Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View The report aims to systematically explain the design logic and usage method of the "Daily Chart" for ETFs from a multi - dimensional perspective to assist investors in asset allocation. The "Daily Chart" uses five indicators, namely "bottom consolidation - stage volume increase - theme catalysis - homogeneous comparison - liquidity optimization", to screen ETFs with potential return elasticity in the future. The screening framework focuses on "low - level consolidation, volume confirmation, theme catalysis, homogeneous de - duplication, and liquidity implementation" to form an operable, reviewable, and iterable ETF candidate list [1]. Summary by Directory 1 ETF Market Expansion Since the beginning of this year, the domestic ETF market has expanded in terms of product supply and trading demand. Different types of ETFs such as broad - based, industry, theme, bond, QDII, and commodity have been continuously refined. ETFs have become the optimal tool for obtaining index exposure during periods of rapid style rotation and frequent structural market conditions. They are more advantageous in asset allocation compared to individual stocks, better meeting the investment needs of trading and allocation funds [9]. 2 Screening Logic - **Low - level Consolidation**: Select ETFs with returns in the bottom 50% in the past month, excluding those affected by suspension and abnormal market conditions, to avoid chasing high and focus on ETFs with potential for valuation and popularity restoration [14]. - **Volume Confirmation**: After the initial screening, choose ETFs with a volume increase of at least 15% compared to ten trading days ago. Volume increase indicates a rise in participants and trading willingness, an improvement in risk preference and a shift in capital attention, as well as an improvement in trading order and liquidity [15]. - **Theme Catalysis**: In the context of theme rotation, use quantitative methods to select high - purity industry - theme ETFs. A penetration - based screening mechanism is set to require at least three of the top ten weighted stocks of candidate ETFs to belong to high - heat theme sectors, ensuring their high - purity tracking of theme markets [16]. - **Homogeneous Comparison**: In the same tracking index group, only retain the ETF with the highest trading volume on the day to reduce impact costs and execution uncertainties [17]. - **Liquidity Implementation**: Set a liquidity threshold, requiring the trading volume of ETFs to be no less than 100 million yuan to ensure their tradability and carrying capacity [18]. - **Final Result**: After the above screening, comprehensively evaluate the qualified samples based on multiple dimensions such as strength continuation, theme resonance, capital acceptance, and trading feasibility. Form a daily list of the top 20 ETFs with the greatest upward potential, which is automatically generated by existing models or processes [19]. 3 Multi - dimensional Perspective of ETF Daily Chart After the market closes, update the data based on the closing price and trading volume of the day. First, standardize the data of all market equity - based ETFs, then review the performance in the past month, the disclosure of the top ten weights, the intraday changes in trading volume and scale, and the consistency between the premium/discount and the tracking index. Apply the five screening criteria to the sample space to select 20 representative ETFs (if more than 20 meet the requirements). When viewing the "Daily Chart", start from the right. The redder the "One - month return" is, the smaller the subsequent upward space; the bluer it is, the greater the potential elasticity. Check the "Main capital net inflow ratio" to verify capital acceptance, ensure the "Trading volume" is above 100 million yuan, and avoid ETFs with large price increases and abnormal premium/discount expansion on the day. Only select the ETF with the highest trading volume in the same tracking index group [20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 23.46 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.93%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.744 billion yuan, up 33.44% year-on-year [2][4] - The improvement in C3 price spreads and the release of benefits from new projects contributed to the growth in H1 2025 [2][3] - The company is advancing new projects systematically, enhancing its integrated advantages in the C2 and C3 sectors, and focusing on high-value downstream applications [3][4] - The company is committed to technological innovation, with R&D expenditures of 773 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a R&D expense ratio of 3.29% [4][8] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 234.60 billion yuan and a net profit of 27.44 billion yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 8.61% [1][2] - The gross profit margin was 20.56%, a decrease of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 1.11 percentage points to 11.69% [1][2] - For Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 111.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.05%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.72% [1][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.35 billion yuan, 7.72 billion yuan, and 9.70 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.89 yuan, 2.29 yuan, and 2.88 yuan [9][11] - The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 10.87 for 2025, 8.95 for 2026, and 7.12 for 2027, indicating significant growth potential [9][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 265 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 2747.64% [1] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing policy support for the ultra-high-definition video industry, with expectations of substantial growth driven by the integration of 5G, AI, and ultra-high-definition technologies [3][4] - The company is actively integrating AI technology into its core products, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and drive future growth [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 56.86%, a decrease of 8.94 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 6.26%, an increase of 