上海港湾(605598):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:费用前置阶段性拖累,看好双轮驱动的长期前景
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 11:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.297 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.51%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.9252 billion yuan, a decrease of 46.86% year-on-year [8] - The company has focused on Southeast Asia and the Middle East, leveraging its 20 years of experience to secure high-quality orders, with 72 new projects signed in 2024 amounting to 2.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 93% [8] - The company is experiencing a temporary drag due to upfront expenses, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to dual growth drivers [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 54.24% [1] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 0.2521 billion yuan, reflecting a significant recovery from the previous year's decline [1] - The company's comprehensive gross margin for 2024 was 29.6%, a decrease of 4.7 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic and international gross margins at 20.3% and 31% respectively [8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was -0.83 billion yuan in 2024, a decline of 2.17 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - The asset-liability ratio at the end of 2024 was 22.4%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [8]
亿纬锂能:2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩符合预期,动储全年出货高增长-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 亿纬锂能(300014) 2025 年一季报点评:Q1 业绩符合预期,动储 全年出货高增长 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 48,784 | 48,615 | 66,004 | 82,905 | 97,644 | | 同比(%) | 34.38 | (0.35) | 35.77 | 25.61 | 17.78 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 4,050 | 4,076 | 5,345 | 7,307 | 9,298 | | 同比(%) | 15.42 | 0.63 | 31.16 | 36.69 | 27.25 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.98 | 1.99 | 2.61 | 3.57 | 4.54 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 20.75 | 20.62 | 15.72 | 11.50 | 9.04 | [Table_Tag] [Tab ...
威迈斯:2024年年报&2025年一季报点评:产品结构持续优化,800V+海外开启高增长-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 5,523 | 6,372 | 7,530 | 8,988 | 10,558 | | 同比(%) | 44.09 | 15.39 | 18.16 | 19.37 | 17.47 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 502.40 | 400.18 | 514.81 | 658.55 | 851.99 | | 同比(%) | 70.47 | (20.34) | 28.64 | 27.92 | 29.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.19 | 0.95 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 2.02 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 20.31 | 25.50 | 19.82 | 15.49 | 11.98 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 威迈斯(688612) 2024 年年报&2025 年一季 ...
一汽解放:2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩承压,静待需求回暖-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance is under pressure, with a focus on waiting for demand recovery [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 14.34 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 24.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 29 million yuan, down 83.4% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The heavy-duty truck sales showed a quarter-on-quarter increase, but the estimated revenue per vehicle declined [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the policy encouraging the replacement of old trucks, with domestic sales projected to reach 700,000 units or more in 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 16% [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in the heavy truck industry, with the company positioned to leverage its scale and cost-efficiency [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 67.37 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 722 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.15 yuan, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 49.09 [1] - The company's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is currently at 1.34, indicating a historically low valuation [1] - The report has adjusted the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 720 million yuan and 1.02 billion yuan, respectively [1]
捷众科技:2024年报&2025年一季报点评:积极布局新能源市场与高附加值新品,扣非业绩同比高速增长-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is actively expanding into the new energy market and developing high value-added new products, with a significant year-on-year growth in non-recurring profit [7] - The company reported a revenue of 286 million yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.63%, and a net profit of 63 million yuan, up 56.86% year-on-year [7] - The company has adjusted its business classification, leading to significant growth in the automotive window system components, with a revenue increase of 60.54% year-on-year [7] - The company is deepening its partnerships with leading downstream clients, with expectations for the new energy precision component manufacturing project to generate substantial revenue once operational [7] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with expected net profits of 81 million yuan and 103 million yuan respectively, reflecting a positive outlook for the new energy market [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 231.19 million yuan in 2023 to 606.45 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.15% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 39.85 million yuan in 2023 to 128.82 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 25.25% [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.60 yuan in 2023 to 1.94 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 39.95 in 2023 to 12.36 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [1][8]
昆仑万维:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:AI生态布局持续落地,商业化进程加速-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评:AI 生态 布局持续落地,商业化进程加速 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 4,915 | 5,662 | 7,166 | 7,997 | 8,898 | | 同比(%) | 3.78 | 15.20 | 26.56 | 11.59 | 11.27 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,258.36 | (1,594.80) | (891.73) | (772.94) | (625.84) | | 同比(%) | 9.15 | (226.74) | - | - | - | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.02 | (1.30) | (0.72) | (0.63) | (0.51) | | P/S(现价&最新摊薄) | 7.99 | 6.94 | 5.48 | 4.91 | 4.41 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ...
