丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scode 公司研究丨点评报告丨宝光股份（ Msg1] 600379.SH） [Table_Title] 短期盈利能力有所承压，期待高盈利业务放量 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报。公司 2025 前三季度营业收入 9.5 亿元，同比-18.0%；归母净利润 0.5 亿元，同比-28.3%；扣非净利润 0.5 亿元，同比-27.2%。单季度看，公司 2025Q3 营业收 入 3.1 亿元，同比+0.3%，环比-2.1%；归母净利润 0.1 亿元，同比-46.9%，环比-33.6%；扣非 净利润 0.1 亿元，同比-43.0%，环比-32.6%。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524010001 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 袁澎 [Table_scodeMsg2] ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 2025Q1-Q3 revenue of 6.67 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.59 billion yuan, up 9.2% year-on-year [1] - The company is actively expanding its product offerings with differentiated products, including unmanned aerial work platforms and various specialized robots, which helps to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single industry [3] - The company has successfully increased its overseas revenue by 21.3% year-on-year in 2025H1, despite challenges in the domestic high machine export market [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025Q3, the company reported a revenue of 2.34 billion yuan, a 2.8% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 14.7% [1] - The gross margin for 2025Q3 was 36.1%, down 1.5 percentage points year-on-year but up 4.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Product Development - The company has launched a series of differentiated products aimed at new application scenarios, including robots for ship painting and rust removal, tunnel drilling, and glass suction vehicles [3] Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding into non-trade friction overseas markets, with a positive outlook for continued growth in overseas revenue due to increased efforts in market development [2] Earnings Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.068 billion yuan, 2.407 billion yuan, and 2.753 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.08 yuan, 4.75 yuan, and 5.44 yuan [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [12]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 20.92% year-over-year increase in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 6.832 billion yuan. The third quarter alone saw a 31.4% year-over-year growth, marking a record high for quarterly revenue [7][9]. - The company's profitability has also improved, with a net profit of 1.083 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 30.18% year-over-year increase. The gross margin for the third quarter rose to 40.72%, a 3.7 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [7][9]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on customized storage solutions and MCU (Microcontroller Unit) products, which are expected to drive future growth in sectors such as AI, automotive electronics, and industrial applications [9][8]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 5,760.82 million yuan - 2024: 7,355.98 million yuan - 2025: 9,378.87 million yuan - 2026: 11,464.73 million yuan - 2027: 13,824.17 million yuan [2]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 161.14 million yuan - 2024: 1,102.54 million yuan - 2025: 1,541.28 million yuan - 2026: 2,009.27 million yuan - 2027: 2,504.44 million yuan [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 0.24 yuan - 2024: 1.65 yuan - 2025: 2.31 yuan - 2026: 3.01 yuan - 2027: 3.75 yuan [2]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a leading player in the niche storage market, benefiting from the exit of major overseas competitors and the rising demand driven by AI applications [9][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's ongoing development of customized storage solutions, which are expected to meet the growing needs of edge AI applications, enhancing its competitive edge in the semiconductor industry [9][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" investment rating for the company [3][6] Core Views - The company's profitability is continuously recovering, and it is actively expanding production capacity [3][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 930 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.56% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 37.34 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 74.83% [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 316 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.98% [4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 15.45%, up by 1.03 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 3.75%, an increase of 0.73 percentage points year-on-year [4] Market Expansion and Capacity Growth - The company is deepening its global market layout, successfully entering multiple international markets including Europe, America, and Asia [5] - The "High-speed Forging Intelligent Manufacturing Project" was completed and put into production in April 2025, while the "Bearing Ring Heat Treatment Production Line" is expected to be completed by December 2025 [5] - The company plans to raise no more than 721 million yuan through a private placement to support new production capacity and working capital [5] Emerging Business Development - The company is focusing on new product lines, particularly screw components and insulated bearing rings, with significant progress in production capacity and R&D [5] - The company has established a complete R&D system and has passed multiple quality management system certifications, enhancing product competitiveness [5] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.33 billion yuan, 1.66 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.7%, 25.3%, and 26.3% respectively [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to reach 51 million yuan, 93 million yuan, and 172 million yuan during the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 95.4%, 82.4%, and 85.0% respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yili Co., Ltd. (600887) with a target price of 36 CNY [2][6]. Core Insights - Yili has outlined a five-year growth plan focusing on stabilizing the entire industry chain and enhancing profitability amidst weak demand and intensified competition. The company aims for a net profit margin of 9% for the year [6]. - The company expects revenue growth to outpace GDP growth over the next five years, with a focus on liquid milk and functional nutrition as key growth drivers [6]. - Yili plans to increase its market share in various product categories, including infant formula and low-temperature dairy products, while also accelerating international expansion [6]. - A commitment to high dividend payouts has been established, with plans for cash dividends to account for at least 75% of net profit from 2025 to 2027 [6]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue (in million CNY) for 2024A is 115,780, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.2%. By 2027E, revenue is expected to reach 125,537 million CNY, with a growth rate of 3.5% [2][6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 8,453 million CNY in 2024A, with a significant increase to 13,302 million CNY by 2027E, reflecting a growth rate of 8.2% [2][6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 1.34 CNY in 2024A to 2.10 CNY in 2027E, indicating a positive trend in profitability [2][6]. Market Position and Strategy - Yili aims to lead the liquid milk market by 2026, with a focus on penetrating lower-tier markets and enhancing presence in high-tier cities [6]. - The company is shifting its marketing strategy from traditional methods to more engaging and ROI-focused approaches, which is expected to support ongoing profitability improvements [6]. - Yili's international business is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20%, with a focus on high-value products from New Zealand and expanding its presence in Southeast Asia [6].