Core Points - Prime Partner International Limited, a shareholder of Wanhua Chemical, has completed the process of releasing part of its pledged shares [1] - After the release, Prime Partner International Limited holds a total of 155,993,282 shares, representing 4.98% of the company's total equity [1] - Following the release, Prime Partner International Limited has a cumulative pledge of 103,655,045 shares [1] - The released shares will not be used for further pledging [1]

11月最后一个交易日，化工板块继续发力。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）全天红盘震 荡，收盘涨1.41%，单日成交额9718万元，至此月线强势六连阳，多头趋势坚挺。 值得注意的是，今年以来，或受益于"反内卷"行情，化工板块表现显著占优。数据显示，截至今日收 盘，化工ETF（516020）标的指数细分化工指数年内累计涨幅已达到27.76%，显著优于同期上证指数 （16.02%）、沪深300指数（15.04%）等A股主要指数。 银河证券指出，预计2026年Brent原油价格运行区间为60-70美元/桶，成本端有望逐步止跌企稳。2024年 以来化工行业资本开支迎来负增长，随着"反内卷"浪潮袭来及海外落后产能加速出清，供给端有望收 缩。"十五五"规划建议稿"坚持扩大内需"为未来五年定调，叠加美国降息周期开启，化工品需求空间打 开。我们认为，供需双底基本确立，政策预期强力催化，2026年化工行业或迎周期拐点向上，开启从估 值修复到业绩增长的"戴维斯双击"。 | | 证券简称 序号 证券代码 | 区间涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | [区间首日] 本年初 | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The PVC market shows an upward trend in the short - term, but the upward space is limited due to factors such as high inventory, low downstream demand, and price decline of related products [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - The calcium carbide price in the northwest region of the upstream remains stable. The PVC operating rate has increased by 1.39 percentage points to 80.22% and is at a relatively high level in recent years. The downstream operating rate has slightly declined and is at a low level. India's cancellation of the BIS policy on PVC eases export concerns, but the price of Formosa Plastics in Taiwan, China, in December has generally dropped by 30 - 60 dollars/ton. The social inventory has slightly increased and is still high. The real estate market is still in the adjustment stage, and the improvement needs time. The comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali is positive, and new production capacities have been put into operation. Although the government's research on price competition gives a certain boost to bulk commodities, the upward space of PVC is limited [1]. Futures and Spot Market - In the futures market, the PVC2601 contract reduced positions and oscillated upward, with the lowest price of 4525 yuan/ton, the highest price of 4562 yuan/ton, and finally closed at 4549 yuan/ton, below the 20 - day moving average, with a gain of 1.07% and a decrease in the position volume of 73,842 lots to 1,118,577 lots [2]. - In terms of the basis, on November 28, the mainstream price of calcium carbide - based PVC in the East China region remained at 4445 yuan/ton, the futures closing price of the V2601 contract was 4489 yuan/ton, and the current basis was - 72 yuan/ton, weakening by 28 yuan/ton, and the basis was at a relatively low - neutral level [3]. Fundamental Tracking - Supply side: The operating rates of devices such as Henan Lianchuang and Shaanxi Jintai have increased. New production capacities such as Wanhua Chemical, Tianjin Bohua, Qingdao Gulf, Gansu Yaowang, and Jiaxing Jiahua have been put into operation or are in low - load operation [1][4]. - Demand side: The real estate market is still in the adjustment stage. From January to October 2025, the national real estate development investment was 735.63 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 14.7%. The sales area, sales amount, new construction area, construction area, and completion area all showed year - on - year declines. As of the week of November 23, the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities increased by 18.56% month - on - month but was still at the lowest level in recent years [1][5]. - Inventory: As of the week of November 27, the PVC social inventory increased by 0.99% month - on - month to 1.0428 million tons, 23.44% higher than the same period last year, and the social inventory was still high [6].