6.13 percentage points [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 134 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.07%, and a net profit of 9 million yuan, marking a turnaround from a loss [1] Product Segmentation - Revenue from video technology products and services was 90 million yuan, up 8.33% year-on-year, accounting for 34.01% of total revenue [2] - The information service terminal revenue surged to 57 million yuan, a 272.85% increase, representing 21.46% of total revenue [2] - Public safety products generated 22 million yuan, a 5.24% increase, while broadband access equipment revenue rose by 38.40% to 19 million yuan [2] Market Outlook - The year 2025 is designated as the "Year of Ultra-High Definition Development" in China, with expectations for the industry to exceed 7 trillion yuan in scale, creating a favorable environment for the company's core business growth [3] - The company is leveraging its unique position in the emergency safety sector, being one of the few manufacturers with comprehensive capabilities in emergency broadcasting solutions [3] AI Integration - The company is advancing its AI technology integration across various applications, including video content recognition and smart editing, which is expected to yield new product offerings and enhance operational efficiency [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 60 million, 70 million, and 80 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 142, 118, and 102 [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the report industry investment rating. Core View of the Report The new fund fee rate regulations may cause pressure on the liability side of the bond market. However, from the market performance on the first trading day (September 8) after the release of the draft for soliciting opinions on the new regulations, 1.80% still constitutes an upper - limit resistance level that is difficult for the 10 - year Treasury bond to break through, indicating that the pressure from the new regulations may have been digested to some extent in the short term [1][3][35]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. How to Understand the Impact of the New Fund Fee Rate Regulations on the Bond Market? 1.1 New Regulation Details and Fee Reduction Impact Calculation - The third stage of the public fund fee reform is being implemented. On September 5, 2025, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the "Regulations on the Administration of Sales Fees of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)" [10]. - The new regulations mainly reduce sales - link fees such as subscription/purchase/sales service fees, with the greatest impact on fund sales institutions. The new regulations cover six major aspects: reducing subscription rates, optimizing redemption fee arrangements, standardizing sales service fees, focusing on individual customers, and clarifying the legal status of platforms [11]. - Seven key concerns of the new regulations: - Direct sales are free of subscription/purchase/sales fees, reducing the direct - sales business income of fund companies. For example, fund managers cannot charge subscription (purchase) fees or sales service fees when selling their managed funds [16]. - The upper - limit standards for subscription and purchase of three major types of funds are uniformly lowered, reducing the income of sales institutions in the subscription and purchase links. Retail - customer - dominated institutions may be more affected. For instance, the upper - limit subscription/purchase rates for stock - type, hybrid - type, and bond - type funds are reduced to 0.8%, 0.5%, and 0.3% respectively [16]. - Long - term investors can be exempt from back - end subscription/purchase fees, encouraging long - term holding of funds [21]. - Redemption fees are fully included in the fund property instead of belonging to sales institutions, making the "high - turnover" sales model unfeasible [22]. - Bond funds and FOFs are also subject to redemption fees, increasing the cost of earning additional income through band - trading in off - exchange funds and encouraging long - term investment [24]. - The client maintenance fees for institutional clients are significantly reduced, especially for bond - type and money - market funds, where the trailing commission for institutional clients is reduced to 15%, which may significantly reduce the willingness of some institutions to sell bond funds and money - market funds [25]. - Institutions are encouraged to use the unified direct - sales platform FISP, which will significantly reduce the income of third - party platforms relying on institutional sales [26]. 1.2 How to View the Impact of the New Regulations on the Bond Market - The impact of the new regulations on the bond market mainly lies in two aspects: the increase in redemption fees for bond funds and money - market funds, and the reduction of the trailing commission for institutional clients to 15%. - The new regulations may further weaken the investment income of bond funds, and the liability side of bond funds may be diverted to equity - type hybrid funds or wealth management products. The reduction of trailing commissions may also reduce the willingness of fund sales institutions to sell bond funds and money - market funds [30]. - If funds flow from bond funds and money - market funds to wealth management products or bank deposits, there will be changes in the investor structure and preferred bond types in the bond market. If funds flow to equity - containing funds and the stock market, the frictions in the capital and liability sides of the bond market will be more obvious. - Overall, although the new regulations bring certain liability - side pressure, the pressure may have been digested in the short term. The report maintains the view in the previous report, suggesting that the bond market this year may be similar to the first half of 2015, with a long - lasting volatile market. Looking forward, the 10 - year Treasury bond may fluctuate in the range of 1.70% - 1.80%, and the 30 - year Treasury bond may fluctuate in the range of 1.95% - 2.05%. It is advisable to increase positions at the upper limit and take profits at the lower limit [35].

