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台积电周四公布财报 第三季获利可望创新高
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-16 03:57
台积电定于周四公布财报,并将在北京时间14:00的财报电话会议上提供第四季业绩指引。在乐观预期 推动下,台积电股价今日再创纪录新高,达1490新台币,带动台湾加权指数盘中也创下历史新高。 格隆汇10月16日|受人工智能(AI)基础设施需求激增的带动,台积电第三季获利料将大增28%,创下纪 录新高,不过美国关税可能使其前景复杂化。LSEG Smart Estimate汇总20位分析师的数据显示,台积电 第三季净利润料为4,177亿新台币(约136.5亿美元)。只要获利超过3,983亿新台币,就将创下公司的纪录 新高,并实现连续第七个季度获利增长。 ...
AI基建的刚需环节,全球建设需求快速增长 | 投研报告
Core Insights - Cleanroom and facility engineering are essential components for the expansion of the AI computing power supply chain [2] - The global cleanroom market is experiencing continuous growth due to increasing environmental requirements as industrial product process dimensions shrink [2][4] Industry Overview - Supply chain security and AI computing power are the two main drivers for global chip production expansion [3] - The expansion of mature process chips is driven by risk aversion, particularly influenced by the decoupling between China and the U.S., leading to increased domestic production in China [3] - Advanced process chip expansion is driven by AI computing power demand, with TSMC controlling 90% of global advanced process capacity [3] Market Potential - North America is identified as the market with the greatest potential for cleanroom engineering demand [4] - TSMC's significant investment in the U.S. is expected to accelerate capacity construction, with a total planned investment of $165 billion, including an additional $100 billion announced in March 2025 [4] - The rapid increase in investment intensity has led to saturation among primary suppliers involved in factory construction, creating a likely overflow of orders [4] Company Recommendations - Shenghui Integrated is recommended due to its extensive overseas market experience and strong order growth, with a 70% increase in new orders and a 39% rise in revenue in the first half of 2025 [5][6] - Yaxiang Integrated is also recommended, benefiting from the restructuring of the global semiconductor supply chain, with significant overseas project wins, although there are concerns about the sustainability of overseas orders [5][6]
稀土管制风起之时 阿斯麦(ASML.US)顽强托起“AI牛市叙事”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 12:13
(原标题:稀土管制风起之时 阿斯麦(ASML.US)顽强托起"AI牛市叙事") 智通财经APP获悉,光刻机巨头阿斯麦(ASML Holding NV)公布的最新业绩显示Q3光刻机订单超市场预 期,且在史无前例的全球AI热潮催化之下,AI基础设施军备竞赛仍然如火如荼,该公司管理层对于稀 土管制影响以及2026年至2030年的业绩增长预期呈现乐观立场。阿斯麦首席财务官(CFO)表示,该公司 已经为中国限制稀土产品以及相关技术与设备出口的政策做足准备工作。 随着股市财报季开幕,阿斯麦这份亮眼业绩无疑大幅强化全球股票市场的"AI长期牛市"叙事逻辑以及 科技股信徒们的"AI投资信仰",这也意味着英伟达、台积电、博通以及美光科技所主导的全球AI算力 产业链的这轮"超级牛市行情"远未停歇,该产业链在未来一段时间仍将是全球资金最青睐的投资板块。 阿斯麦业绩出炉之后,阿斯麦美股ADR(ASML.US)盘前闻讯涨超4%,欧股市场涨幅类似。 最新业绩显示,阿斯麦第三季度订单累计54亿欧元,高于市场普遍预期的49亿欧元,其中极紫外光刻机 (即EUV)的订单量创下近七个季度以来的最高水平;阿斯麦首席执行官(CEO)富凯(Christo ...
