusted net profit growth is projected at 16.9%, 9.9%, and 13.3% for FY25/26, FY26/27, and FY27/28, respectively [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections (in million USD): - 2024A: 56,864 - 2025A: 69,077 - 2026E: 77,184 - 2027E: 82,925 - 2028E: 89,545 - Net profit projections (in million USD): - 2024A: 1,011 - 2025A: 1,384 - 2026E: 1,649 - 2027E: 1,891 - 2028E: 2,137 - EPS projections (in CNY): - 2024A: 0.08 - 2025A: 0.11 - 2026E: 0.13 - 2027E: 0.15 - 2028E: 0.17 - PE ratios: - 2025A: 11.89 - 2026E: 9.38 - 2027E: 8.18 - 2028E: 7.23 [5][9]

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a revenue of $20.452 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year growth of 14.6% [1] - Non-HKFRS net profit reached $512 million, up 25.2% year-over-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders declined by 5.1% to $340 million [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 14, citing strong competitive advantages in shipment volume and supply chain management [1] IDG Segment - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) saw a revenue increase of 11.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit margin of 60% [1] - Lenovo's global PC market share rose by 1.8 percentage points year-over-year to 25.6%, leading the second-place competitor by 5.7 percentage points [1] - AI-driven PC revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, with AI PC penetration increasing by 16 percentage points to account for 33% of total PC shipments [1] ISG Segment - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported a revenue increase of 23.7% year-over-year, driven by demand for cloud and enterprise infrastructure [2] - AI server business experienced high double-digit revenue growth, with Neptune liquid cooling technology revenue soaring by 154% year-over-year [2] - Despite a $32.04 million operating loss, the operating profit margin improved by 0.3 percentage points year-over-year, indicating stabilization [2] SSG Segment - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved an 18.3% year-over-year revenue growth, marking the 18th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [3] - Operating profit margin exceeded 22%, reflecting a 2.3 percentage point year-over-year increase [3] - Projects and solutions, along with operational services, accounted for 60% of SSG's overall revenue, showing a 1 percentage point increase year-over-year [3]

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth to 146.4 billion RMB for Q2 of the fiscal year 2025/26, exceeding market expectations and achieving a historical high for the quarter [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 25% to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating strong operational resilience and strategic certainty in a complex environment [1] Group Performance Summary Intelligent Devices Group - Revenue grew by 12% quarter-on-quarter, accounting for 74% of total revenue; operating profit margin remained stable at 7.3% [2] - Lenovo's global PC shipment market share increased to 26%, a 17% year-on-year growth, outperforming the global market growth of 9% [2] - AI PC penetration reached 33%, with a 31% market share in global AI PC shipments within the Windows ecosystem [2] Infrastructure Solutions Group - Revenue declined by 5% quarter-on-quarter, representing 20% of total revenue; operating profit margin improved to -0.8% [3] - Despite the revenue decline, year-on-year growth remained robust at 24%, driven by AI server revenue growth, new cloud service provider clients, and ongoing enterprise and SMB transformations [3] Solutions and Services Group - Revenue increased by 13% quarter-on-quarter, making up 12% of total revenue; operating profit margin rose to 22.3% [3] - The growth was supported by higher adoption rates of high-end value-added services and stable penetration rates, with management services and project solutions outpacing support services in revenue growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a potential upside of 52% based on a non-HKFRS net profit metric [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, and a non-HKFRS net profit of USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - Overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: AI PC and Market Position - The company's IDG revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3% [3] - Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, increasing its market share to 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure Growth - The ISG revenue for 2QFY26 increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improved operating profit margins [4] - The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, with AI server revenue showing high double-digit growth and strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to 9.3x/8.0x P/E ratios for FY2026/27, and maintains an outperform rating with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a 52% upside potential [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%; non-HKFRS net profit was USD 512 million, up 25.2%; and net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - The overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The IDG segment's revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3%. Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, leading to a market share of 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure - The ISG segment's revenue increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improvements in operating profit margins. The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, and AI server revenue saw high double-digit growth with strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]