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scode 公司研究丨点评报告丨宝光股份（ Msg1] 600379.SH） [Table_Title] 短期盈利能力有所承压，期待高盈利业务放量 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报。公司 2025 前三季度营业收入 9.5 亿元，同比-18.0%；归母净利润 0.5 亿元，同比-28.3%；扣非净利润 0.5 亿元，同比-27.2%。单季度看，公司 2025Q3 营业收 入 3.1 亿元，同比+0.3%，环比-2.1%；归母净利润 0.1 亿元，同比-46.9%，环比-33.6%；扣非 净利润 0.1 亿元，同比-43.0%，环比-32.6%。 1 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 袁澎 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524010001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com [Table_scodeMsg2] ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yili Co., Ltd. (伊利股份) [3][5] Core Views - Yili Co., Ltd. emphasizes a strategy focused on quality leadership, horizontal expansion, and vertical upgrades, aiming for balanced growth and profitability while enhancing shareholder returns [2][4] - Despite short-term demand pressures, the company has stabilized its liquid milk market share, with other business segments performing well and continuous improvement in net profit margins [5] - The company plans to focus on the recovery of liquid milk, performance improvement under supply-demand balance, and new growth drivers from deep processing, health products, and overseas markets [5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yili Co., Ltd. held an investor day on November 18, 2025, where management discussed the five-year development plan, highlighting the potential for increased per capita consumption of dairy products in China [2] Financial Performance - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.76 CNY and 1.94 CNY for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a valuation of 16.7X for 2025 [5] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 116.53 billion CNY, with a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year [6][14] Business Segments - Liquid Milk: The company is shifting from extensive growth to high-quality growth through product innovation and brand enhancement, aiming for positive growth ahead of the industry by 2026 [4][5] - Infant Formula: The "Golden Crown" brand has maintained over 15% compound growth in the past five years, with a target to achieve over 25% market share [4] - Deep Processing: The deep processing sector is rapidly developing, with significant market potential driven by consumption upgrades [4] International Expansion - Yili Co., Ltd. is committed to international growth, with targets for double-digit compound growth in markets like Indonesia and Thailand, and a 20% growth target in the Australian market [4] Shareholder Returns - The company has announced a dividend payout ratio of no less than 75% for the years 2025-2027, with a minimum cash dividend of 1.22 CNY per share for 2024 [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company has shown signs of operational efficiency improvement, with Q3 revenue and profit beginning to recover after a challenging first half of the year [7] - The introduction of the "AI Private Network" strategy aims to transition traditional communication to intelligent collaboration, addressing the increasing demands for security, efficiency, and intelligence from commercial users [7] - Increased R&D investment is being made to tackle patent challenges and enhance the company's technological independence, with significant progress in proprietary communication technology standards [7] - Ongoing litigation may create uncertainty regarding profit levels, with potential financial implications from various legal cases [7] Financial Data and Valuation - For 2023, total revenue is projected at 56.53 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 0%. The operating profit is expected to be 2.03 billion, reflecting a decline of 43% [2][13] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be -3.88 billion in 2023, indicating a significant year-on-year decrease of 195% [2][13] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to be -55.1 for 2023, improving to 62.0 by 2025 [2][14] - The total assets are estimated at 118.20 billion for 2023, with a debt ratio of 48.9% [12][14] Stock Performance - The current stock price is 11.75 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 21.4 billion [3] - The stock has shown a relative performance decline of 60% over the past 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index [5] Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is Chen Qingzhou, holding a 39.2% stake in the company [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing high growth in Q3 2025, driven by its layout in new energy products, upgrades in intelligent manufacturing, and global capacity expansion [4][6] - The automotive hose market is expected to grow to 25.909 billion yuan by 2025, with new materials like nylon likely to replace traditional rubber due to lightweight trends [6] - The company has established a nylon pipe production line to meet the lightweight demands of new energy vehicles and is expanding its production capacity for air conditioning pipes [6] - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through automation and AI technology in production processes, aiming to improve efficiency and reduce costs [6] - The company has a strong market position, being the top seller of hydraulic brake rubber hoses in China, and is expanding its customer base to include high-end and new energy vehicle manufacturers [6] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected to be 1.149 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.01% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 106 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 64.93% [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.08 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.94 [5][7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 12.99% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [5][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue and performance growth are primarily benefiting from the relatively prosperous automotive industry, with strong demand leading to stable development across various business segments [2][4]. - The company is actively expanding its humanoid robot screw products and establishing solid partnerships with key domestic and international clients, with expectations for continued mass production of humanoid robots [2][4]. - The company is advancing domestic and international capacity construction to prepare for the expansion of its main business and the production capacity of core components for humanoid robots [2][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.712 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.50%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 93 million, up 52.39% year-on-year [4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 599 million, a year-on-year increase of 23.07%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 38 million, up 64.40% year-on-year [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 21.23%, an increase of 0.39 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 6.67%, up 1.47 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Industry Context - The automotive industry is experiencing a favorable demand environment, with domestic vehicle sales reaching 24.363 million units in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.90%, and new energy vehicle sales reaching 11.2276 million units, up 34.95% year-on-year [9]. - The company is optimizing its supply chain and enhancing operational efficiency through various measures, including cost reduction and quality management, which have strengthened its profitability [9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 121 million and 179 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 116x and 78x [6].