Core Viewpoint - The rare earth concept stocks in the A-share market experienced a significant increase, driven by rising prices of rare earth products, particularly praseodymium oxide and neodymium oxide, which have seen substantial price hikes this year [1][2]. Price Trends - As of February 11, the average price of praseodymium oxide reached 877,000 yuan per ton, with an increase of over 260,000 yuan per ton this year, representing a growth of 43.42% - The average price of neodymium oxide reached 870,000 yuan per ton, with a year-to-date increase of 260,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a growth of 42.62% - The cumulative price increase for praseodymium-neodymium, metallic neodymium, and metallic praseodymium has exceeded 35% this year [1]. Stock Performance - 盛和资源 (Shenghe Resources) saw a price increase of 5.94% with a total market value of 53.5 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 41.66% [2] - 金田股份 (Jintian Co.) increased by 3.90%, with a market value of 20.3 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 8.61% [2] - 厦门铝业 (Xiamen Tungsten) rose by 3.42%, with a market value of 101.9 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 56.28% [2] - 华新环保 (Hua Xin Environmental) increased by 3.36%, with a market value of 4.469 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 6.04% [2] - Other notable stocks include 九菱科技 (Jiuling Technology) with a 2.59% increase, 中色股份 (China Nonferrous) with a 2.39% increase, and 中国稀土 (China Rare Earth) with a 2.26% increase [2].

Group 1 - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing significant activity, with Longmag Technology rising over 13% [1] - Other companies such as China Rare Earth, Jiuling Technology, Zhongke Magnetic Industry, Dadi Bear, Wanlang Magnetic Plastic, Galaxy Magnet, and Jinli Permanent Magnet also saw increases [1] - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide continues to rise, reaching 800,000 yuan per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 9.9% and a month-on-month increase of 28.8% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [6]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index decreased by 5.42% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index, ranking 28th among 31 first-level industries [12]. - Precious metals, energy metals, minor metals, industrial metals, and new metal materials all experienced varying degrees of decline during this period [12]. - The report highlights significant price movements, with tungsten prices rising sharply by 25.09% over the past two weeks, while other metals like silver and tin saw substantial declines [19][38]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index fell by 5.42% from January 26 to February 6, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 index [12]. - Precious metals decreased by 2.49%, energy metals by 11.47%, minor metals by 4.25%, industrial metals by 4.29%, and new metal materials by 9.25% [12]. Precious Metals - As of February 6, COMEX gold closed at $4,988.60 per ounce, up 0.11% over the past two weeks, and up 14.89% year-to-date [20]. - COMEX silver closed at $77.53 per ounce, down 24.92% over the past two weeks, but up 7.28% year-to-date [20]. Industrial Metals - LME copper settled at $12,840.00 per ton, down 0.62% over the past two weeks, but up 2.14% year-to-date [29]. - Domestic copper averaged ¥99,560 per ton, down 1.68% over the past two weeks [29]. Minor Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price reached ¥673,000 per ton, up 25.09% over the past two weeks [38]. - LME tin price was $47,155 per ton, down 16.69% over the past two weeks [38]. Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index was reported at 265.43, up 11.37% over the past two weeks [52]. - Neodymium oxide closed at ¥757,500 per ton, up 12.64% over the past two weeks [52]. Energy Metals - Electrolytic cobalt averaged ¥420,000 per ton, down 3.89% over the past two weeks [61]. - Lithium carbonate (99.5% battery grade) averaged ¥134,500 per ton, down 21.35% over the past two weeks [64]. Major Events - The Shanghai Futures Exchange is seeking public opinion on revising lead futures contract rules, which will include recycled lead ingots as alternative delivery items [3]. - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association announced the suspension of over 2 million tons of copper smelting projects to control capacity growth [70].

