Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [8][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, achieving a net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 57% [3][8]. - The company has successfully listed its subsidiary, Zijin Gold International, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 28.7 billion HKD, marking it as the largest IPO in the global gold mining industry to date [6]. - The company has completed several significant acquisitions in 2025, enhancing its resource reserves in gold, copper, lithium, and molybdenum, which are expected to contribute positively to future profits [6][8]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, and a net profit of 378.6 billion yuan, up 55.5% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company’s gross profit margin improved, with a mining enterprise gross margin of 60.62%, an increase of 2.91 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company’s unit sales costs for gold and copper increased slightly in Q3 2025, attributed to factors such as declining ore grades and increased transportation distances [5]. Production and Cost Analysis - The company’s gold production for Q1-Q3 2025 was 65 tons, a 20% increase year-on-year, while copper production reached 830,000 tons, a 5% increase [4]. - The unit sales cost for gold concentrate was 194.96 yuan/g, and for copper concentrate was 22,128 yuan/ton, reflecting a slight increase from the previous quarter [5]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 535 billion yuan, 684 billion yuan, and 749 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 67%, 28%, and 9% [8][10].

南财投研通数据显示，10月20日，券商给予上市公司目标价共19次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排 名居前的公司有华友钴业、紫金矿业、海康威视，目标价涨幅分别为56.95%、46.86%、33.19%，分别 属于能源金属、工业金属、计算机设备行业。 评级调低方面，10月20日，群益证券(香港)对海光信息的评级从"买进"调低至"区间操作"。 | | | 1家最新被调低评级的公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 证券名称 | 机构 | 此前评级 | 最新评级 | 行业 | | 688041 海光信息 | 群益证券(香港) | 买进 | 区间操作 | 半导体 | | | | 日期：10月20日，南财投研通×南财快讯制图 | | | 首次覆盖方面，10月20日券商共给出了5次首次覆盖，其中晨光生物获得山西证券给予"买入"评级，百 合花获得招商证券给予"增持"评级，威高血净获得东莞证券给予"增持"评级，天奈科技获得东北证券给 予"买入"评级，九号公司获得华源证券给予"增持"评级。 | | | | 10月20日目标价涨幅排名 | | | | --- | --- | ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise in international gold prices has significantly catalyzed the profitability and market value of Zijin Mining, with a reported net profit increase of 55.5% to 37.86 billion yuan in Q3, marking a historical high for the company [1][8]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's Q3 net profit reached 14.57 billion yuan, setting a new record for quarterly earnings [1][8]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's gold production accounted for 40.4% of total gross profit, making it the largest profit source [1][7]. - The company has adjusted its full-year profit forecast to approximately 51 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase from previous estimates [10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite the rising gold prices, there has been a divergence between gold stocks and gold prices since the beginning of Q4, with stocks like Zijin Mining experiencing a pullback [2][12]. - The average price of gold rose from 2,624 USD/oz to around 3,858 USD/oz, a 47% increase, while copper prices only increased by 17% during the same period [3]. Group 3: Production and Sales - Zijin Mining's gold ingot and concentrate sales prices reached 746.43 yuan/gram and 685.21 yuan/gram, respectively, with a gross margin of 72.8%, up nearly 5 percentage points year-on-year [4][5]. - The company reported a 20% year-on-year increase in gold production for the first nine months of 2025, totaling 65 tons [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The continued rise in international gold prices is expected to sustain Zijin Mining's performance, with potential for further profit growth in Q4 [1]. - However, the company's stock price has not kept pace with gold price increases, raising concerns about future performance alignment [12].

