Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Wondershare (300624.SZ) as it is categorized as "Not Covered" [1]. Core Insights - The management of Wondershare has a positive outlook on user base stickiness and revenue growth from entertainment applications, indicating strong user willingness to pay [7][8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its AI-Native applications and AI agent capabilities, with plans to upgrade AI algorithms based on user acceptance [1][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections User Base and Revenue Growth - Wondershare's user base is primarily supported by professional users, showing high stickiness and an upward trend in renewal rates, reflecting strong willingness to pay [7]. - Revenue from entertainment products like SelfyzAI and Media.io studio has been increasing rapidly over the past year, alongside efforts to attract new users [7]. AI-Native Applications and Market Outlook - There is strong user interest in AI-Native applications such as SelfyzAI, and the company plans to enhance awareness of its entertainment products [8]. - A prototype AI agent has been applied to Filmora, with ongoing development to meet commercial standards [8]. Company Profile - Wondershare specializes in multimedia, data recovery, and PDF solutions, actively integrating AI technologies into its flagship products [3]. - The company is investing in R&D for video and audio algorithms to enhance its AI software functions and is collaborating with external foundation models [3].

27 May 2025 | 4:57AM EDT Americas Transportation: US Tariff Impact Tracker – High Frequency Trends Relatively Quiet on Transition As We Await China Bump US Tariff Impact Tracker – Net-net, we saw a relatively quiet week on the data front, as we suspect the transition from a sharp reduction in China trade to a possible burst in activity post the 90-day pause announcement is still to come, based on comments by shippers, US transports, and container companies (i.e., an "air pocket" is possibly to occur first). ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Longcheer (603341.SS) but indicates a positive long-term growth outlook for the company [1][4]. Core Insights - Longcheer is positioned as a market leader in the smartphone ODM sector with a global market share of 33% in 2024, although margins are currently affected by rising raw material costs [4][8]. - The company is optimistic about new business segments, particularly AI glasses and automotive electronics, which are expected to drive future growth [1][8]. - Management anticipates a recovery in margins in 2025 as raw material prices normalize, despite a saturated smartphone market [4][8]. Summary by Sections Smartphone ODM Outlook - Longcheer's smartphone ODM business holds a 33% global market share as of 2024, reflecting its leadership position [4]. - Current margins are pressured by increased raw material costs, but a recovery is expected in 2025 as prices stabilize [4]. - The smartphone market is viewed as saturated, yet AI applications may provide avenues for growth [4][8]. Development of New Business - The AI glasses segment is expected to see increased demand in 2025, supported by new foundational models [8]. - The penetration rate for AI PCs is projected to rise, contributing to a product replacement cycle [8]. - Longcheer's smart cockpit products are in testing and have begun to enter local car OEMs, indicating growth potential in automotive electronics [8].

