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Morgan Stanley(MS) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-15 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, Morgan Stanley achieved record full-year revenues of $70.6 billion and fourth-quarter revenues of $17.9 billion, with a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 21.6% and earnings per share (EPS) of $10.21 for the full year [17][18] - The efficiency ratio improved to 68.4% for the full year, indicating disciplined execution and prioritization of investments [17][55] - The firm generated record EPS of $2.68 for the fourth quarter, with a ROTCE of 21.8% [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Institutional Securities delivered record full-year revenues of $33.1 billion, including $7.9 billion in the fourth quarter, with investment banking revenues reaching $7.6 billion for the full year [18][19] - Wealth Management achieved full-year revenues of $31.8 billion and reported margins of 29%, with net new assets of $356 billion and fee-based flows of $160 billion for the year [20][24] - Investment Management generated total revenues of $6.5 billion, with assets under management (AUM) scaling to a record $1.9 trillion [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 25% of revenues came from outside the U.S., with EMEA growing revenues by 40% and Asia by 50% over the last two years [12] - The firm reported a strong macro backdrop, with improving corporate confidence and open capital markets positioning it well for future growth [18][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Morgan Stanley's strategy focuses on executing from a position of strength, with multi-year investments in core businesses and the integration of technology [4][8] - The firm aims to compound earnings in a capital-efficient way and is investing in AI tools to enhance efficiency and effectiveness across business units [8][56] - The company is committed to maintaining high standards for acquisitions, focusing on organic growth and client relationships [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's ability to navigate macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties while continuing to execute on firm-wide goals [3][4] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for healthy investment banking pipelines and continued growth in wealth management and institutional securities [19][27] - Management emphasized the importance of compounding earnings through the cycle and maintaining a conservative approach to setting targets [30][39] Other Important Information - The firm raised its quarterly dividend to $1 per share, marking four consecutive years of dividend growth [15] - Morgan Stanley's CET1 ratio ended the year at 15%, with over 300 basis points of excess capital [14][26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why no change for the targets despite strong results? - Management indicated that the decision to maintain targets reflects a desire to demonstrate the firm's ability to operate at high levels consistently and achieve higher lows during challenging periods [29][30] Question: What are the drivers of margin growth in wealth management? - Management highlighted the importance of scaling fee-based revenues and improving efficiency through technology investments as key drivers for margin expansion [32][34] Question: How does the firm view the trajectory of the wallet in institutional trading? - Management expressed optimism about the wallet's growth potential, citing ongoing share gains and favorable market conditions as supportive factors [42][47]
Morgan Stanley Q4 Review: Strong Fundamentals Priced In (Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-15 14:30
Shares of Morgan Stanley ( MS ) have been an excellent performer over the past year, gaining about 45%. Rising market levels have supported ongoing growth in its asset and wealth management businesses, which generateOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an article, just let me know!Analyst’s Disclosure: ...
Morgan Stanley CEO Downplays Acquisition Possibilities; The Bar is ‘High’
Barrons· 2026-01-15 14:10
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's CEO Ted Pick emphasized a cautious approach towards future acquisitions, suggesting that returning excess capital to shareholders may be a more favorable strategy [1] Group 1: Acquisition Strategy - The company aims to maintain a high threshold for future acquisitions, indicating a selective approach to growth opportunities [1] - Excess capital will not be primarily allocated for acquisitions but rather for shareholder returns [1] Group 2: Capital Allocation - The company plans to direct excess capital towards continued dividend growth, opportunistic stock repurchases, and investments in its own businesses [1]
Wall Street’s Banks Smash Trading Results — So Why Are Stocks Falling? - Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS)
Benzinga· 2026-01-15 13:53
Wall Street's biggest banks just delivered some of their strongest trading quarters ever, yet investors remain hesitant, leaving bank stocks struggling to gain traction despite headline-beating results.Goldman Smashes Trading RecordsGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) blew past expectations for equities trading revenue, setting an all-time Wall Street record.The bank reported $4.31 billion in equities trading revenue for the final quarter of last year. That marked the highest such figure ever posted by any b ...
