太空光伏：特斯拉及 Space X 计划大规模扩产，光伏设备 板块迎新机 20260125 摘要 中国已成为全球新能源供给端的工业化中心，具备光伏领域的综合竞争 力，其他国家或企业难以复制。马斯克 SpaceX 和特斯拉计划分别扩大 约 100GW 级别的光伏产能，满足太空光伏和美国数据中心配储需求， 显著拉动光伏设备板块。 马斯克将光伏视为战略核心，旨在解决 AI 用电瓶颈。通过特斯拉扩展地 面"光伏+储能"，解决数据中心供电问题；通过 SpaceX 推进太空光 伏，甚至太空算力能源方案，缓解缺电和散热压力。 太空光伏优势在于供电稳定、散热良好，可缓解地面数据中心压力。初 期需求来自遥感和通信卫星，未来可能发展为算力卫星或太空算力节点， 进一步提升能源需求。 太空光伏技术路线从硅基单结砷化镓发展到多结砷化镓，并逐步向 P 型 异质结及钙钛矿叠层过渡。P 型异质结抗辐射性好且适合薄片化，是未 来潜在主流路线之一。 P 型异质结具备抗腐蚀、抗辐射、结构对称性强、适合薄片化等优势， 产业化节奏较快，被认为是未来潜在主流技术路线之一。 Q&A 马斯克在达沃斯论坛上提到中国光伏产业的优势，具体体现在哪些方面？ 中国在 ...

AI 光提速电话会议-重视商业航天和卫星大机遇 20260125 近年来商业航天和卫星产业链有哪些重要进展？ 从 2025 年 12 月开始，全球商业航天和卫星产业链出现了许多催化事件。例 如，可回收火箭技术持续突破，蓝箭航天科创板 IPO 申请获受理，并计划募集 75 亿元用于可回收火箭产能提升。此外，在 2025 年 12 月 31 日，中国首枚 商业火箭领域投资方向包括舰体结构、推进系统、控制系统、总装集成 和整机测试。海格通信、中国移动等公司在细分领域具有竞争优势。 SpaceX 计划未来三年在美国建设 200GW 光伏产能，用于地面数据中 心和太空 AI 功能，并计划每年部署约 100 万颗太阳能 AI 卫星，以实现 2030 年前首个 100GW 太空光伏里程碑。 摘要 商业航天由企业主导，通过市场化手段开展航天活动，产业链包括航天 器研发制造（上游）、发射及卫星运营（中游）、通信导航遥感等应用 （下游）。 可回收火箭技术是商业航天降本增效的关键，SpaceX 猎鹰 9 号已成功 回收 382 次，重复使用 343 次，大幅降低发射成本，目标是降至每磅 100 美元以下。 中国版"Starlink ...

1月22日，由中国银行四川省分行与鹏华基金联合主办的"金蓉汇聚 质创未来"金融服务新质生产力发展 大会在成都举办。鹏华基金董事总经理(MD)、投资总监、基金经理闫思倩围绕科技成长投资与新质生 产力发表演讲，从机构投资者角度深度剖析科技成长领域的投资机遇。她指出，在当前宏观经济逐步筑 底、全球流动性保持宽松的背景下，中国资本市场有望延续慢牛格局，而新质生产力或将成为推动市场 长期向好的核心动力。AI、机器人产业有望打开万亿市场空间。 慢牛持续，新质生产力将开启长牛周期 纵观整个市场，闫思倩判断2026年还是在一个牛市的氛围里面，宏观面基本已经处于底部，未来大概率 向好。 从全球来看也是如此，美国通胀控制较好，全球处在一个宽松和流动性非常好的形势下。闫思倩提到上 一轮牛市(2019年到2021年)，在2019年有一个小的库存周期，白马股表现较好，经济得到一定恢复。 2020年和2021年，吃药、喝酒、新能源都表现出色。而这一轮牛市，整体来看，去年一些赛道，包括创 新药、AI，甚至机器人等表现亮眼。闫思倩相信今年表现大概会延续。但是宏观经济并没有像上一轮 牛市一样，出现启动和恢复。闫思倩表示，随着反内卷政策推进，上 ...

