电力设备/电池 天赐材料（002709.SZ） 2026 年 01 月 04 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/12/31 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 46.33 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 49.78/15.37 | | 总市值(亿元) | 942.30 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 697.01 | | 总股本(亿股) | 20.34 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 15.04 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 480.32 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 天赐材料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《六氟磷酸锂周期反转，卡位固态电 池核心材料—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2025.12.15 殷晟路（分析师） 王嘉懿（分析师） yinshenglu@kysec.cn wangjiayi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525060004 2025 年预计实现归母净利润 11-16 亿元，业绩超预期 公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告。2025 年预计实现归母净利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 30.27 CNY [6][31]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire 100% of PMG International Co., Ltd., gaining control over Yuan Shi Technology, which will enhance its position in the AI server market and create a global AI hardware innovation platform [2][4]. - Yuan Shi Technology has established a core role in the development of NVIDIA's next-generation server platform, Vera Rubin, and is one of only five companies globally to hold NVIDIA's RVL certification, positioning it as a key supplier in the AI server supply chain [2][3][17]. - The acquisition is expected to significantly improve the company's core competitiveness in AI computing hardware solutions, leveraging its existing manufacturing capabilities and advanced liquid cooling systems [4][29]. Summary by Sections Acquisition of Yuan Shi Technology - On December 10, the company announced an agreement to acquire PMG International, indirectly gaining control of Yuan Shi Technology, which holds a 95.1% stake in PMG [2][13]. - This acquisition will provide access to mature technologies and customer certifications in server cabinet business, expanding the company's footprint in the AI sector [4][13]. Server Cabinet Business - Yuan Shi Technology is a core supplier for NVIDIA's server cabinets, having passed rigorous testing and being able to adapt to high-end AI server requirements [17]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the upcoming Vera Rubin platform, which is expected to significantly increase computing power and revenue potential [18][19]. Liquid Cooling Business - The collaboration between Yuan Shi Technology and its sister company, Pinda Technology, focuses on "heat management + cabinet" solutions, establishing a strong competitive edge in the AI server market [20][29]. - Pinda's magnesium alloy technology enhances the performance and efficiency of cooling systems, addressing critical challenges in heat management for high-performance servers [23][26]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 85.07 billion CNY in 2025, 102.90 billion CNY in 2026, and 119.22 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 4.91 billion CNY, 6.30 billion CNY, and 7.39 billion CNY respectively [5][31]. - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned for growth, with a projected PE ratio decreasing from 33 in 2025 to 22 in 2027, indicating potential for investment [31][32].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Weigao Blood Purification [5] Core Views - Weigao Blood Purification is a leader in the domestic blood purification field, with a comprehensive product matrix that includes blood dialysis devices, dialysis machines, and peritoneal dialysis solutions. The company has shown steady performance, with projected revenue and net profit CAGR of 8.1% and 10.9% from 2020 to 2024, respectively [1][3][5] - The blood dialysis products contribute significantly to the company's revenue, with the core product, blood dialysis器, expected to account for 51.0% of total revenue in 2024 [1][5] - The blood purification industry in China is experiencing stable growth, with a market size CAGR of 5.67% from 2019 to 2023, and an expected CAGR of 21.52% from 2023 to 2027 [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Weigao Blood Purification has established itself as a leading player in the blood purification equipment sector, continuously enhancing its product offerings. The company has developed a full product line, including blood dialysis devices, dialysis machines, and peritoneal dialysis solutions [1][19] - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, with Weigao Group holding 41.75% of the shares as of June 30, 2025 [26][29] Industry Analysis - The demand for blood dialysis treatment is increasing due to the rapid growth in the number of ESRD patients and the enhancement of residents' medical payment capabilities. The number of patients receiving blood and peritoneal dialysis in China increased from 57,900 and 9,500 in 2018 to 91,700 and 15,300 in 2023, respectively [2][3] - The blood purification market is expected to expand significantly, driven by both demand and supply factors, including the continuous improvement of product offerings by domestic manufacturers [2][3] Company Advantages - Weigao Blood Purification has a strong product and research advantage, with a market share of 32.5% in blood dialysis器, 24.6% in blood dialysis machines, and 31.8% in blood dialysis管路 as of 2023, solidifying its leading position [3][12] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas revenue growth of 97.5%, 54.1%, and 64.0% in 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [12][14] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 36.88 billion, 40.34 billion, and 43.70 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 4.52 billion, 4.99 billion, and 5.51 billion yuan [14][15] - The report highlights the potential for growth in the peritoneal dialysis liquid segment, with