Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Hikvision is recognized as a leading AI application company in China, with rapid growth in innovative business segments [5] - The company has implemented a mid-term dividend policy, demonstrating significant effects of high-quality development [5] - Cash flow has improved significantly, with net profit accelerating growth [5] - The company is focusing on profit-centered strategies, enhancing operational quality, and accelerating digital transformation for sustainable growth [11] - Hikvision's self-developed AI model has expanded its application capabilities, significantly improving recognition accuracy and reducing deployment costs [11] - Recent policies are expected to boost market demand for Hikvision's products, particularly in video surveillance [11] Financial Summary - The projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are 1.55, 1.76, and 2.03 yuan respectively, with adjustments made to revenue, gross margin, and expense ratios [7][12] - The target price is set at 47.52 yuan based on a 26-27 times PE valuation level [7][12] - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 89.34 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7% [9] - Operating profit for 2023 is estimated at 16.04 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is projected at 14.11 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [9] - The gross margin is expected to be 44.3% in 2023, with a slight increase in subsequent years [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of 47.52 CNY [1][7] Core Insights - Hikvision is recognized as a leading AI application company in China, with rapid growth in innovative business segments [5] - The company has implemented a mid-term dividend strategy, demonstrating significant effects of high-quality development [5] - There is a notable improvement in cash flow and accelerated growth in net profit [5] - The company is focusing on profit-centered strategies, enhancing operational quality, and accelerating digital transformation for sustainable growth [11] - The self-developed AI model, "Guanlan," significantly enhances application capabilities and reduces deployment costs [11] - Recent policies are expected to boost market demand for Hikvision's products, particularly in video surveillance [11] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 92,518 million CNY, 103,737 million CNY, and 116,624 million CNY respectively, with a growth rate of 0%, 12%, and 12% [9] - Operating profit for the same period is forecasted at 16,977 million CNY, 19,306 million CNY, and 22,313 million CNY, reflecting growth rates of 19%, 14%, and 16% [9] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 14,188 million CNY, 16,127 million CNY, and 18,632 million CNY, with growth rates of 18%, 14%, and 16% [9] - Earnings per share are projected to be 1.55 CNY, 1.76 CNY, and 2.03 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9][12] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 45.2% in 2025 to 45.4% in 2027 [9] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 20.1 in 2025 to 15.3 in 2027 [9] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 3.3 in 2025 to 2.6 in 2027 [9] - The average P/E ratio of comparable companies is noted to be 31.46 for 2026 [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11]. Core Insights - The company, Tongfei Co., Ltd., specializes in industrial temperature control and is expanding into energy storage and data center liquid cooling sectors, positioning itself to benefit from these growing markets [2][3][4]. - The company has established a strong market presence with notable clients in the energy storage sector, projecting a revenue of approximately 1.18 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 30% from 2022 [3]. - The company is actively investing in new facilities to support its growth, with plans to establish projects in Hebei and Suzhou, totaling an investment of approximately 900 million yuan [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industrial Temperature Control and Product Expansion - Tongfei Co., Ltd. has been deeply engaged in the industrial temperature control sector since its establishment in 2001, focusing on technological innovation and specialized development [19]. - The company has diversified its product lines to include solutions for energy storage and data centers, with a growing international footprint in regions such as Europe, the USA, Singapore, and Thailand [2][19]. 2. Market Potential in Energy Storage and Data Centers - The energy storage industry is experiencing high demand, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from its leading market position, offering reliable temperature control products that perform well in extreme environments [3][4]. - The data center market is also expanding, with the company introducing a full suite of liquid cooling solutions, which are expected to drive new growth opportunities [4]. 3. Financial Performance and Growth Projections - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with projections indicating revenues of 2.88 billion yuan in 2025, 3.89 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.01 billion yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 2.8 billion yuan, 4.3 billion yuan, and 5.9 billion yuan respectively [5][6]. - The revenue from liquid temperature control equipment is expected to continue to grow, driven by the rapid expansion of the energy storage market [29]. 4. Operational Efficiency and Management - The company has maintained a stable shareholding structure, which supports governance efficiency and strategic planning [45]. - The management team has extensive experience, with many executives having served for nearly a decade, contributing to the company's operational stability [51]. 5. Investment in Future Capabilities - The company is investing in new production bases to enhance its capacity, with plans to start construction on approximately 60 acres of industrial land in 2026 [4]. - The establishment of a robust service network both domestically and internationally is aimed at improving customer support and enhancing market penetration [50].