11月20日，联想集团公布截至2025年9月30日的2025/26财年第二财季业绩：当季营收同比增长15%至 1464亿元（人民币，下同），创下财季历史新高，并显著超出市场普遍预期；经调整后的净利润同比增 长25%至36.6亿元，净利增速远超营收增速，展现了集团在复杂环境下稳健前行的经营韧性与战略确定 性。 值得关注的是，在第二财季，联想的AI相关业务营收在总营收中的占比已提升至30%，同比提升13个百 分点，标志着人工智能不仅成为联想创新核心驱动力，更成为业绩的实质性贡献来源。随着AI渗透加 速、应用场景落地愈发多样化，AI业务正在从辅助角色成长为联想业务版图中的核心增长主线。 第二财季，联想实现了全业务集团与全区域市场的双位数营收增长：IDG智能设备业务集团延续领先优 势，在全球PC市场加速复苏的大背景下实现营收1081亿元，同比增长12%，其中个人电脑市场份额更 是史上首次超过25%，进一步巩固在端侧AI市场中的领先地位；ISG基础设施方案业务集团实现营收约 293亿元，同比增长24%，其中AI基础设施营收显著跃升；SSG解决方案与服务业务集团营收同比增长 近20%，连续第18个季度实现双位数增长的同时 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Lenovo, with a target price adjusted to HKD 14.00 from the previous HKD 16.00, reflecting a 12.5% decrease [5][7]. Core Insights - Lenovo reported a revenue of USD 20.45 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.6%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate by 1.7%. The Non-HKFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-over-year, exceeding the company's prior guidance by approximately 19% [1][5]. - The company benefits from a strong position in the global PC market, holding the largest market share and demonstrating robust supply chain management capabilities, which enhances its resilience against industry cycles [1][2]. - The AI-related business has become a core growth driver, with its revenue contribution reaching 30% and a year-over-year increase of 13 percentage points [1][5]. Summary by Sections IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) - IDG's revenue increased by 11.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit margin of 60%. The global PC market share rose by 1.8 percentage points to 25.6%, marking a record high [2]. - Driven by mixed AI demand, PC revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, with AI PC penetration increasing by 16 percentage points to 33% of total shipments [2]. ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - ISG's revenue grew by 23.7% year-over-year, primarily due to strong demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions. The AI server business recorded high double-digit revenue growth [3]. - The Neptune liquid cooling technology saw a revenue increase of 154% year-over-year, reinforcing the company's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [3]. SSG (Solutions and Services Group) - SSG achieved an 18.3% year-over-year revenue growth, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [4]. - The project and solution services, along with operational services, accounted for 60% of SSG's total revenue, indicating a stable growth trajectory [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects a slight decrease in Non-HKFRS net profit estimates for FY26, FY27, and FY28 by 1.8%, 1.7%, and 1.7% respectively, with expected profits of USD 1.66 billion, USD 1.85 billion, and USD 2.08 billion [5][10]. - The expected Non-HKFRS EPS for FY26, FY27, and FY28 is projected to be USD 0.12, USD 0.14, and USD 0.15 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 15.5%, 11.4%, and 12.4% [5][10].

Core Insights - Equinix and Lenovo have partnered to provide a high-performance computing (HPC) solution for Merck KGaA, aimed at enhancing drug discovery, materials innovation for semiconductors, and overall scientific research capabilities [1][2][4] Company Developments - Merck KGaA has launched a state-of-the-art HPC built on Lenovo ThinkSystem servers, utilizing advanced liquid cooling technology, hosted in an Equinix AI-ready data center in Germany [1][2] - The HPC platform combines private and public cloud infrastructure, allowing for flexible scaling to meet varying computational demands [2][3] Technological Advancements - The partnership emphasizes the importance of data and technology in scientific progress, with the HPC enhancing computational capabilities and enabling more effective use of AI and advanced analytics [2][3] - Equinix's infrastructure supports high-performance workloads while reducing energy consumption, aligning with Merck's environmental, social, and governance (ESG) targets [3][4] Market Position - Lenovo is recognized as a global technology powerhouse with a revenue of US$69 billion, focusing on AI-enabled devices and infrastructure [5] - Merck KGaA operates across life science, healthcare, and electronics, generating sales of €21.2 billion in 2024, with over 62,000 employees dedicated to scientific advancements [6][7]

Core Insights - Lenovo Group is transitioning from being perceived solely as the world's largest PC manufacturer to a significant player in the AI sector, with its AI business now accounting for 30% of total revenue [2][27] - The company aims to reshape investor perceptions by highlighting its non-PC business growth, which has contributed to substantial revenue and profit increases, including a net profit growth rate exceeding 100% in some quarters [1][27] - Lenovo's hybrid AI strategy positions it as a leading provider of edge AI solutions, integrating AI capabilities across consumer and enterprise segments [4][12] Group 1: Business Transformation - Lenovo is fundamentally transforming from a PC-centric company to an AI-focused enterprise, with AI-related services becoming a major revenue driver [21][27] - The company’s revenue sources are shifting from hardware sales to AI infrastructure and service solutions, indicating a move towards a recurring revenue model [21][27] - The three main business segments—Intelligent Devices Group (IDG), Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), and Solutions and Services Group (SSG)—are evolving in their roles, with SSG becoming a key driver of high-margin growth [21][22] Group 2: Financial Performance - Non-PC business revenue has steadily increased, reaching nearly 47% of total revenue, reflecting a clear shift towards AI-related infrastructure and services [22][23] - The ISG and SSG segments are experiencing significant growth, with ISG revenue increasing by 24% and SSG achieving a profit margin of over 22% [23][24] - AI-driven revenue growth is evident, with AI PC sales increasing by 197% and AI server revenue more than doubling, showcasing strong demand for AI capabilities [24][25][26] Group 3: Strategic Positioning - Lenovo's hybrid AI strategy allows it to serve as a critical integrator in the AI value chain, bridging the gap between hardware and AI services [7][19] - The company is positioned to control the "terminal entry" in the AI ecosystem, which is crucial for user interaction and data flow [18][19] - By embedding AI capabilities into its devices, Lenovo aims to create a personalized AI experience for users, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [11][12]