Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The essence of the victory narrative lies in the logic that victory equals justice, which is closer to a communication concept. The probability of continuous easing of Sino-US relations may be higher than that of escalation of confrontation. Steepening the US Treasury yield curve may have high cost-effectiveness, and interest rate cuts and order shocks are expected to form a double drive for the gold price [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Victory Narrative Connotation - The victory narrative requires both "substance" and "appearance." The Trump administration seizes every political achievement for publicity to create a "substance" of victory and maximizes the use of ambiguous events through public opinion to form the "appearance" of victory. It is more of a communication concept, with objective facts as the basis and "secondary processing" as the key [2][15]. Victory Narrative Essence - The essence is the narrative logic that victory equals justice. The Trump administration needs to strengthen the victory narrative because Trump's maverick style conflicts with traditional politicians, and the internal camp opposition in the US is intensifying. The Trump administration emphasizes material interests and downplays ideology, and needs continuous victory to justify its actions and boost market sentiment [3][17]. Sino-US Relations from the Perspective of Victory Narrative - The complementary economic characteristics of China and the US are the basis for judging the current Sino-US relations. The inflation problem in the US hinders Trump's interest rate cut proposal, while stable or expanding Chinese exports to the US can help ease US inflation. Based on Trump's policy demands and the economic environment, the probability of continuous easing of Sino-US relations is higher than that of escalation of confrontation [4][27]. Trends of Major Asset Classes under the Background of Victory Narrative - For short - duration US Treasuries, the key is how much interest rate cut expectations are included in the current interest rate; for long - duration US Treasuries, risks such as secondary inflation from tariffs and fiscal deficit monetization cannot be ignored. A strategy of going long on short - duration and short on long - duration to steepen the curve may have high cost - effectiveness. For gold, interest rate cuts and order shocks are expected to form a double drive [5].

Market Overview - On September 1, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.46%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.6%, the STAR Market 50 climbed by 1.18%, the CSI 1000 went up by 0.84%, the ChiNext Index surged by 2.29%, and the Hang Seng Index gained 2.15% [4][3] - The best-performing sectors on September 1 were telecommunications (+5.22%), comprehensive (+4.27%), non-ferrous metals (+3.46%), pharmaceutical biology (+2.79%), and electronics (+1.42%). The worst-performing sectors included non-bank financials (-1.28%), banking (-1.03%), household appliances (-0.54%), transportation (-0.51%), and automotive (-0.45%) [4][3] - The total trading volume of the A-share market on September 1 was 27,776 billion yuan, with a net inflow of southbound funds amounting to 11.942 billion HKD [4][3] Company Recommendation - The report focuses on Great Wall Motors (601633), emphasizing its product advantages and the exploration of a differentiated new track in "high-end + overseas" markets [2] - Revenue projections for Great Wall Motors from 2025 to 2027 are 242,708.36 million yuan, 282,584.78 million yuan, and 345,809.07 million yuan, with growth rates of 20.04%, 16.43%, and 22.37% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 16,924.67 million yuan, 19,374.99 million yuan, and 23,567.12 million yuan, with growth rates of 33.35%, 14.48%, and 21.64% respectively. Earnings per share are projected to be 1.98 yuan, 2.26 yuan, and 2.75 yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 13.07, 11.42, and 9.39 [5][6] - The recommendation logic highlights a clear product positioning focusing on Haval SUVs, rugged off-road vehicles, and high-end new energy segments to create a competitive advantage [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and a significant drop in net profit due to challenges in the home furnishing sector, with total revenue of 315.32 billion yuan, down 1.16% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 841 million yuan, down 29.87% [1] - The supply chain operations remained stable, contributing 267.84 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 1.62%, and a net profit of 1.42 billion yuan, roughly unchanged from the previous year [1] - The real estate segment saw a revenue drop of 13.83% to 44.14 billion yuan, with a minimal net profit of 11 million yuan [1] - The rental and operation business of Meikailong generated over 200 million yuan in operating profit, but the fair value of investment properties decreased by over 2 billion yuan due to lower-than-expected rental growth, leading to a net loss of 2 billion yuan for Meikailong [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 17.9 billion yuan, an improvement compared to 22.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2024 [2] - The company maintained a robust cash position, allowing for a dividend of 0.7 yuan per share in 2025, indicating a high safety margin [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate segment's profit contribution fell from 155 million yuan in the first half of 2024 to 11 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with significant improvements noted in the fundamentals of the Lianfa Group [3] - Total contract sales amounted to 13.