投行业务营收猛增47%助推!大摩(MS.US)Q4业绩超预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 13:45
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's Q4 2025 performance exceeded market expectations, driven by robust trading activity in investment banking [1] Financial Performance - Q4 revenue increased by 10% year-over-year to $17.89 billion, surpassing the market expectation of $17.75 billion [1] - Net profit reached $4.4 billion, an 18% increase from $3.71 billion in the same period last year [1] - Diluted earnings per share were $2.68, exceeding the market expectation of $2.45 [1] Investment Banking Activity - Investment banking revenue grew by 47% year-over-year to $2.412 billion [1] - Bond underwriting revenue surged by 93% to $785 million, outperforming the market expectation of $635 million [1] - The CEO highlighted the acceleration of investment banking activities and the strength of global markets [1] Debt Capital Market Expansion - The company actively expanded its debt capital markets business, particularly in the AI sector [1] - In Q4 alone, Morgan Stanley arranged over $27 billion in debt financing, including more than $27 billion for Meta Platforms' Hyperion data center [1] Consulting and Wealth Management - Consulting fees reached $1.133 billion, a 45% year-over-year increase [2] - Stock trading revenue amounted to $3.67 billion [2] - Wealth management net new assets totaled $122.3 billion, significantly exceeding market expectations [2] Market Position and Competitors - Morgan Stanley's Q4 performance aligns with that of competitors like Citigroup, benefiting from a surge in M&A and IPO activities [2] - The firm acted as a joint bookrunner for several large IPOs at the end of Q4, including BETA Technologies and Andersen Group [2] - Morgan Stanley played a key role in significant transactions, such as advising Confluent in its $11 billion acquisition by IBM [2]
Morgan Stanley Q4 earnings crush estimates: revenue $17.9B, EPS $2.68
Invezz· 2026-01-15 13:44
Morgan Stanley capped an exceptional 2025 with a fourth-quarter earnings beat that showcased the power of its diversified business model. The investment bank reported net revenues of $17.9 billion and... ...
Morgan Stanley(MS) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-01-15 13:33
Financial Performance - Net revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $17,890 million, a decrease of 2% from $18,224 million in the previous quarter, but an increase of 10% from $16,223 million in the same quarter last year [3]. - Institutional Securities segment reported net revenues of $7,931 million, down 7% from $8,523 million quarter-over-quarter, but up 9% year-over-year from $7,267 million [3]. - Wealth Management segment achieved net revenues of $8,429 million, reflecting a 2% increase from $8,234 million in the previous quarter and a 13% increase from $7,478 million year-over-year [3]. - Investment Management segment reported net revenues of $1,720 million, a 4% increase from $1,651 million quarter-over-quarter and a 5% increase from $1,643 million year-over-year [3]. - Consolidated net revenues for Q4 2025 were $17,890 million, down 2% from Q3 2025 but up 10% compared to the same quarter last year [7]. - The firm’s total net revenues for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, were $70,645 million, representing a 14% increase from $61,761 million for the same period last year [3]. Income and Earnings - Income before provision for income taxes was $5,760 million, down 4% from $6,028 million quarter-over-quarter, but up 17% from $4,906 million year-over-year [3]. - Net income applicable to Morgan Stanley was $4,397 million, a decrease of 5% from $4,610 million in the previous quarter, but an increase of 18% from $3,714 million year-over-year [3]. - Earnings applicable to Morgan Stanley common shareholders were $4,250 million, down 4% from $4,450 million quarter-over-quarter, and up 19% from $3,564 million year-over-year [3]. - Net income applicable to Morgan Stanley for the quarter was $2,049 million, down 17% from $2,468 million in the previous quarter but up 30% year-over-year from $1,891 million [11]. Expenses - Non-interest expenses totaled $12,112 million, a slight decrease of 1% from $12,196 million in the previous quarter, but an increase of 10% from $11,202 million year-over-year [3]. - Compensation and benefits as a percentage of net revenues in Wealth Management was 52%, down from 53% in the previous quarter and year [13]. - Compensation expense