projected revenue growth of 48.1% in 2024 [12][15]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company [4]. Core Insights - The company is the second-largest global supplier of high-end aramid paper, with significant growth potential in various downstream sectors [9]. - The core investment logic includes the company's strong market position, strategic supplier role in commercial aerospace, benefits from overseas power grid upgrades, and the increasing demand in the aviation sector due to new aircraft and maintenance cycles [9]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial earnings growth, with projected EPS of 0.84, 1.21, and 1.93 CNY per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, leading to a target price of 54.34 CNY per share based on a 45x PE valuation for 2026 [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in aramid paper, a key strategic material for manufacturing, with applications in various critical sectors such as electrical power, aerospace, rail transportation, new energy, and electronic communications [16][17]. Competitive Landscape - The company ranks second in global market share for aramid paper, following DuPont, which has exited the market, potentially allowing the company to capture more market share [38][39]. Power Equipment - Aramid paper is widely used in transformers and other electrical equipment due to its superior thermal insulation properties, which enhance the reliability and safety of electrical devices [41]. Aviation Sector - The demand for aramid paper in the aviation industry is driven by new aircraft and maintenance needs, with the global aviation market expected to recover significantly [56][57]. Commercial Aerospace - The company is positioned as a key supplier of materials for commercial aerospace, benefiting from the increasing requirements for high-performance materials in extreme environments [9]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to see revenue growth from 340 million CNY in 2023 to 960 million CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 49.2% [3]. The EBITDA is expected to grow from 105 million CNY in 2023 to 373 million CNY in 2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on mobile game development and IP-driven business models, leveraging AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and reduce development cycles [3][4]. - The introduction of AI-powered products, such as the emotional companion brand "Warm Star Valley Dream Journey," aims to expand into new emotional companionship and cultural consumption markets [4]. - The company is exploring a community-based box product model centered around legendary games, which supports various derivative services and extends the value of game IPs into a comprehensive ecosystem [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 48.23 billion, 52.30 billion, and 56.77 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 19.79 billion, 23.77 billion, and 27.31 billion yuan [6][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to be 0.93, 1.11, and 1.28 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 23.6, 19.7, and 17.1 [6][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Wanda Film [1] Core Insights - Wanda Film is focusing on enhancing its content and leveraging AI and IP to deepen its entertainment space strategy [5][6] - The company has a robust content pipeline for 2026, with various films and series scheduled for release, indicating strong content reserves [4] - The integration of technology in cinema experiences is expected to attract users and transform theaters into cultural social platforms [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The report highlights the performance of Wanda Film compared to the CSI 300 index, indicating a relative performance trend [2] Business Operations - Wanda Film has completed an investment in the interactive entertainment brand "Pailifang," which will enhance its cinema offerings and social engagement [5] - The company is actively embracing AI and IP innovations, including the launch of a digital rights platform and the development of AI interactive chips for toys [6] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 140.3 billion, 153.1 billion, and 166.9 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to reach 9.78 billion, 12.67 billion, and 15.20 billion yuan [7][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.46, 0.60, and 0.72 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 24.5, 18.9, and 15.7 [7][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 510-520 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% [1] - The company anticipates significant growth in mineral production for 2025, with gold production expected to increase by 23% and copper production by 2% [2] - The report highlights a favorable outlook for gold and copper prices due to a weakening US dollar and supply-demand dynamics, supporting the company's profitability [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of approximately 475-485 billion yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses for 2025, which is a year-on-year increase of about 50%-53% [1] - For Q4 2025, the estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is around 136 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 77% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.4% [1] Production Outlook - The company projects mineral production for 2026 to grow by 17% for gold, 10% for copper, 19% for silver, and 380% for lithium carbonate [2] - The planned production for 2026 includes 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 12,000 tons of lithium carbonate, and 520 tons of silver [2] Price Trends - The average spot price of gold in London from October 1, 2025, to December 29, 2025, is expected to be 4,164 USD/ounce, a 56% increase from Q4 2024 and a 19% increase from Q3 2025 [2] - The average price of copper on the LME is projected to be 11,048 USD/ton, marking a 19% increase from Q4 2024 and a 12% increase from Q3 2025 [2] Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the company's profit forecast based on rising gold and copper prices, estimating net profits of 515.1 billion yuan, 755.0 billion yuan, and 815.