[Table_Page] 公告点评|股份制银行Ⅱ 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 兴业银行（601166.SH） | | --- | | 营收利润双增，业绩筑底回升 | [Table_Summary] 1核心观点： | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 19.61 元 | | 合理价值 | 22.99 元 | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-01-22 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 7% 15% 24% 32% 01/25 03/25 05/25 07/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 兴业银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | 021-38003643 | | g ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 优优绿能（301590） HVDC 子公司落地，第二增长曲线正式起航 2026 年 01 月 22 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,376 | 1,497 | 1,114 | 1,487 | 2,313 | | 同比（%） | 39.24 | 8.86 | (25.59) | 33.44 | 55.54 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 268.38 | 256.03 | 151.65 | 261.00 | 466.71 | | 同比（%） | 36.84 | (4.60) | (40.77) | 72.11 | 78.82 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 6.38 | 6.09 | 3.61 | 6.21 | 11.10 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 36.16 | 37.91 | 64.00 | 37.18 | 20.79 | ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 优优绿能（301590） HVDC 子公司落地，第二增长曲线正式起航 2026 年 01 月 22 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,376 | 1,497 | 1,114 | 1,487 | 2,313 | | 同比（%） | 39.24 | 8.86 | (25.59) | 33.44 | 55.54 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 268.38 | 256.03 | 151.65 | 261.00 | 466.71 | | 同比（%） | 36.84 | (4.60) | (40.77) | 72.11 | 78.82 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 6.38 | 6.09 | 3.61 | 6.21 | 11.10 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 36.16 | 37.91 | 64.00 | 37.18 | 20.79 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the Chinese yeast industry and the second-largest yeast producer globally, with a focus on yeast and deep-processing products. It has a total fermentation capacity of 400,000 tons and expects to achieve a revenue of 15.197 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.325 billion yuan in 2024 [1][3]. - The yeast industry is characterized by an oligopolistic market structure, with the top three companies holding over 70% of the market share globally. The company holds a 55% market share in China, leading the domestic market [1][42]. - The company has established a global production and R&D system, enhancing its competitive barriers. It has invested in local production facilities to stabilize supply and mitigate raw material price fluctuations [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply involved in the yeast industry for 40 years, evolving from a local state-owned enterprise to a global giant. It produces a wide range of products, including bread yeast, yeast extract, and nutritional health products, with sales channels spanning over 160 countries [13][15]. Market Position and Financial Performance - The company has a strong financial outlook, with projected revenues of 16.723 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth. The net profit is expected to reach 1.585 billion yuan, a 19.6% increase [3][4]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve due to declining raw material costs, particularly sugar molasses, which accounts for approximately 40% of total costs [2][27]. Growth Drivers - The company’s growth is supported by two main engines: the expansion of its overseas business, which is expected to increase its revenue share from 28% in 2020 to 38% in 2024, and the rising demand for yeast extract as a natural flavoring agent [2][3]. - The company maintains a robust R&D investment, with a research expense ratio consistently above 4%, which has led to a strong patent portfolio and enhanced bargaining power with downstream customers [2][3]. Industry Characteristics - The yeast industry is capital-intensive, with high barriers to entry due to the significant investment required for production facilities. The company’s capital expenditure per unit capacity is 10-18 times that of the seasoning industry [1][48]. - The price of sugar molasses, a key raw material, is closely linked to white sugar prices and exhibits cyclical fluctuations. The company anticipates a downward trend in sugar molasses prices by 2025, which will support profit recovery [1][56]. Valuation - The report estimates a reasonable valuation range for the company’s stock between 49.98 and 56.79 yuan, indicating a potential premium of 10%-25% compared to the current stock price of 45.33 yuan [5][3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to Jiangsu Jinzu (600901.SH) [4] Core Insights - The financial leasing industry is undergoing a transformation driven by regulatory changes and strategic upgrades, emphasizing the importance of direct leasing and operational leasing capabilities [1][10] - Jiangsu Jinzu has established a unique business model with a dual-line strategy of "manufacturers + regions" and "retail + technology," which has led to strong financial performance even during macroeconomic adjustments [2][3] - The company's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing financing lease asset ratio of 0.90% and a provision coverage ratio of 403%, significantly above regulatory requirements [3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The financial leasing industry in China is shifting from scale expansion to high-quality development, with new regulations aimed at promoting direct leasing and reducing reliance on sale-leaseback models [10][11] - By 2026, financial leasing companies are required to have at least 50% of new business from direct leasing, which is expected to enhance industry concentration and service to the real economy [11][12] Company Overview - Jiangsu Jinzu focuses on equipment leasing and has a strong presence in the clean energy and transportation sectors, which contributed significantly to its revenue [3][49] - The company has a concentrated ownership structure with state-owned capital dominating, providing stability and support for strategic initiatives [29][30] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Jiangsu Jinzu reported a revenue of 46.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.15%, driven by asset scale expansion [39] - The net profit for the same period was 24.46 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 9.82%, although the growth rate was lower than revenue due to increased credit impairment losses [39][44] - The company’s net interest income grew by 21.3% to 47.25 billion yuan, indicating strong performance in its core lending operations [44] Asset and Liability Management - Jiangsu Jinzu's total assets reached 1,620.11 billion yuan by Q3 2025, marking an 18.04% increase from the previous year [52] - The company has effectively managed its liabilities, with a significant portion of its funding coming from interbank borrowings, while also optimizing its debt structure to reduce risks [54] Growth Strategy - The company employs a "manufacturers + regional" dual-line strategy to penetrate the small and micro-enterprise market, achieving over 50% of its financing to these segments [27][49] - Jiangsu Jinzu's focus on clean energy and transportation aligns with national policies, positioning it well for future growth [49][54]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 67.6 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth in 2025, with net profit projected between 220 million to 250 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.6% to 50.9% [2]. - The performance of the company's subsidiary, Nanfu Battery, is anticipated to exceed its profit commitments, driven by an increase in ownership stake to 46% [8]. - The company is actively pursuing multiple business development avenues, including investments in emerging technologies such as optical chips, which are expected to contribute to future growth [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 4,638 million yuan in 2024 to 5,629 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.5% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from 168 million yuan in 2024 to 482 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 10.5% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.65 yuan in 2024 to 1.87 yuan in 2027 [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 78 times in 2024 to 27 times in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [4].