for Q4 2025 was $7.06 billion, up from $6.29 billion in Q4 2024, indicating a year-over-year increase of 12.3% [33]. - Total non-interest expenses for Q4 2025 were $12.112 billion, a slight decrease from $12.196 billion in Q3 2025 and an increase from $11.202 billion in Q4 2024 [35]. Assets and Capital - Total assets increased to $1,420,270 million, representing a 4% increase from Q3 2025 and a 17% increase year-over-year [7]. - Average common equity for the firm was $100.9 billion, a 2% increase from Q3 2025 and a 7% increase year-over-year [9]. - Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 15.0%, down from 15.1% in Q3 2025 [9]. - Total assets under management or supervision reached $1,895 billion, a 5% increase from $1,807 billion in the previous quarter [21]. Wealth Management - Total client assets in Wealth Management grew to $7,381 billion, reflecting a 5% increase from $7,054 billion in the previous quarter and a 19% increase year-over-year from $6,194 billion [17]. - Net new assets in Wealth Management were $122.3 billion, a 51% increase from $81.0 billion in the previous quarter and a 116% increase year-over-year from $56.5 billion [17]. - The pre-tax margin for Wealth Management improved to 31%, compared to 30% in the previous quarter and 27% a year ago [13]. - The return on average common equity for Wealth Management was 27%, up from 25% in the previous quarter and 20% year-over-year [13]. Credit Losses and Loans - Provision for credit losses was $18 million, a significant decrease of 84% from $115 million in the previous quarter, and an increase of 32% from $264 million year-over-year [3]. - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) for total loans was $1,132 million, representing 0.4% of gross loans [25]. - Total loans increased by 4% to $107.7 billion from $103.4 billion in the previous quarter [23]. - Consolidated loans and lending commitments totaled $499.3 billion, a 4% increase from $479.4 billion in the previous quarter [23]. Employee Metrics - Worldwide employees increased to 82,992, a 1% increase from the previous quarter and a 3% increase year-over-year [6]. - The number of stock plan participants declined slightly in the second half of 2025 due to the disposition of the Firm's EMEA stock plan business [42].
Morgan Stanley(MS) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-15 13:30
Financial Performance & Goals - Morgan Stanley achieved a Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) of 21.6%[9] - The firm's Earnings per Share (EPS) reached $10.21[9] - Total Client Assets amounted to $9.3 Trillion[9] - The firm is targeting $10 Trillion+ in Client Assets[19, 57] - The firm is targeting a ROTCE of 20%[19, 57] Wealth Management - Wealth Management's Pre-Tax Margin is targeted at 30%[19, 57] - Wealth Management's net revenues increased from $19 Billion in 2020 to $32 Billion in 2025[26] - Fee-Based Flows in Wealth Management were approximately $735 Billion from 2021-2025, compared to approximately $330 Billion from 2016-2020[26] - Net New Assets in Wealth Management were approximately $1.64 Trillion from 2021-2025, compared to approximately $580 Billion from 2016-2020[26] Institutional Securities & Investment Management - Institutional Securities Wallet Share increased from approximately 14.3% in 2020 to approximately 15.5% in 2025[16]
Greenland talks, oil's retreat, the latest on the Netflix-WBD deal and more in Morning Squawk
CNBC· 2026-01-15 13:08
分组1 - S&P 500 futures are higher following a negative session, indicating a potential market rebound [2] - Goldman Sachs reported earnings of $14.01 per share on $13.45 billion in revenue, though it is unclear if these figures align with Wall Street estimates [3] - Morgan Stanley exceeded analysts' forecasts for the quarter, resulting in a share price increase of over 2% [3] 分组2 - Netflix is likely to modify its acquisition offer for Warner Bros. Discovery's assets to an all-cash deal, which could expedite shareholder voting [8][9] - The anticipated vote on the acquisition could be moved up to late February or early March, compared to the previous expectation of spring or early summer [9] 分组3 - The U.S. government will approve sales of Nvidia's H200 AI chip to China, despite a 25% cut for the government, although it remains uncertain if China will accept these chips [10]
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Report Atop Multi-Month Rallies
Investors· 2026-01-15 13:04
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