27 May 2025 | 5:38AM BST Europe Retail Mid-Year European Retail Outlook & Strategy: Having lowered European consumer HAC to c.+2%, we focus on four themes for 2025 HAC update: Our 2025 HAC forecasts are now Germany +2.3%, UK +1.7%, and France +1.2%, largely reflecting differences in wage inflation and, in all cases, assuming the recent material savings rate increases stabilise across the year. In this context, we look at 4 themes for the second half of 2025: promotion mix). Notably, Ahold flag their persona ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [1]. Core Insights - The UK clothing market experienced a year-over-year growth of +1.4% for the 12 weeks ending April 27, compared to +0.9% in the previous period [1]. - Notable performers include M&S with +11.5% growth, Primark at +3.1%, and Next at +2% [1]. - Zara led with a remarkable +16.1% growth year-over-year, while H&M reported +8.9% [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Performance - The UK clothing market's growth of +1.4% year-over-year is an improvement from +0.9% in the prior 12 weeks [1]. - Pre-COVID comparisons show a +3.3% growth stack versus +4.5% previously [1]. Company-Specific Performance - **Primark**: Achieved +3.1% year-over-year growth, a recovery from -0.2% in the previous period. Market share increased by +11 basis points to 6.7% [4]. - **M&S**: Reported +11.5% growth, up from +8.8% in the previous period. Market share rose by +99 basis points to 11% [4]. - **Next**: Recorded +2% growth, with market share increasing by +6 basis points to 9.3% [4]. - **Zara**: Achieved +16.1% growth year-over-year, with a pre-COVID growth of +78.9% [4]. - **H&M**: Reported +8.9% growth year-over-year, with a pre-COVID growth of +4.4% [4]. Future Projections - Forecasts for Inditex suggest a +5.1% growth in 1Q26E, while H&M is expected to see +1% growth in 2Q25E [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) with a 12-month price target of $191, indicating an upside of 8.4% from the current price of $176.12 [33] Core Insights - ICE's Energy business is projected to continue its robust growth trajectory, supported by structural tailwinds such as the globalization of natural gas, increasing Brent dominance, and the U.S. administration's push for energy exports [2][4] - The Mortgage segment is showing signs of improvement, with management confident in capturing a larger share of the $14 billion revenue total addressable market (TAM) as industry headwinds diminish [24] - The Fixed Income & Data Services segment is expected to achieve over 5% growth driven by unique data offerings and increasing demand for analytics [29][31] Summary by Sections Energy Business - ICE's Energy revenues are on track for another record year, with over $2 billion in annual revenues, accounting for more than 20% of total revenues and over 25% of operating income [2] - Year-to-date growth in Energy revenues exceeds 20%, following a 25% growth last year and 29% growth in 2023 [2] - The firm anticipates continued growth in LNG and natural gas benchmarks, with TTF volumes up approximately 30% year-to-date [4][15] Mortgage Segment - The mortgage business has undergone significant transformation, with management seeing early signs of idiosyncratic growth that could outweigh broader industry challenges [24] - Recent improvements in origination volumes, with new purchases up 10% year-over-year and refinancing up 50% year-over-year, support a positive near-term outlook [24][27] Fixed Income & Data Services - The Fixed Income segment is experiencing steady growth, driven by demand for unique pricing content and analytics, with the index business contributing over $100 million in revenue [29][31] - Management expects continued growth in fixed income Active ETFs and further integration of unique data sets from the mortgage franchise [31] Data Centers and Connectivity - ICE is expanding its data center capabilities to support future connectivity revenue growth, driven by rising demand from various market participants [32] - The firm operates its private cloud, which is more cost-effective compared to outsourcing, enhancing operational efficiency and easing future M&A integration [32]

27 May 2025 | 7:19AM HKT TechNet China 2025: SenseTime (0020.HK) Foundation model introduced; expanding AI-powered user case We hosted SenseTime's management on May 21 at our TechNet Conference China 2025 in Shanghai. Management remains positive on the generative AI trend in China, and highlights their newly launched foundation model, SenseNova V6, carrying upgraded features with competitive costs across training and inferencing. The company also newly signed a MOU with the Faculty of Law at the Chinese Uni ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for NCE Power (605111.SS) as it is categorized as "Not Covered" [1]. Core Insights - NCE Power anticipates a recovery in demand for power semiconductors, driven by improving inventory levels and foundries' utilization rates, with management expressing optimism for sales growth in 2025 [4][6]. - The company is facing significant competition from both domestic and international peers, alongside tariff uncertainties that may impact future demand [6][7]. - NCE Power is focusing on