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 61%, 47%, and 8% [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 17, 12, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (600690) [1] Core Insights - Haier Smart Home has received multiple industry recognitions for its digital service system, which extends its offline service capabilities online and overseas, enhancing service efficiency and standardization [1] - The company reported a revenue of 77.56 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.51%, consistent with the 10.2% growth in H1 2025 [8] - The domestic business revenue grew by 10.8% year-on-year, with the air conditioning segment seeing over 30% growth in Q3 [8] - The company’s profitability improved, with a net profit of 5.34 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 12.7% year-on-year [8] - The operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was 6.352 billion yuan, which is 1.2 times the net profit [8] - Future growth is expected to continue, with a projected double-digit profit growth in 2026, supported by improving demand in domestic and international markets [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 285.981 billion, 309.930 billion, 328.665 billion, and 347.024 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.4%, 8.4%, 6.0%, and 5.6% [3] - Net profit projections for the same years are 18.741 billion, 21.432 billion, 23.605 billion, and 26.101 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12.9%, 14.4%, 10.1%, and 10.6% respectively [3] - The target price is set at 33.8 yuan, with the current price at 26.54 yuan, indicating significant upside potential [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 73.08 CNY [5][15]. Core Insights - The company focuses on laser technology for photovoltaic cells, contributing to cost reduction and efficiency improvements in the industry, and is well-positioned to benefit from the expansion wave in the BC (Back Contact) segment [2][15]. - The company is actively expanding into the semiconductor sector, accelerating the launch of new products through multidimensional applications of laser technology [2][15]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 1,609 million CNY in 2023 to 3,333 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.9% [13][14]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 461 million CNY in 2023 to 889 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 24.8% in 2027 [13][14]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.41 CNY, 2.60 CNY, and 3.24 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [13][15]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is a leading precision equipment manufacturer specializing in laser technology, primarily serving the photovoltaic, new display, and semiconductor sectors [13][15]. - Major clients include prominent photovoltaic manufacturers such as Longi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., and JinkoSolar, indicating a strong market presence [13][15]. - The company’s laser micro-etching equipment for BC cells is designed to replace traditional photolithography, simplifying processes and reducing costs, which is crucial for scaling up production [13][15]. Product Development and Innovation - The company is developing laser processing equipment for consumer electronics, new displays, and integrated circuits, including TGV laser micro-hole equipment for advanced packaging applications [13][15]. - The TGV laser micro-hole equipment is capable of processing various glass materials and achieving precise specifications, which positions the company well in the semiconductor packaging market [13][15].

Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the nylon industry, with a stable profitability trend and a comprehensive product chain from basic raw materials to high-value-added products [1][3]. - The company has made significant progress in domestic production of key raw materials, particularly adiponitrile, which has historically been dominated by foreign companies [2]. - The company is enhancing its core competitiveness through vertical and horizontal integration of its industrial chain, ensuring stability in supply and increasing product value [3][26]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a stable revenue structure and has been deeply involved in the nylon industry for many years, with a strong state-owned shareholder background [11][13]. - The revenue scale has remained relatively stable, with a potential bottoming out of the declining profitability trend [16][20]. Business Expansion - The company focuses on the nylon core business while expanding horizontally and vertically, constructing a complete industrial chain for nylon 66 and nylon 6 [26][34]. - The company is actively developing high-value-added products and has established joint ventures to penetrate new markets, including the automotive sector [3][34]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth over the next two years, with projected revenues of 133 billion, 143.5 billion, and 157.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [4][37]. - The forecasted net profits for the same period are -0.35 billion, 1.11 billion, and 2.26 billion yuan, indicating a significant recovery in profitability [4][37]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 93.43 and 45.79 for 2026 and 2027, respectively, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43, which is lower than comparable companies [4][41].