科大讯飞:收入快速增长,持续迭代AI模型-20250502
Tai Ping Yang· 2025-05-02 10:23
2025 年 05 月 01 日 公司点评 买入/维持 科大讯飞(002230) 目标价: 昨收盘:46.93 收入快速增长,持续迭代 AI 模型 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (18%) (6%) 6% 18% 30% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 投资建议:公司来自于 AI 的收入实现快速增长。预计 2025-2027 年公司的 EPS 分别为 0.39/0.61/0.83 元,维持买入评级。 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 23.12/21.89 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 1,084.88/1,02 | | | 7.37 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 59.37/32.66 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<收入快速增长,AI 落地加速>>-- 2024-08-23 <<坚定 AI 战略,期待应用表现>>-- 2023-10-24 <>--2023-08-18 证券分析师:曹佩 整体收入保持高速增长。2024 年,公司收入 233.43 亿元,同比 增长 18.79%:智慧教育业务 ...
华洋赛车:2024年报&2025年一季报点评:俄罗斯与欧洲重点市场持续放量,期待双品牌策略提升细分增量-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·摩托车及其他 华洋赛车(834058) 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评:俄罗斯与欧 洲重点市场持续放量,期待双品牌策略提升 细分增量 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 478.80 | 526.99 | 672.45 | 824.30 | 989.34 | | 同比(%) | 12.95 | 10.06 | 27.60 | 22.58 | 20.02 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 51.31 | 56.14 | 69.34 | 90.63 | 113.57 | | 同比(%) | (22.41) | 9.43 | 23.51 | 30.71 | 25.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 2.02 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 36.31 | 33.19 | 26.87 | 20.56 | ...
双环传动:经营质量持续提升,逐步构建全球齿轮生态平台-20250502
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company is experiencing continuous improvement in operational quality and is gradually building a global gear ecosystem platform [1] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 8.78 billion yuan, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year, with a main business revenue of 8.15 billion yuan, up 18.2% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to reach 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.4% [1] - The company is benefiting from the growth in the new energy vehicle gear and intelligent actuator sectors, with significant revenue increases in these areas [2] Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's revenue from passenger car gears, commercial vehicle gears, engineering machinery gears, reducers, and intelligent actuators is projected to be 5.32 billion, 720 million, 580 million, 660 million, and 640 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +26.1%, -18%, -10.4%, +18%, and +69.5% [2] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 25%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin is projected to be 12%, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 31% in Q4 2024, marking a historical high in nearly a decade [2] Cost Management - The overall expense ratio for 2024 is expected to be 10.6%, a slight increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, with stable management and sales expense ratios [2] - The company continues to invest in R&D, with the R&D expense ratio increasing to 5.2% in 2024 [2] Growth Opportunities - The company is expanding its product offerings and enhancing its market presence through technological iterations and global expansion, including the establishment of a factory in Hungary [3] - The acquisition of San Duo Le has led to revenue and gross margin improvements, particularly in the sweeping machine sector [3] - The company is exploring new growth points in smart automotive applications and intelligent wearable devices [3] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.23 billion, 11.78 billion, and 13.57 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.32 billion, 1.62 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan [4] - The company maintains a PE ratio of 21.7, 17.6, and 14.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]
美诺华:大客户合作持续深化,制剂产能有望进一步提升-20250502
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.373 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.85%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 67 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 476.64% [1] - The company's collaboration with major clients continues to deepen, transitioning from supplying intermediates and raw materials to a full-chain cooperation model that includes raw materials, CDMO, and formulation [2][3] - The self-operated formulation business is expected to grow steadily due to successful bids in national and provincial centralized procurement [4] Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 1.6497 billion yuan, 1.9175 billion yuan, and 2.1738 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 166.31 million yuan, 221.35 million yuan, and 274.47 million yuan for the same years [5] - The EBITDA for 2024 is estimated at 366.41 million yuan, with a growth rate of 24.86% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.76 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.26 yuan by 2027 [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is strengthening its partnership with MSD in the CDMO sector, with ongoing development and production of multiple products [3] - The formulation capacity is expected to increase significantly in 2024, with a projected revenue growth of 51.9% for the company's TianKang division [2] - The company has successfully secured multiple bids in centralized procurement, which is anticipated to accelerate the growth of its self-operated formulation business [4]