洁净室工程专题报告:AI基建的刚需环节,全球建设需求快速增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-15 09:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the cleanroom engineering industry [1] Core Insights - Cleanroom engineering is a critical component in the AI infrastructure, with global construction demand rapidly increasing [2] - The global cleanroom market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing precision requirements in industrial products and the expansion of semiconductor manufacturing [51][56] - The cleanroom engineering market is projected to reach $10.04 billion by 2025 and $14.16 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.1% [56] Summary by Sections Cleanroom Engineering Overview - Cleanrooms provide controlled environments necessary for the production of precision products, including semiconductor manufacturing and data center construction [2] - Cleanroom and facility engineering typically accounts for 10-20% of total investment in semiconductor production [47] Global Chip Expansion and Cleanroom Demand - The expansion of global chip production is driven by two main factors: supply chain security and AI computing power [3] - The North American market is identified as having the highest potential for cleanroom demand, particularly due to significant investments from companies like TSMC [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Shenghui Integration and Yaxiang Integration, which are positioned to benefit from the ongoing expansion in the semiconductor supply chain [5] Market Dynamics - The cleanroom market is characterized by high competition barriers, with strong ties between engineering service providers and their clients [6] - The electronic industry accounts for over 54% of cleanroom demand, highlighting the sector's critical need for controlled environments [14][16] Future Trends - The report emphasizes the trend towards increasing precision in industrial products, which will continue to drive the growth of the cleanroom market [56] - The construction of cleanrooms is becoming more complex, requiring advanced engineering services to meet stringent environmental control standards [59]
半导体行业9月份月报:存储芯片持续涨价,消费电子新品陆续发布-20251015
Donghai Securities· 2025-10-15 05:31
Investment Rating - The semiconductor industry is rated positively, with a focus on structural opportunities in AI computing power, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising storage prices [6]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry showed continuous recovery in September 2025, with an expanding price increase and improving global demand, particularly in PCs, tablets, TWS headphones, wearable devices, smart homes, AI servers, and new energy vehicles [6][7]. - The demand for storage chips is driven by AI applications and the growing needs in data centers, client devices, and mobile sectors, leading to price increases from major manufacturers like Micron and SanDisk [6][7]. - The report highlights the release of multiple new consumer electronics products from companies like Apple, Xiaomi, and Huawei, which is expected to further stimulate demand [6][7]. Summary by Sections Monthly Market Review - The semiconductor sector experienced a 14.07% increase in September, outperforming the overall electronic sector's 10.96% rise and the CSI 300's 3.20% [13][15]. - The semiconductor valuation metrics indicate a PE of 99.17% and a PB of 75.83%, reflecting high historical levels [19][22]. Supply and Demand Data Tracking - Global semiconductor sales in August 2025 increased by 21.73% year-on-year, with a cumulative increase of 19.75% from January to August 2025 [6][19]. - The price fluctuations for storage modules in September ranged from 2.00% to 15.00%, with DRAM and NAND FLASH prices varying from -0.77% to 24.60% [6][19]. Downstream Demand Data Tracking and Forecast - The demand for TWS headphones, wearable devices, AI servers, and new energy vehicles is recovering well, with global smartphone shipments showing a slight increase of 1.03% year-on-year [6][19]. - The report notes that the smartphone market in mainland China saw a decline of 9.29% in June 2025, while global PC shipments increased by 9.52% year-on-year [6][19]. Industry News Highlights - Major product launches include Apple's iPhone 17 series and Huawei's MateXTs foldable phone, which are expected to enhance market competition and drive demand for semiconductor components [6][7]. - The storage market is experiencing a price increase, with SanDisk raising NAND flash prices by approximately 10% and Samsung planning to increase DRAM prices by 15% to 30% [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the AIOT sector, AI innovation-driven segments, and those benefiting from domestic supply chain replacements in semiconductor equipment and materials [6][7].
中概股下挫 百度跌5% 阿里、京东跌近2% 加密货币超20万人爆仓
北京时间10月14日晚,美股三大股指回调,纳斯达克综合指数一度跌近2%。 数据截至10月14日23:31 截至23:30左右,英特尔跌5.5%,英伟达、博通跌超3%,甲骨文、特斯拉、台积电等热门股均明显下跌。 中国金龙指数跌幅一度扩大至3%,截至发稿跌幅收窄至1.6%。小马智行跌超6%,百度跌超5%,文远知行跌超4%,阿里、京东跌约2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | | 百度集团 | 119.30 | -5.03% | | 京东集团 | 32.610 | -1.92% | | 阿里巴巴 | 163.67 | -1.88% | | 腾讯控股-ADR 80.300 | | -1.63% | | 网易 | 147.07 | -1.54% | | 比亚迪股份-AC13.393 | | -0.80% | | 拼多多 | 126.87 | -0.53% | | 小米集团-ADR 31.500 | | -0.16% | | 美团-ADR | 25.480 | 0.28% | 加密货币集体大跌,比特币跌2.25%,以太坊跌破4000美元关口。近24小时内超20.6万人爆仓, ...
