当地时间周三（1月28日）美股盘后，微软股价一度大跌超8%。稍早之前，该公司发布第二财季财报显示，公 司当季的支出飙升至历史新高，而云业务增速放缓，投资者担心其人工智能投资可能需要比预期更长的时间才 能获得回报。 科技巨头，突然大跌！ 微软首席执行官萨蒂亚·纳德拉在一份声明中表示："人工智能的应用扩散尚处于初期阶段，但微软已经建立起 一项规模超过部分最大业务板块的人工智能业务。"他补充道："我们正在整个AI技术栈的前沿持续推进，以为 客户及合作伙伴创造新的价值。" 得益于早期对ChatGPT开发方OpenAI的投资，微软成为本轮人工智能热潮的最大受益者之一。去年7月，微软 市值一度突破4万亿美元大关。不过，随着投资者持续对人工智能产业巨额投入产生担忧，其股价已从高位回 落。 DA Davidson分析师Gil Luria表示，云业务增速的放缓，或许已经足以让原本押注云业务表现更强劲的投资者 感到失望。 云业务增速放缓 微软最新发布的财报显示，在截至2025年12月31日的2026财年第二财季，公司的营收为812.7亿美元，同比增 长17%；当季净利润为384.6亿美元，合每股收益5.16美元，较上年同期的24 ...

日度报告——综合晨报 特朗普警告伊朗，美联储按兵不动 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2026-01-29 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 特朗普警告伊朗达成协议 美联储 1 月利率会议维持利率水平不变，对于经济边际乐观程度 上升，市场风险偏好上升，美元指数反弹。 宏观策略（黄金） 特朗普警告伊朗 综 金价强势上涨呈现明显加速迹象，市场波动加大，美联储利率 会议如期按兵不动，会议声明较此前表态更为乐观，主要是判 断就业市场趋于稳定，但通胀存在上行风险。 合 黑色金属（螺纹钢/热轧卷板） 晨 多家房企目前已不被监管部门要求每月上报"三条红线"指标 报 钢价延续震荡运行，近期表现偏弱，但趋势性驱动依然不明显。 建材需求季节性走弱对钢价形成压制。但由于基本面矛盾不算 突出，估值也并不算高，同样难以打开下方空间。 有色金属（锌） Fresnilloplc2025 锌精矿产量有增有减 谨慎追多，前期多单可继续持有，短期操作难度较高，建议做 好仓位管理。 能源化工（沥青） 国内重交沥青产能利用率下降 由于低价重质原油资源的稀缺，沥青反弹幅度偏强，但年前备 货节奏放缓，实际需求支撑疲弱。 | 黄玉萍 | 资深分析师 ...

Microsoft - Microsoft’s stock decline is attributed to slowing revenue growth from its Azure cloud platform and concerns over backlog concentration, particularly its reliance on a significant deal with OpenAI [1][2] - The company’s remaining performance obligations, or backlog, is currently $625 billion, more than double from a year ago, with approximately 45% tied to OpenAI [2] - Despite these concerns, analysts believe Microsoft can monetize AI effectively due to its diverse business segments, including applications, security, and infrastructure [3] - Microsoft reported $81.3 billion in revenue for its fiscal second quarter, with adjusted earnings per share of $4.14, exceeding analyst expectations [21] - Intelligent Cloud revenue, which includes Azure, reached $32.9 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $32.39 billion [21] - Capital expenditures for Microsoft were $37.5 billion, higher than the expected $34.3 billion, with a significant portion allocated to short-lived assets like GPUs and CPUs [18] Meta - Meta's anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $115 billion and $135 billion, significantly higher than last year's $72.22 billion and above analysts' expectations of $110 billion [13][14] - The increase in spending is primarily driven by investments in AI initiatives, particularly the Meta Superintelligence Labs [14] - Meta reported fourth-quarter earnings of $8.88 per share, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to a record $59.89 billion, driven by a surge in ad revenues [15] - The company expects first-quarter revenue between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, exceeding analyst projections [15] Tesla - Tesla's stock rose after reporting quarterly revenue of $25.71 billion, surpassing the consensus expectation of $25.12 billion, with net income at 60 cents per share [17] - The company did not provide a detailed outlook for vehicle sales, focusing instead on maximizing factory capacity utilization [12] - Tesla confirmed plans to unveil a new Optimus robot in the first quarter of 2026, with production expected to start in the same year [10]