Core Points - The One Belt One Road Index (399991) closed at 2752.77 points, up 0.71%, with a trading volume of 98.274 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.58% [1] - Among the index constituents, 66 stocks rose, with Jerry Holdings leading at a 10.0% increase, while 19 stocks fell, with Zhongji Xuchuang leading the decline at 1.81% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the One Belt One Road Index include: - Zhongji Xuchuang (4.03% weight) at 514.50 yuan, down 1.81% [1] - Yingmei Holdings (3.30% weight) at 28.58 yuan, down 0.07% [1] - Luoyang Jiyie (3.20% weight) at 16.23 yuan, up 1.76% [1] - China Petroleum (3.15% weight) at 9.75 yuan, down 1.02% [1] - TBEA (3.08% weight) at 21.80 yuan, up 1.96% [1] - Xinyi Sheng (3.08% weight) at 347.80 yuan, up 2.05% [1] - ZTE Corporation (2.88% weight) at 42.09 yuan, down 0.50% [1] - SANY Heavy Industry (2.73% weight) at 20.32 yuan, up 0.94% [1] - China Xiongzhu (2.70% weight) at 5.20 yuan, down 0.76% [1] - Wanhua Chemical (2.69% weight) at 67.12 yuan, up 1.85% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The One Belt One Road Index constituents experienced a net outflow of 173 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 135 million yuan [3] - Notable capital flows include: - Xinyi Sheng with a net inflow of 63.2 million yuan from main funds [3] - Tanfeng Communication with a net inflow of 42.5 million yuan from main funds [3] - Zijin Mining with a net inflow of 15.1 million yuan from main funds [3] - Luoyang Jiyie with a net inflow of 13 million yuan from main funds [3] - China Shipbuilding with a net inflow of 129 million yuan from main funds [3]

Group 1 - Wanhuah Chemical announced the release of 13 million shares from pledge by its shareholder Prime Partner International Limited, which holds approximately 156 million shares, accounting for 4.98% of the total share capital [1] - After the release of the pledged shares, Prime Partner International Limited has a total of approximately 104 million shares still pledged [1] - For the first half of 2025, Wanhuah Chemical's revenue composition is as follows: 98.88% from chemical raw materials and chemical manufacturing, 0.72% from other industries, and 0.4% from other businesses [1] Group 2 - As of the report, Wanhuah Chemical has a market capitalization of 210.1 billion yuan [1]

证券代码：600309 证券简称：万华化学 公告编号：临 2025-67 号 重要内容提示: 公司股东 Prime Partner International Limited 持有万华化学股份 155,993,282 股， 占公司总股本比例 4.98%，本次股份解除质押业务办理完成后，Prime Partner International Limited 累计质押 103,655,045 股。 万华化学集团股份有限公司获悉公司股东 Prime Partner International Limited 所持有本公司的部分股份办理解除质押手续，具体情况如下表： | 股东名称 | Prime Partner International Limited | | --- | --- | | 本次解除质押股份数量 | 13,000,000 | | 占其所持股份比例 | 8.33% | | 占公司总股本比例 | 0.42% | | 解除质押时间 | 2025 年 11 月 27 日 | | 持股数量 | 155,993,282 | | 持股比例 | 4.98% | | 剩余被质押股份数量 | 103,655,045 | ...