Market Overview - On September 8, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.38%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.16%, the STAR 50 went up by 0.58%, the CSI 1000 climbed by 0.9%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.84%. The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.85% [3][4]. - The best-performing sectors on September 8 were basic chemicals (+2.85%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (+2.68%), machinery and equipment (+2.4%), media (+2.3%), and beauty and personal care (+2.03%). The worst-performing sectors were telecommunications (-3.47%), comprehensive (-1.52%), non-bank financials (-0.64%), banking (-0.59%), and electronics remained flat [3][4]. - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market on September 8 was 24,631 billion yuan, with net inflow from southbound funds amounting to 16.705 billion HKD [3][4]. Key Recommendations - The report highlights Yihua Da (301029) as a leading one-stop provider of FA parts in China, with growth potential driven by its FB and overseas business [2][5]. - The performance of the company is supported by an upturn in its downstream industries, with the photovoltaic sector expected to reach a turning point [5]. - The revenue forecast for Yihua Da from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 2,954.60 million yuan, 3,581.70 million yuan, and 4,197.40 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 18.00%, 21.00%, and 17.00%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 498.50 million yuan, 620.60 million yuan, and 742.30 million yuan, with growth rates of 23.00%, 25.00%, and 20.00% [5].

Market Overview - On September 8, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.38%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.16%, the STAR 50 gained 0.58%, the CSI 1000 went up by 0.9%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.84%. The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.85% [4][5]. - The best-performing sectors on September 8 were basic chemicals (+2.85%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (+2.68%), machinery and equipment (+2.4%), media (+2.3%), and beauty and personal care (+2.03%). The worst-performing sectors were telecommunications (-3.47%), comprehensive (-1.52%), non-bank financials (-0.64%), banking (-0.59%), and electronics remained flat [4][5]. - The total trading volume of the A-share market on September 8 was 24,631 billion, with a net inflow of 16.705 billion HKD from southbound funds [4][5]. Important Recommendations - The report highlights the company Yihua Da (301029) as a leading one-stop provider of FA parts in China, with growth potential from its FB and overseas business. Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 2,954.60 million, 3,581.70 million, and 4,197.40 million respectively, with revenue growth rates of 18.00%, 21.00%, and 17.00%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 498.50 million, 620.60 million, and 742.30 million, with growth rates of 23.00%, 25.00%, and 20.00% respectively. Earnings per share are projected at 0.80, 1.00, and 1.20 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 31.00, 25.00, and 21.00 [6][7]. Industry Insights - The gaming sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with the A-share gaming sector's revenue growing by 22.8% year-on-year in the first half of the year. The sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, driven by EPS expectations and low current valuations [3][6]. - The report indicates that the gaming sector could reach a P/E valuation of 20 times by 2026, with the current average valuation around 16 times [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 260 million yuan, up 15% year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on the "laser + superconducting" business, which is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities, with projected net profits of 460 million yuan, 630 million yuan, and 810 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 91%, 37%, and 28% respectively [6] Business Segments Summary Superconducting Business - The superconducting business is expanding into commercial aerospace applications, including a recent project win for a low-temperature cooling system and superconducting magnet development [3] - A partnership with China National Nuclear Corporation aims to build a fusion-fission hybrid experimental reactor, with total investment expected to exceed 20 billion yuan [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from domestic controlled nuclear fusion project tenders, as superconducting magnets represent a significant cost component in fusion equipment [3] Laser Business - The laser series and traditional LED chip revenue reached 130 million yuan in H1 2025, a substantial increase of 177% year-on-year [4] - The company is expanding its client base to include military, educational institutions, and research organizations, with plans for global market expansion [4] Traditional Business - The smart controller segment is being developed for applications in new energy vehicles and industrial control, enhancing the company's competitive edge in specialized equipment [5] - Structural optimization efforts are yielding results, focusing on high-potential products such as backlighting for tablets, automotive, and industrial control [5]