在政策、需求、资本的多重催化下，商业航天已成为市场近期的最强主线之一；而商业航天的低轨卫星 组网、太空算力落地等场景的规模化发展则为太空光伏打开了广阔的需求空间，其作为商业航天规模 化、商业化发展的核心能源基石也受到了资本市场的密切关注。 马斯克对太空光伏的具体落地规划是带动板块股价上行的核心催化因素之一 作为商业航天和新能源领域的全球创新领袖，马斯克对太空光伏的表述已从早期的概念性表态逐步转向 具体落地规划，围绕技术研发、产能建设、场景落地等多维度持续完善特斯拉和SpaceX的太空光伏领 域布局。此次在达沃斯世界经济论坛上马斯克提出了明确的产能目标，进一步提升资本市场对太空光伏 商业化落地的信心，进而带动光伏ETF（159857）次日大涨9.57%。 光大证券发布研报称，商业航天已成为市场近期最强主线之一，太空光伏为核心受益赛道。太空光伏的 技术迭代将带来新技术产能设备需求的持续增长，提前布局太空光伏领域并实现差异化技术储备的光伏 企业有望在行业发展初期获得先发优势与估值溢价。 光大证券主要观点如下： 事件 马斯克在2026年达沃斯世界经济论坛上宣布，特斯拉与SpaceX计划未来三年在美国建设总计200GW ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened higher on January 26, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.36% [1] - The Hong Kong market saw the Hang Seng Technology Index drop over 1%, with companies like Xiaopeng Motors, Kuaishou, and Bilibili falling more than 3% [1] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector continued its strong performance, with stocks like Hunan Gold and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit, and Yuguang Gold Lead achieving two consecutive limits [3] - Key stocks in the precious metals sector included: - Hunan Gold: 10.02% increase - Shengda Resources: 10.01% increase - Yuguang Gold Lead: 9.98% increase [4] Basic Metals Sector - The basic metals sector also saw gains, with New Weiling rising over 14% and several other stocks like Yongjie New Materials and Xingye Silver Tin hitting the daily limit [5] - Notable performances included: - New Weiling: 14.44% increase - Yongjie New Materials: 10.01% increase - Xingye Silver Tin: 9.80% increase [6] Solar Energy Sector - The solar energy sector opened significantly higher, with stocks like Oputai rising over 25% and Dongfang Risen achieving a 20% limit [9] - Key stocks in the solar sector included: - Oputai: 25.86% increase - Dongfang Risen: 19.99% increase - Tuo Ri New Energy: 10.07% increase [10] News Impact - Spot gold prices broke through $5080 per ounce, reaching a new high, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange silver contract hit a limit, currently priced at 27,634 yuan per kilogram, up 14.55% [7] - Elon Musk announced at the Davos Forum that SpaceX and Tesla plan to build a total of 200GW of solar capacity in the U.S. over the next three years, with each company contributing 100GW [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense industry [4] Core Insights - The domestic commercial aircraft market in China is projected to reach approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand of over 400 aircraft per year by 2029 [15][18] - The C919 aircraft family has expanded with the introduction of the C919-600 highland variant, which is designed for high-altitude operations, marking a significant step in China's civil aviation equipment development [14] - The report highlights the trend towards self-sufficiency in domestic commercial aircraft engines, indicating a potential to break the existing monopoly in the market [41] Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919-600 highland variant has been publicly unveiled, designed specifically for high-altitude routes, enhancing adaptability for challenging environments [14] - The C919 family now includes basic, extended, and highland variants, with a steady progression towards a comprehensive product matrix [14] Section 2: Market Demand and Projections - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to be 2.5 times larger than the current military aircraft market, with a forecasted demand of 9,856 aircraft and a market size of 103.53 billion yuan over the next 20 years [15][17] - By 2029, the demand for new commercial aircraft in China's civil aviation fleet is projected to exceed 400 units annually, with specific annual requirements outlined for the years 2025 to 2029 [18][19] Section 3: Engine Market Dynamics - The global commercial aircraft engine market is anticipated to exceed 13 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with China's market expected to surpass 2.9 trillion yuan [43][45] - The report indicates a significant mismatch in supply and demand for commercial aircraft engines globally, with a strong push for domestic development of aviation power systems [52][59] Section 4: Commercial Aerospace Developments - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO status has changed to "under inquiry," indicating a rapid acceleration in the commercial space sector [71] - The report outlines plans for multiple rocket launches in 2026, with a focus on both near-Earth and deep-space exploration, highlighting the increasing activity in China's commercial space industry [77][86] Section 5: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Capabilities - The report notes that domestic satellite manufacturing capacity is robust, with several companies capable of producing hundreds of satellites annually, which is expected to drive down costs [99][100] - The establishment of new liquid rocket launch facilities at the Hainan commercial launch site is set to enhance China's capabilities in commercial space launches [108]