Group 1 - The lithium battery and solid-state battery sectors are currently gaining attention, with prices for 6F, VC, and battery-grade EC rising to 165,000, 170,000, and 5,900 per ton respectively [1] - As of November 28, the chemical ETF (159870.SZ) increased by 0.81%, and the related index for fine chemicals (000813.CSI) rose by 0.95%, with major constituents like Salt Lake Co. up 1.37% and Enjie Co. up 2.96% [1] - Research from brokerage firms indicates that the price increase for 6F, VC, and battery-grade EC is expected to continue, driven by strong downstream demand and rising upstream prices, enhancing price elasticity and sustainability [1] Group 2 - The price of 6F reached 165,000, with an average price of 138,000 in November, suggesting that profits for 6F companies may significantly exceed expectations [1] - In the case of VC additives, despite the recent resumption of production by Shandong Genyuan, its maximum monthly output is only around 2,000 tons, which has a limited impact on the market [1] - For solvent EC, battery-grade EC has risen to 5,900 per ton, with a cumulative increase of 25% this month, and factory inventories are at their lowest this year, allowing for upward price movement [1]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with the fertilizer and phosphate sectors showing positive growth, while the oil and basic chemical sectors face challenges due to declining oil prices and historical low profit margins [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of November 28, 2025, the chemical industry, particularly the fertilizer and phosphate sectors, has seen significant gains, with the CSI sub-industry index rising by 0.70% [1]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the oil and basic chemical sectors reported a year-on-year net profit change of -24.8% and +5.3%, respectively, indicating a decline in the oil sector due to lower oil prices, while the basic chemical sector benefited from capacity expansion and a slight recovery in product demand [1]. - The gross profit margins for the oil and basic chemical sectors in Q3 2025 were recorded at 14.7% and 17.6%, respectively, both of which are at historical low levels [1]. Group 2: Future Outlook - According to China Galaxy, the chemical industry is expected to see a contraction in capital expenditure starting in 2024, influenced by the "anti-involution" trend and accelerated elimination of outdated overseas capacities, which may lead to a tightening of supply [1]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" draft emphasizes expanding domestic demand, which, combined with the onset of a U.S. interest rate cut cycle, is anticipated to open up demand space for chemical products [1]. - The supply-demand dynamics are expected to stabilize, with strong policy expectations potentially catalyzing a cyclical upturn in the chemical industry by 2026, leading to a "Davis Double Play" from valuation recovery to earnings growth [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical index account for 44.83% of the index, indicating concentrated investment opportunities in leading companies such as Wanhua Chemical and Yalv Co [2]. - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the chemical sector through the Chemical ETF linked fund (013527) [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: A-share market in China - **Outlook for 2026**: Expected earnings growth of 8% YoY, driven by faster nominal GDP growth and margin recovery due to supportive policies and anti-involution efforts [2][42][43] Core Insights and Arguments - **Earnings Growth**: A-share earnings growth is projected to accelerate from 6% in 2025 to 8% in 2026, supported by a recovery in margins and nominal GDP growth [2][42] - **Market Valuation**: The A-share market's equity risk premium remains above historical averages, indicating potential for further re-rating as macro policies and household savings shift towards equities [2][62][63] - **Market Correction**: Recent market pullbacks are attributed to short-term factors, including profit-taking and a retreat in global tech sectors, but are seen as buying opportunities [3][18] - **Investment Themes**: Key themes for 2026 include technology self-reliance, consumer recovery, selective investments in solar and lithium sectors, and the global competitiveness of Chinese companies [4][28] Tactical Style and Sector Allocations - **Investment Style**: Growth stocks are expected to outperform value stocks, with cyclicals likely to outperform defensives due to narrowing PPI contraction [5][71] - **Sector Preferences**: Favorable sectors include electronics, telecom, non-bank financials, national defense, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and electrical equipment [5][63] Preferred A-share Stocks - **Top Picks**: - **Sungrow (300274.SZ)**: Buy, market cap Rmb 3,643 million, target price Rmb 225.00, upside 28% [6] - **NAURA Technology (002371.SZ)**: Buy, market cap Rmb 3,028 million, target price Rmb 545.50, upside 31% [6] - **Wanhua Chemical (600309.SS)**: Buy, market cap Rmb 1,979 million, target price Rmb 84.00, upside 33% [6] - **Huatai Securities A (601688.SS)**: Buy, market cap Rmb 1,890 million, target price Rmb 31.20, upside 49% [6] Economic Indicators and Projections - **GDP Growth**: Expected real GDP growth of 4.5% in 2026, with CPI inflation at 0.4% and a slight decline in PPI [28][30] - **Infrastructure Investment**: Anticipated recovery in infrastructure investment growth to 4-6% in 2026, supported by special financing tools [29] - **Consumption Policies**: Shift towards consumption-focused policies is expected, with household consumption share projected to rise from 40% in 2024 to 43-45% by 2030 [33][37] Risks and Considerations - **Trade Tensions**: Ongoing trade tensions with the US and potential tech constraints pose risks to the A-share market [35] - **Property Market**: Continued downturn in the property market may affect overall economic sentiment and consumption [29][33] Additional Insights - **Liquidity Trends**: The balance of margin financing has stabilized, indicating a cautious approach among investors [18][21] - **Household Savings**: There is significant potential for reallocation of household savings into the A-share market, which could drive further valuation re-rating [78][81] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the A-share market outlook, investment strategies, and economic projections for 2026.

