| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,338 | 2,322 | 3,154 | 5,661 | 8,612 | | 同比（%） | (12.73) | (0.69) | 35.84 | 79.49 | 52.11 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (296.47) | (600.88) | (448.92) | 315.20 | 805.06 | | 同比（%） | (501.64) | (102.68) | 25.29 | 170.21 | 155.41 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.56) | (1.14) | (0.85) | 0.60 | 1.53 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (366.46) | (180.81) | (242.01) | 344.67 | 134.95 | 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·半导体 芯原股份（688521） 2025 年业绩预告点评：订单兑现收入高 ...

[分析师： Table_Author]郭镇 SAC 执证号：S0260514080003 SFC CE No. BNN906 021-38003639 guoz@gf.com.cn 分析师： 邢莘 SAC 执证号：S0260520070009 021-38003638 xingshen@gf.com.cn 请注意，邢莘并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] 保利发展（600048.SH）:尾 [Table_Page] 公告点评|房地产开发 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 保利发展（600048.SH） | | --- | 减值力度加大，整体符合预期 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | 盈利预测： | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入 | 346,894 | 311,666 | 308 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月26日 德力佳（603092.SH） 公司产能持续扩张，夯实成长前景 公司研究·公司快评 电力设备·风电设备 投资评级：优于大市（维持） 证券分析师： 王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn 执证编码：S0980520080003 证券分析师： 王晓声 010-88005231 wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn 执证编码：S0980523050002 联系人： 王喆萱 wangzhexuan@guosen.com.cn 事项： 2026 年 1 月 25 日，公司与无锡宛山湖产业发展有限公司、羊尖镇人民政府签署《德力佳 10 兆瓦以上风电 用变速箱研发制造项目投资合作协议》，推进公司风电齿轮箱产能扩充。该项目主要面向陆上及海上大功 率风电机型（10 兆瓦以上）的齿轮箱配套需求，总投资 50 亿元（初期预投 20 亿），资金来源为公司自有 资金和银行贷款，预计 2026 年 7 月开工。 国信电新观点：公司顺应风电行业"大型化、海上化"发展趋势，新建 10MW 以上风电齿轮箱项目以匹配 陆上及海上风电大功率机型齿 ...

伯特利（603596.SH）深度报告 线控底盘领军者 人形机器人未来的中坚力量 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 9,937 | 12,875 | 16,441 | 20,831 | | 增长率（%） | 33.0 | 29.6 | 27.7 | 26.7 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | 1,209 | 1,508 | 1,867 | 2,314 | | 增长率（%） | 35.6 | 24.7 | 23.8 | 23.9 | | 每股收益（元） | 1.99 | 2.49 | 3.08 | 3.81 | | PE | 29 | 23 | 19 | 15 | | PB | 5.3 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测；（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 23 日收盘价） 2026 年 01 月 26 日 | 推荐 | 维持评级 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a pioneer in the optoelectronics sector, with three main business segments: intelligent manufacturing, connectivity, and sensing. It is expected to benefit from the growing demand for computing power driven by AI, leading to rapid revenue growth [5][13]. - The company has established a global presence with multiple production and R&D bases, enhancing its ability to meet both domestic and international market demands [5][13]. - The company has a robust supply chain and self-research capabilities for core optoelectronic components, which is crucial for maintaining competitive advantages in the market [5][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, originally established as a university-run enterprise, has evolved into a leading player in the optoelectronics industry, with a focus on laser technology and its applications [13][14]. - It has three main business segments: intelligent manufacturing, connectivity, and sensing, which are well-integrated and support each other [13][15]. 2. Company Governance - The company underwent a restructuring in 2021, enhancing its market competitiveness and operational autonomy by separating from the university [17][19]. - A multi-tiered incentive system has been established to align the interests of management and core employees with the company's growth [17][22]. 3. Company Performance - The company's revenue has shown significant growth, with a forecasted increase from 117.09 billion yuan in 2024 to 298.97 billion yuan by 2027, alongside a rise in net profit from 12.21 billion yuan to 33.76 billion yuan in the same period [5][6][25]. - The performance of the optical device segment has been a key driver of revenue growth, contributing 49.08% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [25][27]. - The company has improved its profitability metrics, with net profit margins increasing to 11.90% in the first three quarters of 2025 [27][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China Merchants Bank (招商银行) with an expected stock performance exceeding the market by over 20% within the next six months [18]. Core Insights - The bank's revenue has returned to positive growth, with a slight increase of 0.01% year-on-year for 2025, and a net profit growth of 1.21% year-on-year [3][6]. - Total assets grew by 7.56% year-on-year by the end of 2025, with loans increasing by 5.37% and deposits by 8.13% [3][6]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio holding steady at 0.94% as of the end of 2025 [6][15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025, the bank's net interest income growth improved to 2.0% year-on-year, while non-interest income decreased by 3.38% [6]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 151,152 million yuan, with a growth forecast of 1.9% for 2025, 3.5% for 2026, and 4.6% for 2027 [5][6]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio is projected to decrease slightly to 0.92% by 2026 and 0.91% by 2027, indicating a solid asset quality outlook [15][16]. - The provision coverage ratio is expected to remain high at 406% in 2025, ensuring robust risk mitigation [15][16]. Growth Projections - The bank's total assets are expected to grow from 13,044,679 million yuan in 2025 to 15,730,218 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [15]. - Loan growth is projected at 5.0% for 2025, with a gradual increase to 6.0% in subsequent years [16]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 6.4 in 2024 to 5.8 by 2027, indicating an attractive valuation relative to earnings growth [5][6]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 0.90 in 2024 to 0.72 by 2027, further supporting the investment case [5][6].