当前星链卫星已搭载星载相控阵天线以及激光链路终端，全球化供应链已实现相关芯片、模组、终端的 规模化量产与在轨运行。国内方面，细分领域的头部企业在相控阵T/R芯片、光通信芯片、星载光纤放 大器、星敏感器、星载高速通信终端等领域积极布局，验证星间与星地高速光通信技术落地，为商业航 天产业发展提供高速、稳定、安全的信息传输能力。 商业航天产业的兴起为卫星通信市场带来增量需求 可回收火箭技术使发射成本大幅降低，SpaceX在2025年完成167次发射，Starlink在轨卫星超9300颗，覆 盖150多个国家且付费用户突破900万，新推出50美元/月低价套餐旨在加速渗透。卫星通信应用场景从 传统广电、海事通信扩展至偏远地区互联网、物联网、应急救灾和国防领域，预计2035年全球市场规模 达830亿美元。国内方面，多家主体向ITU申报超20万颗卫星计划，产业配套逐步完善，发射能力有望 提升至年均万颗，推动市场持续增长。 卫星通信产业链涵盖上游芯片、中游模组和下游终端环节 智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，卫星通信技术正经历产业变革，通过轨道高度降低、相控阵 天线应用和激光介质应用等技术创新，显著提升了传输速度、降低 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment sector [5] Core Insights - Elon Musk's companies, SpaceX and Tesla, plan to build a total of 200GW of solar capacity in the U.S. over the next three years, significantly exceeding market expectations [34] - The report highlights the strong growth potential in the lithium battery sector, particularly with the expansion of LMFP production, which is expected to see a 275% year-on-year increase in output by 2025 [17] - The Southern Power Grid Company is set to invest 180 billion yuan in fixed assets in 2026, marking a continuous five-year high, with a focus on new power system construction and strategic emerging industries [25] Summary by Sections Electric Equipment Sector - The report emphasizes the continuous high investment in the electric equipment sector, with a focus on new energy and digital transformation [25] - Key companies to watch include XJ Electric, Pinggao Electric, and China XD Electric, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing investments [25] Lithium Battery Sector - The report notes significant expansions in LMFP production, with companies like Hunan Youneng and Xiamen Tungsten planning substantial increases in capacity [17] - The introduction of favorable policies for equipment updates and financing is expected to stimulate growth in the lithium battery sector [14] Solar Energy Sector - The report tracks the solar industry, noting stable prices for polysilicon and solar cells, while demand remains cautious due to market uncertainties [27][28] - Companies like Junda Co. are actively pursuing funding to enhance their capabilities in space solar energy, aligning with the broader trend of technological advancement in renewable energy [35] Wind Energy Sector - The report highlights upcoming offshore wind power tenders in Turkey and the Netherlands, indicating a growing international focus on wind energy [8] - Domestic wind power installations are projected to maintain high growth rates, with significant opportunities for companies involved in offshore wind projects [8]

据北京穿越者载人航天科技有限公司披露，该公司的穿越者壹号太空船，可将乘客运送至距离地面高度100公里的卡门线，体验3到6分钟的失重，黄景瑜 是第009名乘客。 据多家媒体披露，这条太空飞船启动商业化预售后，2023年售出第一张，目前已预售近20张，预售船票价格为300万元一张，预付10%即可锁定名额。 首批乘客名单里，除了黄景瑜，还包括穿越者创始人兼CEO雷诗情、中国工程院院士李立浧、智元机器人CMO邱恒、探路者创始人王静、啟赋资本董事 长兼创始人傅哲宽，甚至还出现了一个叫众擎PM01的人形机器人。 01 这两天，演员黄景瑜要上天的消息引爆了社交媒体网络。 这组跨越碳基与硅基生命的名单迅速引发了公众对中国首家载人商业航天企业的关注。 而从传播视角来看，考虑到黄景瑜娱乐圈身份，虽然是否为自费游客暂未披露，但这张明星船票更像是引爆公众关注的角色，而非纯粹购票行为。 伴随着中国太空商业首飞名单公布，热搜上的反应确实挺热闹。 有人说，以前大家开玩笑你咋不上天，现在这件事真的成了现实，也有人在评论区感叹，贫穷限制了我的失重感，还有媒体公开质疑，所谓的太空梦只是 换了马甲的精英游戏。 但无论如何，一个事实已经摆在眼前，太 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33% to 4136.16 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.79% and the ChiNext Index gained 0.63%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.45% at 26749.51 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.62% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.51%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 240.9 billion HKD[1] Currency and Trade Tensions - The Japanese yen rebounded strongly, nearing the 160 mark against the USD, marking its largest single-day gain since August of the previous year[8] - U.S. President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian exports to the U.S. if Canada reaches a trade agreement with China[8] ETF and Market Sentiment - Continuous outflows from broad-based ETFs in China have raised concerns about potential reductions in state-owned fund holdings, leading to increased interest in small-cap stocks[12] - From January 15 to 22, approximately 67.5 billion USD was sold off from 14 ETF products by the central government, indicating a significant market impact[12] Corporate Developments - Dongpeng Beverage plans to raise up to 10.141 billion HKD through an IPO, with a share price set at 248 HKD, representing a 12.5% discount compared to its A-share price[10] - BYD aims for overseas sales of 1.3 million vehicles in 2026, a nearly 24% increase from last year's 1.05 million deliveries[14]