At the silicon layer, Nadella pointed to a mix of NVIDIA and AMD GPUs and Microsoft’s own chips. He said Microsoft brought online its Maia 200 accelerator, describing it as delivering “10+ petaflops at FP4 precision” with “over 30% improved TCO compared to the latest generation hardware” in Microsoft’s fleet. He also highlighted the Cobalt 200 CPU, which he said delivers “over 50% higher performance” compared with Microsoft’s first custom processor for cloud-native workloads.On infrastructure, Nadella empha ...

Core Insights - Microsoft's transformation story has shifted to focus on artificial intelligence (AI), with Azure as the primary platform for large-scale AI training and inference [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q2 FY2026, Microsoft's overall revenue reached $81.3 billion, a 17% increase year over year, while operating income rose 21% to $38.3 billion [6]. - The Intelligent Cloud segment saw a revenue increase of 29% year over year, totaling $32.9 billion, with Azure and other cloud services growing 39% [5]. AI Strategy - Microsoft has built an AI business larger than some of its biggest franchises, emphasizing the importance of AI across its entire stack to create new value for customers [4]. - The company retains 80% of sales from OpenAI models to Azure customers, while a smaller percentage comes from Anthropic's AI models [9]. Capital Expenditures - AI-driven capital expenditures increased by 66% in the quarter, with total capital expenditures reaching $37.5 billion [7][10]. - Microsoft's commercial remaining performance obligation increased by 110% to $625 billion, indicating strong long-term demand for AI capabilities [8]. Infrastructure and Governance - The company is investing heavily in data centers and specialized hardware to support AI workloads, reflecting confidence in sustained demand for AI-driven compute [12]. - Governance, security, and compliance are emphasized as essential for large enterprises and governments to adopt AI at scale [13]. Business Applications - Revenue from Microsoft 365 grew 16% to $34.1 billion, driven by strong performance in both commercial and consumer cloud offerings [14]. - Dynamics 365 revenue rose 19%, showcasing AI's impact on business applications like CRM and ERP systems [15].

Core Insights - Investors are seeking a better balance between AI spending and AI revenue, particularly looking for stronger performance from Microsoft's cloud business in the latest quarter [1] Company Focus - The emphasis is on Microsoft's cloud business performance, indicating that investors are not satisfied with the current returns from AI investments [1]

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft reported strong financial results for Q2 FY2026, exceeding Wall Street expectations, but concerns over slowing Azure growth and record capital expenditures led to a significant drop in stock price after hours [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter ending December 31, Microsoft achieved revenue of $81.27 billion, a year-over-year increase of approximately 17%, surpassing the market expectation of $80.3 billion [2]. - Net profit reached $38.46 billion, translating to earnings per share of $5.16, significantly above the expected $3.92 [2]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $4.14, also exceeding forecasts [2]. - A notable portion of the profit increase was attributed to changes in accounting treatment for the investment in OpenAI, contributing an additional $1.02 to earnings per share [2]. Cloud Business Performance - Microsoft's "Intelligent Cloud" segment, including Azure, generated revenue of $32.91 billion, a nearly 29% year-over-year increase, slightly above expectations [3]. - Azure and other cloud services revenue grew by 38% year-over-year at constant currency, matching analyst predictions, but the growth rate slowed by one percentage point compared to the previous quarter [3]. - Despite the overall cloud revenue surpassing $50 billion for the first time at $51.5 billion, the deceleration in Azure's growth raised concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven cloud growth [3]. Capital Expenditures and AI Investment - Capital expenditures surged to $37.5 billion, a 66% year-over-year increase, exceeding analyst expectations of $36.2 billion [4]. - Approximately two-thirds of this expenditure was allocated to computing chips for data centers to meet AI demand [4]. - CEO Satya Nadella noted an increase of nearly 1 gigawatt in computing capacity during the quarter, but the significant investment raised questions about the return on AI investments [4]. - The "remaining performance obligations" (RPO), indicating future revenue from signed contracts, reached a record $625 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, with 45% of this amount linked to agreements with OpenAI [4][5]. Competitive Landscape and Stock Performance - Microsoft is the first among major cloud service companies to report quarterly financial results, serving as a key indicator of the efficiency of AI investments among tech giants [7]. - In contrast to Microsoft's stock decline, Meta's stock rose significantly after announcing increased AI spending, highlighting differing market perceptions of AI strategies [7]. - The emergence of competitors like Google's Gemini model and Anthropic is intensifying pressure on Microsoft's AI and traditional software businesses [7]. - As of the close on Wednesday, Microsoft's stock was priced at $481.63, experiencing a drop of over 7% in after-hours trading, and a decline of approximately 11% over the past three months, underperforming the S&P 500 index, which rose by 1% during the same period [7].