房地产/房地产开发 保利发展（600048.SH） 减值拖累利润水平，期待优质项目结转后业绩修复 2026 年 01 月 21 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | qidong@kysec.cn | | --- | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 齐东（分析师） 胡耀文（分析师） huyaowen@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070001 经营管理能力优秀的龙头央企，维持"买入"评级 保利发展发布 2025 年业绩快报，预计公司 2025 全年营收微降，归母净利润由于 计提减值承压，但公司销售排名稳居首位，土储结构不断优化，融资渠道畅通， 资金成本优势明显。受房地产销售景气度影响，公司计提减值规模增加，我们下 调盈利预测，预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 10.3、44.2、60.7 亿元（前 值 42.6、52.4、64.1 亿元），EPS 分别为 0.09、0.37、0.51 元，当前股价对应 PE 估值分别为 76.2、17.7、12.9 倍，我们看好公司低价项目结转完成后业绩持续修 复，维持"买入"评级。 营收基本持平，计提减值影响利润水平 2025 全年公 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 投资建议：公司快报数据显示的整体业绩表现较为稳定，与三季报相比变化 不大，目前公司拨备覆盖率仍处于较高水平，有助于维持业绩增长的稳定性。 我们维持盈利预测不变，预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润 292/317/341 亿 元，同比增速 7.6%/8.4%/7.7%；摊薄 EPS 为 4.27/4.64/5.01 元；当前股价 对应的 PE 为 6.7/6.2/5.7x，PB 为 0.82/0.74/0.67x，公司 2025 年动态股息 率估计为 3.4%，维持"优于大市"评级。 宁波银行（002142.SZ）2025 年度业绩快报点评 优于大市 业绩表现稳定 宁波银行披露 2025 年度业绩快报。公司 2025 年实现营业收入 720 亿元，同 比增长 8.0%，实现归母净利润 293 亿元，同比增长 8.1%，加权平均净资产 收益率 13.1%。 资产规模保持较快增长。公司 2025 年末资产总额 3.63 万亿元，较年初增长 16.1%，保持较快的扩张速度。其中年末贷款总额 1.73 万亿元，较年初增长 17.4%；存款总额 2.02 万亿元，较年初增 ...

机械设备 | 证券研究报告 — 业绩评论 2026 年 1 月 21 日 688630.SH 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 167.62 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 17.7 33.4 37.4 188.4 相对上证综指 15.5 27.7 30.9 161.6 发行股数 (百万) 131.74 流通股 (百万) 131.74 总市值 (人民币 百万) 22,082.38 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 695.98 主要股东 程卓 26.407% 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 (5%) 36% 76% 116% 156% 196% Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 芯碁微装 上证综指 《芯碁微装》20250811 《芯碁微装》20250626 《芯碁微装》20240825 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 机械设备：专用设备 证券分析师：苏凌瑶 lingyao.su@bo ...

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 128.55 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）0.96 | / 0.52 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）123 | / 67 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 128.55 / 66.08 | | 资产负债率(%) | 25.9% | | 市盈率 | 257.10 | | 第一大股东 | 韩江龙 | 研究所 积极布局先进封装，推动高端产品产业化。在电子产品向小 型化、多功能化迭代的趋势下，倒装焊、圆片级、系统级、扇出型、 2.5D/3D、Chiplet 等先进封装技术凭借适配芯片尺寸缩小、输出/ 入脚数大幅增加的优势，已成为延续摩尔定律的关键路径，其市场 占比正持续提升并逐步超越传统封装，带动先进封装材料迎来主 流化发展机遇。其中，QFN/BGA、FOWLP/FOPLP 等技术的不对称封 装特性，对环氧塑封料提出了更高的翘曲控制、抗分层及电性能稳 定要求，需要厂商在玻璃化转变温度（Tg）、热膨胀系数（CTE）与 应力等核心性能指标间实现精准平衡，这不仅大幅提升了产品的 研发壁垒，更对塑封 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 80% [1]. - The company's Q4 2025 net profit is projected to be between 1.529 billion and 2.076 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 30.5% to 77.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 117.2% to 194.9% [1]. - The increase in user activity on the company's website and app, along with the growing demand from financial clients, has led to a rise in advertising and internet promotion service revenue [1]. - The number of new A-share accounts opened in 2025 has exceeded that of 2024, reaching 27.44 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [2]. - The A-share trading volume for 2025 is expected to grow by 63.3% year-on-year, reaching 420 trillion yuan [2]. - The company is investing in artificial intelligence and has developed a benchmark for evaluating large language models in financial scenarios, enhancing its product competitiveness [3]. Financial Projections - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.458 billion, 8.303 billion, and 10.299 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.972 billion, 3.925 billion, and 4.991 billion yuan [3][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 5.53 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 64.7 [5][6].

资产规模保持较快增长。公司 2025 年末资产总额 3.63 万亿元，较年初增长 16.1%，保持较快的扩张速度。其中年末贷款总额 1.73 万亿元，较年初增长 17.4%；存款总额 2.02 万亿元，较年初增长 10.3%，增速相对较低，但活期 存款新增占比 高达 71%。公司 2025 年末归属于普通股股东的净资产 2225 亿 元，较年初增长 6.8%。年末核心一级资本充足率 9.34%，较年初下降 0.50 个百分点。 营收利润增速基本平稳，ROE 继续回落。公司 2025 年实现营业收入 720 亿元， 同比增长 8.0%，增速较前三季度略降 0.3 个百分点；2025 年实现归母净利 润 293 亿元，同比增长 8.1%，增速较前三季度略降 0.3 个百分点。其中，公 司 2025 年实现利息净收入 532 亿元，同比增长 10.8%，增速较前三季度略降 1.0 个百分点；全年实现手续费净收入 61 亿元，同比增长 30.7%，增速较前 三季度提高 1.4 个百分点；全年实现其他非息收入 127 亿元，同比下降 9.0%， 增速与前三季度持平。公司 2025 年实现加权平均净资产收益率 13.1% ...

商贸零售 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2026 年 1 月 21 日 601888.SH 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 96.09 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 6.4 16.0 36.6 55.3 相对上证综指 4.2 10.3 30.2 28.5 发行股数 (百万) 2,068.86 (9%) 5% 18% 32% 45% 59% Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 中国中免 上证综指 | 流通股 (百万) | 2,068.86 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 198,796.67 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 4,528.30 | | 主要股东持股比例（%） | | | 中国旅游集团有限公司 | 50.3 | 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2026 年 1 月 20 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《中国中免》20250901 《中 ...