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.19%, with equity sales reaching 8.96 billion yuan, up 56.27% [3] - The land reserve structure improved significantly, with over 79% of the land value in first- and second-tier cities, an increase of 13.61 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3][4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain its ability to pay a dividend of 0.7 yuan per share in 2025, with a stock price target of 10-11 yuan, corresponding to a safety margin of 6-7% [5] - The marginal improvements in the real estate chain of Lianfa Group in sales and land reserves are expected to support future earnings recovery [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][4] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.38 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.39%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 117 million yuan, up 7.53% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 33.68%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 2025 gross margin reaching 34.68%, up 2.58 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company expects revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.948 billion, 3.291 billion, and 3.659 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.20%, 11.64%, and 11.17% [3][9] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's operating income was 1.38 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 9.63%, slightly down by 0.06 percentage points year-on-year [2][8] - The company reported a mid-term cash dividend rate of 48% [8] - The revenue from the compound seasoning business was 630 million yuan, growing 4.06% year-on-year, while the light cooking solutions segment saw revenue of 636 million yuan, up 13.94% year-on-year, accounting for 46.10% of total revenue [8] Business Segmentation - The direct sales revenue in H1 2025 was 1.131 billion yuan, an increase of 9.95% year-on-year, while non-direct sales revenue was 215 million yuan, up 2.49% year-on-year [8] - The overseas revenue showed significant growth, with H1 2025 revenue from East China, South China, North China, Central China, Northeast, Southwest, Northwest, and overseas markets being 1.073 billion, 77 million, 75 million, 35 million, 37 million, 18 million, 12 million, and 19 million yuan, respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company reported revenue and profit exceeding expectations, with ICT infrastructure and services revenue increasing to 76% of total revenue [1] - The subsidiary, H3C, experienced significant revenue growth driven by government and enterprise business, with a 37.75% year-on-year increase [2] - The company is expected to increase its market share in AI servers, supported by a substantial rise in inventory and contract liabilities [3] - The company continues to deepen its "AI in ALL" strategy, achieving high growth in overseas markets and launching new AI products [4] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a steady increase in net profit from 21.4 billion to 31.3 billion from 2025 to 2027 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 474.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.96%, with net profit reaching 10.41 billion, up 4.05% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 266.35 billion, reflecting a 27.17% year-on-year growth [1] Business Segments - H3C's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 364.04 billion, with domestic government and enterprise business growing by 53.55% [2] - The company is expected to benefit from increased capital expenditure in AI infrastructure by leading domestic internet companies [2] Inventory and Liabilities - As of June 2025, the company's inventory reached 438 billion, an increase of 70 billion from the end of 2024, indicating a potential increase in AI GPU chip stock [3] - Contract liabilities also rose to 159 billion, suggesting strong future revenue potential [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company launched new AI products that significantly enhance training and inference efficiency, and it continues to expand its global presence [4] - Strategic partnerships have been established with leading ISVs in various countries to enhance its international market reach [4] Profit Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits of 21.4 billion, 28.1 billion, and 31.3 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 37 to 25 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company is expected to see a performance turning point starting in Q2, with significant improvements in revenue and profit margins [1] - The data service segment has seen a doubling of new orders year-on-year, particularly in the U.S. market, indicating strong growth potential [2] - The industrial segment's revenue has nearly doubled, driven by substantial growth in the power and energy sector [3] - The specialty segment is anticipated to improve in the second half of the year following the launch of a new production base [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave and ongoing investments in new energy sectors, with robust order backlogs [5] Financial Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29%, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 36% [1] - The company forecasts revenues of 4.158 billion yuan, 5.520 billion yuan, and 6.886 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 282 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 518 million yuan [5][13] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 75, 55, and 41 respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company is leveraging dual drivers from robotics and commercial aerospace, with comprehensive layouts in harmonic drives, dexterous hands, and sensors [1] - The company has established a three-tier growth curve focusing on EGR systems, new energy vehicle drive motors, and precision components, while actively expanding into aerospace and humanoid robotics [15] Summary by Sections Robotics: Layout of Harmonic Drives, Dexterous Hands, and Sensors - The company has strengthened its position in harmonic drives through its subsidiary, Weihan Intelligent, which focuses on precision harmonic drives and integrated joint actuators [16][19] - A strategic investment in Diedong Technology has been made to develop high-performance visual tactile sensors, which are crucial for robotic applications [29] - The dexterous hand developed by the company features a lightweight visual tactile skin, significantly enhancing performance compared to traditional sensors [35] New Energy Motor Components Business - The company has upgraded its motor core components to semi-assembly, significantly increasing product value and competitiveness [3] - The establishment of a new production base for lightweight components in Chongqing is set to enhance the company's capabilities in the new energy vehicle sector [42] Commercial Aerospace - The company has formed a strategic partnership with Galaxy Aerospace, focusing on the development of core precision components for satellite energy, communication, and control modules [50] - The business volume for satellite modules and drone projects has doubled in the first half of 2025, indicating strong growth potential [52] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 32.38 billion, 42.33 billion, and 53.42 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.1%, 30.7%, and 26.2% [8][56] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.11 billion, 4.19 billion, and 5.13 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 38.4%, 34.9%, and 22.4% respectively [8][56] Market Position - The company has successfully integrated into the supply chains of major clients in the automotive and aerospace sectors, enhancing its market presence and competitive edge [7][53] - The company’s stock is currently valued at a PE ratio of 31.6 for 2025, which is competitive compared to similar companies in the industry [56]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 840 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million yuan, up 17.6% year-on-year [1] - The online channel continues to drive growth, with e-commerce revenue reaching 300 million yuan in H1 2025, a significant increase of 86.9% year-on-year, while offline revenue remained stable at 540 million yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on new product launches, particularly in the medical research category, which is expected to enhance growth and optimize product structure [4] - The company is the absolute leader in the sensitive toothpaste market, with strong growth potential through product upgrades and market expansion [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the gross margin was 52.6%, an increase of 5.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 10.1%, a slight decrease of 0.18 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company forecasts revenues of 1.863 billion yuan, 2.191 billion yuan, and 2.574 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 196 million yuan, 235 million yuan, and 282 million yuan [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][6] Core Insights - The company's H1 2025 performance met market expectations, with rapid revenue growth and profit growth slightly lagging behind revenue growth. The company's konjac product line is experiencing rapid growth, and both bulk and quantitative distribution channels have performed well. The report is optimistic about the company's path of expanding product categories and channels while leveraging its supply chain advantages to build long-term competitive advantages [1][5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.94 billion yuan (up 19.6% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 373 million yuan (up 16.7% year-on-year). The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 334 million yuan (up 22.5% year-on-year). In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.4 billion yuan (up 13.5% year-on-year), with a net profit of 195 million yuan (up 21.7% year-on-year) [2][5] - The konjac product line continues to grow rapidly, achieving 790 million yuan in H1 2025. Other product categories such as soybean products, eggs, and deep-sea snacks also showed good growth, with year-on-year increases of 13%, 30%, and 12%, respectively [3][5] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 29.66% (down 2.87 percentage points year-on-year), while Q2 2025 gross margin was 30.97% (down 1.98 percentage points year-on-year). The slight year-on-year decline is mainly due to high raw material costs and channel structure adjustments. However, the gross margin improved by 2.5 percentage points from Q1 2025 to Q2 2025, reflecting the scale effect of the company's core products [4][5] Future Projections - The report slightly lowers the previous profit forecast, estimating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 6.248 billion, 7.295 billion, and 8.488 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.81%, 16.76%, and 16.35%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 810 million, 986 million, and 1.169 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 26.62%, 21.63%, and 18.64% [5][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company's revenue decline in Q2 has narrowed compared to previous quarters, with soy sauce and other product revenues showing signs of recovery [2] - The major shareholder's plan to increase their stake in the company reflects confidence in its long-term development [5] - The company is expected to experience a revenue decrease in 2025, followed by growth in subsequent years, with a projected net profit recovery [6] Revenue Analysis - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.6%, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 26.6% [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.03 billion yuan, a decline of 9.1%, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, down 31.6% [1] - Revenue breakdown by product for H1 2025 shows soy sauce at 1.3 billion yuan (-16.7%), chicken essence at 260 million yuan (-22.0%), cooking oil at 110 million yuan (-49.4%), and other products at 330 million yuan (-3.2%) [2] - Revenue by sales model indicates a decline in distribution revenue by 20.1% to 1.89 billion yuan, while direct sales increased by 35.7% to 100 million yuan in H1 2025 [2] Cost and Profitability - The gross margin improved to 39.0% in H1 2025, up 2.4 percentage points, while the net margin decreased to 12.1%, down 2.6 percentage points [4] - In Q2 2025, the gross margin further improved to 39.4%, with a net margin of 7.4%, reflecting the impact of lower raw material costs [4] Shareholder Confidence - The major shareholder, Huojuzhong Group, plans to increase its stake by investing between 200 million and 400 million yuan over the next 12 months, indicating strong confidence in the company's future [5] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 5.05 billion yuan in 2025, a decrease of 8.5%, followed by increases of 9.7% and 8.4% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [6] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 740 million yuan, down 17.3%, with expected recoveries of 16.0% and 11.7% in the following years [6]