钛媒体App 1月29日消息， 微软股价大幅下跌，该公司支出飙升至历史新高，而云业务销售额增长放 缓，投资者担心其人工智能投资可能需要比预期更长的时间才能获得回报。第二财季资本支出达到375 亿美元，比上年同期增长66%，超过分析师预期的362亿美元。经汇率波动调整后，Azure云计算部门当 季营收增长38%，勉强符合分析师预期。但这一增速较上一季度放缓。该公司预计当前财季Azure销售 额将增长37%至38%。微软股价在盘后交易中下跌约7%，纽约常规交易时段收于481.63美元。（广角观 察） ...

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft reported strong financial results for Q2 of FY2026, with revenue and profit exceeding Wall Street expectations. However, concerns over slowing growth in Azure cloud services and significant capital expenditures related to AI investments led to a sharp decline in its stock price post-announcement [1]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter ending December 31, Microsoft achieved revenue of $81.27 billion, a year-over-year increase of approximately 17%, surpassing the market expectation of $80.3 billion. Net profit reached $38.46 billion, translating to earnings per share of $5.16, significantly exceeding the expected $3.92. Adjusted earnings per share were $4.14, also above forecasts. Notably, the surge in net profit was partly due to changes in accounting treatment for investments in OpenAI, contributing an additional $1.02 to earnings per share [2]. Cloud Business Performance - Microsoft's "Intelligent Cloud" segment, including Azure, generated revenue of $32.91 billion, a nearly 29% year-over-year increase, slightly above expectations. However, the growth rate of Azure and other cloud services, which increased by 38% year-over-year at constant currency, showed a deceleration of one percentage point compared to the previous quarter. This slowdown raised concerns among investors betting on stronger cloud performance [3]. Capital Expenditures and AI Investment Concerns - Capital expenditures surged to $37.5 billion, a 66% year-over-year increase, exceeding analyst expectations of $36.2 billion. Approximately two-thirds of this expenditure was allocated to computing chips for data centers to meet AI demands. CEO Satya Nadella noted an increase of nearly 1 gigawatt in computing capacity during the quarter. Despite significant investments, the company faces challenges in rapidly expanding sufficient computing capacity to meet demand [4]. Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) - The remaining performance obligations (RPO), representing future revenue under contract but not yet recognized, reached a record $625 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. This figure surpassed Oracle's reported $523 billion. However, 45% of Microsoft's RPO is tied to agreements with OpenAI, highlighting the company's deep reliance on this AI startup [4][5]. Other Business Segments - The Productivity and Business Processes segment, which includes Office, Dynamics, and LinkedIn, generated revenue of $34.12 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations. Microsoft also reported that its AI assistant, Microsoft 365 Copilot, has gained 15 million commercial user seats, indicating initial adoption momentum. Conversely, the More Personal Computing segment, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface, and Bing, saw revenue decline by approximately 3% year-over-year to $14.25 billion, slightly below expectations, with gaming revenue down 9.5% [6]. Industry Competition and Stock Pressure - Microsoft is the first of the three major cloud service companies to report quarterly financial results, serving as a key indicator of the efficiency of AI investments among tech giants. Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta are expected to collectively spend over $500 billion on AI this year. In contrast to Microsoft's post-earnings stock decline, Meta's stock surged following its announcement of increased AI spending, reflecting differing market expectations regarding AI strategies. Analysts noted that Microsoft's stock performance is closely tied to OpenAI's outcomes, particularly amid competition from Google's Gemini model and other emerging competitors [7].

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