Core Viewpoint - Cangge Lithium Industry has officially resumed production as of October 11, 2025, with a revised annual production and sales plan of 8,510 tons, down from the original 11,000 tons, reflecting a reduction of 2,490 tons [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Cangge Mining reported a revenue of 2.401 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.751 billion yuan, up 47.26% year-on-year [2] - The significant profit increase is primarily due to investment income from its stake in Jilong Copper Industry, which reported a copper production of 142,500 tons and revenue of 11.821 billion yuan for the same period [3] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Cangge Mining's future growth will rely on the synergistic development of its three main business segments: potassium fertilizer, copper resources, and lithium resources from salt lakes [1][6] - The company holds a 30.78% stake in Jilong Copper Industry, which is a major contributor to its profits, and plans to continue supporting Jilong's operational development [4][5] Group 3: Investment Activities - Cangge Mining announced plans to invest up to 659 million yuan in the Jiangsu Zangqing New Energy Industry Development Fund, which focuses on equity investments in salt lake lithium mining companies [8] - The first investment target of the Jiangsu Zangqing Fund is the acquisition of controlling interest in the Mami Cuo Salt Lake, which has proven lithium chloride resources of approximately 250.11 thousand tons [9][10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Zijin Mining's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 55.5% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a 57.1% increase in Q3 alone, driven by rising gold prices and production [1] - The gold segment has become the largest profit contributor, with Q3 gold gross profit accounting for 45.7%, surpassing the copper segment's 36.2% [1] - Zijin Mining's gold production reached 65 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a 20% increase year-on-year, while copper production was 830,000 tons, up 5% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The company is focusing on exploration and mergers & acquisitions as dual growth drivers, alongside plans to list Zijin Gold International and reassess overseas gold assets [1] - Due to the growth in copper and gold production and rising prices, the profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised upwards to 51.9 billion, 66.3 billion, and 70.8 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15x, 12x, and 11x based on the closing price on October 17 [1] - The article maintains a "recommended" rating for Zijin Mining [1]

Summary of Zijin Mining Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining - **Industry**: Mining (Gold, Copper, Lithium) Key Financial Highlights - **Revenue**: 221.1 billion CNY for the first three quarters, up 55% year-on-year [2][3] - **Net Profit**: 34.1 billion CNY, a 44% increase year-on-year [2][3] - **Operating Cash Flow**: 52.1 billion CNY, up 44% year-on-year [2][3] - **Cash Balance**: 61.5 billion CNY at the end of the period [2][3] - **Debt Ratio**: Decreased to 53%, down 2.18 percentage points from the previous year [3] Gold Business Performance - **Gold Production**: 65 tons, a 20% increase year-on-year [2][5] - **Third Quarter Gold Production**: 24 tons [5] - **Zijin Gold International IPO**: Successfully listed in Hong Kong, raising 28.7 billion HKD, making it the largest gold IPO globally [2][5] - **Future Gold Production Target**: Aiming for 100-110 tons by 2028, with expected production of nearly 50 tons in 2025 after the acquisition of the Akin Mine [6][5] Cost and Profitability - **Sales Cost Increase**: Unit sales costs have risen, but gross margins remain high [7][8] - **Gold Ingot Gross Margin**: 55.8% [7] - **Copper Products Gross Margins**: Copper concentrate at 64.77%, electrolytic copper at 47.21% [8] Copper Production Outlook - **2025 Copper Production Target**: Originally planned for 1.15 million tons, now expected to be around 1.1 million tons [14][15] - **2028 Copper Production Goal**: Targeting 1.5 to 1.6 million tons, with growth driven by projects in Tibet and other regions [14][15] Lithium Strategy - **Lithium Production**: Significant focus on lithium, with projects in Tibet and Argentina [4][16] - **Cost Control**: Lithium production costs range from 35,000 to 60,000 CNY per ton depending on the project [20][21] Market Trends and Future Outlook - **Gold Price Trends**: Gold prices have increased by 61% in 2025, with significant volatility expected [13] - **Copper Market Dynamics**: Anticipated price increase to over 12,000 USD per ton due to supply constraints and rising demand [22] - **Cost Management**: Company plans to optimize internal management and control costs through technological innovation [19] Additional Insights - **Non-Recurring Income**: Approximately 2.07 billion CNY in non-recurring income for the third quarter, primarily from financial asset changes [25] - **Profit Contribution**: Gold and copper each contributed about 38.5% to the overall profit in the third quarter [26] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting Zijin Mining's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and market outlook.