摘要 印尼配额政策收紧对煤炭供应产生实质性影响，导致部分企业暂停现货 出口，南方沿海电厂面临采购困境，建议春节前配置煤炭板块，以应对 节后可能出现的用煤紧张局面。 全球煤炭供应偏紧，中国预计负增长，印尼大幅收缩配额，美国减少出 口，澳洲生产不确定性增加，建议春节前积极配置动力煤相关股票，如 兖矿能源、中煤能源、陕西煤业等。 全球不确定性加剧及金价大幅调整后，黄金股估值较低，央行购金提供 需求端稳定器，建议持有黄金股过春节，推荐中金黄金、紫金国际、万 国集团等标的。 钨和稀土受益于自身基本面强势走出独立行情，钨矿供需持续紧张导致 价格加速上涨，推荐中钨高新、厦门钨业、嘉鑫国际资源等龙头企业。 稀土市场氧化镝镧价格持续上涨，受益于冶炼分离指标不足、复产不及 预期及下游企业补库需求，推荐轻稀土龙头北方稀土，以及中国稀土和 中锡有色。 Q&A 在当前市场波动较大的情况下，春节前后哪些资源品种值得投资？ 我们认为在当前市场波动较大的情况下，煤炭、黄金、镍、钨和稀土是值得关 注的投资方向。这些品种目前基本面较好，并且在春节期间和节后有望表现出 色。 具体来看，煤炭和镍的投资逻辑相对接近。近期印尼的配额政策不断发酵， 对这 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [6]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index decreased by 5.42% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 28th among 31 first-level industries [12]. - Precious metals, energy metals, minor metals, industrial metals, and new metal materials all experienced varying degrees of decline during this period [12]. - The report highlights significant price movements, with tungsten prices rising sharply by 25.09% over the past two weeks, while other metals like silver and tin saw substantial declines [19][38]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index fell by 5.42% from January 26 to February 6, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 index [12]. - Precious metals decreased by 2.49%, energy metals by 11.47%, minor metals by 4.25%, industrial metals by 4.29%, and new metal materials by 9.25% [12]. Precious Metals - As of February 6, COMEX gold closed at $4,988.60 per ounce, up 0.11% over the past two weeks, and up 14.89% year-to-date [20]. - COMEX silver closed at $77.53 per ounce, down 24.92% over the past two weeks, but up 7.28% year-to-date [20]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Hunan Gold due to the current market dynamics [21]. Industrial Metals - LME copper settled at $12,840.00 per ton, down 0.62% over the past two weeks, but up 2.14% year-to-date [29]. - Domestic copper prices averaged 99,560 RMB per ton, down 1.68% over the past two weeks [29]. - Companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and Tongling Nonferrous [29]. Minor Metals - Black tungsten prices rose to 673,000 RMB per ton, up 25.09% over the past two weeks [38]. - Tin prices on LME fell to $47,155 per ton, down 16.69% over the past two weeks [38]. - The report recommends focusing on companies like Xiyang Tin, Huaxi Silver, and Xingye Silver due to the current market conditions [39]. Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index reached 265.43, up 11.37% over the past two weeks [52]. - Neodymium oxide closed at 757,500 RMB per ton, up 12.64% over the past two weeks [52]. - Companies to focus on include China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, and Shenghe Resources [53]. Energy Metals - Electrolytic cobalt averaged 420,000 RMB per ton, down 3.89% over the past two weeks [61]. - Lithium carbonate (battery-grade) averaged 134,500 RMB per ton, down 21.35% over the past two weeks [64]. - Companies to monitor include Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium due to the evolving market landscape [64].

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.09% to close at 4131.99 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35% to 14160.93 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.08% to 3284.74 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 200.12 billion, a decrease of 123.7 billion from the previous day [1]. Rare Metals Sector Performance - The rare metals sector led the market gains today, driven by rising futures prices. Notable stocks included Zhongtung High-tech and Zhangyuan Tungsten, which hit the daily limit, while Xiamen Tungsten and Jinchuan Group rose over 7%, and Huayou Cobalt increased by over 5%. This momentum also boosted the Rare Metals ETF and related funds, which rose by more than 3.5% [1]. Rare Metals ETF Details - The Rare Metals ETF, which tracks the CSI Rare Metals Index, saw a rise of 3.86% today and has gained 15.70% year-to-date, with an estimated scale of 6.588 billion. Other related ETFs also showed positive performance, with the Industrial Bank Rare Metals ETF rising by 3.79% and the Rare Metals ETF Fund increasing by 3.53% [2]. Commodity Price Movements - There was a significant increase in commodity prices today, with lithium carbonate rising over 5%, nickel up over 4%, and other metals like tin and stainless steel increasing by over 2%. The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange surged by 9%, reaching 150,000 yuan/ton [3]. Global Rare Metals Market Trends - The global rare metals market is expected to continue its upward trend through 2026, with prices for rare earths, lithium, tungsten, cobalt, and nickel on the rise. This surge is attributed to three main factors: changes in global macroeconomic conditions, tightening supply constraints, and structural growth in demand from emerging industries [4][5]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply constraints are a key driver of the current market dynamics, with countries like Indonesia and Vietnam implementing significant restrictions on exports of nickel and rare earths, respectively. China's export controls on certain rare metals further solidify its dominant position in global supply [4][6]. On the demand side, sectors such as electric vehicles, energy storage, and advanced manufacturing are driving robust demand for rare metals, indicating a structural growth trend [5][6].

