Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance continues to reach new highs, and in the context of interest rate cuts, both gold and copper prices are expected to rise [5] - The company has shown strong revenue growth and profitability, with significant increases in both copper and gold production and prices [6][5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 37.864 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.45% [6] - The average copper price for Q1-Q3 2025 was 62,600 yuan/ton, up 7% year-on-year, while the average gold price was 716 yuan/gram, up 43% year-on-year [6] - The company expects to continue expanding its resource base through both internal growth and acquisitions, with projected net profits of 51.1 billion yuan, 62.1 billion yuan, and 72.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] Production and Cost Analysis - Copper production for Q1-Q3 2025 was 830,000 tons, a 5% increase year-on-year, while gold production was 65 tons, a 20% increase year-on-year [6] - The unit cost of copper was 24,600 yuan/ton, a 9% increase year-on-year, while the unit cost of gold was 267 yuan/gram, a 17% increase year-on-year [6] - The company is also advancing its lithium carbonate projects, with production expected to contribute to future earnings growth [6]

Core Insights - On October 20, 2023, brokerage firms set target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and Hikvision, showing target price increases of 56.95%, 46.86%, and 33.19% respectively, across the energy metals, industrial metals, and computer equipment sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Huayou Cobalt received a target price of 95.00 yuan, reflecting a target price increase of 56.95% [2] - Zijin Mining's target price is set at 43.69 yuan, with a target price increase of 46.86% [2] - Hikvision's target price stands at 43.10 yuan, showing a target price increase of 33.19% [2] - Other companies with significant target price increases include Gaoneng Environment (29.80%), Zhuhai Guanyu (27.80%), and Sankeshu (27.28%) [2] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 32 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on October 20, with Hikvision receiving 5 recommendations, Zijin Mining 4, and Sankeshu 3 [3] - The only downgrade noted was for Haiguang Information, which was lowered from "Buy" to "Range Trading" by Qunyi Securities (Hong Kong) [3][4] Group 3: First-Time Coverage - On October 20, 2023, there were 5 instances of first-time coverage by brokerages, including Morning Light Biological receiving a "Buy" rating from Shanxi Securities, and Baihehua receiving an "Add" rating from China Merchants Securities [4] - Weigao Blood Products was rated "Add" by Dongguan Securities, Tiannai Technology received a "Buy" rating from Northeast Securities, and Nine Company was rated "Add" by Huayuan Securities [4]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Zijin Mining (601899)(02899) demonstrates resilient growth in its third-quarter performance, reaffirming a positive stance due to favorable macro and micro conditions for gold and copper prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The overseas business successfully spun off and listed, creating new growth opportunities [1] - The gold segment's profit contribution has increased, solidifying its role as a key growth engine [1] Group 2: Price and Earnings Forecast - The bank raised its earnings forecast for Zijin Mining for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 20% due to the upward momentum in metal prices and strong production fundamentals [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased from 28 HKD to 42 HKD, maintaining the stock's status as a top pick in the industry with a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Zijin Mining (02899) demonstrates resilient growth in its third-quarter performance, reaffirming a positive stance due to favorable macro and micro conditions for gold and copper prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's overseas business successfully spun off, creating new growth opportunities [1] - The gold segment's profit contribution has increased, solidifying its role as a growth engine [1] Group 2: Price Target and Earnings Forecast - Morgan Stanley raised its earnings forecast for Zijin Mining for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 20% [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased from HKD 28 to HKD 42, maintaining its position as a preferred stock in the industry with a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Zijin Mining's third-quarter performance reflects a resilient growth trajectory, reaffirming a positive stance due to constructive outlooks for gold and copper prices under macro and micro tailwinds [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's overseas business successfully spun off and listed, creating new growth scenarios [1] - The gold segment's profit contribution has increased, solidifying its position as a profit growth engine [1] Group 2: Price Target and Ratings - Based on the upward momentum in metal prices and strong production fundamentals, the bank raised its earnings forecast for Zijin Mining for 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 20% [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased from HKD 28 to HKD 42, maintaining its status as an industry preferred stock with a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a record high performance for Q3 2025, with revenue of 254.2 billion yuan (up 10.3% year-on-year) and a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan (up 55.4% year-on-year) [7] - The increase in revenue and profit is attributed to rising prices and production growth, particularly in gold and copper [7] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, projecting 