Core Insights - The report indicates that the Chinese chemical industry is entering a critical turning point between 2024 and 2025, characterized by a combination of cyclical stabilization and deepening industrial upgrades, with features such as demand differentiation, supply optimization, cost fluctuations, and clear policy guidance [1][19]. Overall Overview - The report focuses on 431 A-share listed chemical companies, analyzing the industry's development trends from multiple dimensions [1][8]. - The chemical industry is currently in a new stage of innovation-driven and global development, with significant influence in the A-share market, reflected in the number of companies, market capitalization, and revenue [1][19]. - Chemical products dominate in terms of company numbers, market capitalization, revenue, and profit, followed by plastics, agricultural chemicals, and chemical raw materials [1][19]. - Zhejiang, Shandong, and Jiangsu provinces lead in key indicators, while other provinces show a gradient development pattern based on resource endowments and industrial upgrade pace [1][19]. Market Performance - Chemical product prices faced pressure after fluctuations in 2024, continuing to operate at low levels in 2025, indicating the industry is still in a bottoming phase [1][19]. - Price differentials for chemical products showed increased volatility in 2024, with a shift from negative to positive in early 2025 before slightly narrowing [1][19]. - Although stock prices rebounded, they underperformed compared to the broader market, with valuations remaining at historical lows [1][19]. - There is significant divergence in market capitalization performance, with leading companies and high-growth targets standing out [1][19]. Operating Conditions - Revenue showed resilience in scale, with a slight growth in 2024, while net profit attributable to shareholders exhibited structural differentiation [2][20]. - Revenue growth turned positive, while profit growth remained negative but significantly narrowed [2][20]. - Profitability faced deep pressure, reflecting a differentiated pattern amid industrial transformation challenges [2][20]. - Operational capabilities showed significant differentiation, with asset and account management reflecting operational resilience [2][20]. - The asset-liability ratio increased marginally, with financial strategies adapting to industrial upgrade needs [2][20]. Capital Operations - In 2024, equity financing saw a comprehensive contraction, with capital focusing on quality tracks and core projects [2][20]. - Bond financing showed moderate recovery, with funds concentrating on quality projects and leading entities [2][20]. Capacity Construction - Capital expenditure contracted year-on-year, with fixed assets continuing to grow but at a slower pace, shifting from scale expansion to stock optimization and high-end upgrades [2][20]. - The total amount of ongoing projects steadily increased, but the growth rate slowed, with significant differentiation among sub-industries and a pronounced clustering effect among leading companies [2][20]. Technological Innovation - R&D intensity increased overall, with resources concentrating on high-end tracks and leading specialized companies, highlighting the logic of innovation-driven transformation [2][20]. - The proportion of R&D personnel continued to rise, with significant differentiation among sub-industries and companies, particularly among leading technology firms [2][20]. International Development - Overseas revenue showed overall recovery growth, with significant differentiation among sub-industries and leading companies deeply embedded in the global market [2][20]. - Foreign ownership showed increasing differentiation, with high-end technology companies receiving focused allocation, reflecting global capital's recognition of China's chemical industry's high-end transformation [2][20]. Policy Guidance - Encouraging policies focus on green low-carbon, high-end, and park-intensive development, promoting industrial upgrades [2][20]. - Restrictive policies rigidly eliminate backward production capacity and optimize inefficient layouts, strengthening environmental and safety constraints [2][20]. - Capital market policies support advanced chemical new materials, deepen market-oriented reforms in mergers and acquisitions, and guide capital towards strategic areas [2][20]. Case Insights - Wanhua Chemical builds a scale moat through integrated and global layouts, maintaining a stable traditional business while expanding new growth areas [2][20]. - New Hope achieves counter-cyclical growth through technological barriers and specialized routes, demonstrating the growth value of technology-driven and niche deep cultivation [2][20]. - Upwind New Materials highlights the mismatch between valuation and fundamentals, warning against over-reliance on capital sentiment and short-term events, emphasizing the importance of profit realization for valuation support [2][20].