中收增速超 30%，活期存款新增占比高达 70% 宁波银行(002142) 宁波银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | 本报告导读： 展望 2026 年，宁波银行有望继续在四个维度实现基本面与业绩双改善：信贷高增 长、以综合化经营优势沉淀活期存款、发挥财富管理及国际结算优势推动中收增长、 优化资产布局减轻信用成本压力。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 61,585 | 66,631 | 72,223 | 80,024 ...

执业证书编号：S0740524120002 复盘日本咖啡发展，现制咖啡为即饮咖啡起到带动作用 饮料乳品 执业证书编号：S0740522030001 Email：hect@zts.com.cn Email：tianhc@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 520.01 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 520.01 | | 市价(元) | 253.36 | | 市值(百万元) | 131,750.49 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 131,750.49 | 1、《从日本小瓶能量饮料看中国能量 饮料发展》2026-01-18 2026-01-14 用端优化明显》2025-10-27 东鹏饮料（605499.SH） 证券研究报告/公司研究简报 2026 年 01 月 25 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | ...

交通运输/物流 建发股份（600153.SH） 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利 2026 年 01 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 股价走势图 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 建发股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《营收利润同比收缩，回款比例保持 高位—公司信息更新报告》-2025.9.2 《营收规模有所收缩，增强回报保护 股 东 利 益 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.4.17 ——公司信息更新报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | |  | 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利，维持"买入"评级 | 建发股份发布 2025 年业绩预告，公司预计 2025 年度实现归母净利润为-100 亿元 到-52 亿元，预计实现扣非归母净利润为-65 亿元到-33 亿元，同比转亏。受美凯 龙业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned to benefit from the booming demand for optical modules driven by AI and data center construction, with expected revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 [5] - The company has established a comprehensive global presence with multiple production and R&D bases, enhancing its competitive edge in both domestic and international markets [5] - The company has a strong self-research capability in core optical components, ensuring supply chain stability and cost advantages [5] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is a pioneer in the optical electronics field, with three main business segments: intelligent manufacturing, connectivity, and sensing [13] - It has deep integration into the optical electronics industry, leveraging resources from Huazhong University of Science and Technology [13] 2. Company Governance - The company completed a separation reform in 2021, enhancing its market competitiveness and establishing a multi-level incentive system [17] - The management team has a strong background in the optical electronics industry, which aids in aligning with industry trends [19] 3. Company Performance - The company's revenue increased from 61.38 billion to 120.11 billion from 2020 to 2022, driven by the growth of 400G optical modules and products for new energy vehicles [25] - In 2025, the company expects to achieve revenues of 152.38 billion, 226.25 billion, and 298.97 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The gross profit margin has improved, with a notable increase in net profit margin to 11.90% in the first three quarters of 2025 [27] 4. Market Demand and Product Development - The demand for optical modules is expected to surge due to the rapid growth of AI and data centers, with a significant increase in capital expenditure from major cloud service providers [5] - The company is focusing on high-end optical modules, with a complete product system that includes 1.6T optical modules, which are expected to gain market share [5] 5. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts a net profit of 18.49 billion, 25.82 billion, and 33.76 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [5][6]