51.2 billion yuan, 63.2 billion yuan, and 72.1 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 13, and 11 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 352.375 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.1% [6] - The company expects a gross profit margin of 24.7% for 2025, increasing to 31.8% by 2027 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 28.6% in 2025, decreasing slightly to 25.8% by 2027 [6] Production and Cost Analysis - For Q1-Q3 2025, copper production reached 830,000 tons (up 5% year-on-year) and gold production was 65 tons (up 20% year-on-year) [7] - The average cost of gold production in Q3 2025 was 280 yuan per gram, while copper was 25,400 yuan per ton [7] - The report highlights ongoing construction projects aimed at increasing copper and gold production capacity [7] Market Comparison - The company's stock closed at 29.75 yuan on October 20, 2025, with a market capitalization of 612.491 billion yuan [2] - The stock has shown a significant performance compared to the market, with a one-year high of 32.65 yuan and a low of 15.00 yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rise in international gold prices has significantly catalyzed the profitability and market value of Zijin Mining [1] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's Q3 report shows a 55.5% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 37.86 billion yuan, with Q3 net profit hitting a record 14.57 billion yuan [2] - The company's gold business has become the primary profit source, contributing 40.4% to the group's gross profit in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by a substantial increase in gold prices compared to copper [2][11] - Full-year profit expectations have been raised to approximately 51 billion yuan by several institutions, indicating a strong performance that could place Zijin Mining among the top 20 A-share listed companies [3][11] Market Dynamics - Despite the rising gold prices, there has been a divergence in stock performance, with Zijin Mining's stock price not following the upward trend of gold prices since the beginning of Q4 [4][18] - The average increase in gold prices was 47% in the first three quarters, while Zijin Mining's stock price rose by 99%, indicating a strong correlation between gold prices and company profitability [18] Production and Sales - The company has seen continuous growth in gold production, exceeding annual targets, with significant contributions from newly acquired and newly operational mines [10] - Sales prices for gold ingots and concentrates reached 746.43 yuan/gram and 685.21 yuan/gram respectively, with a gross margin of 72.8%, reflecting a nearly 5 percentage point increase year-on-year [9] Price Trends - The price of gold has surged from approximately 2,624 USD/ounce to around 3,858 USD/ounce, marking a 47% increase, while copper prices only rose by 17% during the same period [8] - The fluctuations in gold prices and the performance of copper will be critical variables affecting Zijin Mining's Q4 performance [13]

汇丰环球投资研究将紫金矿业H股目标价从41.80港元上调至43.00港元 。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs forecasts Zijin Mining (02899, 601899.SH) will maintain strong profit growth momentum from 2025 to 2026, achieving an approximate 50% annual compound growth rate, primarily benefiting from rising gold and copper prices as well as increased production [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 14.6 billion RMB for the third quarter, with earnings per share of 0.548 RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 57% [1] - For the first three quarters, the recurring net profit reached 34.7 billion RMB, equivalent to 69% of Goldman Sachs' full-year estimate for 2025 and 73% of market expectations [1] - The recurring performance is generally in line with both Goldman Sachs' and market expectations [1] Group 2: Price Target Adjustments - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining, raising the target price for H-shares from 30 HKD to 37.5 HKD and for A-shares from 31 RMB to 37.5 RMB [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Based on the global commodities team's revised forecasts for copper and gold prices, along with the impact of the spin-off of Zijin Gold International (02259) and the recent acquisition of RG Gold Mine, Zijin Mining's earnings forecasts for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 1% to 26% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs forecasts Zijin Mining (02899, 601899.SH) will maintain strong profit growth momentum from 2025 to 2026, achieving an approximate 50% annual compound growth rate, primarily benefiting from rising gold and copper prices as well as increased production [1] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 14.6 billion RMB for the third quarter, with earnings per share of 0.548 RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 57% [1] - For the first three quarters, the recurring net profit reached 34.7 billion RMB, equivalent to 69% of Goldman Sachs' forecast for the full year 2025 and 73% of market expectations [1] - The recurring performance is generally in line with both Goldman Sachs' and market expectations [1] Price Target Adjustments - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining's H-shares and A-shares, raising the target price for H-shares from 30 HKD to 37.5 HKD and for A-shares from 31 RMB to 37.5 RMB [1] Earnings Forecast Revisions - Based on the global commodities team's revised forecasts for copper and gold prices, along with the impact of the spin-off of Zijin Gold International (02259) and the recent completion of the RG mine acquisition, Zijin Mining's earnings forecasts for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 1% to 26% [1]