Core Insights - The Chinese medicine industry is expected to witness a performance turning point, with the sector likely to attract more investment due to its stable cash flow, high dividends, and low volatility in profit growth. The revenue and net profit growth rates for Q2 2025 improved compared to Q1 2025, and a further improvement is anticipated in H2 2025 due to reduced cost pressures from declining Chinese medicinal material prices [3][6]. Semi-Annual Report Overview - The semi-annual reports of Chinese medicine companies faced significant pressure, but nearly half of the companies (28 out of 60) achieved positive growth in net profit after excluding non-recurring items through proactive quality improvement and efficiency enhancement. Companies like Te Yi Pharmaceutical, Jia Ying Pharmaceutical, and Enwei Pharmaceutical reported double-digit growth in both revenue and net profit [10][11]. - Channel inventory has decreased, indicating a potential for sustained improvement in profitability. The index is steadily recovering, but institutional holdings remain light, with the dynamic price-to-earnings ratio at a low since 2021 [13][15][18]. Key Indicator Tracking - Flu data has stabilized, alleviating revenue growth pressures. The price index of Chinese medicinal materials has declined, which is expected to ease gross margin pressures [24][27]. - As of H1 2025, the average turnover days for accounts receivable and notes receivable are below 60 days, with companies like Xin Guang Pharmaceutical and Dong E E Jiao showing continuous improvement since 2020 [14]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Core Holdings: Dong E E Jiao, Ling Rui Pharmaceutical, Yunnan Baiyao - Innovative Gems: Kang Yuan Pharmaceutical, Tian Shi Li - Long-term Value: Tong Ren Tang, Pian Zai Huang [6][31].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that the restaurant industry is currently in a valuation trough, with significant recovery potential driven by demand and supply dynamics [1][6] - The tea beverage segment is leading the recovery, with major brands like Gu Ming and Mi Xue Bing Cheng showing positive growth in the first half of 2025, while Western fast food and casual dining are expected to stabilize by mid to late 2025 [1][2] - The average customer spending for leading brands has shown a year-on-year increase of 1% to 5%, indicating a stabilization trend after a two-year decline [1][2] Group 2 - The report anticipates that by the second half of 2025, most brands will achieve same-store sales stability or growth, aided by easing downward pressure on average spending and lower year-on-year comparison bases [2][3] - The restaurant sector is gradually returning to a net opening cycle, with tea beverage brands leading the way in new store openings, while Western fast food and casual dining brands are also expected to increase their store counts [2][3] - The report emphasizes that the second half of 2025 will be crucial for the tea beverage industry, as many franchise agreements are set to expire, potentially leading to a surge in quality supply and market opportunities for leading brands [3] Group 3 - The investment strategy suggests that the restaurant sector is currently undervalued, making it an attractive investment opportunity, especially as leading brands begin to show positive same-store sales growth [6][7] - Specific companies like Hai Di Lao and Yum China are highlighted for their potential to benefit from a strong consumer recovery, with Hai Di Lao expected to see significant improvements in turnover rates and new store openings [6][7] - Other notable companies such as Gu Ming and Mi Xue are projected to maintain high growth rates due to their strong operational capabilities and market positioning [7][8]

证券研究报告 | 策略深度报告 | 中国策略 增量资金如何塑造牛市风格？ ——中国 A 股历史上第一次"系统性'慢'牛"（四） 核心观点 时势造英雄，本轮牛市的风格和节奏一定程度由增量资金决定。我们对主动权益基金、 ETF 资金、个人投资者、保险及银行理财子、外资、量化基金、私募基金等各路资金 的影响力和行为模式做深度剖析，核心切入点包括：规模观测指标、适宜的宏观环境、 投资风格与典型因子、代表指数、投资表现、定价权历史复盘及未来流入展望。我们 发现：主动权益基金配置吸引力回升，ETF 资金担当市场稳定器，个人投资者以趋势 为王，保险及银行理财子进行股债平衡，外资成交活跃度抬升，量化基金享受流动性。 主动权益基金：发行和业绩双双改善，配置吸引力回升 2025 年以来，偏好景气赛道/大盘成长风格的主动权益基金发行规模已明显回暖， 且在全部新发基金中的占比进一步回升，赚钱效应也较 2022 年-2024 年显著改观， 主动股基、偏股混合等部分代表性指数大幅跑赢沪深 300。历史上看，牛市处于中 后期时居民存款通常会因较强的投资吸引力而加速流入主动权益基金。伴随市场 稳步向上运行、中长期趋势良好，主动权益基金业绩改 ...