expanding into higher-end applications, particularly in the automotive sector with 800V and 48V EV platforms, as well as emerging markets such as drones, eVTOL, and AI computing [7]. Summary by Sections Demand Recovery - Management reports a recovering trend in power semiconductors since last year, with inventory improvements and foundries nearing full capacity [4]. - The overall outlook for power semiconductors is positive, with expectations for increased sales growth in 2025 [4]. Competitive Landscape - There is ongoing competition among domestic and overseas peers, which poses challenges for NCE Power [6]. - Tariff risks are also highlighted as a source of uncertainty for future demand [6]. Strategic Expansion - NCE Power is expanding its product offerings into broader and higher-end applications, with a strong focus on automotive electronics [7]. - The company aims to accelerate product adoption in 800V and 48V EV platforms, while also exploring growth in industrial control applications such as drones and robotics [7].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades FLSmidth to a Buy rating from Neutral, with a 12-month price target increased to DKK 430 from DKK 340, indicating an upside potential of 17.9% [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that FLSmidth is expected to improve its margins by +320 basis points to 14.2% by 2027, driven by SG&A savings and a higher mix of service and PCV [1]. - The current EV/EBIT multiple of 9.9x is below its 10-year median of 11.5x, suggesting a re-rating is warranted as the company enhances its margin prospects [1]. - FLSmidth is in exclusive negotiations to divest its Cement business, which could act as a catalyst for a re-rating as it transitions to a pure-play mining business [1]. - The company anticipates a gradual increase in orders, forecasting group orders to be +0.3%/+0.7%/+1.8% above consensus for FY25/26/27 [1]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FLSmidth are DKK 20,187 million for FY24, DKK 18,683.9 million for FY25, DKK 19,341.2 million for FY26, and DKK 20,269.9 million for FY27 [2]. - Adjusted EBIT estimates are projected to be DKK 1,998.5 million for FY24, DKK 2,271.3 million for FY25, DKK 2,419.7 million for FY26, and DKK 2,642.5 million for FY27 [2]. - EPS is expected to grow from DKK 22.51 in FY24 to DKK 32.50 in FY27, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides various valuation ratios, including a P/E ratio of 15.3x for FY24, decreasing to 11.2x by FY27, indicating an attractive valuation as earnings grow [7]. - The dividend yield is projected to increase from 2.3% in FY24 to 3.6% in FY27, suggesting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [7]. - The report notes a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.2x for FY25, indicating a strong balance sheet position [7]. Market Position and Strategy - FLSmidth is positioned as a leader in the mining equipment sector, with a focus on enhancing its service offerings and operational efficiency [13]. - The company aims to close the margin gap with its mining equipment peers, which trade at an average EV/EBIT multiple of 14.35x [1]. - The transition to a service-based business model is expected to support higher margins and improved returns on invested capital (ROIC) [33][39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Sell" rating for Acciona Energia with a price target of €18 [1][18][37] Core Views - Consensus earnings estimates for Acciona Energia are considered overly optimistic, particularly regarding the impact of targeted disposals on future profits [1][18] - The company is expected to end 2025 with a smaller installed capacity than in 2024, leading to a year-on-year decline in underlying EBITDA for 2025 and 2026 [1][3][18] - The report forecasts net income for 2025-26 to be approximately 20%-40% below Bloomberg consensus estimates, indicating significant downside risk [4][26][27] Summary by Sections Installed Capacity and Growth - Acciona Energia plans to add 600 MW of capacity organically by 2025, but the announced disposal of 600 MW of domestic hydro assets implies no net growth in installed capacity [2][19] - Incremental divestments of €1.5-1.7 billion are expected, suggesting a minimum reduction of 1 GW in operational assets [2][19] EBITDA and Financial Performance - A decline in underlying EBITDA is anticipated for both 2025 and 2026 due to a shrinking installed base and lower power prices [3][22] - The report projects EBITDA for 2025 at €998 million and for 2026 at €961 million, contrasting with Bloomberg's consensus forecast of a 5%-10% increase in 2026 [3][24] Net Income Forecasts - The report estimates net income for 2025-26 to be around €135-145 million, significantly lower than the consensus estimate of €180-220 million [4][26][27] - This discrepancy suggests a potential for negative EPS revisions, which could further impact the share price [4][26] Valuation and Price Target - The price target of €18 is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, with 50% derived from the 2025E SOTP of €19.2/share and 50% from existing asset valuation [37][38] - The report indicates a 2.7% downside from the current price, compared to an average upside of 17% for peers [37][38]