Core Viewpoint - Tesla is facing mixed outlooks from Wall Street as it prepares for its upcoming earnings report, with concerns over vehicle sales and the development of its AI initiatives [1] Group 1: Vehicle Sales - Analysts indicate that Tesla's vehicle sales are currently stagnant, presenting challenges for the company [1] - There is uncertainty regarding the demand for electric vehicles (EVs), which could impact Tesla's sales performance [1] Group 2: AI Projects - The timelines for Tesla's major AI projects remain unclear, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the company's future growth prospects [1] - Analysts are cautious about the potential impact of these AI developments on Tesla's overall performance [1]

Market Overview - The market is starting slow but is expected to pick up pace throughout the day, particularly with large-cap tech earnings after the bell [1] - Mortgage applications data has come in soft, with a notable decline of 8.5% in overall applications, driven by rising mortgage rates [2][3] Mortgage Applications - The 10-year yield has fluctuated from 6.13% to 6.3% and back to 6.25% over the last 10 days, impacting 30-year mortgage rates which rose from 6.16% to 6.24% [2] - Refinances have seen a significant drop of 15.7%, indicating sensitivity to rising mortgage rates [2] Technology Sector - Positive news from Nvidia and China is expected to boost stocks like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom [3] - Memory stocks are also showing upward movement, contributing to a generally positive sentiment in the tech sector [4] Currency Impact - The US dollar is at four-year lows, which may benefit multinational companies by making US goods and services cheaper for foreign buyers [4][5] - Historical context shows that the dollar has traded lower in previous years, suggesting that a weaker dollar can have positive implications for exports [6][7] Earnings Reports - Major earnings reports from companies such as Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and IBM are anticipated, with Microsoft showing a rally leading into its report [9][10] - There are questions surrounding Meta Platforms' spending and Tesla's future beyond electric vehicles, including potential developments in full self-driving and other technologies [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock performance is currently moderate compared to its peers in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, with a noted increase of 8.2% [2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - Tesla is positioned in the middle of the pack among EV competitors, with Rivian and Xpeng retreating towards the mean, while Lucid is underperforming [2] - A two-year candle chart shows notable high points around $463 to $488, which Tesla has struggled to surpass recently [3] - The stock has retreated below the $463 level and is facing challenges in crossing this point again, indicating a lack of clear upward momentum [4] - Moving averages are clustered, suggesting sideways movement without a definitive trend direction [5] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken above its downward trend line but has not crossed the 50 midline, indicating potential upward movement [5] Group 2: Trading Strategy - The options market is pricing in a potential move of approximately 5.3% in either direction, reflecting elevated implied volatility ahead of earnings [9] - A neutral short iron condor strategy is proposed, taking advantage of expected consolidation and a potential collapse in implied volatility [10][11] - The strategy involves selling an out-of-the-money put vertical and an out-of-the-money call vertical, with a potential credit of about $210 and a risk of $290 [12] - Break-even points for this strategy are set at approximately $407.90 on the downside and $457.10 on the upside, indicating a wide range for consolidation [12][13]

Core Insights - Tesla's stock has increased by 36% over the past six months despite facing significant challenges, including declining sales in Europe and competition from rivals like BYD [1][6] - The company experienced a 27% drop in registrations in the European market, with total registrations falling to 238,656, while BYD's registrations surged by 267% to 187,657 [2] - In the U.S., Tesla's sales reached a near four-year low in November, marking the first decline in deliveries after years of growth, attributed to high borrowing costs and increased competition [3] Company Performance - Tesla's market capitalization stands at $1.43 trillion, making it the 10th most valuable company globally [4] - The company's future success is heavily tied to advancements in self-driving technology, with a focus on developing robotaxis, although competitors like Alphabet's Waymo are perceived to have a head start [4] - Tesla is also investing in the development of Optimus robots, which Musk claims will revolutionize various sectors, including healthcare [5] Market Dynamics - Tesla faces increasing competition not only from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers but also from traditional automakers that have begun to enter the EV market, collectively capturing up to 20% of the U.S. market share [3] - The company's struggles in Europe and the U.S. highlight the challenges it faces in maintaining its market position amid rising competition and changing consumer sentiment [6]

Nothing can bring down Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock. ...

Company News - ASML's ADRs rose 5% after reporting orders significantly exceeding investor expectations, driven by increased demand for AI computing workloads [3][5][17] - Seagate's stock increased by 8% following a strong second-quarter earnings report that surpassed expectations, along with a positive outlook [3] - Texas Instruments gained 7% after providing a favorable outlook, indicating improved demand in industrial and data center markets [3] - AT&T's shares rose 3% after reporting fourth-quarter profit and revenue that exceeded analysts' estimates, attributed to strong broadband subscriber growth [3] - C3.ai's stock surged 15% amid reports of merger talks with Automation Anywhere [3] - F5 Inc. jumped 8% after raising its revenue forecast for the fiscal year [3] - New Oriental Education's ADRs rose 6% after beating second-quarter estimates and increasing its annual net revenue forecast [3] - Corning's shares fell 3% after reporting fourth-quarter results and providing a disappointing outlook [3] - Elevance Health dropped 6% after giving an adjusted profit forecast for 2026 that fell short of Wall Street expectations [3] - Qorvo's stock fell 10% after issuing a weaker-than-expected outlook [3] Industry Trends - The tech sector is experiencing a rally, driven by strong earnings from semiconductor and memory companies, which is boosting the AI trade [1][4][6] - The Magnificent Seven stocks are mostly higher, with Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon showing gains, while Meta and Apple experienced slight declines [3] - The semiconductor, memory, and storage sectors are seeing significant gains due to positive earnings reports, particularly from ASML, Seagate, and Texas Instruments [3][4] - Asian equities are also benefiting from the tech rally, with notable gains in TSMC and SK Hynix [5][13] - The demand for AI memory is driving earnings growth for companies like SK Hynix, indicating a strong market for AI-related technologies [5][14]