Group 1 - North Mining Technology (600980) is a state-owned enterprise under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on mining equipment and magnetic materials, with a leading position in the global market for intelligent flotation machines and a 12% share in domestic sintered permanent magnetic ferrite production [1][25][26] - Greenme (002340) is a leader in the recycling of rare metals and new energy materials, with a dual business model of "urban mining + new energy materials," supplying major companies like CATL and BYD [1][27] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) is a leader in tungsten, molybdenum, and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a complete industrial chain from mining to high-end magnetic material production [2][28] Group 2 - Jiyuan Wanfang (000612) is a significant player in aluminum smelting and rare earth permanent magnetic materials, leveraging local resources to form a dual business model of "aluminum + rare earth" [3][29] - Wanlong Magnetic Plastic (603150) is a leader in refrigerator door seals and magnetic materials, producing ferrite magnets for major appliance manufacturers [4][30] - Northern Rare Earth (600111) is the largest rare earth producer globally, controlling over 40% of the world's rare earth oxide production and holding significant pricing power [5][30] Group 3 - Chifeng Gold (600988) is involved in gold mining and rare earth resource development, with a strong position in the domestic rare earth market [6][31] - Zhongmin Resources (002738) is a leader in lithium mining and rare earth resources, with significant overseas rare earth mining rights [7][33] - Galaxy Magnet (300127) specializes in sintered and bonded neodymium-iron-boron magnets, serving major clients like BYD and CATL [8][34] Group 4 - Zhong Rare Metals (600259) focuses on rare earth mining and functional materials, with a strong position in the medium and heavy rare earth sectors [9][35] - Tianhe Magnetic Materials (603072) is a leader in high-end neodymium-iron-boron magnets, supplying major automotive and industrial clients [10][36] - Oriental Zirconium (002167) produces zirconium products and rare earth functional materials, with a focus on the electronics and new energy sectors [11][37] Group 5 - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748) is a leading producer of rare earth permanent magnetic materials, with a strong presence in the automotive sector [12][38] - Huaxin Environmental (301265) focuses on environmental equipment and rare earth recycling, leveraging a dual business model [13][40] - China Rare Earth (000831) is a key player in rare earth mining and processing, with a focus on high-value applications in new energy and military sectors [14][49]

有数据显示，2020–2022年锂电产业链涨价周期中，上游碳酸锂价格从4万元/吨底部启动，两年内最高 冲至60万元/吨，涨幅达14倍；当前时点产业扩产意愿显著低于2021年，2026年新增供给有限，而储能 等新兴需求持续超预期，稀有金属中具备类似资源刚性与下游高成长性的品种，价格弹性与盈利修复空 间值得重视。 此外，钴作为新能源与高温合金核心稀有金属，其供给格局正经历政策驱动型重塑。华西证券援引嘉能 可季报指出，刚果（金）已于2025年四季度解除钴出口禁令，转而实施配额管理制度，并允许未使用配 额延至2026年3月31日；嘉能可明确将优先保障铜出口，钴则按分配额度有序释放，超出配额部分以在 制品或成品形式在国内库存累积，该策略既响应监管要求，又为后续价格弹性预留空间。 稀有金属ETF基金（561800）跟踪的CS稀金属指数，该指数主要配置碳酸锂+小金属+稀土板块，碳酸 锂含量在30%~40%，是市面上含"锂"量最高的指数，为场内投资者提供一键布局稀有金属行业的优秀 投资工具。 场内ETF方面，截至2026年2月11日午间收盘，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)强势上涨4.13%，成分股 东方钽业、章源钨业1 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant stock price increases of 7.98%, 6.72%, and 6.34% respectively, contributing to a nearly 3% rise in the Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF (159157) [1] - The Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a total of 890 million shares purchased in a single day and a cumulative net inflow of 614 million yuan over three days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, and rare earths, allowing it to capture various market cycles effectively [1] Group 2 - On February 10, prices for mainstream rare earth products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxides have risen due to tight supply conditions and strong demand from downstream buyers [2] - The non-ferrous sector is expected to perform well in 2025, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum projected to see net profit increases of over 60% and 50% respectively, while Shenghe Resources and Huayu Mining are expected to see even higher profit growth [2] - Following price adjustments by tungsten companies, Zhangyuan Tungsten has also raised its long-term procurement prices for black and white tungsten concentrates by 28.1% [2] - The U.S. has initiated a $12 billion strategic metal reserve plan, and the Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association has suggested commercial interest subsidies for copper and copper concentrates to enhance resource value [2]

Group 1 - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with Wanlong Magnetic Plastic hitting the daily limit increase [1] - Northern Rare Earth has seen an increase of over 6%, indicating strong market performance [1] - Other companies such as Beikong Technology, Jinli Permanent Magnet, Galaxy Magnet, and China Rare Earth are also following the upward trend [1]