| [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 宋博(分析师) | 010-83939829 | songbo3@gtht.com | S0880522120007 | | 杨天昊(分析师) | 010-83939791 | yangtianhao@gtht.com | S0880523080010 | | 舒迪(分析师) | 021-38676666 | shudi@gtht.com | S0880521070002 | 本报告导读： 紫光国微拟发行股份及支付现金收购瑞能半导 100% 股权并募集配套资金，交易构 成关联交易。标的为功率半导体龙头，补全公司产业链，协同效应显著。 紫光国微并购瑞能半导，完善功率半导体布局 紫光国微(002049) 紫光国微公告点评 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 7,576 | ...

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" [9] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 49% to 79%, and a net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 427% to 520% [4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage through "storage + wafer-level advanced packaging" and is experiencing significant improvements in operational performance due to stabilizing storage prices [5][6] - The AI sector is driving rapid growth, with a comprehensive embedded storage matrix developed for various applications, including AI smartphones and AR glasses [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown a significant increase, with a current price of 190.36 yuan and a market capitalization of 88.9 billion yuan [1] Investment Highlights - Storage prices have stabilized and improved, leading to a notable enhancement in operational performance [5] - The company is one of the earliest to integrate packaging and testing, enhancing its competitive edge in the industry [6] - The company has developed a comprehensive storage matrix for AI applications, indicating strong growth potential in emerging sectors [7] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 110.55 billion, 165.06 billion, and 200.44 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS of 1.92, 4.16, and 5.23 yuan [9][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Su Nong Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - Su Nong Bank's 2025 performance report indicates steady growth in revenue and profit, with improvements in non-performing loans and provisions [1] - The bank's revenue and net profit for 2025 are projected to grow by 0.4% and 5.0% year-on-year, respectively, with an increase in growth rates compared to the first three quarters of 2025 [2][3] - The outlook for 2026 suggests reduced pressure on core revenue, with expectations of improved interest margins and good growth in non-interest income [3] Financial Performance Summary - For Q4 2025, Su Nong Bank's non-performing loan ratio was 0.88%, a decrease of 2 basis points from the previous quarter, while the provision coverage ratio increased by 14 percentage points to 370% [5] - Loan and deposit growth rates as of Q4 2025 were 7.8% and 7.5% year-on-year, respectively, with a cautious lending strategy expected to maintain single-digit growth in loans for 2026 [4] - The forecast for net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 is 5.04%, 5.27%, and 6.26%, respectively, with a target price of 6.77 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 37% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" [9] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve operating revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 49% to 79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 427% to 520% [4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage through "storage + wafer-level advanced packaging," enhancing its industry competitiveness and profitability stability [6] - The company is experiencing rapid growth in the AI sector, with a comprehensive embedded storage matrix covering various applications, including AI smartphones and AR glasses [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown significant growth, with a current price of 190.36 yuan and a market capitalization of 88.9 billion yuan [1] Investment Highlights - Storage prices have stabilized and improved, leading to a noticeable enhancement in operational performance [5] - The company is one of the earliest to integrate packaging and testing, which supports advanced storage product development and enhances overall industry value [6] - The company has developed a comprehensive embedded storage matrix for AI applications, including ePOP4x for space-constrained devices and Mini SSDs for various uses [7] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 110.55 billion, 165.06 billion, and 200.44 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS of 1.92, 4.16, and 5.23 yuan, indicating a favorable outlook for continued operational improvement [9][11]