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is gaining momentum, with major tech companies like Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple leading the earnings calendar [1] - A consensus is forming among analysts, with 13% of S&P 500 companies having reported fourth quarter results, and an estimated 8.2% increase in earnings per share for the quarter, marking the potential for the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2] - Analysts had initially expected an 8.3% increase in earnings per share, a decrease from the previous quarter's 13.6% growth rate, but have since raised expectations, particularly for tech companies [3] Group 2 - The earnings season will not only focus on Big Tech but will also include updates from a diverse range of companies such as UnitedHealth, Boeing, General Motors, IBM, Starbucks, and others, indicating a broad economic impact [4][5]

钛媒体App 1月28日消息，美股盘前要闻： 1. 美国股指期货涨跌不一，截至目前，道琼斯指数期货跌0.03%，标普500指数期货涨0.21%，纳斯达克 100指数期货涨0.85%。 2. 欧洲斯托克50指数跌0.43%，英国富时100指数跌0.51%，法国CAC40指数跌1.41%，德国DAX30指数 跌0.65%，富时意大利MIB指数跌0.95%。 3. 北京时间周四凌晨3点，美联储即将公布2026年的首份利率决议；市场普遍预期，美联储将在本周政 策会议上维持利率不变。 4. 本周四和周五，特斯拉、Meta、微软和苹果将公布财报，华尔街对"七巨头"业绩充满信心，预计整体 盈利增长率达20.3%。 5. 加密货币巨头Tether囤金140吨，是除已知的主权国家与大型银行外全球最大的黄金储备持有者。 9. 德州仪器美股盘前涨超8%，公司第四季度每股盈利1.27美元，营收44.2亿美元，略低于华尔街预期， 但对当前季度预期高于市场预期。 10. 美股存储股盘前普涨，希捷科技涨超10%，西部数据涨超8%，闪迪涨超5%，美光科技涨超4%。 11. 美国联合包裹运送服务公司（UPS）27日宣布，计划今年减少约3万个运 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The introduction of 7-year low-interest financing plans by various electric vehicle manufacturers aims to stimulate market demand amid a competitive landscape and inventory pressure, but the actual effectiveness of these plans remains to be seen [1][9]. Financing Plans Overview - Major brands like Tesla, Xiaomi, Li Auto, and Xpeng have launched or enhanced 7-year low-interest financing options since January 2026, extending traditional auto loan periods by 2 to 3 years [1]. - Monthly payments have significantly decreased due to longer loan terms, with Xiaomi's YU7 starting at 2,593 yuan, Xpeng's models at 1,355 yuan, Li Auto at 2,578 yuan, and Tesla's Model 3/Y/Y L at 1,918 yuan [1]. Tesla's Financing Options - Tesla offers two different 7-year financing plans based on down payment amounts, with annualized rates of 0.7% for a 15% down payment and 0.5% for a 30% down payment, translating to effective annual rates of 1.36% and 0.98% respectively [2][4]. - The minimum down payment for Tesla's plans is 79,900 yuan for the high down payment option and 45,900 yuan for the low down payment option [2]. Xiaomi's Financing Details - Xiaomi's 7-year low-interest plan requires a minimum down payment of 20%, with an annualized rate of 1% and an effective annual rate of 1.93% [3]. - For the YU7 standard version priced at 253,500 yuan, the minimum down payment is 49,900 yuan, with a monthly payment of 2,593.48 yuan and total interest over 7 years amounting to 14,252.28 yuan [3]. Li Auto and Xpeng Financing Plans - Li Auto's financing plan varies by model, with the i8 and MEGA models offering 3 years of interest-free payments followed by a 2.5% annualized rate, while other models have a 2.5% rate as well [3]. - Xpeng offers a 7-year financing option with a minimum down payment of 15% and an annualized rate of 1.5%, resulting in an effective annual rate of 2.86% [3]. Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - Sales personnel from various brands express differing opinions on the 7-year financing plans, with some recommending 5-year plans due to lower total interest payments [6][7]. - The overall sentiment among sales staff is that the 7-year low-interest plans are designed to lower the barrier to vehicle ownership, although they acknowledge that the effectiveness of these plans may be limited by consumer credit qualifications [8][9]. Industry Trends and Predictions - The automotive market is experiencing a significant decline, with retail sales down 28% year-on-year and wholesale sales down 35% in early January 2026 [8]. - Analysts predict a continued downturn in the Chinese passenger vehicle market, with potential sales dropping to 28.5 million units in 2026, a 5% decrease from the previous year [8].