中概股下挫,百度跌5%,阿里、京东跌近2%,加密货币超20万人爆仓
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a pullback on October 14, with the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping nearly 2% at one point [1] - Major indices closed as follows: Dow Jones at 46,020.86 (-0.10%), Nasdaq at 22,475.99 (-0.96%), and S&P 500 at 6,621.64 (-0.50%) [2] - Notable declines were observed in tech stocks, with Intel down 5.5%, Nvidia and Broadcom down over 3%, and other popular stocks like Oracle, Tesla, and TSMC also showing significant drops [2] Chinese Market Performance - The China Golden Dragon Index saw a decline of up to 3%, later narrowing to a 1.6% drop [2] - Specific Chinese stocks faced notable losses: Xiaoma Zhixing down over 6%, Baidu down over 5%, and WeRide down over 4% [2] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market faced a collective downturn, with Bitcoin dropping 2.25% and Ethereum falling below $4,000 [3] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 206,000 traders were liquidated, with a liquidation amount nearing $670 million [3] Precious Metals and Commodities - Gold and silver prices experienced volatility, with silver down 1.36% while gold rebounded slightly [7] - Year-to-date, silver has risen 83% and gold has increased by 57% [8] - The price of gold jewelry surged to 1,200 yuan per gram, reflecting an increase of approximately 400 yuan per gram since the beginning of the year [8] Economic Forecasts - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded global economic growth forecasts, predicting a slowdown from 3.3% in 2024 to 3.1% in 2026 [12] - The IMF highlighted that current global growth rates are significantly below the pre-pandemic level of 3.7% [12] - IMF President Kristalina Georgieva warned of rising uncertainties due to geopolitical tensions, technological changes, and environmental issues, which could impact global economic stability [14]
英伟达博通甲骨文股价跌4%,英特尔跌超6%
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-10-14 14:15
【#英伟达博通甲骨文股价跌幅均扩大至4%#】#英特尔股价下跌超6%#纳斯达克综合指数跌1.91%,英 伟达、博通、甲骨文股价跌幅均扩大至4%,特斯拉、台积电、摩根大通等股票跌超3%。英特尔股价跌 至两周低点,最新下跌超6%。(智通财经) | 英伟达 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | ESG US NVDA | | | | 180.760 | -7.560 -4.01% | | | 交易时段 Oct 14 09:50AM EDT 半导体 -1.96% > | | | | 量 3,636.56万 | 今开 184.770 最高 184.800 | | | 昨收 188.320 | 最低 179.700 | 额 66.25亿 | | 换手 0.15% | 市盈 ™ 51.06 | 市值⊙4.39万亿 | | Q 股东大会: 10-14 Open Compute Project Global ... Al解读 × | | | | 盘中, 五日 日K | 周K | 月K 更多, ◎ | | 均价:181.497 最新:180.757 -7.563 -4.02% | | 明细 分价 | | 196. ...
美股财报季开幕 “AI信仰”迎首个大考!暴涨后的阿斯麦(ASML.US)站在全球聚光灯之下
智通财经网· 2025-10-14 13:20
智通财经APP获悉,随着全球投资者们聚焦的美股财报季周二正式拉开帷幕,光刻机巨头阿斯麦(ASML Holding NV)面临着一场非常 棘手的"盈利测试",此前该股在一个多月内大幅上涨近50%,主要因全球金融市场的投资者们寄望加速建设的人工智能基础设施将 推动台积电等芯片制造商大幅扩张3nm及以下芯片产能,进而将推动半导体设备订单激增。因此,光刻机巨头阿斯麦二十年来最佳 单月股价表现,令这家半导体设备商将于明日公布的业绩报告成全球金融市场焦点。 "市场将聚焦阿斯麦的2026年业绩前景——投资者们如今希望看到,来自台积电、三星电子等芯片制造商的与高性能AI芯片相关资本 开支激烈扩张是否开始传导到阿斯麦等半导体设备巨头们的订单簿。"来自Centive Global Equity Fund的投资组合经理Reinder Wietsma表示。 阿斯麦是制造最先进制程AI芯片所必需的EUV光刻机设备的全球唯一供应商,曾在7月表示由于全球贸易摩擦,无法确认2026年的 业绩增长预期,这一表态曾令其股价在财报公布日当天下挫11%,并拖累芯片板块同行们。此后,美国与欧盟之间的一项协议将包 括半导体设备在内的战略物项免于关税,这 ...
智通港股解盘 | 闻泰科技(600745.SH)事件影响情绪 科技还看新凯来
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 12:47
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index experienced a significant decline, closing down 1.73% amid challenging market conditions [1] - U.S. markets showed a positive rebound, with Treasury Secretary reassuring that U.S.-China tensions have eased significantly [1] - OpenAI and Broadcom announced a strategic partnership to develop customized chips with a total capacity of 10GW, indicating strong future growth potential for OpenAI [1] AI Sector Insights - U.S. companies are effectively creating a closed-loop AI ecosystem, leading to a surge in tech stocks, with TSMC rising nearly 8% [2] - In Hong Kong, InnoCare Pharma saw a nearly 5% increase, while Kintor Pharmaceutical rose nearly 3% [2] Semiconductor Industry Developments - Chinese semiconductor stocks faced significant declines, influenced by the Dutch government's administrative directive against ASML, raising concerns about technology transfer to China [3] - The Dutch government's actions are seen as a response to U.S. trade tensions, potentially exacerbating high-tech conflicts between the West and China [3] - Major Chinese semiconductor companies like Hua Hong Semiconductor and SMIC experienced drops of over 13% and 8%, respectively, due to investor concerns [4] Banking and Financial Sector - The banking sector saw a resurgence, particularly smaller banks, with Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank rising over 6% [6] - Other banks like China Merchants Bank and China Everbright Bank also reported gains of over 3% [6] Robotics and Automation - Shanghai's Economic and Information Technology Commission released an action plan to enhance the development of humanoid robots and related technologies [8] - China is projected to have over 2 million industrial robots in operation by 2024, leading the world in this sector [8] Company Performance - Weichai Power reported a slight revenue increase of 0.59% but a net profit decline of 4.4% due to challenges in its core heavy-duty engine business [10] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, with significant growth in its new energy and data center engine segments, showing a 91% increase in battery sales [10][11]