国际金价的上涨，成为了紫金矿业盈利、市值提升最好的催化剂。 紫金矿业上周末披露的三季报显示，当期归母净利润增长55.5%至378.6亿元，其中第三季度净利润达到145.7亿元，再次刷新历史最好成绩。 而就公司两大主营产品铜、金价格走势来看，年内金价涨幅明显大于铜价，这使得今年公司黄金业务利润占比不断提升。"2025前三季度矿产金占集团毛 利比例已提升至40.4%，成为公司第一大盈利来源。"西部证券指出。 10月以来，国际金价仍在不断走高，使紫金矿业的上述业绩驱动逻辑得以持续，甚至不排除四季度盈利进一步增长的可能。 三季报披露后，包括西部证券在内的机构亦将紫金矿业全年盈利预期上调至510亿元，预计公司今年净利润甚至有望杀入A股前20。 强劲的业绩增长，也刺激着紫金矿业等黄金企业股价不断走高。自然资源部近期转发文章显示，在全球最大的50家矿企中，今年涨幅居前的企业大多为金 银企业，紫金矿业年内涨幅也远超必和必拓、力拓。 不过，四季度以来，二级市场出现了一些新的变化，黄金股不再跟随金价继续上涨。 10月初至今，伦敦金现货继续冲高，紫金矿业、山东黄金等个股则是冲高回落，股价与金价出现了阶段性背离。 利润"含金量"提升 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has reported significant revenue and profit growth for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by soaring gold and silver prices, as well as moderate copper sales growth [2][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Zijin Mining's revenue increased by 10.33% year-on-year to 254.2 billion RMB, while the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 43.71% to 34.1 billion RMB [2]. - In Q3 2025, revenue rose by 8.14% year-on-year to 86.5 billion RMB, and the net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 50.37% to 12.5 billion RMB [6]. Gold and Silver Business - Gold production increased by 19.68% year-on-year to 64.95 tons, exceeding the annual target, with significant contributions from newly acquired and commissioned mines [3]. - The sales volume of gold bars rose by 19.88% to 34.43 tons, and the sales price increased by 44.42%, leading to a gross margin improvement of 11.22 percentage points to 55.79% [3]. - Silver production grew by 2.16% to 327.58 tons, with a sales price increase of 31.81%, resulting in a gross margin rise of 6.34 percentage points to 66.08% [4]. Copper Business - Copper concentrate sales increased by 5.78% to 496,800 tons, but the gross margin slightly declined by 1.81 percentage points to 64.77% due to rising costs [5]. International Operations - Zijin Gold International, a subsidiary, was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving a market capitalization of approximately 381.4 billion HKD, which is 43.88% of Zijin Mining's H-share market value [8]. - For the first three quarters, Zijin Gold International reported revenue of 3.415 billion USD (approximately 243.31 billion RMB) and a net profit of 905 million USD (approximately 64.48 billion RMB) [8]. Market Reaction - Despite strong financial results, the stock prices of Zijin Mining and Zijin Gold International fell, attributed to a recent decline in gold prices [9][11]. - The overall market for gold stocks experienced a downturn, with other companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold and Lingbao Gold also seeing significant declines [12]. Conclusion - Zijin Mining demonstrated robust operational capabilities with over 250 billion RMB in revenue and over 50% net profit growth, while Zijin Gold International showcased its investment value with a doubling market cap and superior profit margins [13].

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that Zijin Mining's net income for the first nine months totaled 37.9 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 55%, while recurring net profit reached 34.1 billion, up 44% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 14.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 11%, surpassing Citigroup's estimates primarily due to fair value changes [1] - The updated earnings forecasts for Zijin Mining for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been raised by Citigroup to 18%, 37%, and 23%, resulting in projected profits of 51 billion, 63.5 billion, and 68.6 billion respectively, driven by upward revisions in copper and gold price forecasts as well as gold sales volume [1] Target Price Adjustments - Citigroup has revised its target price for Zijin Mining's H-shares from 26.3 HKD to 39 HKD and for A-shares from 23.9 CNY to 35.5 CNY, maintaining a "Buy" rating and initiating a 90-day positive catalyst observation [1]

花旗发表研报指，紫金矿业首九个月净收入总计379亿元，按年增长55%，经常性净利润总计341亿元， 按年增长44%。今年第三季净利润为146亿元，按年增长57%及按季增长11%，高于该行预估，主要因公 允价值变动收益。 花旗更新对紫金矿业模型，将H股目标价从26.3港元上调至39港元，A股目标价从23.9元上调至35.5元， 同维持"买入"评级，并开启90天正面催化剂观察。花旗将紫金矿业2025至2027财年各年盈利预测分别上 调至18%、37%、23%，至510亿、635亿及686亿元，因铜及金价格预测上调及金销售量预测上调。 ...